EURUSD Under Pressure – Bearish Setup Builds Near Key ResistanceThe EURUSD pair is currently moving within a clearly defined downward price channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries over several recent sessions. This structure confirms that the bearish trend remains dominant.
At the moment, price is showing a mild technical rebound, but it has yet to break above the EMA 34 and 89, while a key resistance zone around 1.1740 is looming just above. If a reversal candlestick pattern forms at this level (such as a bearish engulfing or a pin bar), it could provide a high-probability entry for sellers, targeting a drop back to 1.1660 or potentially even the lower edge of the channel.
However, if price decisively breaks above the descending channel and holds above 1.1750, this entire bearish scenario would be invalidated — possibly triggering a deeper corrective rally and placing any short positions at risk.
In summary: The downtrend still holds the advantage — but this is a moment that demands clear confirmation.
Share your perspective — and don’t forget to manage your risk with discipline!
Eurusdprediction
EUR/USD Testing Support — Will Buyers Step In Again?Hi Everyone,
Since our last update, EUR/USD is currently testing the 1.16680 support level. We’re watching for buying interest to emerge above the key 1.16450 zone; if price can stabilise here, we could see a retest of the highlighted resistance area around 1.17450.
Our broader outlook remains unchanged: as long as price holds above 1.16450, we continue to look for the pair to build momentum for another move higher in the coming sessions. A decisive break above last week’s high could attract fresh buying interest, paving the way for a push towards the 1.19290 area and ultimately 1.20000.
We'll be watching closely to see if this recovery gains traction and whether buyers can sustain the move above resistance. The longer-term view remains bullish, provided price continues to respect the key support zone.
We’ll keep updating you through the week as the structure unfolds and share how we’re managing our active positions.
Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we really appreciate the support!
All the best for the rest of the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
EUR/USD Bearish Setup H4 Chart AnalysisMarket Structure:
Current Price: 1.17057
The market has rejected a key resistance zone around 1.17600–1.17800 (highlighted in yellow).
Price formed a lower high, suggesting bearish momentum is taking control after an uptrend.
The pair is trading around a key trendline and Ichimoku cloud, with a likely break below.
Bearish Signals:
1. Double Top / Lower High Formation near 1.17600 indicates potential reversal.
2. Bearish Projection Drawn: Expecting a drop after the neckline break.
3. Support Zones Marked:
First Support/TP1: 1.1650 – 1.1595
Second Support/TP2: 1.1456
Final Target/TP3: 1.1351
EURUSD is ready to break supportCMCMARKETS:EURUSD
The Euro fell to 1.1670 on Friday, positioning for nearly a 1% weekly loss 📊, as investors recalibrated risk exposure amid escalating trade tensions ⚔️ and shifting monetary policy signals 🏦.
📉 Market Structure:
🔻 EURUSD has traded in a bearish trend since July 1.
🔹 Support levels: 1.1680 and 1.1590.
🔹 Retested the 1.1680 support zone on Friday.
💡 How to Trade This:
✅ If the pair rebounds from support 🔄, consider BUYING with a Take Profit near the next resistance level.
❌ If the support breaks with confirmation 🩻, consider SELLING to target lower support zones.
📰 What’s Driving the Move?
🏦 Monetary Policy:
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee pushed back against calls for aggressive rate cuts 🗣️, reaffirming the Fed’s focus on its dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability ⚖️. His cautious stance adds uncertainty 🤔 to the policy outlook for the second half of the year as markets weigh inflation risks vs. growth slowdown signals.
💼 Economic Data:
The labor market remains solid 💪, but recent jobless claims data show early signs of cooling 🧊, following last week’s strong NFP report.
💵 Dollar Strength:
The dollar advanced sharply against the euro 🚀, driven by risk aversion, relative yield advantages, and investor positioning ahead of upcoming inflation data and the Fed’s next policy signals 📈.
🚨 Watch for:
🔸 A confirmed breakout or rebound at 1.1680 to guide trade entries.
🔸 Upcoming U.S. inflation data 🪙 for direction on Fed policy and USD strength.
🔸 Further developments in trade tensions 🌐, which could drive risk sentiment.
EURUSD Technical Analysis**Chart Overview:**
* **Pair:** EUR/USD
* **Timeframe:** 30-minute
* **Trend:** Bearish (Confirmed by lower highs, lower lows, and downward-sloping trendline)
---
🔍 **Technical Analysis :**
**1. Downtrend Structure**
* Price is consistently making **lower highs and lower lows**, confirming a **strong downtrend**.
* A clear **descending trendline** is respected multiple times as resistance.
**2. EMAs (7, 21, 50)**
* All EMAs (blue, purple, black) are sloping downward.
* Price is trading **below all EMAs**, signaling continued bearish momentum.
* EMA 50 (\~1.1716) acts as a **dynamic resistance** zone.
**3. Key Resistance Zones (Marked as R1 & R2)**
* **R1 Zone (\~1.1710–1.1720):** Previous support now turned resistance. Could see rejection here.
