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Eurusdoutlook

LET'S THINK TOGETHER ABOUT EURUSDIn the past week we have witnessed a sharp increase in the eurusd. The climb started from the 1.06700 zone where the pair created support with a triple touch in recent weeks. Before this restart I would have bet on a visit to the 1.0600 area where we find a lot of liquidity, this did not happen... but this does not mean that the price cannot return there. At this point let's analyze the two possibilities together. In favor of the long we have a cot report from last week which shows institutional positions LONG on the pair, all the moving averages (20/50/100/200) were exceeded without a response in the TF daily and above all a weak dollar, which has refused the visit at the highest levels of recent months. Instead, in favor of the short we have the zone we are entering which is full of resistances, Fibo and POC levels. At the same time the RSI oscillators in the average TFs show overbought. The Cot reports have not been updated and institutional investors are most likely starting to consider unloading long positions after the rise. Retail sentiment 87% long vs 13% short. At this point comes my idea: We will most certainly see a decline in the short/medium term to fill the areas left and then we will have to observe how the price will react to understand whether to go long and where. I am currently positioned short and watching whether the price will need higher resistances to open new higher positions. Always think with your head, do not copy signals without having a valid idea about the operation you are about to open.
Short
by jamesbond70
EUR/USD Outlook ICT Concepts💰 Welcome to Your Channel! Welcome to our channel where we delve into the intricacies of financial markets. Today, we focus on EUR/USD , dissecting its current price action to uncover strategic trading opportunities. Join us as we analyze key levels and market dynamics, aiming to refine our trading strategies and maximize potential gains. 📊 Key Levels Analysis Let's first discuss the key levels highlighted in the chart and then consider how to utilize them effectively. As you can see, the previous month's high ( PWH ) is positioned prominently above the chart, while both the previous week's low ( PWL ) and the previous month's low ( PML ) are clustered together at a significant level. 🚀 Price Movement Overview In the provided chart, the price initially surged through the previous week's high ( PWH ) and continued to rise, reaching the Fair Value Gap ( FVG ). Subsequently, it retraced to the gap created below the chart. 🔍 Current Price Behavior The gap has been respected well, and now the price is moving towards the Buy Side Liquidity ( BSL ) marked on the chart. We can anticipate the price to breach this level to gather the liquidity resting above it. 📈 Bias and Potential Entries The current bias is bullish until we reach the buy side liquidity. At that point, we should look for potential short opportunities. However, it's crucial to note that we have swept a low resistance liquidity at 1.07543 , which could provide an entry point on lower time frames. ⏳ Trading Strategy Advice Overall, it's important not to rush into any positions. Wait for the key levels to be taken out and then look for potential entry points. Additionally, be aware of high-impact news events scheduled for the coming days, which could influence market movements. 🙏 Thank you for joining us! Exploring EUR/USD today highlighted the importance of effective risk management in trading success. Prioritize research, implement robust strategies, and seek guidance for confident market navigation. Stay tuned for more insights on our channel. Here's to profitable trading and continuous learning! ⚠️ Disclaimer The information provided here is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
by RealArmin
GAP CLOSED, WHAT'S NEXT?The short on EURUSD got perfectly closed as I was expecting and we made enough profit (honestly I was expecting the price to go up more and add more shorts, but it's ok). Now the chart looks bullish for the short term, but we will probably see a slow price action this days. I have a short term target for a buy at 1.085, but the main view is still bearish. So, the plan is to hold the long for a scalp and wait for a short entry (if the structure doesn't change)
Long
by SaliJournal
The chart is a battleground, revealing who got crushed!In the early days of exchange trading, there was no technical possibility to visualize market quote movements, and traders analyzed ticker tapes. The real hype and massive interest in exchange speculation owe it to the technical possibility of displaying exchange information in the form of charts with ticks, bars, candles, and other more exotic ways of displaying price movements (Renko, Kagi). This led to a rapid growth of various schools of technical and graphical analysis. Just Google it, and you'll be overwhelmed by the sheer amount of info out there. It's like, every chart can be interpreted in a million ways, and three analysts will give you four different opinions on the same chart. It's crazy! But after 15+ years of trading, I've come to realize that the essence of graphical analysis is all about finding the "suffering" market participants. Classic patterns make it easy to spot areas of market activity and where traders are piling