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Eurusdoutlook

EUR/USD Potential buys from current zone or 1.12800My outlook for EU this week closely aligns with GU — both pairs are showing similar structure and direction. Price continues to form higher highs and higher lows, maintaining its bullish momentum. Following the most recent break of structure to the upside, EU has now entered a 9H demand zone, where I’ll be watching for signs of accumulation and potential entry as the market opens on Monday. If this current zone fails to hold, there’s a more discounted 9H demand zone just below, which could offer a cleaner long opportunity. Either way, both scenarios follow the pro trend, which adds conviction to the buy idea. Confluences for EU Buys: Price has broken structure to the upside and entered a clean 9H demand zone There’s another refined 9H demand zone just below for additional confirmation Plenty of upside liquidity remains untouched Structure remains bullish on the higher timeframes, making this a pro trend setup P.S. If price reacts well and continues pushing higher, I’ll be keeping an eye on the 7H supply zone above for any possible short-term bearish reaction. Wishing everyone a successful and disciplined trading week ahead!
Long
by Hassan_fx
EURUSD Analysis – Short Bias Builds on Key Resistance RejectionEURUSD pair is currently testing a critical resistance zone around 1.1495–1.1500, with bearish rejection beginning to form on the 4H timeframe. The technical setup suggests a potential lower high forming within the context of a broader downtrend, supported by a confluence of horizontal resistance and bearish risk catalysts. 🔍 Technical Overview: Resistance Zone: 1.1495–1.1575 (multi-timeframe key levels) Support Levels to Watch: 1.1234 (range base) and 1.1086 (swing low) Price Action: After a sustained rally, price is showing exhaustion near previous highs, and a rejection pattern is emerging, suggesting selling interest. Risk Management: Stop placed above 1.1575 high, with downside targets near 1.1234 and extended toward 1.1086. 🧠 Fundamental Backdrop: ECB Policy Outlook: Lagarde recently warned that a stronger euro and higher tariffs may hurt EU exports. This dovish tone could weigh on EUR sentiment in the medium term. US Dollar Strengthening: The latest US labor market data (ADP, JOLTS) beat expectations, showing continued resilience in employment and wage growth. This supports the Fed's data-dependent approach, favoring a stronger USD. Macro Tensions: Global trade concerns (Trump’s tariffs, weak China demand, Germany’s slowing job market) are adding pressure to EUR while supporting safe-haven USD flows. ECB Consumer Expectations Survey (April): Highlights persistent inflation fears and deteriorating economic confidence. ⏳ Scenario Outlook: ✅ Bearish Bias Preferred below 1.1500 with confirmation of rejection. 🎯 Target Zone 1: 1.1234 – Strong structure & demand zone. 🎯 Target Zone 2 (Extended): 1.1086 – Major low from mid-May. ❌ Invalidation: A breakout and close above 1.1575 would neutralize the bearish outlook and open up higher targets toward 1.17. Conclusion: The EURUSD pair presents a compelling short opportunity, with both technical resistance and macro pressure aligning for a retracement or reversal. Short setups are favored unless bulls reclaim and hold above the 1.1575 handle.
