EURUSD Longs from 1.08300 or 1.08000 back upThis week's bias for this pair aligns with GU, and I'll be aiming to initiate long positions from the demand levels positioned just beneath the current price. Whether it's from the nearby 2-hour demand zone or the 10-hour demand zone situated below, my objective is to buy back up to a supply level or potentially target the equal highs positioned above.
Ideally, I'm hoping for price to form a Wyckoff accumulation within my designated demand zones and provide a strong confirmation signal. If this doesn't happen, I'll wait for that zone to be breached, anticipating the spring to occur within the more favorable 10-hour demand zone.
Confluences for EURUSD are as follows:
- Price has been temporarily bullish to the upside and the 10hr demand zone caused BOS.
- I will be anticipating a Wyckoff accumulation to start formulating within my demand region.
- A pullback has been initiated from the reaction of the 6-hour supply zone.
- Lots of liquidity to the upside in the form of Asian highs and equal highs.
- Dollar (DXY) is looking to be bearish so I'm expecting this to be bullish.
P.S. While I maintain a bullish stance on this pair, I wouldn't be caught off guard if the reaction from the 6-hour supply zone triggers further downward movement, potentially breaking the structure to the downside. In such a scenario, I'll be more inclined to explore selling opportunities.
LAST WEEK OF JANUARY LETS HAVE A GREAT TRADING WEEK!
Eurusdlong
🚀EURUSD is Ready to GO UP🚀🏃 EURUSD is moving near the 🟢 Support zone($1.0800-$1.0756) 🟢.
🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , EURUSD seems to have completed its five downtrends .
💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between two Consecutive Valleys .
🔔I expect EURUSD to rise at least to the end of wave 4 at the 🔴 Resistance zone($1.0916-$1.0880) 🔴 in the coming hours or the coming week .
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 1-hour Time frame ⏰.
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Title: "EUR/USD Potential Buy Opportunity: Navigating Friday AftIn the aftermath of Thursday's significant market downturn, the EUR/USD pair is presenting a potential buying opportunity within the range of 1.08200 to 1.08300. As traders assess the recent market dynamics, Friday's trading session holds a unique position for those seeking strategic entry points.
Thursday's sharp decline may have been influenced by a variety of factors, such as economic data releases, geopolitical events, or broader market sentiment. The EUR/USD pair, reflecting the dynamics between the Eurozone and the United States, experienced notable fluctuations during this period.
The identified buy zone of 1.08200 to 1.08300 signifies a range where the currency pair has historically exhibited support, offering a compelling entry level for traders looking to capitalize on potential market reversals. Analyzing technical indicators, such as moving averages, support and resistance levels, and trend patterns, can provide additional insights into the strength of this buying zone.
It's crucial for traders to consider the implications of Friday's trading, especially given the typical volatility associated with the last day of the trading week. Friday often introduces unique challenges and opportunities as market participants adjust their positions before the weekend. Therefore, a comprehensive analysis of market conditions, economic news, and any potential catalysts is essential to making informed decisions.
Risk management remains a paramount consideration. Traders should set clear stop-loss levels and be prepared to reassess their positions based on real-time market developments. Additionally, monitoring global economic events and news releases during Friday's session is advised, as unexpected developments can impact currency movements.
In conclusion, the highlighted buy zone in the EUR/USD pair presents an intriguing opportunity for traders amid the aftermath of Thursday's market decline. Vigilance, thorough analysis, and a proactive approach to risk management will be instrumental in navigating the potential upsides and downsides during Friday's trading session.
EUR/USD Long positionOn this bullish trend, we are looking for long positions only.
After this great corrective move, we have a bullish pattern on a level of interest for me.
Trying a long on this one with first TP shown on the graph (second one is the same as the initial swing position)
Great Trade !
EUR/USD Finds Solid Support at 1.08500 Amidst Tepid Data.EUR/USD Finds Solid Support at 1.08500 Amidst Tepid Data, Eyes on Maintrend Continuation
In a noteworthy turn of events, the EUR/USD has staged a rebound, establishing a robust support zone at 1.08500. This critical level is reinforced by the confluence with the Dynamic trendline, acting as dynamic support, and the 61.8%-78.6% Fibonacci zone. Additionally, a Bullish Divergence in the RSI and a favorable reaction at the 200-day Moving Average signal potential upward momentum.
