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Eurusdlong

Euro Rises Above $1.09 Despite Tariff ThreatsThe euro climbed above $1.09, showing unexpected strength after President Trump announced 20% tariffs on all EU imports. ◉ Fundamental Rationale ● The currency got a boost because the U.S. dollar weakened. Trump’s tariffs made trade tensions worse and worried people about slower economic growth. ● Also, new numbers showed Eurozone inflation fell to 2.2% in March, the lowest since November 2024. ● This lower inflation means the European Central Bank doesn’t need to raise interest rates, making the euro more appealing to investors. ◉ Technical Observation ● From a technical perspective, an inverse head and shoulders pattern has formed, hinting at a possible trend reversal. ● A breakout above $1.095 could pave the way for stronger bullish momentum.
Long
by NaranjCapital
EUR/USD: Bullish Falling Wedge Breakout Towards TargetLet’s analyze the 1-hour candlestick chart of EUR/USD (Euro / U.S. Dollar) on TradingView, published by GoldMasterTraders on April 2, 2025, at 19:04 UTC. The chart highlights a trading setup based on a Falling Wedge pattern, indicating a potential bullish breakout. I’ll describe the chart pattern and the trading setup in detail. Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge Pattern Description Type: The chart identifies a Falling Wedge pattern, which is a bullish chart pattern that typically signals a reversal or continuation of an uptrend. A Falling Wedge forms when the price consolidates between two downward-sloping trendlines that converge over time, with the upper trendline (resistance) sloping more steeply than the lower trendline (support). Appearance on the Chart: The Falling Wedge is clearly marked with two converging trendlines: Upper Trendline (Resistance): Connects the lower highs, sloping downward. Lower Trendline (Support): Connects the lower lows, also sloping downward but at a less steep angle. The pattern began forming around March 19, after a sharp decline from 1.9400 to 1.8700, and continued until the breakout on April 2, 2025. Breakout Direction: Falling Wedges are typically bullish, meaning the price is expected to break out to the upside. The chart shows the price breaking above the upper trendline of the wedge around April 2, 2025, with a strong bullish candle, confirming the breakout. The breakout level is around 1.90840, and the price has moved slightly above this level, closing at 1.90864 at the time of the chart. Key Levels and Trading Setup 1. Support Level A horizontal support zone is marked around 1.90730 (approximately 1.9070–1.9080). This level acted as a base during the wedge formation, with the price bouncing off this zone multiple times (e.g., on March 23 and March 30). The support level aligns with the lower boundary of the wedge, reinforcing its significance as a key area of buying interest. 2. Resistance Level A resistance zone is marked around 1.92000 (approximately 1.9190–1.9210). This level corresponds to a previous high reached on March 19, before the wedge formation began. It represents a significant barrier where selling pressure previously emerged. After the breakout, the price is expected to test this resistance as part of the bullish move. 3. Target The target for the breakout is projected at 1.92110. This target is likely calculated by measuring the height of the wedge at its widest point (from the highest high to the lowest low within the pattern) and projecting that distance upward from the breakout point. The chart indicates a potential move of 0.00435 (0.40%), which aligns with the distance from the breakout level (around 1.90840) to the target (1.92110). 4. Stop Loss A stop loss is suggested below the support level at 1.90730. This placement ensures that if the breakout fails and the price falls back into the wedge, the trade is exited with a manageable loss. The stop loss is just below the breakout level (1.90840), with a distance of approximately 0.00110, representing the risk on the trade. Trading Setup Summary Entry: The setup suggests entering a long (buy) position after the price breaks out above the upper trendline of the Falling Wedge, which occurred around April 2, 2025. The breakout is confirmed by a strong bullish candle closing above the trendline at approximately 1.90840. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the support level at 1.90730 to protect against a false breakout or reversal. The distance from the breakout level (1.90840) to the stop loss (1.90730) is 0.00110, or about 0.06% of the entry price. Take Profit/Target: Aim for the target at 1.92110, which is near the next significant resistance level. The distance from the breakout level to the target is 0.01270, or a 0.40% move. Risk-Reward Ratio: The risk is 0.00110 (from 1.90840 to 1.90730), and the reward is 0.01270 (from 1.90840 to 1.92110), giving a risk-reward ratio of approximately 11.55:1 (0.01270 / 0.00110). This is an exceptionally high risk-reward ratio, making the setup very attractive, though traders should ensure the breakout is well-confirmed due to the tight stop loss. Additional Observations Price Action Context: Before the wedge formed, the price experienced a sharp decline from 1.9400 (March 13) to 1.8700 (March 19), indicating a strong bearish trend. The Falling Wedge represents a consolidation phase within this downtrend, and the upside breakout suggests a potential reversal or at least a corrective move higher. Volume and Momentum: The chart doesn’t display volume or momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD). However, a typical confirmation of a Falling Wedge breakout would include: An increase in volume on the breakout candle, indicating strong buying interest. Bullish momentum signals, such as an RSI above 50 or a bullish MACD crossover. Traders might want to check these indicators for additional confirmation of the breakout’s strength. Timeframe: This is a 1-hour chart, so the setup is intended for short-term trading, with the target potentially being reached within a few hours to a day. Market Context: EUR/USD is influenced by factors like U.S. dollar strength, Eurozone economic data, and interest rate differentials. A bullish move in EUR/USD could be driven by a weaker dollar (e.g., due to dovish U.S. economic data) or positive Eurozone developments. Conclusion The TradingView idea presents a bullish setup for EUR/USD based on a Falling Wedge pattern on the 1-hour chart. The price has broken above the wedge’s upper trendline, confirming a bullish move with a target of 1.92110. The setup includes a stop loss at 1.90730 to manage risk, offering an impressive risk-reward ratio of 11.55:1. Key levels to watch include the support at 1.90730 and the resistance at 1.92000. Traders should consider additional confirmation from volume and momentum indicators, as well as broader market conditions, before executing the trade. Since this chart is from April 2, 2025, market conditions may have evolved, and I can assist with searching for more recent data if needed!
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
Euro at Critical Demand – Is the Trend About to Flip?Euro reached an important zone for my setup, triggering a long position. Although it’s still trending below the fibcloud on the 4H timeframe, we’ve seen a solid 0.5% recovery from the recent low. I’m looking for this area to hold as support, with defined risk in case the setup invalidates. Technicals: • Price tapped into a major 4H support level where liquidity historically steps in. • The current move marks a 0.5% bounce from the low, showing early signs of demand. • Still trading below the fibcloud, but a reclaim of that zone would open the path toward 1.0850. • Setup includes a stop-loss below the most recent wick low, with a clear structure to build a higher low. Fundamentals: EUR-side strength: • ECB maintains a slower pace of rate cuts compared to the Fed. • Growth and inflation in the Eurozone are still challenges, but the ECB’s hawkish stance continues to support medium-term EUR strength. • The ECB may hike another 150 bps to reach a 4% terminal rate, which favors EUR upside. USD-side risks: • Trump announced plans to impose a 25% tariff on all car imports, including from the EU-adding geopolitical and trade uncertainty. • Traders remain cautious around further escalation in US-EU trade tensions. • US Initial Jobless Claims later today could bring weakness to the dollar if the data disappoints. In short, while the USD remains resilient, the EUR fundamentals and the current technical zone make this a compelling spot for a bounce. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Long
by AR33_
EURUSD - what’s next?Here is our in-depth view and update on EURUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a long-term overview on the pair sharing possible entries and important Key Levels . Alright first, let’s take a step back and take a look at EURUSD from a bigger perspective. After making such a huge upside move, we are expecting EURUSD to have some sort of a correction or a pullback to the downside. After that we got a sell off on EURUSD and just today we hit the 50% correction level at around 1.08442 . After failing to break to the upside we can expect more sells to be in play. Any breaks to the downside from the current price will confirm this. Although TVC:DXY is not as strong at the moment, it still is a global reserve currency . We seen that in play last week when we saw massive upside on OANDA:XAUUSD and on TVC:DXY . We must understand that investors are also pouring their money into DXY as it is a global reserve currency. I still personally believe TVC:DXY holds more strength against TVC:EXY hence why I am still looking to short the pair. Scenario 1: SELLS from current price With the instant sell, we are risking a possible pullback and continuations to the upside however, DXY is looking like it will reverse. Failing to break to the upside can also be taken as a confirmation for potential sells. Scenario 2: BUYS at the break of the Key Level (around 1.085) With the break to the upside, we can expect more buys to come in play possibly targeting previous highs on EURUSD at around 1.09444. KEY NOTES - DXY possible reversal to the upside. - Breaks above the KL and to the upside would confirm higher highs. - EURUSD has completed the 50% correction to the upside. - DXY is the global reserve currency. Happy trading! FxPocket
