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EURUSD(20250619) Today's AnalysisMarket news: Fed's June interest rate meeting - kept interest rates unchanged for the fourth consecutive time. The dot plot shows two rate cuts this year, but the number of officials who expect no rate cuts this year has risen to 7, and the rate cut expectations for next year have been reduced to 1. Powell continues to call for uncertainty, and the current economic situation is suitable for waiting and watching. He also expects tariff-driven inflation to rise in the coming months. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.1489 Support and resistance levels: 1.1558 1.1532 1.1516 1.1463 1.1446 1.1420 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.1489, consider buying in, with the first target price of 1.1516 If the price breaks through 1.1463, consider selling in, with the first target price of 1.1446
Short
by NuggetsWarriors
Core Impact Logic of the Middle East Situation on EURUSD(I) Energy Transmission Chain: Oil Price Fluctuations → Eurozone Inflation and Economy The escalation of the Middle East situation (the Iran - Israel conflict, risks in the Strait of Hormuz) directly impacts the global energy supply chain: If the conflict expands to block the Strait of Hormuz (transports ~20% of global crude oil 🛢️), Brent crude has already soared from recent lows—spiking over 5% on June 17 amid tensions ⛽️. This pushes up imported inflation in the Eurozone. As a net energy - importing region 🌍, prolonged high oil prices will squeeze corporate profits, suppress consumption, and drag Eurozone economic recovery (German/French manufacturing is acutely energy - cost - sensitive 🏭). This weakens the euro’s fundamental support. (II) Geopolitical Safe - Haven Sentiment: The "Safe - Haven Balance" Between USD & EUR Amid Middle East tensions, the US dollar’s traditional safe - haven status competes with Eurozone havens like German bonds 📈: If the US (e.g., the Trump administration) intervenes militarily 💥, market fears of "America mired in war" rise. USD safe - haven demand may temporarily weaken ⬇️, and the euro benefits as funds shift 🔄 ⚡️⚡️⚡️ EURUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️ 🚀 Buy@ 1.14500 - 1.15000 🚀 TP 1.15500 - 1.15600 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Long
by Sovereign_1
1
EUR/USD Holds Neutral Tone Ahead of Fed DecisionIn recent hours, the pair has shown limited movement of just 0.5%, reflecting a neutral bias as the market prepares for the upcoming Federal Reserve policy announcement. At this point, expectations suggest that the U.S. central bank will maintain a neutral stance, keeping the interest rate steady at 4.5% in the short term. However, the key focus will be on the Fed’s accompanying statement, where the greatest uncertainty lies. If the tone remains hawkish, it's likely that demand for the U.S. dollar will strengthen, potentially adding downward pressure to EUR/USD. Uptrend Remains Intact Since early March, the pair has maintained a steady bullish trend, without any major corrections that would threaten the current structure. That said, the price has once again approached key resistance zones, but has yet to break through them in a sustained manner—opening the door for range-bound movement if this pattern continues. Technical Indicators RSI: The Relative Strength Index has begun to show lower highs, while EUR/USD continues to print higher highs. This bearish divergence indicates an imbalance in market forces, potentially signaling room for a short-term correction. MACD: The MACD histogram is fluctuating near the zero line, reflecting a technically neutral environment. As long as this behavior continues, the pair may enter a consolidation phase, awaiting a clearer directional signal. Key Levels to Watch: 1.15443 – Current Resistance: Marks the multi-month high. A sustained move above this level could revive the bullish momentum. 1.13177 – Intermediate Support: Aligns with a recent neutral zone and the 50-period moving average. It acts as a technical support in the event of short-term pullbacks. 1.10428 – Key Support: Represents the lowest level of recent months. A break below this area could trigger a stronger bearish bias, putting the current uptrend at risk. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst Follow him at: @julianpineda25
by FOREXcom
EUR/USD Potential Reversal from Resistance Zone –Bearish OutlookThe EUR/USD pair has been trading within a well-defined ascending channel for several weeks. Price recently tested a strong resistance zone near 1.15850 – 1.16000, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel and a previously marked supply area. Key observations: The price action shows signs of rejection from the resistance zone with a potential double-top or fakeout pattern forming. A projected bearish trajectory is marked, suggesting a possible break below the channel support. Immediate bearish targets are set at key demand zones around 1.14500, 1.12500, and further down to 1.10500. A large red arrow indicates the strong downside bias if the price confirms the breakdown. Conclusion: If EUR/USD fails to sustain above the 1.15850 resistance zone and breaks below the ascending channel, a strong bearish correction is anticipated. Traders should watch for confirmation of the breakdown before entering short positions.
