Eurusdprediction
EUR/USD Reverses at Supply Level Amid German PMI WeaknessGermany’s Manufacturing PMI continued its decline, dropping to 40.3 in September, falling short of the forecast of 42.4. This latest figure signals ongoing weakness in Europe’s largest economy, as the manufacturing sector struggles with reduced demand and broader economic challenges. The PMI contraction adds further pressure to the already fragile outlook for the Eurozone, and it has contributed to the recent bearish moves in the EUR/USD pair.
As anticipated in our recent analysis, the EUR/USD reacted sharply to the supply level around 1.11500, starting a reversal following the weak data. The currency pair’s behavior confirms the importance of this key resistance area, which has once again acted as a barrier to further gains. The reversal gained momentum as the Services PMI for the German economy also disappointed, falling to 50.6 in September, below the expected 51.0. The combined weakness in both manufacturing and services sectors signals a broader slowdown in the German economy, weighing on the Euro.
Adding to the bearish outlook for the EUR/USD, the Commitment of Traders (COT) report shows a clear divergence in sentiment between retail traders and institutional investors. Retail traders remain largely long on the EUR/USD, reflecting optimism that the Euro will recover. However, "Smart Money" — large institutional traders — continue to hold a bearish position, suggesting that they expect further downside for the pair.
This contrast in positioning underscores the potential for more weakness in the Euro, particularly if the economic data from Germany and the Eurozone continues to disappoint. As smart money maintains a bearish stance and the EUR/USD begins its reversal, traders should remain cautious of potential short-term rallies and focus on the broader downtrend that seems to be forming.
Looking ahead, traders will keep a close eye on future economic data releases and central bank decisions, as these will likely shape the next leg of the EUR/USD’s movement. For now, the pair appears set to continue its downward trend, with the 1.11500 supply level serving as a strong point of resistance.
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EURUSD WEEKLY UPDATESHello fellow traders. waiting for a weekly candle to break the 2023 highs!
Looking for a sell after a weekly candle that make a wick!
This idea base on Re-accumulation. this is not a financial advice.
Wait for 1.12754 to be break. then wait a closed candle on weekly timeframe.
FOr buy area see the chart, Look for entry buy zone 1.06946 after a week candle closed!
This is only my Point of view.
Trade base on your understanding.
Follow for more.
Swing trades. come and check me out for autoscale copy trading.
ciao.
Happy weekend.!
EURUSD week 39 analysis🌐Fundamental Analysis
EUR/USD faced selling pressure above 1.1150 during North American trading hours on Friday. The major currency pair fell as the US dollar (USD) recovered. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the greenback's value against six major currencies, rebounded sharply to near 101.00
However, the overall outlook for the US dollar remains uncertain, following the Fed's aggressive rate cut and growing market expectations that the US central bank will continue its aggressive policy easing cycle. The Fed cut interest rates by 50 basis points (bps) as policymakers appeared to focus on restoring strength in the labour market as inflation eases to the bank's 2% target.
In terms of interest rate guidance, Fed policymakers see the federal funds rate heading towards 4.4% by year-end, according to the latest dot plot. However, traders expect a further 75 bps cut to 4.00%-4.25%, according to the CME FedWatch tool.
🕯Technical Analysis
The EURUSD uptrend has seen some minor corrections but the buying pressure remains strong, so the immediate price range the pair faces next week is around 1.222 and 1.112. The highest measured Fibonacci extension of 1.618 will be around 1.126 and a retracement of the strategic support zone of 1.108 will keep the pair from a long slide.
📈📉Trading Signals
SELL EURUSD zone 1.126-1.128 Stoploss 1.130
BUY EURUSD zone 1.112-1.110 Stoploss 1.108
#EURUSD: 600+ PIPS Buying Chance Emerging! Good LuckFX:EURUSD
Price in weekly timeframe shown us a clear price indication of what it could be heading towards. There are more than enough confirmations which helped us to analysis and predict the future price of EU. Although, there is a big chance that price may drop a bit further down due to FED involvement within the market tomorrow. However, we are confident enough that price will remain bullish for upcoming weeks. Good luck.
KOG's RED BOXES - EURUSD EURUSD:
Key level red box here is around the 1.1045 region with the bias being bullish above. Swing high currently in production, immediate red box needs to break.
Have a look at the previous pinned posts on Red boxes to familiarise yourself with how they are so effective in keeping traders the right side of the markets.
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As always, trade safe.
KOG
EURUSD 1H TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS | SELL MEAL IS READY WHAT YOU THINKHello, everyone! I hope you’re all doing well and ready to dive into today’s trading opportunities. I’m excited to share my analysis on EURUSD and discuss a potential setup that I believe could be quite rewarding for us.
As we assess the current market landscape, it’s clear that eurusd has recently grabbed all buy-side liquidity. This movement indicates a potential shift in market sentiment and opens the door to bearish momentum. With this in mind, I’m considering a short position on eurusd, with my entry point at 1.11800.
Here’s my detailed outlook:
Market Analysis: The price action we’ve seen suggests that buyers have exhausted their strength. With liquidity being tapped out, we’re now likely to see sellers take control, pushing prices lower. Historical patterns and current trends support this bearish outlook, making it an opportune moment to capitalize on potential downward movement.
Target Levels: For this trade, my first target is set at 1.11450, and I’m aiming for further downside to around 1.11150. These levels have shown significant support in the past, and I anticipate they will be crucial in this trading session.
