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Eurusdoutlook

EURUSD I Potential bullish rise but trading in weekly rangeWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** EURUSD Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Long
by BKTradingAcademy
EUR/USD Short ideas from 1.09100 or 1.09300My bias for EU is similar to GU, as I am mainly looking for sell opportunities. Last week’s price distribution across higher time frames has left promising zones to watch, specifically the 4-hour and 17-hour supply zones. If these zones are mitigated, I will look for redistribution within them. If the price continues to drop, I will look for counter-trend trades to catch retracements, possibly from the 11-hour demand zone I’ve marked or the 5-hour demand zone if the price goes deeper. Confluences for EU Sells: Newly created supply zones near the UTAD show promising selling opportunities. There is significant liquidity to the downside in the form of Asia lows and imbalances that need filling. The dollar is bullish, aligning well with the bearish bias for EU. This is a pro-trend trade on the higher time frame. P.S. I will wait to see how the price action unfolds, as the current price is somewhat distant from my points of interest (POIs), but I expect the price to keep dropping.
Short
by Hassan_fx
EUR/USD Price Surge: Analysis and Future Outlook The EUR/USD price has surged significantly over the past 10 days. Let's explore the reasons behind this movement and the potential trends we might face in the coming days. Fundamental Analysis: The EUR/USD exchange rate has seen a significant increase over the past 10 days. This upward trend is primarily supported by a weakening U.S. dollar, driven by several economic factors. Recent inflation data shows that U.S. inflation is slowing down, with the annual inflation rate for June 2024 at 3.0%, a decrease from previous months. This has strengthened expectations of a less restrictive monetary policy from the Federal Reserve, with investors anticipating rate cuts in September and possibly in November or December. On the other hand, the euro has been bolstered by the European Central Bank's (ECB) aggressive stance on raising interest rates, improving energy prospects in Europe, and relative weakness in the dollar. Technical Analysis: The EUR/USD chart indicates a potential structural change. Recently, as the price dropped to the lower part of the channel, it found support around the 1.07 level, hitting an upward trendline without making a lower low from the previous wave at 1.06. From that level, the price rose, testing the upper part of the channel and closing the daily and weekly candles at the previous high around 1.09. This is a crucial level; if it breaks with a daily candle, it would confirm the structural change, leading to a potential further rise. Conversely, a rejection at this level could result in a decline. Volume Analysis: In recent sessions, the Point of Control (POC) has consistently been at the beginning of the session, indicating significant volume gaps in the daily candles. The overall POC for the channel is at the 1.08 level, which could act as a support if the price declines. If the price continues to rise, there are many upper areas left to fill from the highs of the previous year. Sentiment Analysis: Current retail sentiment shows a 91% short position against 9% long, with short volumes at a four-year high. However, institutional positions as of the 2024-07-09 COT report indicate 393,029 long contracts against 160,108 short. Dealers, on the other hand, are 275,000 short against 9,478 long. This discrepancy suggests that institutional players are aligned with the market, discouraging short positions. Personal Analysis: In my opinion, the euro's recent rise seems exaggerated given the negative IPC, a rate cut by the ECB, a favorable PPI for the dollar, and Powell's statements indicating it is not yet time to cut rates. I expect a retracement from this level or slightly higher to fill some of the gaps left during the rise, after which the market will decide on the next direction. Powell's speech on Monday will be crucial. However, I wouldn't be surprised by a continued rise, as summer markets can be very unpredictable. If you don't have any open positions, it's wise to wait for the market to establish a clear direction before entering. I hope this analysis has been helpful. If you found it useful, please leave a boost to show your appreciation for the work done.
by jamesbond70
EURUSD Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaIn this video, we take a close look at the EURUSD currency pair. Right now, it's in a strong bullish trend. However, it seems a bit overextended, and since it's Monday, I'm being cautious. I'm looking for an entry point if the price drops back into the 50-61.8% Fibonacci zone. In the video, I share my thoughts on price action, market structure, and the trend. Remember, this content is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Trading carries significant risk, so it's important to use responsible risk management strategies.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
EUR/USD Shorts from 1.09200 (Sell to Buy) My EU bias currently is to catch a temporary move down. As price approaches a high-quality 11-hour supply zone, I'll be watching for a Wyckoff distribution to confirm a sell opportunity. Whether or not price mitigates the supply zone, I'm expecting it to retrace to a newly formed demand zone, ultimately aiming to make a new high. Therefore, once price reaches the 10-hour demand zone, I will be looking for buy opportunities. Confluences for EU Sells are as follows : - Price has been very bullish, breaking structure to the upside. - The current trend is bullish, matching the dropping DXY. - There is significant liquidity to the upside, with strong bullish candles on the higher time frame. - Demand zones have been created near the current price, indicating potential for another rally. P.S. Once price returns to the 10-hour demand zone, I will be on the lookout for a Change of Character (CHOCH) on the lower time frame to confirm my buy opportunities. For now, I'll wait to see how Monday's market opens.