**R2 Zone (\~1.1730+):** Higher resistance, possibly tested if R1 breaks. Also aligns with EMA confluence.
**4. Volume Analysis**
* Volume shows **spikes on bearish candles**, which suggests **strong selling interest** at lower highs.
* No significant bullish volume breakout so far.
📈 **Price Projection Path (Red Arrows)**
* The red path illustrates a **bearish price projection**:
* Price may pull back into **R1 or R2**
* Likely to face **resistance & rejection** from those levels
* Expected to make **lower highs and resume downside movement**
* Potential drop toward **1.1670, 1.1650, and lower**
🟢 **Bullish Invalidator**
* If price **breaks and holds above R2 (\~1.1735+)** with volume, it may indicate a **trend reversal or bullish correction**.
---
**Summary:**
* **Bias:** Bearish
* **Resistance Zones to Watch:**
* R1: 1.1710–1.1720
* R2: 1.1730–1.1740
* **Targets on Downside:**
* 1.1670
* 1.1650 or lower
* **Confirmation Needed:** Bearish rejection candles or failure to break R1/R2
EURUSD is in a Downside DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart EURUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today EURUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (EURUSD market update)
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🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
EurUsd - This is the deadly breakout!EurUsd - FX:EURUSD - is about to fly:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
EurUsd has been rallying about +15% over the past couple of months. Additionally the breakout at the current resistance trendline is about to be confirmed. Subsequently EurUsd is setting up for another major move higher, which will be painful for all European traders.
Levels to watch: $1.23, $1.11
Keep your long term vision🙏🙏
Philip (BasicTrading)
EURUSD Will Keep Growing!
HI,Traders !
#EURUSD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair broke
The key horizontal level
Of 1.16370 and the breakout
Is confirmed so after a potential
Retest of the support cluster
Of the rising and horizontal
Support lines below we will
Be expecting a bullish continuation !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
"Gold (XAUUSD) is moving down to grab liquidity."Looking for Impulse Down.
Gold/XauUsd: This chart shows a clear Market Structure Shift (MSS) following a liquidity sweep (SMT) near the highs. Price is now respecting a bearish order block and forming lower highs, indicating smart money distribution.
Targeting sell-side liquidity at 3274.75 and 3246.50. Until price reclaims the most recent supply (above 3,300), the bearish bias remains intact.
Educational Use Only: This breakdown is for study and informational purposes and is not financial advice.
Learn & Earn!
Wave Trader Pro
NFP Bears gathering their troops? or will the Bulls stampede...The past 9 days have been quite interesting for the EUR/USD which has been relentless. Price has been rising like a helium balloon let loose at the park...
Bulls have clearly been in control, not only the past 9 days but since the beginning of the year with the exception of the strong pullback in April & May only to bounce for another 700 pip run.
I am totally USD bearish across the board as I have been mentioning in my analysis videos for the past few months but like all macro moves, we always have pullbacks along the way and that is why I have been shorting the EUR/USD back from 1.1500+ - 1.1700+
I've given this a lot of room to breathe, more than usual but considering the following technical setup, I'm willing to give the Bears some leeway and potentially show me they'll come through.
•Rising Broadening pattern (Where two trendlines start close together only to divergence and expand) - This is a bearish pattern.
•Negative Divergence on the MACD, Linear Regression & the RSI.
•Price has made a run to the yearly R3 pivot level. (Rare extension)
•Last daily candle is a hanging man candlestick (Reversal candle)
•Weekly chart has the EUR/USD at the upper band of a polynomial regression channel which calculates for price extremities in the market.
There are a few more setups as well but it's too much to describe here and I'd have to show it in a video (Which I plan to do over the weekend)
With all of that said... It could all fail lol but seriously speaking... You just can't ask for a better probabilistic setup so whatever happens during NFP... happens.
Aside from the technical aspect... I know yearly R2 around 1.1600 was a hotspot for shorts because divergence was at the early stages and taking a short there wouldn't have been a bad idea but we know institutions are in play as well, so above 1.1600 could have been a huge area to run stop losses and margin calls before a potential reversal.
250 pips would be enough to run a large pool of stops and liquidation.
IF price is going to reverse here during NFP, I believe late longs and breakout/pullback traders are going to try and buy at the trendline at 1.1660ish but it wont hold and trap them on the other side of the trade.
Under that, I can see us pulling back towards 1.1200ish...
If the Bears give up and price continues to climb... the original macro target may very well be under way which was 1.2000 - 1.2200 (Based on a Monthly and 3-Month chart analysis)
As of this writing the EUR/USD is pretty much completely flat which is expected before the NFP fireworks ahead of July 4th.
We'll see what happens tomorrow morning! buckle up!
As always, Good luck and Trade Safe! See you post NFP.
