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Eurusdoutlook

EUR/USD Short ideas from 1.08900 back downMy analysis for EUR/USD aligns with my outlook on other major pairs against the dollar, focusing on sell opportunities. The continued break of structure to the downside has left a promising 14-hour supply zone that looks ideal for short positions. Within this zone, we might see a deeper mitigation of around 50%, making it easier to identify the UTAD (upthrust after distribution). Once the price forms a Wyckoff distribution on the lower time frame, I will look for a precise entry point. Confluences for EU Shorts are as follows: - Price currently formulating lower lows and lower highs. - Supply zone on the 14hr that has caused a break of structure to the downside. - Lots of liquidity to the downside in the form trend line and Asia lows. - DXY (DOLLAR) is also bullish on the higher time so overall this is a PRO trend trade idea. P.S. If the price continues to break down, I will be looking out for new supply zones until the price approaches the 23-hour demand zone, where short-term buys may become viable. Remember NFP Friday this week so stay vigilant!
Short
by Hassan_fx
1
EURUSD I Potential bullish rise but trading in weekly rangeWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** EURUSD Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Long
by BKTradingAcademy
EUR/USD Short ideas from 1.09100 or 1.09300My bias for EU is similar to GU, as I am mainly looking for sell opportunities. Last week’s price distribution across higher time frames has left promising zones to watch, specifically the 4-hour and 17-hour supply zones. If these zones are mitigated, I will look for redistribution within them. If the price continues to drop, I will look for counter-trend trades to catch retracements, possibly from the 11-hour demand zone I’ve marked or the 5-hour demand zone if the price goes deeper. Confluences for EU Sells: Newly created supply zones near the UTAD show promising selling opportunities. There is significant liquidity to the downside in the form of Asia lows and imbalances that need filling. The dollar is bullish, aligning well with the bearish bias for EU. This is a pro-trend trade on the higher time frame. P.S. I will wait to see how the price action unfolds, as the current price is somewhat distant from my points of interest (POIs), but I expect the price to keep dropping.
Short
by Hassan_fx
EUR/USD Price Surge: Analysis and Future Outlook The EUR/USD price has surged significantly over the past 10 days. Let's explore the reasons behind this movement and the potential trends we might face in the coming days. Fundamental Analysis: The EUR/USD exchange rate has seen a significant increase over the past 10 days. This upward trend is primarily supported by a weakening U.S. dollar, driven by several economic factors. Recent inflation data shows that U.S. inflation is slowing down, with the annual inflation rate for June 2024 at 3.0%, a decrease from previous months. This has strengthened expectations of a less restrictive monetary policy from the Federal Reserve, with investors anticipating rate cuts in September and possibly in November or December. On the other hand, the euro has been bolstered by the European Central Bank's (ECB) aggressive stance on raising interest rates, improving energy prospects in Europe, and relative weakness in the dollar. Technical Analysis: The EUR/USD chart indicates a potential structural change. Recently, as the price dropped to the lower part of the channel, it found support around the 1.07 level, hitting an upward trendline without making a lower low from the previous wave at 1.06. From that level, the price rose, testing the upper part of the channel and closing the daily and weekly candles at the previous high around 1.09. This is a crucial level; if it breaks with a daily candle, it would confirm the structural change, leading to a potential further rise. Conversely, a rejection at this level could result in a decline. Volume Analysis: In recent sessions, the Point of Control (POC) has consistently been at the beginning of the session, indicating significant volume gaps in the daily candles. The overall POC for the channel is at the 1.08 level, which could act as a support if the price declines. If the price continues to rise, there are many upper areas left to fill from the highs of the previous year. Sentiment Analysis: Current retail sentiment shows a 91% short position against 9% long, with short volumes at a four-year high. However, institutional positions as of the 2024-07-09 COT report indicate 393,029 long contracts against 160,108 short. Dealers, on the other hand, are 275,000 short against 9,478 long. This discrepancy suggests that institutional players are aligned with the market, discouraging short positions. Personal Analysis: In my opinion, the euro's recent rise seems exaggerated given the negative IPC, a rate cut by the ECB, a favorable PPI for the dollar, and Powell's statements indicating it is not yet time to cut rates. I expect a retracement from this level or slightly higher to fill some of the gaps left during the rise, after which the market will decide on the next direction. Powell's speech on Monday will be crucial. However, I wouldn't be surprised by a continued rise, as summer markets can be very unpredictable. If you don't have any open positions, it's wise to wait for the market to establish a clear direction before entering. I hope this analysis has been helpful. If you found it useful, please leave a boost to show your appreciation for the work done.