Short
by ZareeFxTradingAac
4
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Faces RejectionMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Faces Rejection EUR/USD declined from the 1.1640 resistance and traded below 1.1550. Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today - The Euro started a fresh decline after a strong surge above the 1.1600 zone. - There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.1545 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen. EUR/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair rallied above the 1.1600 resistance zone before the bears appeared, as discussed in the previous analysis. The Euro started a fresh decline and traded below the 1.1550 support zone against the US Dollar. The pair declined below 1.1520 and tested the 1.1475 zone. A low was formed near 1.1475 and the pair started a consolidation phase. There was a minor recovery wave above the 1.1495 level. The pair tested the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1614 swing high to the 1.1475 low. EUR/USD is now trading below 1.1550 and the 50-hour simple moving average. On the upside, the pair is now facing resistance near the 1.1505 level. The next key resistance is at 1.1545 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1614 swing high to the 1.1475 low. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.1545. The main resistance is near the 1.1580 level. A clear move above the 1.1580 level could send the pair toward the 1.1615 resistance. An upside break above 1.1615 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might rise toward 1.1650. If not, the pair might resume its decline. The first major support on the EUR/USD chart is near 1.1475. The next key support is at 1.1450. If there is a downside break below 1.1450, the pair could drop toward 1.1400. The next support is near 1.1350, below which the pair could start a major decline. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
EURUSD(20250616) Today's AnalysisMarket news: Trump: The United States may still intervene in the Iran-Israel conflict. If Iran launches an attack on the United States, the United States will "fight back with all its strength on an unprecedented scale." Iran and Israel should reach an agreement. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.1550 Support and resistance levels: 1.1674 1.1628 1.1598 1.1502 1.1472 1.1426 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.1550, consider buying, and the first target price is 1.1598 If the price breaks through 1.1502, consider selling, and the first target price is 1.1472
by NuggetsWarriors
EUR/USD - Upside Bias Continues Amid Market EventsHi Everyone, As outlined in our analysis last week, we continue to expect EUR/USD to advance further to the upside. A successful retest of the 1.15240 level provides support for the move. This promises to be an eventful week as markets navigate geopolitical tensions and upcoming central bank decisions. As long as price holds above 1.14483, we anticipate a continuation higher toward the 1.16564 level, which would further reinforce our long-term bullish outlook. A confirmed break above this resistance would likely open the door for a move toward 1.18325, where we anticipate encountering dynamic resistance. We will provide further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD should price reach this level. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend toward the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649. We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support! All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
EURUSD Setup | CPI Fades, Fed Focus & Gold Leads Dollar ReboundEURUSD is showing signs of exhaustion after soft US CPI failed to extend the rally beyond 1.1495. While markets initially priced in a dovish Fed response, recent commentary and gold’s rejection from its highs suggest the dollar may be gearing up for a short-term recovery. With Gold pulling back and yields stabilizing, EURUSD could now follow suit lower into key support levels—especially if the Fed maintains a patient tone at this week’s meeting. 🔹 EURUSD (4H) Analysis 📉 Bias: Bearish 💡 Context: EURUSD stalled just below 1.1500 after the CPI miss and now sits at a high-liquidity reversal zone. With DXY stabilizing and gold already rolling over, EURUSD may lag behind but eventually follow the same path. If the Fed leans hawkish or even neutral (ignoring political pressure), it could catalyze a drop toward 1.1268 and below. 📊 Technical Levels: Resistance Zone: 1.1495–1.1530 Target 1: 1.1268 Target 2: 1.1086 Invalidation: Daily close above 1.1530 (or strong bullish follow-through after FOMC) 🪙 Leading Asset Clue: Gold has already rejected major resistance (3,390–3,403) and is now pulling lower. Historically, EURUSD tends to follow when metals stall—especially if driven by real yields and Fed dynamics. ⚠️ Fundamentals to Watch: 🏦 FOMC Rate Decision & Dot Plot (June 12) 📈 US PPI + Jobless Claims (June 13) 💬 Fed Chair Powell's Press Conference 📰 Any shift in ECB or Fed rate cut timelines 🧠 Risk Factors: Fed surprise dovish shift due to CPI softness Market overreacts to rate cut expectations Geopolitical risk-off flows favoring EUR ✅ Summary: Bias and Watchpoints EURUSD Bearish Fed holding firm vs. ECB easing bias Fed turning dovish post-CPI (Top Risk) FOMC Rate Decision, PPI, Powell 📌 Final Note: Gold is leading the turn as dollar strength resurfaces. EURUSD may lag initially but the macro context favors downside from this key resistance zone. Watch the Fed for confirmation—positioning into 1.1268 and 1.1086 looks attractive if the dollar gains traction post-FOMC.
