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Eurusdlong

Fundamental Market Analysis for May 20, 2025 EURUSDEURUSD: EUR/USD tested high levels on Monday, briefly rising to 1.1300, but then retreated slightly, although the day ended higher overall. Nevertheless, the pair remains in a short-term consolidation zone. Last Friday, rating agency Moody's downgraded the United States (US), stripping it of its latest AAA rating on Treasuries, citing the growing US debt and long-standing government budget deficits that various presidential administrations have either neglected or failed to manage effectively. While initial investor reaction was shaky, sentiment quickly stabilised and the impact on US creditworthiness was largely written off. Still, Treasury markets are struggling: On Monday, 30-year bond yields topped 5 per cent and 10-year yields topped 4.5 per cent. Federal Reserve (Fed) officials have been working hard this week to manage market expectations for a possible rate cut. Fed policymakers have continually reminded investors that ongoing U.S. tariff and trade policies complicate the outlook for the national economy, which in turn affects rate adjustments. Thursday will see the release of German and pan-European purchasing managers' index (PMI) reports from HCOB, providing a double dose of business expectations surveys on both sides of the Pacific. Both the German and pan-European PMIs are expected to rise moderately. The key economic data release from the US will be the S&P Global PMI data for May, where average market expectations suggest a slight decline in both the manufacturing and service components of the PMI report due to the impact of tariffs on business spending. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.1250, SL 1.1230, TP 1.1350
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
1
EUR/USD Wave 5 Setup – The Calm Before the SurgeWe're tracking a potential Wave (5) extension on EUR/USD after a clean completion of Wave (4), which bounced right from the golden zone between the 0.382–0.5 fib levels. 🔍 Structure & Context: Wave (4) bottomed at 1.1065, aligning with key fib confluence and RSI oversold bounce. Price is now showing early signs of bullish momentum, currently trading just under 1.1200, above the 0.382 retracement. If this count holds, we could be entering the early phase of a bullish impulse leg toward 1.1572 and possibly 1.1755 for Wave (5). 🧩 Technical Confluences: ✅ Fib retracement support (0.382–0.5) held strong ✅ Price reclaiming 20/50 EMAs; 200 EMA still overhead but flattening ✅ RSI recovering above 47, showing room for upside ✅ Minor resistance at 1.1272 → watch for breakout confirmation 🎯 Key Levels: Entry Zone: 1.1150–1.1190 Wave 5 Target: ⚡ TP1: 1.1388 (0.618 ext) ⚡ TP2: 1.1572 (wave projection) ⚡ TP3: 1.1755 (extended target) Invalidation: Break and close below 1.1045 📌 Plan: Looking for bullish continuation confirmation above 1.1225 with strong momentum. Tight risk with upside reward aligning beautifully with the wave structure 📈 💬 Let me know your thoughts on this count—bullish or premature? 📊 Drop a like if you're trading EUR/USD & follow for more wave-based setups! @WrightWayInvestments @WrightWayInvestments @WrightWayInvestments
Long
by WrightWayInvestments
2
EUR/USD – Symmetrical Triangle Breakout & Bullish Continuation🔍 Overview The EUR/USD pair has presented a classic and high-probability trading setup based on a symmetrical triangle formation, which recently experienced a bullish breakout. This pattern has formed after a period of compression and consolidation, creating a coiled spring scenario. Technical traders often watch for such breakouts as they signal the resumption of momentum with clear entry, stop-loss, and target zones. This chart combines pattern recognition, key price action levels, psychological curve mapping, and structured trade planning. Let’s dive deeper into each component. 🧱 1. Chart Structure and Pattern Analysis 🔷 Symmetrical Triangle Formation A symmetrical triangle is a continuation pattern formed when price action contracts between two converging trendlines. This represents market indecision — both buyers and sellers are cautious, gradually narrowing the price range. In this setup, the triangle has been forming since May 11, 2025, with a visible tightening of price action. The chart shows well-respected upper and lower trendlines, confirmed with multiple touches on both sides. 