Short
by Hassan_fx
EURUSD - Trade analysis !!Hello traders! ‼️ This is my perspective on EURUSD. Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long position. My point of interest is if price makes a retracement to fill the imbalance lower and then rejects from liquidity zone. Fundamental news: Upcoming week on Thursday (GMT+3) we have Interest Rate on EUR, news with high impact on currency. Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Long
by Snick3rSD
EURUSD looks clean!!Daily Outlook - According to the next day Model, we are anticipating the next daily candle (Monday) to be bullish - We are close to the DOL, so I believe we will sweep the high before going for the Daily FVG 4H Outlook - We created CISD, therefore I am anticipating a retest on the OB then from there we are going for the DOL - IRL ♻️ERL 1H Outlook - We have a 1H FVG that could potential push price to ERL, however I would love to see a deeper LTF retracement into the OB then a push to the upside.
Long
by Kay_Master
5
EUR/USD Shorts from 1.08600 back down.This week's forecast for EU is looking very promising for sells. I hope for price to break the current supply zone, although we might see a reaction from it before price reaches the daily supply zone above. This upper zone is a more valid level for taking sells. If Monday opens with a sweep of the Asia high and a clear CHOCH, I might consider imminent sells from the current zone, but with lower risk as the POI is not ideal. From there, I expect price to drop into a demand zone, where I can look for new buying opportunities. Confluences for EU Sells: Price is in a supply zone and showing weakness in bullish pressure. There is a daily supply zone above that holds good validity. DXY is also in a demand zone, aligning with the negative correlation. There is lots of liquidity and imbalance below, drawing price downward. P.S. If price respects a nearby demand and breaks both supply zones, it will confirm a bullish bias, and I will start looking for buys.
Short
by Hassan_fx
6
LET'S THINK TOGETHER ABOUT EURUSDIn the past week we have witnessed a sharp increase in the eurusd. The climb started from the 1.06700 zone where the pair created support with a triple touch in recent weeks. Before this restart I would have bet on a visit to the 1.0600 area where we find a lot of liquidity, this did not happen... but this does not mean that the price cannot return there. At this point let's analyze the two possibilities together. In favor of the long we have a cot report from last week which shows institutional positions LONG on the pair, all the moving averages (20/50/100/200) were exceeded without a response in the TF daily and above all a weak dollar, which has refused the visit at the highest levels of recent months. Instead, in favor of the short we have the zone we are entering which is full of resistances, Fibo and POC levels. At the same time the RSI oscillators in the average TFs show overbought. The Cot reports have not been updated and institutional investors are most likely starting to consider unloading long positions after the rise. Retail sentiment 87% long vs 13% short. At this point comes my idea: We will most certainly see a decline in the short/medium term to fill the areas left and then we will have to observe how the price will react to understand whether to go long and where. I am currently positioned short and watching whether the price will need higher resistances to open new higher positions. Always think with your head, do not copy signals without having a valid idea about the operation you are about to open.
Short
by jamesbond70
EUR/USD Outlook ICT Concepts💰 Welcome to Your Channel! Welcome to our channel where we delve into the intricacies of financial markets. Today, we focus on EUR/USD , dissecting its current price action to uncover strategic trading opportunities. Join us as we analyze key levels and market dynamics, aiming to refine our trading strategies and maximize potential gains. 📊 Key Levels Analysis Let's first discuss the key levels highlighted in the chart and then consider how to utilize them effectively. As you can see, the previous month's high ( PWH ) is positioned prominently above the chart, while both the previous week's low ( PWL ) and the previous month's low ( PML ) are clustered together at a significant level. 🚀 Price Movement Overview In the provided chart, the price initially surged through the previous week's high ( PWH ) and continued to rise, reaching the Fair Value Gap ( FVG ). Subsequently, it retraced to the gap created below the chart. 🔍 Current Price Behavior The gap has been respected well, and now the price is moving towards the Buy Side Liquidity ( BSL ) marked on the chart. We can anticipate the price to breach this level to gather the liquidity resting above it. 📈 Bias and Potential Entries The current bias is bullish until we reach the buy side liquidity. At that point, we should look for potential short opportunities. However, it's crucial to note that we have swept a low resistance liquidity at 1.07543 , which could provide an entry point on lower time frames. ⏳ Trading Strategy Advice Overall, it's important not to rush into any positions. Wait for the key levels to be taken out and then look for potential entry points. Additionally, be aware of high-impact news events scheduled for the coming days, which could influence market movements. 🙏 Thank you for joining us! Exploring EUR/USD today highlighted the importance of effective risk management in trading success. Prioritize research, implement robust strategies, and seek guidance for confident market navigation. Stay tuned for more insights on our channel. Here's to profitable trading and continuous learning! ⚠️ Disclaimer The information provided here is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
by RealArmin
GAP CLOSED, WHAT'S NEXT?The short on EURUSD got perfectly closed as I was expecting and we made enough profit (honestly I was expecting the price to go up more and add more shorts, but it's ok). Now the chart looks bullish for the short term, but we will probably see a slow price action this days. I have a short term target for a buy at 1.085, but the main view is still bearish. So, the plan is to hold the long for a scalp and wait for a short entry (if the structure doesn't change)
Long
by SaliJournal
The chart is a battleground, revealing who got crushed!In the early days of exchange trading, there was no technical possibility to visualize market quote movements, and traders analyzed ticker tapes. The real hype and massive interest in exchange speculation owe it to the technical possibility of displaying exchange information in the form of charts with ticks, bars, candles, and other more exotic ways of displaying price movements (Renko, Kagi). This led to a rapid growth of various schools of technical and graphical analysis. Just Google it, and you'll be overwhelmed by the sheer amount of info out there. It's like, every chart can be interpreted in a million ways, and three analysts will give you four different opinions on the same chart. It's crazy! But after 15+ years of trading, I've come to realize that the essence of graphical analysis is all about finding the "suffering" market participants. Classic patterns make it easy to spot areas of market activity and where traders are piling in. I'll give you some examples, backed by data from open sources, that'll show you just how predictable retail traders can be. Now, I know some experienced traders might say, "Patterns don't work, and this knowledge isn't enough." But I call BS - patterns do work, and the real question is who's extracting the most value from them? Of course, interpreting market patterns is just one piece of the puzzle. Here's an analogy: think of experienced hunters preparing for a hunt. They don't just wander around looking for prey; they identify the habitats, study the location, and track the animal's migration paths. They have a plan, limited time, and the right gear to get the job done. It's the same with pro traders with really big money. They plan and execute their strategy, using the behavior of less-informed participants in certain "hotspots" that attract retail traders like magnets. It's simple: a a newbie sees a market situation that looks just like one from a technical analysis book, and they're like, "Ah, I've got this!" Alright, let's take a look at the current situation with the Euro. I've got a screenshot with the average long and short positions of retail traders marked on the chart. It's a 1-hour time frame, which is probably the most popular one, right? Think about it, why is this time frame so popular? The data is from an open source, as of Friday evening. Take a minute to study this chart. What catches your eye? Let's zoom in and add some lines and arrows. Voilà! What do we see? The average long and short positions of participants (from the open source) almost perfectly match the breakouts of local highs and lows. This is what's called "trading the breakout" in the books. We can make an intermediate conclusion: the "bulls" were encouraged to open positions and got stuck in a losing zone, while the "bears" are celebrating their victory, as the market is favoring them and they're in a small profit. In other words, the market sentiment is bearish. Woohoo, case closed, let's go to short the Euro now! And yes, and no! The Euro quotes have been below the average short position of traders since June 14th, for two whole weeks, inviting everyone to start shorting. Even a blind "bull" can see it's time to switch sides). Here are some more numbers from the open source: short positions on the Euro decreased by 11.55% last week , while bearish positions grew by 8.55% . These are broker-aggregated data, no insider info here. You can find them yourself if you put in some time and effort. These numbers, as you understand, confirm our hypothesis that this "shorting invitation" didn't go unnoticed. Now, in the context of this article, think about it: "Will the 'Hunters' take advantage of this situation?" Or will the market take us all for a profitable ride? Oh boy... Let's look at the current situation with the Yen. It's a 1-hour chart with opened buys and sell levels marked. What can we conclude: a massive bearish candle clearly encouraged a lot of short positions to open, while the "bulls" opened at the upper range boundary during its test, and the market is favoring them, while the bears are suffering. But what's even more important, they're not just suffering, but also reversing the market. According to open data, the number of open short positions grew by 14.09% last week . Good luck to them in this tough business! However we should remember that short positions are closed at a stop-loss by "market buy" orders, which gives an impulse for further growth. What do I want to convey with this article, what do I want to share with you, mates? Evaluate market sentiment through the prism of "suffering" participants - that's, in my opinion, the best indicator! Usefully utilize information from open sources about retail positioning, there's a lot of value in it. Try to look at the chart with the eyes of a "hunter", search for traps set. Make such analysis a necessary part of your strategy to gain an edge, without which trading on markets is like playing "roulette". It's a journey, folks. Some get it earlier, some later, but eventually, most traders come to realize they need to "dig deeper", learn more about market mechanics, and improve their strategies. It's a painful process, but it's worth it. So, don't give up! Get back on your feet, and try again. As 50 Cent said: Get rich or die trying!
Education
by ClashChartsTeam