Short
by ultreosforex
12
EUR/USD Rally Extends – Eyes on 1.20000 as Momentum BuildsHi Everyone, As outlined in our analysis last week (idea linked below), EUR/USD continued to the upside and reached the 1.15240 level. We expect price action to extend further toward the 1.16564 level, which would reinforce our long-term bullish outlook. A confirmed break above this resistance would likely open the door for a move toward 1.18325, where we anticipate encountering dynamic resistance. We will provide further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD should price reach this level. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend toward the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649. We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support! All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
EURUSD(20250612) Today's AnalysisMarket news: ① The EU hopes that the trade negotiations will be extended beyond the suspension period set by Trump. ② Bessant: As long as "sincerity" is shown in the negotiations, the Trump administration is willing to extend the current 90-day tariff suspension period beyond July 9. ③ Trump will hold multiple bilateral talks during the G7 summit. ④ The total customs revenue of the United States in May reached a record high of US$23 billion, an increase of nearly four times year-on-year. ⑤ Lutnick: One deal after another will be reached. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.1463 Support and resistance levels: 1.1556 1.1521 1.1499 1.1427 1.1404 1.1369 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.1499, consider buying in, and the first target price is 1.1521 If the price breaks through 1.1463, consider selling in, and the first target price is 1.1427
Long
by NuggetsWarriors
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D10 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D10 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block ✅15' order block ✅4 hour order block ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
Will the U.S. Dollar Bear go out to lunch and take a break?In this video I go over the case for the U.S. Dollar bear taking a break and price action getting a pullback across the EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY. I took a 42% profit on EUR/USD longs and currently keeping an eye on a short opportunity if weakness starts to creep in on the price action. Long term, I remain U.S. Dollar bearish across the board however pullbacks are always expected during a macro price move. If we trade higher, so be it and I will evaluate what the next position will be. As always, Good Luck & Trade Safe.
by InternalTraderNYC
EUR/USD Potential buys from current zone or 1.12800My outlook for EU this week closely aligns with GU — both pairs are showing similar structure and direction. Price continues to form higher highs and higher lows, maintaining its bullish momentum. Following the most recent break of structure to the upside, EU has now entered a 9H demand zone, where I’ll be watching for signs of accumulation and potential entry as the market opens on Monday. If this current zone fails to hold, there’s a more discounted 9H demand zone just below, which could offer a cleaner long opportunity. Either way, both scenarios follow the pro trend, which adds conviction to the buy idea. Confluences for EU Buys: Price has broken structure to the upside and entered a clean 9H demand zone There’s another refined 9H demand zone just below for additional confirmation Plenty of upside liquidity remains untouched Structure remains bullish on the higher timeframes, making this a pro trend setup P.S. If price reacts well and continues pushing higher, I’ll be keeping an eye on the 7H supply zone above for any possible short-term bearish reaction. Wishing everyone a successful and disciplined trading week ahead!
Long
by Hassan_fx
EURUSD Analysis – Short Bias Builds on Key Resistance RejectionEURUSD pair is currently testing a critical resistance zone around 1.1495–1.1500, with bearish rejection beginning to form on the 4H timeframe. The technical setup suggests a potential lower high forming within the context of a broader downtrend, supported by a confluence of horizontal resistance and bearish risk catalysts. 🔍 Technical Overview: Resistance Zone: 1.1495–1.1575 (multi-timeframe key levels) Support Levels to Watch: 1.1234 (range base) and 1.1086 (swing low) Price Action: After a sustained rally, price is showing exhaustion near previous highs, and a rejection pattern is emerging, suggesting selling interest. Risk Management: Stop placed above 1.1575 high, with downside targets near 1.1234 and extended toward 1.1086. 🧠 Fundamental Backdrop: ECB Policy Outlook: Lagarde recently warned that a stronger euro and higher tariffs may hurt EU exports. This dovish tone could weigh on EUR sentiment in the medium term. US Dollar Strengthening: The latest US labor market data (ADP, JOLTS) beat expectations, showing continued resilience in employment and wage growth. This supports the Fed's data-dependent approach, favoring a stronger USD. Macro Tensions: Global trade concerns (Trump’s tariffs, weak China demand, Germany’s slowing job market) are adding pressure to EUR while supporting safe-haven USD flows. ECB Consumer Expectations Survey (April): Highlights persistent inflation fears and deteriorating economic confidence. ⏳ Scenario Outlook: ✅ Bearish Bias Preferred below 1.1500 with confirmation of rejection. 🎯 Target Zone 1: 1.1234 – Strong structure & demand zone. 🎯 Target Zone 2 (Extended): 1.1086 – Major low from mid-May. ❌ Invalidation: A breakout and close above 1.1575 would neutralize the bearish outlook and open up higher targets toward 1.17. Conclusion: The EURUSD pair presents a compelling short opportunity, with both technical resistance and macro pressure aligning for a retracement or reversal. Short setups are favored unless bulls reclaim and hold above the 1.1575 handle.
Short
by ultreosforex
19
ECB Cuts Rates. EUR/USD Spikes to 1.5-Month HighECB Cuts Rates. EUR/USD Spikes to 1.5-Month High Yesterday, as widely expected, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut interest rates for the eighth time since May 2024. According to ForexFactory, the main refinancing rate was lowered from 2.40% to 2.15% (having stood at 4.50% in May 2024). According to Reuters: → ECB President Christine Lagarde stated that interest rates are now at a “good level”, despite the extremely high uncertainty caused by tariff threats from President Donald Trump. → Following the press conference, markets interpreted the message as a sign that the ECB is unlikely to cut rates again at its next meeting in July. In response to the ECB's decision, the EUR/USD rate jumped to its highest level in a month and a half, but later retreated (as indicated by the arrow) back to previous levels. Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart Four days ago, while analysing the EUR/USD chart, we: → drew an ascending channel; → suggested that bullish momentum could push the EUR/USD rate up to the psychological level of 1.1500 during the current week. In fact, at yesterday’s peak, the rate came very close to 1.1500. However, a candlestick with a long upper shadow had formed on the EUR/USD chart, by the end of the day. Additionally, this morning, the 1.1450 level has acted as a resistance zone. This suggests bearish activity, which could pull the rate down towards the lower boundary of the local channel (outlined in black), and possibly even attempt a breakout below it. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
EURUSD(20250606) Today's AnalysisMarket news: The European Central Bank cut three key interest rates by 25 basis points. Lagarde hinted that the rate cut cycle will end, and the market is no longer fully pricing in another 25 basis point rate cut this year. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.1447 Support and resistance levels 1.1537 1.1503 1.1481 1.1412 1.1391 1.1357 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.1447, consider buying, and the first target price is 1.1481 If the price breaks through 1.1412, consider selling, and the first target price is 1.1391
by NuggetsWarriors
EUR/USD Awaits ECB Decision Near 1.1400 Amid Rate Cut BetsCMCMARKETS:EURUSD FX:EURUSD EUR/USD is consolidating above the 1.1400 psychological level as markets brace for the European Central Bank’s monetary policy announcement. The ECB is widely expected to cut its Deposit Facility Rate by 25bps to 2.00%, marking its seventh consecutive rate cut since June 2024. Technically, the pair continues to trade within a well-defined ascending channel, reflecting a broader bullish structure. Current price action is facing a minor resistance near 1.1421, which is the top of the short-term range and also a key trendline rejection zone. A clean breakout above this area could expose the monthly resistance near 1.1557. However, if OANDA:EURUSD EUR/USD fails to breach this level initially, a pullback toward 1.1366 (channel base support) is possible before bulls regain control. The bullish setup remains valid as long as price holds above this support zone. Traders should monitor the ECB press conference for signals on whether the central bank may pause further easing later this year. Resistance : 1.1421 , 1.1557 Support : 1.1366 , 1.1250
Long
by ATFX_Global
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Trims GainsMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Trims Gains EUR/USD started a downside correction from the 1.1450 resistance. Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today - The Euro struggled to clear the 1.1450 resistance and declined against the US Dollar. - There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at 1.1395 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen. EUR/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair gained pace for a move above the 1.1300 zone, as mentioned in the previous analysis. The Euro tested the 1.1450 resistance and recently corrected gains against the US Dollar. The pair dipped below 1.1400. There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at 1.1395. It even traded below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1209 swing low to the 1.1454 high. The pair is showing some bearish signs, and upside potential might remain limited. Immediate resistance is near the 50-hour simple moving average at 1.1395. The next major resistance is near the 1.1450 zone. An upside break above the 1.1450 level might send the pair toward the 1.1500 resistance. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 1.1550 level. On the downside, immediate support on the EUR/USD chart is seen near the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1209 swing low to the 1.1454 high at 1.1330. The next major support is near the 1.1300 level. A downside break below the 1.1300 support could send the pair toward the 1.1210 level. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen