EURUSD FOLLOWING THE PLANEverything is good for EURUSD, it's perfectly following my plan. I expect a continuation of the drop for the next 8-10 hrs and i think it can reach 1.07750 today. There are some chance it will start to reverse at NY with a continuation of the reversal tomorrow. There area from 1.08 to 1.06 is a strong support zone, and we can probably see a flash crash there with a strong pullback next. Actually, just holding my shorts at break even
Eurusdoutlook
EURUSD Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaIn this video, we discuss a EURUSD trade idea based on bearish price movement As always, the video covers my trade entry points, opinions on trend analysis, market structure, and price action. Remember that this information is educational and not financial advice. 📈 🚀📊
💡 EURUSD: Analysis May 21EURUSD continues to accumulate in front of the 1.0900 resistance level, the price created a new bearish pin bar pattern on daily however this pattern is quite weak and not a concern. Combined with previous bullish signals, including breaking the down channel, the longer the price accumulates around this resistance level will increase the chance of breaking out above, you continue the buy-up strategy, two scenarios. The potential version is when the price corrects to 1.08xx while creating a bullish signal, or when the price clearly breaks the 1.0900 level.
💡 H1 trend: sideways
Today trading idea: Buy EURUSD
EURUSD Weekly PlanMy bias for this week is bearish on EURUSD. I think there are high chances we will go down at least till the support zone at 1.07650. I will look for sell only, starting from tomorrow. Looking at lower timeframe, we can see that the main structure is broken and we can assist to a change of the trend starting probably tomorrow at London's open.
EUR/USD Shorts to Longs ideaMy EU analysis this week focuses on shorting opportunities. I will look for sells either from the 6-hour supply zone near the current price or, ideally, from the 11-hour supply zone if the price breaches the Asian high and continues upward.
If the price opens lower, I will look for buying opportunities at the 4-hour or 3-hour demand zones. Once the price reaches these demand zones, I plan to buy up toward the supply zone, as we are still in a short-term bullish trend indicated by the recent break of structure to the upside.
Confluences for EU Sells are as follows:
- 11hr supply zone has caused a break of structure to the downside and nearby 6hr supply.
- The overall trend on the higher time frame is bearish and the dollar is also overall bullish.
- Price has already mitigated 4hr supply might be a start of a bearish trend.
- Bullish pressure is getting exhausted after the bullish rallies we saw last week.
- Clean 11hr supply that has an imbalance that we could see a clean reaction from
P.S. Since the price is between liquidity zones, I will approach these nearby areas with caution and may lower my risk until the price reaches more favourable extreme zones where trades will be more worthwhile.
Have a great trading week!
Euro's Path Ahead: Short-Term Struggles, Long-Term Triumphs**Current Momentum and Market Sentiment:**
The EUR/USD pair is currently experiencing a challenging period, struggling to maintain bullish momentum. Despite a significant rally in recent months, the pair has recently faced resistance and corrective movements. The European Central Bank's (ECB) actions, including recent interest rate hikes and upward revisions to inflation forecasts, have supported the Euro, but market skepticism remains due to varying global economic conditions and the Federal Reserve's cautious stance on future rate hikes.
**Technical Analysis and Key Levels:**
The Euro is trading above its 20-year cycle support line, a critical historical level that previously led to a five-year rally after being broken in January 2003. The current price action, characterized by consistent volume buildup, suggests underlying strength. However, the momentum observed from January 2017 to late 2021 has been less stable, influenced heavily by the COVID-19 pandemic and subsequent economic measures.
For the short term, the EUR/USD is anticipated to continue facing volatility. The immediate resistance is noted around 1.1050, with support around 1.0800. A potential target by the end of 2024 is 1.169941, assuming stabilization in interest rates and continued economic recover.
### Long-Term Forecast (Next 2-5 Years)
**Macroeconomic Factors:**
Long-term prospects for the Euro will largely depend on several macroeconomic factors, including the ECB's monetary policy, inflation trends, and economic growth in the Eurozone. The structural reforms and fiscal policies adopted by member countries will also play a crucial role in shaping the currency's trajectory.
**Historical Context and Future Projections:**
Reflecting on the historical context, the Euro's previous rally post-2003 lasted five years until the 2008 financial crisis. Given the current economic landscape, a similar prolonged uptrend could emerge if global economic conditions stabilize and Eurozone economies demonstrate robust growth.
Over the next 2-5 years, the Euro might target higher levels, potentially reaching or exceeding the 1.2000 mark, driven by economic resilience and a balanced approach to monetary tightening by the ECB. However, this projection is contingent on the absence of significant geopolitical disruptions and a steady recovery from the pandemic-induced economic downturn.
### Conclusion
In summary, while the Euro shows potential for both short-term gains and long-term growth, it remains subject to market volatility and economic uncertainties. Investors should closely monitor ECB policies, global economic indicators, and geopolitical developments to make informed decisions. The anticipated stabilization of interest rates by the end of the year provides a cautiously optimistic outlook for the Euro, aiming for a target of 1.169941 by year-end and further growth in the following years.
A must-read for trading foreign exchange.EURUSD or GBPUSD
The U.S. dollar has also seen a sharp correction during this period, which I believe many traders have seen. The market has also put relatively much pressure on the US dollar. At the same time, it serves as the most valuable storage currency. There was also a sharp decline under the influence of geopolitical sentiment.
TVC:DXY
But I don't think the dollar will fall significantly in the short term. After all, the market needs to be repaired, and it will take time. It may be necessary to rely on larger news when it falls again. The U.S. dollar index is currently in the process of gradual recovery. I said at the weekend that the index is expected to maintain a range of 105-105.5 this week. At present, the market is in line with my expectations. If you are a friend who likes to do foreign exchange, you can consider selling other currencies by referring to the US dollar index. Priority is given to EURUSD and GBPUSD. The approximate operating space is around 500-1000 points. Pay attention to controlling risks during operation.
OANDA:GBPUSD OANDA:EURUSD
When the U.S. dollar index reached above 1050.5 and stood firm. You need to consider buying other currencies. These are some of my views on foreign exchange.
In the past, you always failed when trading alone.
But everything will change after you follow me.
Because we will be the ultimate winner!
💡 EURUSD: Analysis May 15Bar D1 increased yesterday with a wide range, had a lower shadow and closed close to the top, showing very good buying pressure during the day. More importantly, this D1 bar closed above the previous Inside bar pattern, creating an upside breakout that could be the price action that gives EURUSD D1 additional upward momentum. However, structurally, EURUSD D1 is still inclined to decrease with gradually lower price peaks and troughs.
The sweep down then pulled back up and bounced strongly upwards, creating a new high price peak to help EURUSD H1 continue the short-term upward price trend. Combined with the bullish breakout at D1 from the Inside bar, H1 EURUSD today is quite favorable for the idea of waiting to buy from the supports below.
💡 H1 trend: EURUSD up
Today's trading idea: Buy EURUSD.
💡 EURUSD: Analysis May 17EURUSD fell yesterday, bouncing down from the strong resistance above. However, the downward pressure on prices is not strong because yesterday's decrease bar D1 had a narrow amplitude and had a lower shadow, showing that there is still buying force pushing up. The D1 EURUSD chart structure is still accumulating sideways. Need a break above the current resistance for EURUSD D1 to reverse to an uptrend.
After the previous price push up, EURUSD H1 is having a pull back down. But with the dominant H1 chart structure being bullish, EURUSD H1 today can continue to wait to buy. Buying points include (1) waiting for an upward push to break the current small range and then retesting to buy, (2) being able to buy if the price drops deep to the lower support zone.
EURUSD Short Trade Setup A #short trade opportunity recently presented itself on the #eurodollar (#EURUSD) #trading chart 📉.
This is indicated by the #bearish harami candlestick 🕯️ pattern just below the 1.08939 horizontal resistance level.
This indicates a rejection of the same level, with potential price move in the downward 👇 ⬇️ direction (#sell).
Sufficient downward momentum should see price dumping towards the 1.06500 psychological level and possibly testing the strength of the 1.06443 horizontal support level.
As always, please apply appropriate risk management.
Happy trading!
#majorpair
EURUSD: The USD fell against the euro awaiting CPI dataThe US greenback fell to a one-month low in opposition to the euro today, as buyers predicted the discharge of a key US inflation record that might affect US coverage decisions. Federal Reserve. The euro rose barely 0.03% to 1.0823 USD at some stage in Asian buying and selling hours, at one factor attaining 1.0828 USD, a stage now no longer visible given that April 10.
The US greenback index, which compares the greenback in opposition to a basket of six important currencies with a widespread emphasis at the euro, fell 0.11% to 104.94. Earlier, it touched a low of 104.92, its lowest in per week and a half.
At the identical time, US Treasury yields fell, with the benchmark long-time period yield falling to 4.4414%, persevering with its in a single day decline of 3.five foundation points.
#EURUSD: Keeping NFP in mind| What you think? Price rejected at 1.07526 with stronger wick rejections, suggesting further drop in price is inevitable, alongside DXY failed to make major bearish correction. Currently, DXY is extremely bullish and it is likely to remain that way until friday where we will be having NFP(NON-FARM PAYROLL). Price can drop until our entry point at 1.05204 where in our opinion price can rebound strongly.
So what do you think about EURUSD.
💡 EURUSD: Analysis May 13EURUSD did not change much in the weekend session, the price is still testing the upper border of the falling price channel, the bearish structure is still valid, however the continuous testing of the 1.08 area shows that buying pressure is returning, Be careful with the possibility of the price breaking the structure, you need to maintain the profit taking point for long positions above 1.08, we will abandon this strategy when the price does not break this important resistance level. .
EURUSD Wednesday PlanHere you are a simple trading plan for tomorrow. It's pretty ambitious, but maybe it can help you finding good entries. This is how i works, i make plan, and if i have triggers, i'll open trades. Momentum is good and bullish for EURUSD and looking for shorts now it's pretty useless. I am waiting a retrace in the asian session, with a range in pre London. If we will have a range there, i will open if we will grab liquidity from the down side (long squeeze) and i will open a long trade around 1.07850 targeting 1.08650. Another trade can happen at the beginning of the NY session, where (if we are already up and above actual level) we can look for new longs around 1.08250. Same target
Here's the answer sheet for #EURUSDHello friends nice to meet you all hope you have a good day
#EURUSD
At other publish, We hit the target perfectly and took the WIN.
Next, I will guide you through the next view. FOCUS.
#EURUSD is showing an extended wave.
If the upper line of the wave is broken upward and the retest is successful,
It is open to rising to the recent high.