EURUSD - Let's go higher now ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURUSD.
Technical analysis: As you can see in my previous analysis price delivered as expected. Now I expect bullish price action after filling the imbalance and rejecting from bullish order block + institutional big figure 1.08000.
Fundamental news: This week is full of news in USA. Firstly on Wednesday we have Interest Rate followed by FOMC Conference, then on Friday NFP and Unemployment Rate. Pay attention to the results in order to validate the analysis.
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Eurusdoutlook
EURUSD - Downside to bullish order block ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we have pretty the same scenario as on GOLD, Price rejected from bearish order block so I expect price to drop in order to fulfill the imbalance. My target is institutional big figure 1.08000 from where I look for a long position.
Fundamental news: Upcoming week is full of news in USA. Firstly on Wednesday we have Interest Rate followed by FOMC Conference, then on Friday NFP and Unemployment Rate. Pay attention to the results in order to validate the analysis.
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Eurusd Bearish momentum? NFP week ♠️A new week ahead with NFp economic data to wrap things up so excited for whats to come.
0:0 Monthly timeframe
2:40 Weekly timeframe
5:47 Daily timeframe
8:20 4Hr timeframe
We can observe the bearish pressure on Eu across the past 3-4 weeks and the start of the new year 2024. The bearish momentum began with the weekly engulfing candle of the first week of the year.
EURUSD Longs from 1.08300 or 1.08000 back upThis week's bias for this pair aligns with GU, and I'll be aiming to initiate long positions from the demand levels positioned just beneath the current price. Whether it's from the nearby 2-hour demand zone or the 10-hour demand zone situated below, my objective is to buy back up to a supply level or potentially target the equal highs positioned above.
Ideally, I'm hoping for price to form a Wyckoff accumulation within my designated demand zones and provide a strong confirmation signal. If this doesn't happen, I'll wait for that zone to be breached, anticipating the spring to occur within the more favorable 10-hour demand zone.
Confluences for EURUSD are as follows:
- Price has been temporarily bullish to the upside and the 10hr demand zone caused BOS.
- I will be anticipating a Wyckoff accumulation to start formulating within my demand region.
- A pullback has been initiated from the reaction of the 6-hour supply zone.
- Lots of liquidity to the upside in the form of Asian highs and equal highs.
- Dollar (DXY) is looking to be bearish so I'm expecting this to be bullish.
P.S. While I maintain a bullish stance on this pair, I wouldn't be caught off guard if the reaction from the 6-hour supply zone triggers further downward movement, potentially breaking the structure to the downside. In such a scenario, I'll be more inclined to explore selling opportunities.
LAST WEEK OF JANUARY LETS HAVE A GREAT TRADING WEEK!
EURUSD Trend Reversal ?Pair : EURUSD ( Euro / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Falling Wedge as an Corrective Pattern in Long Time Frame. Completed Impulsive Waves " 12345 " Bearish and " AB " Corrective Waves. Exp FIAT as an Correction in Short Time Frame need to wait until it Rejects from Upper Trend Line or Demand Zone
Long EURUSDI'm expecting bullish movement on EURUSD throughout the remainder of the month. We've already come down and took out liquidity residing below December 15th low (1.08811) and filling in the gap below that level. If price manages to push with good volume pass the 1.08963 price I'll be looking to enter a long position aimed at December's high.
EURUSD BUY
EURUSD is showing signs of a rebound from the higher low area of the uptrend line in the 4-hour timeframe chart.
📉 Expectations:
Anticipate the pair to re-test key support levels as highlighted in the attached chart.
📊 Trading Strategy:
This trade is based on a combination of technical analysis and candlestick patterns. It's a long-term position, so ensure sufficient margin to manage market fluctuations. Implement proper risk management in line with your account size.
🚦 Trading Rules:
1️⃣ Rule 1: If the trade does NOT surpass our entry level (GREEN LINE ON THE CHART), Do not enter the trade.
2️⃣ Rule 2: When the market hits Target 1, consider closing some positions or move your STOP LOSS to ENTRY price for safe trading.