🔼 Breakout Confirmation A breakout occurred from the triangle's upper boundary around May 19, with a strong bullish candle closing above the structure. Breakouts from symmetrical triangles often lead to sharp movements due to built-up pressure during the consolidation phase. The volume typically expands at breakout zones (although volume is not displayed, price behavior implies it). 🔁 Retesting Area Price may revisit the broken trendline (previous resistance → now support) for a retest before continuing higher. This "retesting area" provides an ideal entry for those who missed the initial breakout. Retests validate the breakout and confirm buyer strength. 🧱 2. Key Levels and Market Dynamics 🔻 Minor Resistance Zone (~1.13700–1.14100) This zone has previously acted as a supply area where sellers pushed price down multiple times. Price may hesitate or range within this area before breaking higher. If bulls maintain control, breaking through this resistance zone will add confirmation to the bullish momentum. 📈 Target Projection: 1.14662 The target is derived by measuring the height of the triangle and projecting it from the breakout point. It also aligns with a previous horizontal resistance level and psychological round number area. This zone could act as a medium-term profit-taking level for swing traders. 🧠 3. Black Mind Curve – Market Psychology in Play The "Black Mind Curve" is a representation of anticipated market sentiment and price flow. It reflects a wave-like journey post-breakout — early breakout, pullback, bullish continuation, minor consolidation, and final push toward the target. Such curves are used to forecast crowd behavior patterns, capturing how traders typically react post-breakout: 📌 Initial breakout ➜ Profit taking ➜ Retest ➜ Re-entry ➜ Final impulsive move. 🧮 4. Trading Strategy & Execution Plan ✅ Trade Setup Entry: Breakout Entry (already active) OR Retest Entry near the triangle’s upper boundary for conservative traders. Stop-Loss (SL) : Placed just below the triangle’s lower boundary at 1.11726. This level invalidates the breakout and prevents deeper drawdowns. Take-Profit (TP): Final target at 1.14662, offering excellent risk-to-reward potential. 📊 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Depending on the entry (breakout or retest), the RR can range from 1:2.5 to 1:3.5, which is ideal for swing or short-term position traders. 📚 5. Educational Insight This pattern illustrates the importance of: Price compression zones (triangles and wedges) as precursors to momentum trades. Confirmation via breakout candles before entering high-conviction setups. Patience during retests, which allow re-entries with defined risk and improved pricing. Blending technical structure with psychological forecasting to stay aligned with market sentiment. 🔚 Conclusion EUR/USD is showing a technically sound and psychologically supportive setup for bullish continuation. The symmetrical triangle has broken with strength, and price is heading toward key resistance with momentum. If you're already long — consider holding until the target is hit or trailing stops to protect profits. If you're not in yet — watch for a retest to join the move with precision. 🔔 Always remember to manage risk effectively. No setup is guaranteed, but trading based on structure, confluence, and price behavior improves your edge
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/USD Set for Bullish Continuation: Key Levels to WatchEUR/USD shows strong bullish momentum across all timeframes, signaling a potential continuation rally. On the daily chart, the pair remains above key EMAs (55, 89, 200), with support near 1.1100 and resistance at 1.1228 and 1.1400. The RSI suggests consolidation, but overall structure favors the bulls. The hourly chart confirms a fresh bullish breakout above the 200 EMA at 1.1215, supported by increased volume and a rising RSI. Price action suggests a retest of the 1.1190–1.1215 zone as a buying opportunity. On the 15-minute chart, EUR/USD is overbought short-term, but momentum remains strong. A pullback into the 1.1190–1.1200 zone could offer low-risk scalping entries targeting 1.1225–1.1240. The week-ahead plan favors dip-buying strategies. Initial targets are 1.1250 and 1.1300, with stops below 1.1180. A close above 1.1228 on the daily chart would confirm room for broader upside. Manage risk with staggered entries and hard stops.