in. I'll give you some examples, backed by data from open sources, that'll show you just how predictable retail traders can be. Now, I know some experienced traders might say, "Patterns don't work, and this knowledge isn't enough." But I call BS - patterns do work, and the real question is who's extracting the most value from them? Of course, interpreting market patterns is just one piece of the puzzle. Here's an analogy: think of experienced hunters preparing for a hunt. They don't just wander around looking for prey; they identify the habitats, study the location, and track the animal's migration paths. They have a plan, limited time, and the right gear to get the job done. It's the same with pro traders with really big money. They plan and execute their strategy, using the behavior of less-informed participants in certain "hotspots" that attract retail traders like magnets. It's simple: a a newbie sees a market situation that looks just like one from a technical analysis book, and they're like, "Ah, I've got this!" Alright, let's take a look at the current situation with the Euro. I've got a screenshot with the average long and short positions of retail traders marked on the chart. It's a 1-hour time frame, which is probably the most popular one, right? Think about it, why is this time frame so popular? The data is from an open source, as of Friday evening. Take a minute to study this chart. What catches your eye? Let's zoom in and add some lines and arrows. Voilà! What do we see? The average long and short positions of participants (from the open source) almost perfectly match the breakouts of local highs and lows. This is what's called "trading the breakout" in the books. We can make an intermediate conclusion: the "bulls" were encouraged to open positions and got stuck in a losing zone, while the "bears" are celebrating their victory, as the market is favoring them and they're in a small profit. In other words, the market sentiment is bearish. Woohoo, case closed, let's go to short the Euro now! And yes, and no! The Euro quotes have been below the average short position of traders since June 14th, for two whole weeks, inviting everyone to start shorting. Even a blind "bull" can see it's time to switch sides). Here are some more numbers from the open source: short positions on the Euro decreased by 11.55% last week , while bearish positions grew by 8.55% . These are broker-aggregated data, no insider info here. You can find them yourself if you put in some time and effort. These numbers, as you understand, confirm our hypothesis that this "shorting invitation" didn't go unnoticed. Now, in the context of this article, think about it: "Will the 'Hunters' take advantage of this situation?" Or will the market take us all for a profitable ride? Oh boy... Let's look at the current situation with the Yen. It's a 1-hour chart with opened buys and sell levels marked. What can we conclude: a massive bearish candle clearly encouraged a lot of short positions to open, while the "bulls" opened at the upper range boundary during its test, and the market is favoring them, while the bears are suffering. But what's even more important, they're not just suffering, but also reversing the market. According to open data, the number of open short positions grew by 14.09% last week . Good luck to them in this tough business! However we should remember that short positions are closed at a stop-loss by "market buy" orders, which gives an impulse for further growth. What do I want to convey with this article, what do I want to share with you, mates? Evaluate market sentiment through the prism of "suffering" participants - that's, in my opinion, the best indicator! Usefully utilize information from open sources about retail positioning, there's a lot of value in it. Try to look at the chart with the eyes of a "hunter", search for traps set. Make such analysis a necessary part of your strategy to gain an edge, without which trading on markets is like playing "roulette". It's a journey, folks. Some get it earlier, some later, but eventually, most traders come to realize they need to "dig deeper", learn more about market mechanics, and improve their strategies. It's a painful process, but it's worth it. So, don't give up! Get back on your feet, and try again. As 50 Cent said: Get rich or die trying!
Education
by ClashChartsTeam
EUR/USD Shorts form 1.07100 or 1.07425My analysis for EU is similar to GU, focusing on sell opportunities. I'm particularly interested in a 4-hour supply level as a key area to take sells from. Once the price enters that zone, I will look for lower time frame (LTF) confirmation to continue the bearish trend. If the price goes higher, which is also expected, a more favorable sell position would be around the 5-hour supply zone, as it offers a more advantageous selling point. - Price has been very bearish recently indicating bears are more dominant. - 5hr and 4hr supply levels left unmitigated thats now become our POI. - Lots of liquidity left to the downside like Asia lows. - DXY is also correlating and supporting this idea as the dollar is looking bullish right now. - Lots of bearish pressure which means the correction is pending back up. P.S. I expect this pair to start off bearish this week, aiming to break the nearby low. Afterward, I anticipate a reaction from the 4-hour demand zone, causing a retracement back up.