3️⃣ Rule 3: After reaching Target 1, avoid placing new trades based on the same signal/alert.
4️⃣ Rule 4: If the market consolidates for more than 2 days, close the trade and patiently wait for the next favorable trading opportunity.
EURUSD: Euro outlook next weekNext week, the ECB's monetary policy meeting will be held on Thursday, and important economic indicators from Germany will also be announced, so the euro may fluctuate significantly.
This week, a number of central bank officials spoke out against overly optimistic markets about a rate cut in 2024.
Next Thursday's ECB Governing Council meeting is likely to be too early for ECB President Christine Lagarde to start setting a concrete schedule for interest rates, and markets will wait until the next Governing Council meeting on May 7 for more information. would have to.
Next week will see the release of the German and European PMI reports, the IFO annual report and the German Consumer Confidence Index. This data should be closely monitored as the German economy remains weak.
EUR/USD broke out of a channel pattern on Tuesday and is currently trading below the 200-day SMA of 1.0850. The current support level for this pair is 1.0787, but resistance areas at 1.0950 and 1.1000 are also observed.
💡 EURUSD: Analysis January 19Indicator is used:
- Chandelier Exit
- EMA
- MACD
Re-tested the 1.09 conversion resistance zone in the last session, but the selling force returned and prevented the price from rising above this level. However, observing on a daily basis we see a spindle - credit model. Potential reversal signal. Therefore, you need to be wary of the possibility of a price reversal to the upside. You can hold short positions according to the previous breakdown signal but the SL needs to be placed above the 1.09 resistance level.
EURUSD Weekly setupThat's my main view for the coming week about EURUSD. I expect it to pump and touch the main trendline around 1.10 area. As soon as we will broke up 1.092 we should see some real moves. On H4 timeframe there is also a good bullish divergence, and we can see a range on H4 with what looks like a short squeeze. I expect a pump like i said in my previous idea
EUR/USD Potential Bullish MoveA few qualifications for this trade are...
•Falling Wedge Pattern
•“Hidden” Divergence on the MACD.
If we start trading back above 1.0900 and the pivot zone, a target of 1.1150 (Median level) wouldn’t be unreasonable.
I'm going to keep an eye on long positions and see if we can begin trading higher.
#1 EURUSD Weekly Analysis 21.01.2024+
1.) weekly orderflow bullish
2.) took 2 weekly lows and reject
3.) 4 daily rejection candles on 1.08680 weekly level
4.) daily divergence (weekly orderflow)
5.) 4h divergence on weekly level
-
1.) daily orderflow bearish
-could be a pullback trade-
waiting for a small pullback then long
EUR/USD Outlook
A potential bearish opportunity on EUR/USD . The current market conditions suggest that a downward movement might be in play.
Risk Management: Remember that trading involves risk, and it's important to only risk a small portion of your capital on any single trade. Adjust your position size accordingly.
Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and consider seeking professional advice before making any trading decisions.
EURUSD Shorts from 1.09400 down towards 1.08000EU is currently exhibiting a similar pattern to other pairs, and my current stance for this currency pair is bearish. I'm patiently waiting for the 12hr supply zone to be mitigated, considering it as the nearest opportunity of interest for me. This aligns with the overall higher time frame trend, which is bearish.
Upon the mitigation of this zone, my plan involves waiting for a Wyckoff distribution to unfold within the specified area. Ideally, I will be looking for the Asian high within the zone to be swept. Following this occurrence, I will then be looking for selling opportunities back down to address the imbalances left below.
Confluences for EU sells are as follows:
- 12hr Supply zone caused a BOS to the downside on the higher time frame
- Imbalances and liquidity below that needs to get taken as well as a demand zone that needs mitigating.
- Overall trend of the market is bearish on the higher time frame.
- We are currently witnessing a pullback and I'm looking for my POI to continue this trend.
P.S. While I maintain a bearish outlook, I acknowledge the presence of equal highs above my zone, which could potentially lead to a break beyond my supply. In such a scenario, I recognize that price might aim for higher levels to enter a more premium area.