Euro Resilience Despite Local Data:
Interestingly, the Euro has demonstrated resilience despite tepid local data. The preliminary Producer Manager Index (PMI) survey conducted by the Hamburg Commercial Bank (HCOB) indicates that business activity in the euro area contracted at the slowest rate in January, marking a six-month low. However, the official report highlights persistent downturns in both manufacturing and service sectors, coupled with further declines in new business.
German PMI Figures:
Breaking down the data, Germany's Manufacturing PMI recorded 45.4, while the services index posted at 47.6. For the Eurozone, the Services PMI came in at 48.4, a slight decrease from the previous 48.8. On a positive note, the manufacturing index showed improvement, rising to 46.6 from 44.4 in December.
Upcoming US Preliminary PMIs:
Later in the day, S&P Global is set to release the January preliminary PMIs for the United States (US). Market expectations lean towards manufacturing output maintaining its position in expansionary territory. This event could introduce further dynamics to the EUR/USD pair, given the interconnectedness of global markets.
Technical Outlook and Maintrend Continuation:
From a technical perspective, the confluence of support factors at 1.08500, along with the positive indications from the RSI and the 200-day Moving Average, strengthens the case for a continuation of the current tendency. Traders will be closely monitoring how the pair navigates through these levels and whether the rebound can be sustained.
Conclusion:
The EUR/USD's resilience at the crucial support level of 1.08500, despite mixed local data, underscores the significance of technical factors in guiding market movements. As the pair eyes a continuation of the maintrend, upcoming US PMI data could play a pivotal role in shaping short-term market dynamics. Traders should remain vigilant and adapt their strategies in response to evolving technical and fundamental factors in the forex landscape.
Our preference
Long positions above 1.07700 with targets at 1.1000 & 1.1150 in extension.
eurusd analysis elliot. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
eurusd buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
EURUSD I Demand scalp buy zone Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** EURUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
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EURUSD: The ECB's policy decision is the highlight of today's ec
The dollar rose slightly early in the day after being mixed in yesterday's trading. Rising Treasury yields of late have supported the greenback.
US stocks also saw late declines, although technology stocks again outperformed as the Nasdaq index closed up 0.4%. The S&P 500 managed to rise 0.1% while the Dow closed down 0.3%. US futures are currently flat.
In the bond market, the 10-year bond yield in the US decreased 2 basis points to 4.158%.
ECB President Lagarde will continue to speak based on the data but traders will keep an eye out for any unexpected comments from her.
The market prices the ECB's ability to cut interest rates in April at 72% and expects 127 basis points of interest rate cuts this year.
EUR/USD ENTRIESIm still leaning towards USD weakness, so therefore I am predominately looking for long entries, I am going to wait for the London open before making a decision, if price continues to reject from the 108.700 area then I would consider a buy from the current area, however if it drifts up to the middle of structure then I would wait for the break above structure and a 1h / 4h close above the blue line.
Sells could be on the cards with a sold break below structure and a retest of the blue line and a lower low close on the 15 min
EUR/USD Struggles for Direction Amid ECB Rate Cut UncertaintyEUR/USD Struggles for Direction Amid ECB Rate Cut Uncertainty
The EUR/USD pair finds itself in a tight trading range below the 1.0900 and 1.08500 levels during the European session on Wednesday. Traders appear cautious, refraining from making aggressive directional moves as uncertainty looms over the potential timing of an interest rate cut by the European Central Bank (ECB).
ECB Rate Cut Speculations:
The first ECB policy rate cut is anticipated in April, with markets pricing in a total reduction of 135 basis points (bps) by the end of 2024. However, ECB President Christine Lagarde's recent signal that borrowing costs may only start decreasing in the summer, contingent on supportive economic data, has left traders in a wait-and-see mode. The focus now shifts to the upcoming ECB monetary policy meeting on Thursday, seen as a pivotal event that could significantly impact the EUR/USD pair.
Event and Data Risks:
This week brings forth critical event and data risks, with preliminary estimates of the January Purchasing Manager Indexes (PMIs) set for release on Wednesday. These indicators will provide insights into the economic activity within the Eurozone and potentially influence the market sentiment. However, the real highlight of the week remains the ECB meeting on Thursday, where market participants anticipate clarity on the central bank's stance regarding interest rates and monetary policy.
OCBC Bank's Analysis:
Economists at OCBC Bank are closely analyzing the outlook for the EUR/USD pair. They suggest that an improvement in the PMI print could act as a catalyst, giving the Euro a renewed boost. Positive economic data may sway sentiment in favor of the Euro, offering traders additional insights as they position themselves in the market.
Technical Perspective:
From a technical standpoint, the EUR/USD maintains a bullish bias in higher timeframes. The current retracement, hovering around the 1.08500 area and in confluence with the Dynamic trendline, the 61.8%, and 78.6% Fibonacci zones, presents an interesting zone for potential buyers looking for discounted prices. This area could serve as a launching pad for a new bullish impulse, with the target set around the 1.1000 level.
Conclusion:
The EUR/USD pair faces a challenging environment as traders navigate uncertainty surrounding potential ECB rate cuts. With the focus on the ECB meeting and key economic indicators, market participants are adopting a cautious approach. The technical analysis suggests a bullish outlook, with the retracement presenting an opportunity for buyers to enter at a discount. However, the true catalyst for a sustained move may come from the ECB meeting and positive PMI prints, providing clarity and direction for the EUR/USD pair in the coming sessions. Traders are advised to stay vigilant and adapt their strategies accordingly in response to unfolding events and data releases.
Our preference
Long positions above 1.07700 with targets at 1.1000 & 1.1150 in extension.
EURUSD WEEK ANALYSIS 21/01/2024Is market really going down hard? or was it just manipulation to go back up?
1.
On EURUSD we see a clear AMD but on a bigger scale where market manipulated into the FVG D and not the POI D.
Market also traded into the discounted zones so a bullish move from here is good as market is still in a bullish trend.
2.
On the 4H we also see a trend liquidity being built up so if that was to be taken out it will give a clear indication of the market willing to push back up.
3.
The trend is still bearish so as long as the trendline holds market will be going down but if it fails then we will be heading back up.
4.
The purple zone is also the same pattern that played out before the move on 14th NOV 2023.
DXY UPDATE!! Massive CORRECTION coming!!! Following up with out last video, we expect DXY to make the FALL to fill up the little GAP we have, in that case we now expect xxxUSD to make a BULLISH PLAY and this will ONLY bar ready when DXY is ready.
IN the video I showed you exactly when and where DXY will be ready so you can start attacking the massive IMPULSE legs on xxxUSD.
I hope this video was helpful, LIKE AND COMMENT and let me know what you think.
EUR/USD Awaits ECB Meeting Amidst Shifting Market DynamicsEUR/USD Awaits ECB Meeting Amidst Shifting Market Dynamics
The EUR/USD pair is registering modest gains, hovering near the 1.0900 area in the early European trading session on Monday. All eyes are on the European Central Bank's (ECB) upcoming January monetary policy meeting, scheduled for Thursday. As of the latest update, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0897, reflecting a 0.03% increase for the day.
Technical Analysis:
From a technical standpoint, the price experienced a rebound around the 1.08500 support area, coinciding with the 61.8% Fibonacci level and the Dynamic trendline. These factors contribute to the pair's attempt to gather new bullish momentum for a sustained upward movement.
Shifting Market Sentiment:
Market sentiment has witnessed a shift as doubts grow regarding the likelihood of a Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cut in March. Last week's positive US economic data, including Retail Sales and the Consumer Sentiment Index, have contributed to this change. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a rate cut in March has decreased to 49.3%, down from 81% just a week ago.
ECB's Cautious Stance:
In contrast, the European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council members are exercising caution against prematurely easing financial conditions. The January policy meeting on Thursday is not expected to bring any policy changes. Traders will be keenly watching ECB President Christine Lagarde's post-meeting speech for indications on potential rate cuts this year. Investors anticipate a gradual approach by the ECB, with interest rate cuts likely in the spring, driven by sustained progress towards the 2% inflation target.
Upcoming Events:
The ECB's monetary policy decision is scheduled for Thursday, and no policy changes are anticipated. Additionally, Thursday will see the release of the US preliminary Gross Domestic Product Annualized (Q4). On Friday, the Commerce Department will unveil the December reading on the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE), a key inflation gauge for the Fed.
Conclusion:
As the EUR/USD pair maintains a bullish stance, the spotlight is on the ECB meeting and evolving market dynamics. Technical indicators suggest a potential upside, but external factors, including the Fed's stance and US economic data, contribute to the complex currency landscape. Traders should stay attentive to central bank communications and economic releases for a comprehensive understanding of the pair's future movements.
Our preference
Long positions above 1.07700 with targets at 1.10170 & 1.1140 in extension.