Short
by FxPocket
EUR/USD Long setup from the 3hr demand zoneSimilar to GBP/USD, I’m looking for long opportunities on EU. My key area of interest is the 3-hour demand zone, where I will wait for price to mitigate and accumulate before entering a position. Price has also changed character to the upside, further validating this demand zone as a strong point of interest. Additionally, there is a significant amount of liquidity to the upside that needs to be taken. The next major supply zone I have marked out is the 23-hour supply zone, which is further away. For now, my focus remains on the demand zone—unless price breaks below, creating a new supply level. Confluences for EU Buys: - Bullish market structure shift, with a clean demand zone left behind. - Unmitigated 3-hour demand zone, making it a strong area of interest. - Liquidity resting above, which price is likely to target. - DXY has been bearish, aligning with a bullish outlook for EU. Note: If price breaks structure to the upside without tapping my nearby demand zone, I will either wait for a new demand zone to form or look for a sell-to-buy opportunity from supply.
Long
by Hassan_fx
2
EUR/USD: Uncertain Trajectory Amid Tariff - Induced JittersThe EUR/USD is trading at 1.0796. After a Thursday rebound from 1.0733 due to a weakening USD, it's now pressured at the intraday high of 1.0799. US President Donald Trump's new 25% import taxes on cars and car parts, with potential additional levies on the eurozone and Canada, have stoked risk - off sentiment. This has led to a temporary dip in the US dollar's appeal. On the daily chart, it's found buyers near the non - directional 200 - day SMA, with 1.0730 as dynamic support. It's attempting to break the bullish 20 - day SMA, while the 100 - day SMA is non - directional below the current level. The momentum indicator is flat below 100, and the RSI at 56 hints at upward risk, yet unconfirmed. Bulls should be cautious short - term. In the 4 - hour chart, technicals are rising but below the mid - line. EUR/USD is fighting a bearish 20 - day SMA, and the 100 - day SMA has lost upward steam around 1.0840. A break above 1.0840 could bring back the bulls. EURUSD buy@1.08200-1.08500 tp:1.08900-1.09300 I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
Long
by JohnGonzalez7
Strong GDP, Weak USD – How Will EURUSD React!?Today's U.S. data showed strong GDP growth (2.4%) , but lower inflation ( 2.3% Final GDP Price Index ) and a weaker trade balance ( -147.9B ) suggest the Fed may remain cautious on rate hikes. This limits USD's strength , supporting a potential EURUSD rebound . EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is moving in the Support zone($1.08180-$1.0745) and has also managed to break the Downtrend line . 50_SMA(Weekly) plays a good role of support for EURUSD . In terms of Classic Technical Analysis and Price Action , there is also a possibility that EURUSD will return to an uptrend with Inverse Head and Shoulders and Bullish Quasimodo Patterns . Regarding Elliott Wave theory , it seems that EURUSD has managed to complete the main wave 4 . The main wave 4 structure is an Expanding Flat Correction(ABC/3-3-5) . I expect EURUSD to trend higher in the coming hour s and rise to at least $1.0855 , and if the Resistance zone($1.0867-$1.0850) is broken, we should expect more pumping . Note: If EURUSD breaks below the 50_SMA(Weekly), we expect further declines. The worst Stop Loss(SL) could be $1.072. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree . Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 2-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
1
EURUSD - Potential Reversal Zones and ScenariosThis 4-hour chart of EURUSD highlights potential Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) that could act as strong areas of support and possible reversal zones. Price action is currently trending within a descending channel, with three possible bullish scenarios outlined: 1. A breakout from the upper boundary of the channel leading to an immediate bullish move. 2. A retracement into the first FVG zone, followed by a reversal upward. 3. A deeper retracement into the second FVG, aligned with the 0.618-0.65 Fibonacci retracement level, before a strong bullish rebound. Keep an eye on these levels for high-probability trade setups. Patience is key!
