Get started

Eurusdoutlook

EurUsd could drop under parity in 2025 (0.95 target)Now that 2024 has concluded, EUR/USD has ended the year at its lowest point, marking a 7% decline from January and a 9% drop from its summer peak. Most notably, the pair fell 6% since November—a significant move for such a typically stable currency pair, highlighting strong bearish momentum. Technical Analysis On the daily chart, the EUR/USD has shown a steady downtrend since its double top in August and September. Every meaningful reversal attempt was met with selling pressure, leading to a quick resumption of the downward trajectory. The long-term (monthly) chart paints an even grimmer picture. The pair has been in a clear downtrend since its 2008 peak of 1.60, and it now sits precariously on critical support levels from the 2015 and 2017 lows. Fundamental Outlook The fundamentals align with the technical bearish trend. Diverging monetary policies and a bleak economic outlook for the EU add to the pair's struggles. Conclusion: Given these conditions, a drop below parity appears likely in the coming year. The most prudent trading strategy for EUR/USD is to sell into rallies and wait for further declines. My target is 0.95, but, to be honest, I would not be very surprised by 0.9
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
13
EUR/USD Shorts from 1.03600 back down?My analysis for EUR/USD (EU) this week closely mirrors my expectations for GBP/USD (GU), as both pairs share similar points of interest (POIs). I’ll be focusing on capitalizing on the bearish trend evident in the formation of lower lows and lower highs. With the recent break of structure to the downside, new supply zones have been created. I’ll be waiting for a retest of these zones to catch sell opportunities in alignment with the overall trend. Once the price sweeps liquidity and forms a clear schematic, I’ll enter sell trades targeting the demand zone below. Confluences for EU Sells: - The price has shown a Change of Character (CHOCH) and multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the downside. - A few unmitigated supply zones remain, which are likely to be tapped. - Lots of liquidity below, alongside imbalances that need to be filled. - The Dollar Index (DXY) is bullish, strengthening the bearish case for EU through correlation. Note: If the price continues dropping, I’ll wait for a new supply zone to form or look for counter-trend buy opportunities from a valid demand zone.
Short
by Hassan_fx
4
EURUSD THREE POSSIBLE OUTCOMESWe have a decent weekly range to work with of just over 230 pips. First setup is for price to pullback a bit higher without breaking the previous weeks high targeting the low Price could also take the previous weeks high for a deeper pullback then wait for price to bearish confirmation to target the low. This setup would take slightly longer to play out than the first. The last out come is for price to go above the December's high and that would invalidate this setup and I will post my insights if that happens. Flow with the market and use lower timeframe confirmation if you see a good setup.
Short
by Keyserfx
EUR/USD Started 2025 at Its Lowest Point in 25 MonthsEUR/USD Started 2025 at Its Lowest Point in 25 Months According to the EUR/USD chart, on 2nd January, the first trading day of the year, the EUR/USD pair fell below the psychological level of 1.025, the lowest mark since November 2022. There are few news events, and the EUR/USD rate decline may be attributed to: → The holiday period still affecting financial markets, reducing liquidity and creating vulnerabilities for volatility spikes; → Market participants potentially rebalancing their portfolios for the new calendar year; → Reassessing the strength of the dollar amid uncertainty about the actual steps of President-elect Trump, whose inauguration is scheduled for this month. Meanwhile, technical analysis of the EUR/USD chart reveals that: → In 2024, price fluctuations formed a downward channel, with key pivot points marked by red circles. Notably, the previous holiday period led to the formation of the first of these points. → The bullish "Cup and Handle" pattern, which we discussed on 30th December, resulted in a false bullish breakout (indicated by an arrow). Seizing the bulls' failure, the bears pushed the price to the lower boundary of the mentioned channel. The area where the lower boundary of the channel intersects the psychological level of 1.025 could serve as strong support. The recovery observed on the morning of 3rd January may confirm this. The holiday period may lead to the formation of a new key pivot point on the EUR/USD chart, as has happened before. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice
by FXOpen
2
EUR/USD Bearish Trend: Possible Reversal & Trade Opportunities👀💡 In this video, we analyze the EUR/USD currency pair, currently in a bearish trend on the 4-hour timeframe. Notably, the trend appears overextended, and as we approach the end of the trading week, there’s a potential for a low to form either for the week or the day. This could lead to a retracement on Friday and Monday, with the possibility of a move higher as the market seeks liquidity and establishes the next day’s high. Such movements could present opportunities for counter-trend trades on Friday and potential continuation trades on Monday if the trend persists. Please note, this is not financial advice. 📊✅
by fxtraderanthony
1
EURUSD, What will happen in upcoming weeks ?Hello Traders, Happy new year in advance, I Hope you have a great year ahead with your family. let's go for EURUSD analysis: for upcoming weeks, we'll probably see an upward correction to Specified level at first and then it will start another fall. so with a proper trigger we can open a short position. And finally tell me what do you think ? UP or DOWN ? leave your comment below this post. If this post was helpful to you, please like it and share it with your friend. THANKS.
Short
by aminrzb
EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 👀 So Be Careful, wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📉 : You can enter a short trade at any point, however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high/low level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest high level. Goal 🎯: 1.02500 (or) Escape before the goal Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release. Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Short
by Thief_Trader
Rising from the Ashes: EURO's Path to RecoveryGood day traders, Trust we all profited from the FOMC report of yesterday. Please take a moment to go through my outlook and expectation on Euro in the coming weeks into the new year. Overview EUR/USD appears to be rebounding after a sharp decline triggered by yesterday's FOMC report, where the FED delivered a hawkish 25bps cut, which drove higher market-driven borrowing costs, a stronger dollar and a sharp drop in stocks. From the start of the week EURUSD had previously been consolidating, during which weak buyers (traders) were caught off guard by a false breakout to the upside, reaching a weekly high of 1.05342 on Tuesday. Idea The subsequent sell-off drove the pair to a four-week low of 1.03439, just above the November 22nd low of 1.03324. This drop aligns with a key Fibonacci reversal pattern under Elliott Wave theory, suggesting the potential for a significant rally. If this pattern holds, EUR/USD could gain approximately 400 pips (1.08150) in the coming weeks, with the recovery likely extending into the new year. Conclusion The recent low is expected to act as a firm support level, and a breach of the November low appears unlikely. This anticipated rally could mark the beginning of a period of recovery and optimism for the euro. Cheers! Merry Christmas and Happy New Year in advance.
Long
by Samuel124
EUR/USD: Poised for a Reversal?On November 23, FOREXCOM:EURUSD broke below the critical 1.05 support zone, reaching a low of 1.0336. However, the pair quickly reversed course and has since been trading in a range between 1.0450 and 1.06. A closer look at the price action suggests the pair has established a strong floor and is awaiting a catalyst for an upward reversal. That catalyst could very well come today, with the anticipated Federal Reserve rate cut and subsequent press conference. Given the accumulated market tension, an accelerated move to the upside seems likely. Key Levels to Watch : Support: Any dips below 1.05 should be viewed as buying opportunities, with the potential for a rebound. Resistance: A target around 1.0750 appears realistic in the current context. Invalidation Level: If the price falls back below 1.04, this bullish scenario would be negated.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
EURUSD H1 17/12/2024 - SELL below 1.0505 1.0480EURUSD H1 17/12/2024 - Bearish pressure by macroeconomic fundamentals and a dovish ECB outlook Technical Analysis Summary D1 (Daily Chart) Trend: Bearish with price trading well below the 200-SMA and stuck below the 20-EMA at 1.0540. Indicators: RSI: At 40.64, indicating bearish momentum and approaching oversold conditions. Stochastic: Bearish crossover below 40, showing potential for further downside. MACD: Negative histogram and signal line, confirming a bearish outlook. Key Levels: Resistance: 1.0530 (20-EMA), 1.0560 (near-term swing high). Support: 1.0480, 1.0460, and a broader target of 1.0435. H4 (4-Hour Chart) Trend: Consolidation in a bearish channel, with price unable to break above the 50-SMA. Indicators: RSI: At 42.81, reflecting bearish momentum. Stochastic: Bearish crossover heading down towards oversold levels. MACD: Bearish histogram, confirming bearish continuation. Key Levels: Resistance: 1.0515, 1.0535 (50-SMA). Support: 1.0485, 1.0460. H1 (Hourly Chart) Trend: Bearish, with price below the Ichimoku cloud, 50-SMA, and 200-SMA. Bearish momentum is strong after a recent failed attempt to recover. Indicators: RSI: At 38.13, signaling bearish momentum below 40. Stochastic: Near 10, indicating oversold conditions and suggesting a potential short-term pullback. MACD: Bearish histogram with a downward signal line. ATR: At 10 pips, reflecting moderate volatility. Key Levels: Resistance: 1.0505 (minor), 1.0530 (20-EMA). Support: 1.0485, 1.0460, 1.0435. M30 (30-Minute Chart) Trend: Downtrend with price consolidating near support at 1.0485. Indicators: RSI: At 34.85, approaching oversold conditions. Stochastic: At 12, suggesting a minor pullback may occur before further declines. MACD: Negative momentum remains intact. Correlated Financial Instruments US Dollar Index (DXY): DXY remains firm above 106, supporting a bearish EUR/USD outlook. USD strength continues as inflation data backs expectations of steady Fed policy. Gold (XAU/USD): Gold remains under pressure, further confirming USD strength. Trade Plan for EUR/USD H1 Trade Setup 1: Bearish Continuation on Retracement Rationale: Given the clear bearish momentum and inability to break key resistance levels, a retracement toward resistance offers a short-selling opportunity. Trade Details: Entry Price: 1.0505–1.0510 (near minor resistance). Stop-Loss: 1.0535 (above the 20-EMA on H1). Take-Profit Levels: TP1: 1.0485. TP2: 1.0460. Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:2. Trade Setup 2: Breakout Short Below 1.0485 Rationale: A clean break below 1.0485 support will confirm a bearish continuation towards the next key levels. Trade Details: Entry Price: 1.0480 (on breakout). Stop-Loss: 1.0505 (above breakout resistance). Take-Profit Levels: TP1: 1.0460. TP2: 1.0435. Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:2. Trade Setup 3: Intraday Scalping Short (M30–H1 Levels) Rationale: If a short-term pullback occurs, use M30 chart resistance as an entry. Trade Details: Entry Price: 1.0500 (psychological level). Stop-Loss: 1.0515. Take-Profit Levels: TP1: 1.0485. TP2: 1.0475. Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:1.5.
Short
by napoleon182
9
Weekly Forex Forecast: EURUSD Is Bearish. Wait For SELLS!This forecast is for the week of Dec. 16 - 20th. EURUSD has formed a bearish breakout of the consolidation. Clearly the momentum is to the downside. WIll we see this continue into next week? Yessir! Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME:6E1!Short
by RT_Money
EUR/USD Shorts from 1.05600 back downThis week, my analysis for EUR/USD aligns closely with GBP/USD, as both pairs have exhibited bearish momentum. However, there are subtle differences in price action as we approach the final month of the year. A key focus is the 4-hour supply zone around 1.05600, which initiated a break of structure to the downside. Once price reaches this area, I’ll look for redistribution on the lower timeframes to confirm a potential sell. If the price moves higher, the 2-hour supply zone just above offers an even better opportunity for shorts. Confluences for EUR/USD Sells: - Liquidity Below: Significant downside liquidity remains untapped. - Bearish Momentum: The pair has been bearish for the past two weeks. - Break of Structure: Key levels have broken to the downside on the higher timeframe. - DXY Correlation: The dollar index (DXY) supports this bearish setup. - Key Supply Zone: The 4-hour supply zone caused the initial bearish move. Note: If price mitigates the 5-hour demand zone, I may consider a counter-trend buy to take price back up toward the supply zone. However, if this demand zone fails, it will trigger another break of structure (BOS), prompting me to identify a new supply zone for potential shorts. Stay disciplined and have a strong trading week—let’s close Q4 on a high note!
Short
by Hassan_fx