Risk Management: To protect our investment, I’m implementing a stop loss at 1.12200. This provides us with a comfortable 30-pip buffer, allowing for some market fluctuation while safeguarding our capital. It’s essential to have a clear risk management strategy in place, especially in volatile markets like eurusd.
Trade Execution: I encourage everyone to analyze this setup based on your own strategies and risk tolerance. Always ensure that your trade aligns with your overall trading plan. If you’re considering this trade, I recommend staying vigilant and watching for confirmation signals before entering.
Community Engagement: I want to take a moment to express my heartfelt gratitude for the incredible support and engagement you’ve shown for my ideas. Your feedback not only motivates me but also enriches our community. If you have insights, alternative perspectives, or questions about this setup—or if there’s anything else on your mind—please share in the comments! I’m eager to discuss and learn from all of you.
Looking Ahead: As we navigate today’s trading session, let’s remain focused and adaptable. The markets can change rapidly, and being prepared to adjust our strategies is key to success. Remember, trading is not just about making profits; it’s also about continuous learning and growth as traders.
Thank you all once again for being such a fantastic community! Together, let’s make the most of today’s trading opportunities. Here’s to a successful day ahead—let’s aim for those profits! 🚀💰✨
Happy trading, everyone!
EURUSD → We have to waitDuring yesterday's session, the euro hit the key weekly level at 1.11250
The price movement today will be crucial, as tomorrow's interest rate decision is due and high volatility is expected. We have to keep in mind that the 1.11500 level has not yet been touched.
Guys, what do you think? Leave a comment with your thoughts.
EURUSD - Technical Analysis [Short Setup]🔹 EURUSD Analysis on 1HR chart
- The current Trend is BULLISH
- there is Bearish divergences
-Rising Wedge reversal pattern is form
🔹 Trade Plan
- Entry Level = 0.67295
- Stop Loss = 1.11500
- TP1 = 1.11030
- TP2 = 1.10790
🔹 Risk Management
- First TP is 1:1
- Second TP is 1:2
🔹 How to Take Trade?
- Only risk 2% of your portfolio
- Take 1% risk entry with 1:1 RR
- Take 1% risk entry with 1:2 RR
Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea! ✌🏼
EURUSD and GBPUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EURUSD "The Fiber" Bearish Robbery Plan on Short sideHola ola My Dear,
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EUR USD Intraday & Daily Analysis for start of new week!
It looks like there is more demand for buying the EURO right at this moment!
The chart shows a lot of buying during the week of the EURO from order-blocks, which led to a rally in the EURO against the USD and a perfect fib level retracement at 50% level to more buyers.
There are double-tops on weekly and monthly charts which could hinder things a little bit,
Bullish Outlook for EUR/USD Next WeekNext week presents a strong bullish opportunity for EUR/USD, especially for long-term longs. While we may experience a short-term pullback, I expect the Euro to spike down early in the week before rallying on Wednesday, driven by the anticipated Fed rate cuts on the Dollar. My entry point will be around the 1.10236 demand zone, where I will look to open long positions. With a bearish outlook on the U.S. Dollar. The Euro is poised for a potential bull market.
(Take profit levels can be set higher based on your own analysis. My targets are for reference only—always trust your own strategy and avoid relying on others.)
#EURUSD 1DAYEURUSD Daily Chart Analysis
Trade Recommendation: Sell
Sell Level:1.10800
Target Level : 1.09750
Overview:
The EURUSD currency pair is currently poised for a potential downtrend according to the latest daily chart analysis. We recommend entering a sell position at the level of 1.10800, which aligns with key resistance and shows signs of a potential reversal.
Target Level:
1 Target Level: 1.09750 This level represents the anticipated downside target where the price is expected to find support or experience a rebound. This target reflects a reasonable expectation based on recent price action and technical indicators.
Strategy:
Enter the sell position at 1.10800 with a stop-loss set above the recent resistance to manage risk and protect against adverse price movements.
- Monitor the price action as it approaches the target level of 1.09750. Consider adjusting your stop-loss or taking profits if the price shows signs of reversing near this target.
Outlook:
The bearish outlook is supported by recent trends and technical signals suggesting a potential decline. Stay updated with market news and economic events that could impact the EURUSD pair, and adjust your strategy as necessary.
Feel free to refine this description based on any additional insights or analysis you may have!
EURUSD Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀👉 The EURUSD has broken key support levels across multiple timeframes, suggesting a continuation of the current bearish trend and potential further downside pressure.
Technical Overview
The pair is forming a bearish structure with lower highs and lows on the daily and 4-hour charts, signaling more bearish momentum that could drive the price toward previous lows.
Trading Strategy
I'm waiting for a retracement to the 50-61.8% Fibonacci zone, which often attracts price in trending markets. If the PPI data today strengthens the USD, this could offer a good entry point for a short trade, in line with the bearish outlook.
Risk Management
While the setup looks promising, it's important to wait for confirmation before entering. Look for bearish candlestick patterns or a rejection at key resistance levels within the Fibonacci zone to minimize risk.
Market Structure
Sellers are currently in control, and any rallies are met with selling pressure, pointing to a possible further downside if support levels continue to break.
Always do your own research and manage risk carefully. Never trade more than you can afford to lose. 📉✅
EURUSD, what is going on? After Friday’s manipulation during the NFP, price spiked up to the daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) and daily bearish order block (OB), rebalancing in premium before reversing downward. My final target remains the same—daily FVG at 1.0892-1.08356.
Locally, I see two potential moves:
A small pump up to the minor Breaker Structure (BTS) zone, followed by a sharp drop.
A straight drop right from the market open.
Stay sharp, this setup could unfold quickly.