Long
by Louigi_24
10
EURUSD Will be in bearish directionHello Traders In This Chart EURUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today EURUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (EURUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EURUSD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Long
by ForexMasters2000
EUR/USD Triple Bottom Reversal | Bullish Breakout SetupChart Overview This is a EUR/USD 1-hour chart showing a classic Triple Bottom Reversal Pattern, a strong bullish reversal signal. The price has tested a key support level multiple times, forming three distinct bottoms, indicating that sellers are losing momentum while buyers are stepping in. This setup suggests an upcoming breakout, with well-defined entry, take profit, and stop-loss levels to capitalize on the potential upward move. Technical Breakdown 1. Support & Resistance Zones Support Zone (Highlighted in Beige) The price has tested this zone multiple times without breaking below, confirming strong buying interest. Each time the price touched this level, it rebounded, indicating accumulation by buyers. Resistance Zone (Highlighted in Beige) The price previously reversed from this level, making it a key area to watch for a breakout. A confirmed breakout above this resistance could trigger strong upward momentum. 2. Triple Bottom Formation A Triple Bottom is a strong bullish reversal pattern. It consists of: Bottom 1: First rejection from support. Bottom 2: A retest of support with buyers defending the level. Bottom 3: The final touch before an upward move, confirming the pattern. This pattern signals that selling pressure is diminishing and buyers are preparing for a strong breakout. 3. Bullish Reversal & Breakout Zone A breakout above the neckline resistance (around 1.0843) will confirm the pattern. Traders should wait for a confirmed candle close above the resistance before entering a long position. A retest of the breakout zone can provide an additional entry opportunity. Trade Setup & Key Levels 🔹 Entry Strategy Aggressive Entry: Enter at the breakout level (above 1.0843) with volume confirmation. Conservative Entry: Wait for a breakout retest before entering long. 🎯 Take Profit Targets TP1: 1.08868 (First resistance zone) TP2: 1.09642 (Major resistance zone, strong price reaction expected) ❌ Stop Loss Placement Stop Loss: Below 1.06786, under the support zone. This ensures that if the price breaks below the key level, the trade is invalidated. Market Sentiment & Expected Move If the price breaks the resistance → Expect a strong bullish move toward TP1 and TP2. If the price fails to break out → It may consolidate further or retest support. Watch for increased volume on the breakout to confirm strength. 📌 Final Thoughts This is a high-probability bullish setup based on a well-formed Triple Bottom Reversal pattern. Traders should monitor price action near the breakout zone and manage risk effectively with proper stop-loss placement.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
Attention! Key Signals in the EUR/USD Exchange Rate TrendThe EUR/USD pair has traded with a soft tone for five consecutive trading days, and the decline has expanded to 1.0776, the lowest level since March 6. However, the broad weakness of the US dollar in the middle of the European session pushed the currency pair to turn upward. In the short term, according to the 4-hour chart, although the possibility of further upward movement is low, the downside potential also seems limited. The EUR/USD found buying support around the bullish 100-day moving average but failed to break through the bearish 20-day moving average. Finally, although technical indicators show an upward trend, they remain in negative territory. EURUSD Trading Strategy: buy@1.08200-1.08500 tp:1.08900-1.09300 I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
Long
by JohnGonzalez7
4