EUR/USD Holding the Line: Bullish Channel Setup!Hi traders! Analyzing EUR/USD on the 30-min timeframe, price is currently reacting near the bottom of a well-defined ascending channel, signaling a potential bullish continuation within the trend:
🔹 Entry: 1.17071
🔹 Take Profit: 1.17423
🔹 Stop Loss: 1.16825
After a corrective move downwards, price tapped into a key trendline support, aligning with prior structure and psychological level near 1.1700. The RSI is showing a bullish divergence near oversold levels, adding confluence to a possible reversal.
As long as price holds above the lower boundary of the channel, bulls may look to target the mid-to-upper region of the range, aligning with previous highs and dynamic resistance.
🟢 The trend remains intact as long as higher lows are respected.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Every trader is responsible for managing their own risk and strategy.
Confirming EURUSD corrective downtrend✏️EURUSD is trading in a downtrend channel. SELL signal is triggered at the current price around 1.172 as the H4 candle failed to break 1.176 and confirmed the Sellers' entry into the market clearly. Target for the downtrend is at 1.145, the Sellers' strength needs to overcome the Break out zone of 1.163 first.
📈 Key level
Support 1.163-1.146
Resistance 1.176
SELL DCA Trigger: Break 1.163
BUY Trigger: The price trades about 1.163.
Uptrend in EURUSDYesterday, EURUSD once again tested the support level at 1,1683 and bounced off it.
We might see another retest of this support zone, but the overall trend remains unchanged.
Watch for signs that the correction is ending — this could present a buying opportunity.
The next resistance levels are at 1,1813 and 1,1916!
EUR/USD Holds Above Key Support — Outlook IntactHi Everyone,
Price briefly dipped below the 1.16680 support, but our broader outlook remains unchanged as long as it continues to hold above the key 1.16450 level. Should buyers successfully defend the 1.16450 zone, we still see potential for the pair to stabilise and make another attempt higher in the coming sessions.
We’ll be monitoring price action closely to see if support continues to hold and whether momentum starts to build back to the upside.
We maintain the view that a decisive break above last week’s high could attract additional buyers, paving the way for a move towards the 1.19290 level and ultimately the 1.20000 level.
We’ll share further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD if price breaks above this key resistance.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend towards the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649.
We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
EUR/USD Could Take Off From Here! Strategic SetupHi traders! , Analyzing EUR/USD on the 30 minute timeframe, price is currently reacting from a strong support zone near 1.1696, showing potential for a bullish rebound after a sharp drop.
🔹 Entry: 1.1696
🔹 Take Profit (TP): 1.1770
🔹 Stop Loss (SL): 1.1621
After a strong downside move, EUR/USD is attempting a recovery from a key intraday support area. The RSI is bouncing from oversold conditions (around 34), indicating a possible short-term shift in momentum.
Price is also approaching the 200 EMA from below, and a break above could confirm bullish continuation toward the 1.1770 resistance zone. The setup offers a solid risk-reward ratio and aligns with mean reversion expectations.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Every trader is responsible for their own decisions and risk management.
EUR/USD Update: Breakout Potential Above Recent HighsHi Everyone,
Monday played out as expected; a bounce off the highlighted support area appears to have provided enough momentum for a retest of the 1.18000 level. Price could briefly dip below the 1.16680 support; however, our outlook will remain unchanged as long as we hold above the 1.16450 level.
We maintain the view that a decisive break above last week’s high could attract additional buyers, paving the way for a move towards the 1.19290 level and ultimately the 1.20000 level.
We’ll share further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD if price breaks above this key resistance.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend towards the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649.
We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
#EURUSD: Nothing to expect from DXY| View Changed Swing Trading|Hey there! So, we were previously thinking EURUSD was going to be bearish, but things have turned around and it’s looking bullish for now.
The extreme bearish pressure on USD has caused all the major USD pairs to be in a range. As the week goes on and we get the NFP data, the market will probably focus more on these economic indicators. So, it’s not surprising to see some market ranges during this time.
We’ll keep a close eye on the market, as there might be some manipulation going on this week.
We recommend waiting until Monday’s daily candle closes to see if the bullish trend is strong enough. Then, based on the price momentum, you can make your decisions.
We hope you have a great week and safe trading! If you like our work and analysis, please consider liking, commenting, and sharing our content.
Cheers,
Team Setupsfx
❤️🚀
Long EURUSDThe uptrend on EURUSD remains intact, and buying opportunities are still the only viable option.
No major news is expected from the economic calendar this week.
Watch for the end of the current pullback and signs of a new bullish move.
The target is a breakout above the previous high, aiming for 1,1915.
EUR/USD Rally Pauses Near 1.18000 – Higher Targets in SightHi Everyone,
Last week, price action delivered the 1.18000 level we had been calling for, and as expected, dynamic resistance around that area proved to be significant.
Looking ahead, we anticipate EUR/USD will continue to test the 1.18000 level this week while holding above the 1.16680 support zone. A strong break above last week’s high could attract further buyers, paving the way for a move towards the 1.19290 and ultimately the 1.20000 levels. We’ll share further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD if price breaks above this level.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend towards the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649.
We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX