EUR/USD Short from 1.03000 (Supply Zone 6hr)My analysis for EUR/USD (EU) this week aligns with my view on other pairs, as the Dollar continues to strengthen. The bearish trend remains strong, and I plan to stay aligned with this pro-trend movement.
The price has broken structure to the downside and left a clean 6-hour supply zone that is yet to be mitigated. Once the price retraces to this supply zone, I’ll be looking for potential sell opportunities. I’ll wait for a redistribution pattern to confirm my entry before taking shorts. If the price continues to drop without retracing, I’ll monitor for a closer supply zone to form and adjust my setup accordingly.
Confluences for EU Sells:
- The price remains strongly bearish on higher time frames.
- The DXY is bullish, supporting the bearish trend for EU.
- A clean supply zone caused a Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside.
- The market is consistently forming lower lows and lower highs.
- A significant imbalance below still needs to be filled.
Note: If the price reaches the 7-hour demand zone below or the imbalance, I anticipate a potential bullish reaction, possibly leading to a retracement.
Eurusdoutlook
Weekly Insights: Euro/Dollar and Gold Analysis
Hello, fellow traders! I hope you’re all doing well. Today, we want to share some insights and observations from the past week that might help you navigate the markets.
Euro/Dollar: We’re seeing some outflows in put options with a strike price of $1.05, which are already in the money and have intrinsic value. Additionally, there’s been a resale of put options at the $1.02 strike. This suggests a sentiment shift—at the very least, we might be witnessing a halt in the downward movement. So, keep an eye on this pair, it could be setting up for a bounce.
Gold: On the gold front, there’s been aggressive buying of call spreads with targets around $2950-$3000. However, this seems a bit too straightforward and obvious—buying after a price increase at high levels doesn’t scream insider trading or strong sentiment. It feels more like a speculative play, and honestly, it’s pretty apparent. The sentiment here is Neutral.
EURUSD Will be in bearish direction after Breaking ChannelHello Traders
In This Chart EURUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
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Short Eurusd - Targeting 1.02211Eurusd has been making continuous strides further down in price. The recent pullback to 1.04500 was rejected and indicating for me more movement to the downside, there was divergence of the RSI & MFI on the 4hr at that rejection level of price. If price continues to slide, I'll be looking to target a price of 1.02211. I'm currently in a short position at 1.04077, a nice 187 pips I would be looking to grab if price hits target. Patience is key! If you see anything different, feel free to share!
EURUSD; FURTHER DOWNSIDE EXPECTEDEURUSD has broken the October 2023 low of 1.045. On the monthly chart, price is seeking to correct imbalance by pushing lower towards 1.01 price handle.
On the daily chart, we have a new low indicating bearish market structure. This bearish trend could set the tone for Q1, 2025.
Fed Minutes of December, 2024 further reinforce our expectations of a bearish EURUSD. As we await the first NFP in 2025, we are likely to see further weakening.
EURUSD: USD strong dominance will push down the price 1.0?Dear Traders,
Hope you are doing great, this month can be the last month of usd dominating the market. As the new elect president will take the charge it is expected to see volatility within the market. We can see price going below 1.0 so taking appropriate selling entry can become beneficial. good luck
EUR/USD Faces Key Rejection – Bearish Pressure IntensifiesThe daily candle is facing rejection from the descending trendline, confirming strong bearish pressure.
The daily trend remains negative, aligning with the broader bearish sentiment on the weekly chart. For bulls to regain control, EUR/USD must break above the trendline and the 100 EMA at 1.0670.
Failure to do so could lead to further downside, especially if the 1.0300 support zone is breached.
DYOR, NFA
EURUSD DETAILED ANALYSISFollowing up on the guide that I posted on the weekly timeframe, internal price action on the 2H is bullish and we are currently at the OB which supports the first outcome.
Price could continue down without giving us a bearish choch which is a 50/50 trade IMO.
I would prefer to see a bearish choch first to increase its probability of holding.
If we break above the strong week high I will try to go long with the 2H internal aiming for short term targets until I see a bearish choch to target the weekly low.
The least probably but still possible outcome is for price to go above the December high if the 2H internal price action continues bullish.
We also have some very important news releases with Services PMI and NFP being the major ones so be sure to manage your risk this week like every week.
EURUSD DETAILED ANALYSISFollowing up on the guide that I posted on the weekly timeframe, internal price action on the 2H is bullish and we are currently at the OB which supports the first outcome.
Price could continue down without giving us a bearish choch which is a 50/50 trade IMO.
I would prefer to see a bearish choch first to increase its probability of holding.
If we break above the strong week high I will try to go long with the 2H internal aiming for short term targets until I see a bearish choch to target the weekly low. There are several areas where we could see a choch but keep in mind they could just give a reaction (no choch) to then just continue going higher.
The least probably but still possible outcome is for price to go above the December high if the 2H internal price action continues bullish.
We also have some very important news releases with Services PMI and NFP being the major ones so be sure to manage your risk this week like every week.
EurUsd could drop under parity in 2025 (0.95 target)Now that 2024 has concluded, EUR/USD has ended the year at its lowest point, marking a 7% decline from January and a 9% drop from its summer peak.
Most notably, the pair fell 6% since November—a significant move for such a typically stable currency pair, highlighting strong bearish momentum.
Technical Analysis
On the daily chart, the EUR/USD has shown a steady downtrend since its double top in August and September. Every meaningful reversal attempt was met with selling pressure, leading to a quick resumption of the downward trajectory.
The long-term (monthly) chart paints an even grimmer picture. The pair has been in a clear downtrend since its 2008 peak of 1.60, and it now sits precariously on critical support levels from the 2015 and 2017 lows.
Fundamental Outlook
The fundamentals align with the technical bearish trend. Diverging monetary policies and a bleak economic outlook for the EU add to the pair's struggles.
Conclusion:
Given these conditions, a drop below parity appears likely in the coming year. The most prudent trading strategy for EUR/USD is to sell into rallies and wait for further declines.
My target is 0.95, but, to be honest, I would not be very surprised by 0.9
EUR/USD Shorts from 1.03600 back down?My analysis for EUR/USD (EU) this week closely mirrors my expectations for GBP/USD (GU), as both pairs share similar points of interest (POIs). I’ll be focusing on capitalizing on the bearish trend evident in the formation of lower lows and lower highs.
With the recent break of structure to the downside, new supply zones have been created. I’ll be waiting for a retest of these zones to catch sell opportunities in alignment with the overall trend. Once the price sweeps liquidity and forms a clear schematic, I’ll enter sell trades targeting the demand zone below.
Confluences for EU Sells:
- The price has shown a Change of Character (CHOCH) and multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the downside.
- A few unmitigated supply zones remain, which are likely to be tapped.
- Lots of liquidity below, alongside imbalances that need to be filled.
- The Dollar Index (DXY) is bullish, strengthening the bearish case for EU through correlation.
Note: If the price continues dropping, I’ll wait for a new supply zone to form or look for counter-trend buy opportunities from a valid demand zone.
EURUSD top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EURUSD Short Continuation - Flag Set-upAfter having much success trading this down over the Christmas Period, EURUSD Looks to have disproved the fakeout of 1.05 and we will look to jump on the wagon for the next impulse on its way back to 0.96 - Providing a good retest is given allowing at least a 2:1 RRR down to 1.2, which is the 61.8 Fib Level of the weekly move up.
EURUSD THREE POSSIBLE OUTCOMESWe have a decent weekly range to work with of just over 230 pips. First setup is for price to pullback a bit higher without breaking the previous weeks high targeting the low
Price could also take the previous weeks high for a deeper pullback then wait for price to bearish confirmation to target the low. This setup would take slightly longer to play out than the first.
The last out come is for price to go above the December's high and that would invalidate this setup and I will post my insights if that happens.
Flow with the market and use lower timeframe confirmation if you see a good setup.
EUR/USD Started 2025 at Its Lowest Point in 25 MonthsEUR/USD Started 2025 at Its Lowest Point in 25 Months
According to the EUR/USD chart, on 2nd January, the first trading day of the year, the EUR/USD pair fell below the psychological level of 1.025, the lowest mark since November 2022.
There are few news events, and the EUR/USD rate decline may be attributed to:
→ The holiday period still affecting financial markets, reducing liquidity and creating vulnerabilities for volatility spikes;
→ Market participants potentially rebalancing their portfolios for the new calendar year;
→ Reassessing the strength of the dollar amid uncertainty about the actual steps of President-elect Trump, whose inauguration is scheduled for this month.
Meanwhile, technical analysis of the EUR/USD chart reveals that:
→ In 2024, price fluctuations formed a downward channel, with key pivot points marked by red circles. Notably, the previous holiday period led to the formation of the first of these points.
→ The bullish "Cup and Handle" pattern, which we discussed on 30th December, resulted in a false bullish breakout (indicated by an arrow). Seizing the bulls' failure, the bears pushed the price to the lower boundary of the mentioned channel.
The area where the lower boundary of the channel intersects the psychological level of 1.025 could serve as strong support. The recovery observed on the morning of 3rd January may confirm this.
The holiday period may lead to the formation of a new key pivot point on the EUR/USD chart, as has happened before.
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EUR/USD Bearish Trend: Possible Reversal & Trade Opportunities👀💡 In this video, we analyze the EUR/USD currency pair, currently in a bearish trend on the 4-hour timeframe. Notably, the trend appears overextended, and as we approach the end of the trading week, there’s a potential for a low to form either for the week or the day. This could lead to a retracement on Friday and Monday, with the possibility of a move higher as the market seeks liquidity and establishes the next day’s high. Such movements could present opportunities for counter-trend trades on Friday and potential continuation trades on Monday if the trend persists. Please note, this is not financial advice. 📊✅
EURUSD - Look for a short !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. My point of interest is imbalance filled and rejection from bearish OB + institutional big figure 1.04000.
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