Short
by Hassan_fx
3
EURUSD Bearish move continued**Monthly Chart** EURUSD is in a large range between 1.11500 and 1.04482 levels from August 2023 to date as per the monthly chart. However, it is still moving in a large long-term bearish directional bias and short-term bullish directional bias. **Weekly Chart** EURUSD weekly candle closed bearish after testing 50% of the previous weekly candle and moved lower in addition to filling the gap that occurred during the weekend due to the EURO election. This provided a clear indication to continue the move lower this week. The next target is around 1.0600 level (the previous weekly swing low). **Daily Chart** The gap was filled just before FOMC announcement last Wednesday, which created a favorable spot to push EURUSD lower. On 21st June there will be EURO PMI results which might generate some reaction near 1.06000 level. We will be looking to short this pair if there is a good pullback with a clear confirmation pattern on lower time frame. The first target will be 1.06000 level and then 1.0500/1.04500 levels. However, we might expect a reaction around 1.0600 level that may push the price higher.
Short
by PropSignals
Will EURUSD Drop Again ?I see EURUSD in the 1.08172-1.07836 area, there is a base area (DBD), as a supply area for UERUSD, and there is an EMA 200, with the trend formed by EURUSD being a downtrend, based on the above it is very realistic to determine a SELL plan in the Supply area with SL above the supply zone and TP 2R is very possible to achieve. Hopefully I'm right and luck comes my way. Note: this idea is not a recommendation for making your trading decisions. All losses and profits are not our responsibility. Happy Trading keep safe.
Short
by AHAFX10
EURUSD Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👉 In this video we look at a trade idea for the EURUSD currency pair. The higher time frame charts indicate that the euro dollar (EURUSD) is currently facing downward pressure, suggesting a potential short (sell) opportunity. We’ve analyzed the overall trend, market structure, and recent price action. Additionally, we’ve identified a couple of options for setting stop loss levels. Remember that this information is for educational purposes only, and trading carries a high level of risk. Always prioritize good risk management strategies in your trading decisions. ✅🌟
Short
by fxtraderanthony
0606 ECB Likely to Surpass Fed in Rate Cutting.EU DOWN FOR THAT?Hello traders, European Central Bank (E.C.B.) is likely to overtake the Fed in terms of rate cuts today in later session. While the Fed has been seen as the global weathervane for monetary policy, the E.C.B. may take more aggressive steps to stimulate growth as pressures on the eurozone economy increase. This CUTTING rate decision could make EURUSD turn down from this week. Check these charts: Left daily chart, waiting for a fake breaking through signal or bearish confirming signal when EURUSD trying to retest the daily pressure zone. On the right weekly chart, EURUSD is considered sideways price action in a downtrend channel. If ECB decides to cut rate today, it could make a reflection point on this channel and down to test low as the arrow. GOOD LUCK ON THIS SELLING PLAN AFTER CONFIRMING ECB CUTTING RATE DECISION. LESS IS MORE!
Short
by FUNTRADER-Vera
You Need An Edge In The Markets - Tradingview Has The Tools!👉📈 In the video, we look at a EURUSD trade opportunity, but more importantly, we delve into essential features and tools available on TradingView, which can considerably enhance your trading edge. Here’s what we cover: ✅ 1: Multi-Chart Layout: - TradingView’s workspace allows you to view multiple charts simultaneously. This feature is particularly useful when analyzing currency pairs like EURUSD. - By comparing different timeframes or related assets, you gain a broader perspective on market dynamics. ✅ 2: Currency Indexes: - Currency indexes provide crucial insights. They help answer questions like: Is the EUR (Euro) truly under pressure? Is the USD (US Dollar) gaining strength? - For instance, even if the EURUSD pair appears bearish, understanding the individual currency strengths is vital. Sometimes, two currencies may be trending in the same direction with one slightly stronger than the other.. you might look to avoid trading the currency pair associated with this scenario. ✅ 3: Entry, Stop Loss, and Target Levels: - We explore how to identify optimal entry points, setting a suitable stop-loss, and define profit targets. 📢Leveraging TradingView’s tools, you can fine-tune your trading strategy and gain a real edge in the currency markets. 📢 Remember, steady conservative and consistant trading, along with rigorous risk management, is key. Happy trading! 🛡️🌟
Short
by fxtraderanthony
18