Long
by BlackCandleTrader
EURUSD is in a Downside DirectionHello Traders In This Chart EURUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today EURUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (EURUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EURUSD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Long
by ForexMasters2000
EURUSD is in a Downside Direction After a Triangle Pattern BreakHello Traders In This Chart EURUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today EURUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (EURUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EURUSD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Long
by ForexMasters2000
EUR/USD - Triangle Formation (16.05.2025)The EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 1.1321 2nd Resistance – 1.1376 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
16
EURUSD: Growth Is Coming! Buy!Driven by the lower-than-expected U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) data, the EUR/USD exchange rate oscillated higher and broke through the 1.1200 threshold. During the North American trading session, EUR/USD rose 0.25% and traded near 1.1200, indicating that short-term bullish momentum is gradually strengthening. The EUR/USD has successfully broken through the psychological resistance level of 1.1200, forming a strong upward breakout pattern. The MACD indicator shows a golden cross formation, with the histogram turning from negative to positive, signaling a shift in momentum to bullish. In the short term, EUR/USD is expected to continue its upward momentum, with the primary target being the previous high of 1.1230. If this level is effectively breached, it could challenge the 1.1250–1.1275 area. For support levels, 1.1180 serves as a key short-term support, followed by the 1.1150 zone. you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
Long
by HilaryBloomer
USOIL UPDATEThe EUR/USD exchange rate continued its upward momentum, approaching the 1.1230 area during the North American session, extending Tuesday's gains. The major currency pair attracted significant buying interest due to the weakening U.S. dollar, with the U.S. Dollar Index retreating from around the monthly high of 102.00 to near 100.50. This week, the key catalyst for EUR/USD will be Federal Reserve Chair Powell's speech at the Thomas Laubach Research Conference in Washington on Thursday. In terms of economic data, traders will focus on the release of U.S. April retail sales and Producer Price Index (PPI) figures on Thursday. From a candlestick pattern perspective, the recent price action has formed a rising wedge, a technical formation often indicating a potential trend reversal. The exchange rate is currently testing the support level at 1.1220. A break below this level could trigger a further retracement to the 1.1180 zone. you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
Long
by HilaryBloomer
EUR/USD consolidates ahead of US CPICMCMARKETS:EURUSD EUR/USD holds above the 1.1110 area ahead of key US inflation data. The pair rebounded modestly after finding support near the breakout zone (1.1046-1.1100), but upward momentum is capped by minor resistance at 1.1127. A failure to break above this level may expose the 1.1046 support. Technically, the broader trend remains under pressure, as the pair trades below trendline resistance and recent breakdown levels. The upcoming US CPI release could trigger volatility and provide directional confirmation. Resistance: 1.1127, 1.1212 Support: 1.1046, 1.0960
by ATFX_Global
EURUSD Bearish Structure Forming Amid Dollar UncertaintyEURUSD appears to be carving out a series of lower highs, showing potential signs of distribution. With price compressing inside a symmetrical triangle following multiple failed breakout attempts, the stage could be set for a bearish breakdown. This comes as U.S. inflation and Fed policy hold the spotlight and the euro faces political and structural crosswinds. 📉 Technical Breakdown (4H Chart) Triple Top / Head & Shoulders Variant Forming: Price action has traced a rounded top sequence, forming a triple top or complex head and shoulders structure. Each rally attempt has been followed by steeper declines and faster recoveries—typical of a topping process. Triangle Contraction Zone: Current price is consolidating into a symmetrical triangle, which is often a continuation pattern. Bearish breakout is expected if support around 1.1330–1.1320 fails. Key Bearish Targets: TP1: 1.1090 – former resistance turned support. TP2: 1.0890 – April breakout base and key structure low. Trade Setup (as per chart): Sell Entry Zone: Break and retest of 1.1320–1.1300. Stop Loss: Above 1.1527 (supply zone high). Targets: TP1: 1.1090 TP2: 1.0890 🌐 Macro Context USD Side: Fed is holding rates steady amid rising inflation fears triggered by tariffs Tariff shocks are already pushing prices up, while growth slows—a tough environment for the Fed. Dollar could strengthen if market sentiment shifts risk-off. Euro Side: Former EU Commissioner Gentiloni calls for unified borrowing to boost the euro’s global role, as U.S. stability is questioned Political uncertainty around German leadership transitions may also weigh on the euro short term. ✅ Conclusion EURUSD is trading at the apex of a tightening triangle pattern following a distribution structure. With a clean break of 1.1320 support, expect increased volatility and bearish momentum toward 1.1090 and 1.0890.