by jamesbond70
EURUSD Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaIn this video, we take a close look at the EURUSD currency pair. Right now, it's in a strong bullish trend. However, it seems a bit overextended, and since it's Monday, I'm being cautious. I'm looking for an entry point if the price drops back into the 50-61.8% Fibonacci zone. In the video, I share my thoughts on price action, market structure, and the trend. Remember, this content is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Trading carries significant risk, so it's important to use responsible risk management strategies.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
EUR/USD Shorts from 1.09200 (Sell to Buy) My EU bias currently is to catch a temporary move down. As price approaches a high-quality 11-hour supply zone, I'll be watching for a Wyckoff distribution to confirm a sell opportunity. Whether or not price mitigates the supply zone, I'm expecting it to retrace to a newly formed demand zone, ultimately aiming to make a new high. Therefore, once price reaches the 10-hour demand zone, I will be looking for buy opportunities. Confluences for EU Sells are as follows : - Price has been very bullish, breaking structure to the upside. - The current trend is bullish, matching the dropping DXY. - There is significant liquidity to the upside, with strong bullish candles on the higher time frame. - Demand zones have been created near the current price, indicating potential for another rally. P.S. Once price returns to the 10-hour demand zone, I will be on the lookout for a Change of Character (CHOCH) on the lower time frame to confirm my buy opportunities. For now, I'll wait to see how Monday's market opens.
Short
by Hassan_fx
EURUSD - Trade analysis !!Hello traders! ‼️ This is my perspective on EURUSD. Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long position. My point of interest is if price makes a retracement to fill the imbalance lower and then rejects from liquidity zone. Fundamental news: Upcoming week on Thursday (GMT+3) we have Interest Rate on EUR, news with high impact on currency. Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Long
by Snick3rSD
EURUSD looks clean!!Daily Outlook - According to the next day Model, we are anticipating the next daily candle (Monday) to be bullish - We are close to the DOL, so I believe we will sweep the high before going for the Daily FVG 4H Outlook - We created CISD, therefore I am anticipating a retest on the OB then from there we are going for the DOL - IRL ♻️ERL 1H Outlook - We have a 1H FVG that could potential push price to ERL, however I would love to see a deeper LTF retracement into the OB then a push to the upside.
Long
by Kay_Master
5
EUR/USD Shorts from 1.08600 back down.This week's forecast for EU is looking very promising for sells. I hope for price to break the current supply zone, although we might see a reaction from it before price reaches the daily supply zone above. This upper zone is a more valid level for taking sells. If Monday opens with a sweep of the Asia high and a clear CHOCH, I might consider imminent sells from the current zone, but with lower risk as the POI is not ideal. From there, I expect price to drop into a demand zone, where I can look for new buying opportunities. Confluences for EU Sells: Price is in a supply zone and showing weakness in bullish pressure. There is a daily supply zone above that holds good validity. DXY is also in a demand zone, aligning with the negative correlation. There is lots of liquidity and imbalance below, drawing price downward. P.S. If price respects a nearby demand and breaks both supply zones, it will confirm a bullish bias, and I will start looking for buys.
Short
by Hassan_fx
6
LET'S THINK TOGETHER ABOUT EURUSDIn the past week we have witnessed a sharp increase in the eurusd. The climb started from the 1.06700 zone where the pair created support with a triple touch in recent weeks. Before this restart I would have bet on a visit to the 1.0600 area where we find a lot of liquidity, this did not happen... but this does not mean that the price cannot return there. At this point let's analyze the two possibilities together. In favor of the long we have a cot report from last week which shows institutional positions LONG on the pair, all the moving averages (20/50/100/200) were exceeded without a response in the TF daily and above all a weak dollar, which has refused the visit at the highest levels of recent months. Instead, in favor of the short we have the zone we are entering which is full of resistances, Fibo and POC levels. At the same time the RSI oscillators in the average TFs show overbought. The Cot reports have not been updated and institutional investors are most likely starting to consider unloading long positions after the rise. Retail sentiment 87% long vs 13% short. At this point comes my idea: We will most certainly see a decline in the short/medium term to fill the areas left and then we will have to observe how the price will react to understand whether to go long and where. I am currently positioned short and watching whether the price will need higher resistances to open new higher positions. Always think with your head, do not copy signals without having a valid idea about the operation you are about to open.
Short
by jamesbond70