Short
by ultreosforex
19
ECB Cuts Rates. EUR/USD Spikes to 1.5-Month HighECB Cuts Rates. EUR/USD Spikes to 1.5-Month High Yesterday, as widely expected, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut interest rates for the eighth time since May 2024. According to ForexFactory, the main refinancing rate was lowered from 2.40% to 2.15% (having stood at 4.50% in May 2024). According to Reuters: → ECB President Christine Lagarde stated that interest rates are now at a “good level”, despite the extremely high uncertainty caused by tariff threats from President Donald Trump. → Following the press conference, markets interpreted the message as a sign that the ECB is unlikely to cut rates again at its next meeting in July. In response to the ECB's decision, the EUR/USD rate jumped to its highest level in a month and a half, but later retreated (as indicated by the arrow) back to previous levels. Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart Four days ago, while analysing the EUR/USD chart, we: → drew an ascending channel; → suggested that bullish momentum could push the EUR/USD rate up to the psychological level of 1.1500 during the current week. In fact, at yesterday’s peak, the rate came very close to 1.1500. However, a candlestick with a long upper shadow had formed on the EUR/USD chart, by the end of the day. Additionally, this morning, the 1.1450 level has acted as a resistance zone. This suggests bearish activity, which could pull the rate down towards the lower boundary of the local channel (outlined in black), and possibly even attempt a breakout below it. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
EURUSD(20250606) Today's AnalysisMarket news: The European Central Bank cut three key interest rates by 25 basis points. Lagarde hinted that the rate cut cycle will end, and the market is no longer fully pricing in another 25 basis point rate cut this year. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.1447 Support and resistance levels 1.1537 1.1503 1.1481 1.1412 1.1391 1.1357 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.1447, consider buying, and the first target price is 1.1481 If the price breaks through 1.1412, consider selling, and the first target price is 1.1391
by NuggetsWarriors
EUR/USD Awaits ECB Decision Near 1.1400 Amid Rate Cut BetsCMCMARKETS:EURUSD FX:EURUSD EUR/USD is consolidating above the 1.1400 psychological level as markets brace for the European Central Bank’s monetary policy announcement. The ECB is widely expected to cut its Deposit Facility Rate by 25bps to 2.00%, marking its seventh consecutive rate cut since June 2024. Technically, the pair continues to trade within a well-defined ascending channel, reflecting a broader bullish structure. Current price action is facing a minor resistance near 1.1421, which is the top of the short-term range and also a key trendline rejection zone. A clean breakout above this area could expose the monthly resistance near 1.1557. However, if OANDA:EURUSD EUR/USD fails to breach this level initially, a pullback toward 1.1366 (channel base support) is possible before bulls regain control. The bullish setup remains valid as long as price holds above this support zone. Traders should monitor the ECB press conference for signals on whether the central bank may pause further easing later this year. Resistance : 1.1421 , 1.1557 Support : 1.1366 , 1.1250
Long
by ATFX_Global
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Trims GainsMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Trims Gains EUR/USD started a downside correction from the 1.1450 resistance. Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today - The Euro struggled to clear the 1.1450 resistance and declined against the US Dollar. - There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at 1.1395 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen. EUR/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair gained pace for a move above the 1.1300 zone, as mentioned in the previous analysis. The Euro tested the 1.1450 resistance and recently corrected gains against the US Dollar. The pair dipped below 1.1400. There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at 1.1395. It even traded below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1209 swing low to the 1.1454 high. The pair is showing some bearish signs, and upside potential might remain limited. Immediate resistance is near the 50-hour simple moving average at 1.1395. The next major resistance is near the 1.1450 zone. An upside break above the 1.1450 level might send the pair toward the 1.1500 resistance. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 1.1550 level. On the downside, immediate support on the EUR/USD chart is seen near the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1209 swing low to the 1.1454 high at 1.1330. The next major support is near the 1.1300 level. A downside break below the 1.1300 support could send the pair toward the 1.1210 level. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
EURUSD Trade Setup: Heres My Trade Plan!📈 EUR/USD Trade Outlook: Bullish Trend in Focus 🇪🇺💵 I'm currently watching EUR/USD, and it’s holding a strong bullish trend — with clear higher highs and higher lows across the board 🔁. On the 4-hour timeframe, price has pulled back into equilibrium, and I’m eyeing a potential buy opportunity if the structure continues to hold 🛒. 📚 Looking at historical price action, this setup has played out reliably in the past. That said, it's important to acknowledge that deeper pullbacks can occur — often sweeping liquidity below previous lows before resuming the trend 💧. ⚠️ This is a real risk, so consider conservative position sizing and always manage your risk appropriately. 💬 Drop a comment below if you're watching this setup too — I’d love to hear your take! ❗️Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The content shared is for educational and informational purposes only. Please do your own analysis and trade responsibly.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
Euro Pulls Back – Eyes on ECB and Tariff TurmoilCMCMARKETS:EURUSD FX:EURUSD EUR/USD pulled back from a six-week high of 1.1454 to trade near 1.1379, down 0.52% on Tuesday, as strong U.S. labor market data and revived trade tensions lifted the dollar. April JOLTS job openings rose to 7.39M, beating expectations, signaling a resilient U.S. economy despite a 3.7% drop in factory orders. In parallel, Trump’s announcement to double tariffs on steel and aluminum has reignited trade war concerns. Markets are also watching for a potential Trump–Xi call later this week. Meanwhile, the Euro lost ground after May HICP inflation in the Eurozone fell to 1.9%, below the ECB’s 2% target. With core inflation slowing as well, markets have priced in a 25 bps rate cut at Thursday’s ECB meeting. Technically, OANDA:EURUSD EUR/USD is still trading within a rising channel but rejected key minor resistance zone just below the descending trendline. A confirmed breakout above this area could open the path toward monthly resistance near 1.1559. On the downside, Support Zone 1 (around 1.1375) must hold to maintain the bullish bias; further weakness may expose Support Zone 2 (around 1.1338) Resistance : 1.1445 , 1.1559 Support ： 1.1375 , 1.1338
Long
by ATFX_Global
Euro Dollar(EUR/USD), are institutional investors still bullish?The European Central Bank (ECB) unveils a new monetary policy decision this Thursday, June 5, and the consensus is for further cuts in all three ECB interest rates. The ECB's key rate (the main rate at which banks refinance with the ECB) currently stands at 2.40% and should be cut to 2.15% according to the analyst consensus, in other words, a return of the ECB's key rate to the neutral zone for the Eurozone economy (neither restrictive nor accommodative). However, institutional traders are still predominantly bullish on the euro-dollar rate, so let's take stock of the overall technical situation. 1) Institutional traders are still buying the euro-dollar rate (EUR/USD) Every Friday, the CFTC's Commitment Of Traders (COT) report provides access to the positioning of institutional traders (asset management traders and hedge fund traders) on EUR/USD futures contracts. Net positioning represents the difference between buy and sell positions. If the net position curve is above zero and following an upward trend, then institutional investors are buying. This is precisely the case for the EUR/USD institutional net position, with over 60% of institutional investors buying. As for the absolute net position, it is well above zero and has been trending upwards for the past three months. The chart below shows the weekly Japanese candlesticks for the EUR/USD rate, as well as the net position of institutional traders on the EUR/USD rate in the form of the percentage of buy positions. The second chart below is a histogram revealing the institutional net position in absolute terms (yellow line), which is following an upward trend and broke through descending resistance several weeks ago. 2) In terms of technical analysis, the EUR/USD rate is backed by support at $1.10/$1.12, but remains covered by major resistance at $1.15. The monthly chart gives an opinion on the medium/long-term trend. A study of the monthly chart of the euro-dollar exchange rate highlights a bullish signal that has been given over the last two months. This is the bullish technical breakout of a downtrend line that joins all the most prominent peaks since the 2008 financial crisis. If this graphic signal is not invalidated by a bearish reintegration, then the trend will remain bullish for the euro-dollar rate in the medium term, with corrections still possible in the short term. This market view would therefore be invalidated in the event of a break of support at $1.10/$1.12 on the basis of a minimum weekly close. Long-term chart showing monthly Japanese candlesticks for the euro-dollar rate, highlighting the bullish technical breakout of resistance in place since the 2008 financial crisis. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. 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by Swissquote
EUR/USD 4H Chart Analysis – May 29, 2025🔍 Market Structure Overview Current Price: 1.12753 Key Zone: Price is hovering at a critical resistance-turned-support area. 🧱 Key Levels Resistance Zone: 1.15639 (🔝 Main Target) Support Zone: 1.10736 (🔻 Main Target) Intermediate Zones: Target One (Bullish): 1.14139 📈 Target One (Bearish): 1.11687 📉 🔄 Scenario Outlook 📈 Bullish Scenario: If price holds above the 1.1275 zone, we could see a climb towards: 1.14139 (minor target) 1.15639 (major resistance & final target) 🚀 Breakout above could indicate continuation of higher highs. 📉 Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold above 1.1275 could push price lower: First support at 1.11687 Final drop towards 1.10736 support zone 🪓 Breakdown could confirm lower low structure. 🧠 Conclusion This is a decision point zone. Wait for confirmation before jumping in. A strong bullish or bearish candle at this level will dictate the next move. Risk management is key here! 🎯
by VikingFx-Community
EUR/USD Rises to 4-Week HighEUR/USD Rises to 4-Week High As shown on the EUR/USD chart today, the euro rose to a 4-week high against the US dollar this morning. The euro's strength relative to the US dollar is supported by traders’ expectations ahead of the ECB's interest rate decision, scheduled for Thursday at 15:15 GMT+3. This upcoming event is notable not only because the ECB is expected to cut rates from 2.40% to 2.15% (for the seventh consecutive time), but also due to the broader context shaped by ECB President Christine Lagarde’s recent remarks on the euro’s status as a reserve currency. At the same time, the US dollar is weakening amid growing trade concerns—on Friday, the US President Donald Trump announced plans to double tariffs on steel and aluminum to 50%. He also accused China of breaching the recent trade truce. Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart Seven days ago, when analysing the EUR/USD chart, we: → observed bullish sentiment; → highlighted the importance of the 1.1400 resistance level; → suggested that bears might attempt to strike back. Since then, the price has pulled back from the mentioned level (as indicated by the arrow), but found support at the lower boundary of the ascending channel. The current bullish momentum could push EUR/USD towards the psychological level of 1.1500 during the week ahead. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
EURUSD Long Setup Brewing – Here's My Trade Plan!Keeping an eye 👀 on EURUSD – price has just broken market structure 📈 to the upside, and we're seeing clear higher highs 🔼 and higher lows 🔽 forming on the 4H timeframe 🕓. Price has now rallied into a premium zone 💰, and i'm watching for a retracement 🔁 into my Fibonacci 61.8% 📐✨ point of interest for a potential long entry 🟢. ✅ Entry criteria? Wait for price to pull back ⬅️ and then give us a break of market structure again 💥. I'll be looking for confirmations on the 30min or 15min ⏱️ timeframes. 🚫 Not financial advice ✌️
Long
by fxtraderanthony
EUR/USD Update: Bullish Outlook Towards 1.14190 and BeyondHi Everyone, As we projected in our analysis last week, EUR/USD corrected throughout the week and approached a retest of the 1.12000 level. We expect the price to potentially retest 1.12000 and confirm it as support before advancing further to challenge the May 26 high of 1.14190. This would further reinforce our outlook for a potential long-term bullish trend. Of course, the price could also challenge the 1.14190 high without a second retracement, should there be strong buying pressure early in the week. A successful breach of this level would likely drive the price higher towards the 1.15240 level. We will provide further updates on the expected path for EUR/USD should the price reach this target. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend toward the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649. We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support! All the best for the week ahead. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
EUR/USD Potential longs to the upsideEU Weekly Outlook — Bullish Pro-Trend Setup in Focus This week, my EU analysis is centered around the pro-trend movement to the upside. Price has recently broken structure and in doing so, has left behind clean demand zones on the 5H and 3H timeframes. I’ll be watching closely to see when price decides to mitigate these levels for a potential long setup. Since price is still a bit far from these zones, short-term sells may be possible, but with no strong nearby supply, I’ll be staying patient and letting price action guide me. The key is to avoid marrying any one bias and remain adaptable. Confluences for EU Buys: - Strong bullish structure on higher timeframes - Clean and unmitigated 5H and 3H demand zones - Plenty of liquidity above, including Asia highs - This is a pro-trend trade, aligning with market flow - DXY analysis supports a bullish EU outlook P.S. If price shifts and breaks structure to the downside, then we could consider short-term sell setups — but for now, I’m focused on the long opportunity forming from demand. Have a great trading week and stay sharp! 🧠💹
Long
by Hassan_fx
5
Bullish Breakout in EUR/USD: Key Levels to Watch This WeekHi everyone, EUR/USD had a strong week, climbing higher from the May 12 low and further reinforcing our view of a potential long-term bullish trend. We anticipate further upside towards the 1.13768–1.13940 zone, followed by a possible pullback toward the 1.1200 area. We’ll share more updates on the expected path for EUR/USD if and when price reaches that zone. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, and we expect the rally to extend towards the 1.2000 level, as long as price holds above the 1.10649 support. We’ll be keeping you updated throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support! All the best for the week ahead. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
8
EURUSD - Expecting Bearish Continuation In The Short TermM15 - Clean bearish trend with the price creating series of lower highs, lower lows. No opposite signs. Expecting further continuation lower until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by VladimirRibakov
EURUSD Reaches Key Resistance – Reversal or BreakoutEURUSD has rallied back to the 1.1382 resistance level, a zone where price previously rejected multiple times. Current structure suggests price is approaching a decision point, where it may either: Form a double top or head-and-shoulders reversal Or break out toward 1.1573, the next major resistance Key Levels: Resistance: 1.13825 → Critical decision zone Support: 1.11442 → First major downside target Deep Support: 1.10846 → Recent low Scenarios to Watch: 🔹 Bearish Case (Primary Setup) Price fails to break above 1.1382 Reversal candlestick forms below resistance Breakdown may target: 1.1144 (first support) 1.1084 (continuation target) 🔹 Bullish Case (Less Likely Unless Confirmed) Break and close above 1.1382 Bullish continuation to 1.1573 Would signal shift in medium-term trend bias Chart Pattern Notes: Price has made multiple lower highs, but also held structure A triple top or reversal setup is forming unless bulls break decisively Bearish wedge and neckline structures from past price action support downside risk Fundamental Watch: USD volatility from Fed speakers, PMI data Eurozone risk sentiment and ECB inflation comments Correlation with DXY (which is near support) Conclusion: 📌 Rejection at 1.1382 likely leads to downside toward 1.1144 📌 Break above 1.1382 invalidates bearish setup and targets 1.1573 Wait for confirmation candle or momentum before execution.
Short
by ultreosforex
2
EUR/USD Hits Key Resistance LevelEUR/USD Hits Key Resistance Level Although financial markets in both the US and the UK are closed for a public holiday today, Donald Trump is keeping traders on their toes. According to a fresh Reuters report, the US President has backed down from his threat to impose 50% tariffs on EU goods from 1 June, following a phone call from European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, who urged him to allow time to “reach a mutually beneficial deal”. This development has boosted the euro while weighing on the US dollar. As today's EUR/USD chart shows, the euro has risen to its highest level against the dollar since early May. But can the upward trend continue? EUR/USD Technical Analysis The ascending trend channel (highlighted in blue) confirms that bullish sentiment currently dominates. However, the EUR/USD chart also presents two bearish arguments worth noting: → The price has reached the upper boundary of the channel, which may act as resistance. → The 1.1400 level could also serve as resistance. Note how aggressively bears resisted upward movement in April: even when it appeared that the level had been clearly broken from below, the price failed to hold above it for long. Given this, it is reasonable to suggest that EUR/USD bears may once again become active — particularly if the fundamental backdrop supports them. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1