Short
by ultreosforex
50
#EURUSD: At Perfect Area to Swing Sell Worth 1300+ Pips! The FX:EURUSD price is currently showing strong sell momentum, indicating a potential strong bearish trend in the coming time. We’ve already taken two swing sell positions on EURUSD. There are three targets you can set according to your own plan and strategy. The DXY index suggests further price growth in the coming weeks. Please ensure you manage your risk while trading. This is our concept only and does not guarantee the movements we’ve shown in our analysis. Therefore, please conduct your own analysis before taking any swing entry. Good luck and trade safely! Wishing you good luck and safe trading! Thank you for your support! 😊 If you’d like to contribute, here are a few ways you can help us: - Like our ideas - Comment on our ideas - Share our ideas Team Setupsfx_ ❤️🚀
Short
by Setupsfx_
40
1. EUR/USD Buy Setup1. Entry Point: Marked at: 1.12243 This is the suggested price level to enter a long (buy) trade. 2. Stop Loss: Set at: 1.11542 Placed below a support zone, it limits the downside risk if the trade moves against the position. 3. Target Points: EA Target Point One: 1.13891 EA Target Point (Final): 1.15929 These levels are profit-taking zones, with the first being a conservative target and the second being a more extended move. 4. Technical Indicators: Moving Averages: A red shorter-term moving average (possibly 20 EMA) A blue longer-term moving average (possibly 200 EMA) Price is currently below both, indicating bearish momentum, though the long setup is anticipating a reversal. 5. Support/Resistance Zones: Purple Zones: Highlighted as key demand and supply areas. The lower purple zone supports the entry and stop-loss area. The upper purple zones mark resistance areas aligning with the target levels. 6. Current Price: Around 1.12459, slightly above the entry zone. Conclusion: This setup is a bullish trade idea with a clearly defined: Entry (1.12243), Stop-loss (1.11542), and Two take-profit levels (1.13891 and 1.15929).
Long
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
24
EURUSD bulling ideaAlthough there is no single significant event directly affecting the euro-dollar exchange rate on May 8, from a macro perspective, the U.S. dollar index fluctuated on that day, having a certain impact on the euro-dollar exchange rate. The U.S. dollar index once broke the 100 mark. Generally speaking, the strength of the U.S. dollar index has an inverse relationship with the euro-dollar exchange rate. From different time cycles, on the monthly chart, the euro-dollar is supported at the 1.0800 level, and the long-term trend is regarded as bullish. At the weekly level, the price is supported in the 1.0900 area, and the medium-term outlook remains bullish you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
Long
by HilaryBloomer
price bull interest.The annual growth rate of retail sales in the euro - zone in March was 1.5%. On the surface, it still maintained expansion. However, compared with the previous value of 1.9% and the market expectation of 1.6%, there was a slight slow - down trend. In terms of the monthly rate, the data was - 0.1%, which was a significant decline compared with the revised 0.2% in February. Although such performance did not trigger violent market fluctuations, it to some extent reflected the phenomenon of marginally weakened terminal consumption momentum in the region. It is worth noting that the leaders of the major political parties in Germany failed to pass the parliamentary confirmation process smoothly. The market was once worried that political uncertainty would drag down the trend of the euro, and the exchange rate briefly dropped to 1.1310. However, judging from the market reaction, the euro showed relatively strong resilience and quickly recovered to the level of 1.1380, indicating that the market still holds a cautiously optimistic attitude towards the medium - term prospects. Currently, the exchange rate is running above the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, and the overall structure remains within the oscillation range of 1.1260 - 1.1440. 1.1440 is a strong short - term resistance level. The failure of several consecutive upward attacks indicates that the selling pressure above is relatively heavy. 1.1260 is a key support level in the near term and is also in the area near the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. If it is broken, it may trigger a technical correction. you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
Long
by HilaryBloomer
Analysis of the Latest SignalsThe market expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in May, and there is uncertainty about the future path of rate cuts. In contrast, the European Central Bank's monetary policy is gradually tightening, leading the market to expect that the euro has room for appreciation in the future. This difference in monetary policy expectations has driven the rise in the euro - dollar exchange rate. Technically, it is necessary to pay attention to the resistance level of the euro - dollar exchange rate near 1.16 and the support level near 1.12. If the 1.16 resistance level can be broken through, the euro - dollar exchange rate is likely to continue to rise. Conversely, if it falls back due to resistance, the effectiveness of the 1.12 support level needs to be observed. you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
Long
by HilaryBloomer