HAVE A GREAT TRADING WEEK AHEAD!
EURUSD - Potential long ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we have huge imbalance that have to be filled, so my point of interest is a long position from bullish order block + institutional big figure 1.08000.
Fundamental news: Upcoming week on Thursday will see results of Interest Rate on EUR. News with high impact on currency.
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Retail Data Shaping EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis:
1. US Retail Sales Increase: Recent data shows a 0.6% increase in retail sales in December, marking the strongest pace in three months. This indicates a solid holiday season and a resilient consumer attitude in the US, which could be a positive indicator for the US dollar (USD).
2. Consumer Resilience and Economic Outlook: Despite predictions of a recession, household spending has been surprisingly strong over the past year. However, this momentum is expected to slow down in 2024 due to persistent inflation, high borrowing costs, and diminishing savings. This could limit the strengthening of the USD.
3. Market Reaction: The immediate market response to the data was a drop in US Treasuries and stocks, suggesting a scaling back of expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. This generally would favor the dollar.
4. State of the US Economy: Manufacturing output showed minimal growth, indicating weakness in that sector.
Technical Analysis:
1. Monthly Time Frame: EUR/USD has rejected a key resistance, suggesting a possible bearish reversal.
2. Weekly Time Frame: The pair is in an upward trend and is at a significant support, which could indicate a bounce.
3. Daily Time Frame: There is an overextension of the price, suggesting a bearish correction towards 1.0800
4. 4-Hour Time Frame: A shift towards an upward trend is observed, confirming the possibility of a correction.
Conclusion and Strategy:
- Short-Term Outlook: The current strength of the dollar, supported by solid retail sales, could keep EUR/USD under pressure. However, the overextension and upward trend in shorter time frames suggest an imminent correction.
- Medium-Term Outlook: The expectation of an economic slowdown in the US in 2024 and potential weakness in the manufacturing sector could limit the long-term strengthening of the dollar.
EurUsd- Strongly bearish under 1.0950As mentioned in my analysis of OANDA:EURUSD from two days ago, the pair failed to break above 1.1. Consequently, there was a potential for it to dip below the support level and continue its decline to the next significant support at 1.0750.
Indeed, the price dropped below the support zone and hit a local low at 1.0845 yesterday. Currently, the pair is undergoing an upward correction, presenting an opportunity for short trades.
In my view, any rallies toward 1.0950 should be considered for selling. Depending on risk tolerance and patience, the target can be set at either the recent low of 1.0850 or the major support at 1.0750.
The negation of this scenario occurs if EURUSD manages to break above 1.1.
Outlook for EUR/USD: Davos Insights and Fed Speeches Outlook for EUR/USD: Davos Insights and Fed Speeches
Several ECB officials are expressing opposition to rate cuts, potentially helping to curb losses in the EUR/USD, which is currently testing the 61.8% Fibonacci level after a more than 0.7% drop.
Davos has prompted ECB officials to share their views on the Euro Area's prospects and their positions on the likelihood of interest rate cuts in 2024.
ECB Board Member Gediminas Šimkus, also Chairman of the Lithuanian Central Bank, suggests holding off on a central bank move, but sees the possibility of a cut in the summer. Similarly, ECB Board Member Madis Müller, the Governor of the Central Bank of Estonia, believes expectations for a rate cut are ahead of the current data reality.
However, the future direction of EUR/USD remains uncertain, as Fed officials are pushing back against interest rate hikes too, and their influence in the markets may be more significant.
Federal Reserve member Christopher Waller, whose November comments raised expectations of Fed rate cuts, today (not at Davos) expressed a more cautious outlook on the pace of rate cuts ("I see no reason to move as quickly or cut as rapidly as in the past").
Monitoring other Fed members' addresses this week will be crucial:
Wednesday, Jan 17
09:00: Fed's Bowman Speech
09:00: Fed's Barr Speech
15:00: Fed's Williams Speech
Thursday, Jan 18
07:30: Fed's Bostic Speech
Friday, Jan 19
16:15: Fed's Daly Speech