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Eurusdprediction

Overextended Rally into Resistance ZoneEUR/USD has pushed into the upper boundary of the Keltner Channel on the 4H timeframe, indicating a potential exhaustion of bullish momentum. Price is showing signs of overextension with Heikin Ashi candles losing strength near a key resistance zone. 📉 Short Position Setup: Entry: 1.17220 (near upper Keltner resistance) SL: 1.17581 (above recent highs and volatility buffer) TP: 1.15220 (targeting mid-channel and previous structure support) 🔻 Bearish Confluence: Price rejecting upper Keltner band Potential for mean reversion after strong rally Weakening bullish momentum in candle structure Confirmation with further bearish price action or divergence signals would strengthen the case for downside continuation.
Short
by VisionaryInsights
Shorting Optimism: EUR/USD Rally vs RealityAfter the spike to 1.1640 driven by temporary ceasefire news and USD weakness, I’ve taken a short position on EUR/USD. The market priced in too much optimism too fast, and I see limited upside beyond this zone in the current macro landscape. I’m positioned for a controlled retracement back toward the 1.1460–1.1520 region. The play? Fade the overextension, follow structure, and manage from strength. Technicals: • The pair ran into a strong supply zone near 1.1640, which aligns with a previous liquidity sweep. • Momentum has slowed visibly on lower timeframes, with candles rejecting highs and wicks printing upper tails. • Daily and 4H SMAs are overstretched. The 20 SMA on H4 is accelerating upward, but RSI is near overbought and flattening. • My short entry was taken with a stop above 1.1745 and first target at 1.1540, second at 1.1500. • A potential retest of the 1.1660 zone could offer additional entries if invalidation remains intact. Fundamentals: • ECB vs Fed Divergence: The Fed holds firm on rates amid sticky inflation, while the ECB is under pressure to ease further due to weak growth. • EU Struggles: PMI data remains in contraction territory; HICP cooling to 1.7% YoY suggests little reason for tightening. • Political Instability: Germany and France both facing internal political crises — risk premia rising. • Ceasefire Priced In: EUR rally on Middle East headlines lacks depth — conflict paused, not resolved. • USD Resilience: Weak recent data aside, the USD remains a safe haven. Fed’s Powell reiterated that cuts aren’t imminent. ⚠️ Bias: Bearish as long as price trades below 1.1640. Watching how the market reacts to Fed testimony and ECB rhetoric this week. 🧠 Reminder: Don’t get emotional after vertical rallies. When everyone gets excited, I look for exhaustion. That’s where trades begin. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Short
by AR33_
Smart Money Concepts (SMC) principles.Smart Money Concepts (SMC) principles. Here’s a full breakdown of the chart and its annotations: 📊 Chart Details: Pair: EUR/USD Timeframe: 4-hour (H4) Current Price: Around 1.16093 USD 🔍 Key Annotations & Zones: 🟫 Pink Zone (Supply/Resistance Area): This area includes: Accumulation FVG (Fair Value Gap) Price has recently entered and reacted from this zone. 🔼 Buy Side Liquidity: Highlighted at the top of the range. Price swept above recent highs to trigger buy stops (liquidity grab), possibly setting up for a reversal. 🔽 Sell Side Liquidity: Marked below the previous consolidation range. Price had previously dipped to collect sell-side liquidity before moving upward. 📈 Accumulation: This phase occurred before the bullish breakout. Suggests institutional buying or smart money positioning. 📉 FVG (Fair Value Gap): Imbalance between buying and selling, typically gets filled. Marked in the pink zone where price may return before continuing its move. 📌 Price Structure Analysis: The chart shows a classic liquidity sweep setup: Price grabs buy-side liquidity. Enters a supply zone. May return to fill the FVG. Potential reversal or bearish reaction from this zone. ✅ Trading Implications: Bearish Scenario: Price may reject from the pink supply zone after the buy-side liquidity sweep, filling the FVG and possibly heading toward previous lows. Bullish Scenario (less likely immediately): If price holds above the pink zone, it could continue trending upward.
by King_Maker_FX
FVG (Fair Value Gap) or Imbalance Zones (grey boxes):Key Zones & Markings: SSL (Sell Side Liquidity) - "True return to support" (bottom horizontal line around 1.13700): Indicates that price has swept the sell-side liquidity, grabbing stop-losses below previous lows. This often precedes a reversal if it aligns with a key support zone. FVG (Fair Value Gap) or Imbalance Zones (grey boxes): Price is expected to retrace back into these imbalanced zones. These zones act as magnet areas where price might rebalance before further continuation. Target Zone (Top Horizontal Line at ~1.16200): Marked as the bullish target, likely aligning with buy-side liquidity (BSL) or unfilled imbalances. Potential take profit area for long entries from the support zone. 📈 Market Structure: Price made a lower low, swept liquidity (SSL), and is now showing potential bullish intent. Anticipated move: Reversal from support A clean bullish move toward FVGs Final target near 1.16200 🎯 Strategy Idea: Long Entry Zone: Near 1.137–1.140 (liquidity sweep + support). Target: 1.15500 (intermediate) and 1.16200 (final). SL (Stop Loss): Could be below the most recent low (if re-entry needed). 🧠 Concept Used: Liquidity sweep (SSL) Return to support Fair Value Gap (FVG) fill Smart Money long setup
by King_Maker_FX
EURUSD Trading Strategy for the WeekEURUSD is reacting at the support zone of 1.14500. This is an important support zone that helps EURUSD continue to maintain its upward momentum. The uptrend in the h4 time frame is still strong and heading towards the peak of 1.161. Below the support of 1.145 will be the 1.138 zone. When this 1.138 zone is broken, it confirms that a Downtrend is established. The possibility of breaking this zone is not high, so it is still possible to set BUY signals around these support zones. On the other hand, 1.153 is an important resistance zone in the near future where the pair will have a price reaction before finding the peak of last week. Support: 1.13800 Resistance: 1.16000 Break out: 1.14600-1.15300 Recommended good trading strategy: Trade when price confirms in Break out zone. BUY 1.13800-1.13600 Stoploss 1.13300 SELL 1.16000-1.16200 Stoploss 1.16500
by VHT_Trader
EURUSD Trade Plan: Retracement Into Key Fibo Zone POI.I’m currently watching EURUSD closely 👀. On the daily timeframe, it’s clearly broken structure and is now in a bullish trend 📈. Dropping down to the lower timeframes 🕒, price appears overextended and is now trading into a previous resistance level 🚧. I’m anticipating a retracement into equilibrium — specifically the 50% level of the current swing, and ideally into the 50–61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone 🔁. If price pulls back into that range, I’ll be watching for a bullish market structure shift 🔄. I don’t want to see it push below the bullish imbalance 📉—I want that zone to hold as support so price can continue north 🔼. If this plays out, my ideal entry would be around the imbalance and the 50% Fib level, with a stop loss just below the imbalance, and targets set at the current swing high and previous swing high, as detailed in the video 🎯. ⚠️ Disclaimer This is not financial advice. Trading involves risk and you should only trade with capital you can afford to lose. Please do your own analysis or consult a licensed financial advisor.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
1
Support and Resistance Zones Resistance zone is marked near 1.16000. Support zone is marked around 1.14500. Price Action: Price is currently near 1.15776, heading towards the resistance. There’s a strong white candle indicating bullish momentum. Projected Price Path: A white projection line suggests a move upwards to test the resistance zone. Then, a grey projection line suggests a potential reversal from the resistance, falling back to test the support level. Interpretation: This is likely a range-trading or false breakout trap analysis: The trader is possibly expecting a fake breakout above the resistance before a drop back down toward the support area.
by King_Maker_FX
1
A bullish breakout from the descending channel is anticipated.Chart Breakdown 🔻 Price Action & Structure: The market is currently trending downward within a descending channel, marked by two parallel white trendlines. The current price is around 1.14797, with visible lower highs and lower lows, indicating a short-term bearish trend. 🔄 Projected Move: A bullish breakout from the descending channel is anticipated. The white projected path shows: A dip toward the demand zone (highlighted in teal-green) around 1.13400–1.13800. A reversal from that zone, forming higher highs and higher lows. A move toward the upper liquidity zone, labeled EQH (Equal Highs) around 1.16000, suggesting a target for buy-side liquidity. 🧠 EQH = Equal High Liquidity : The EQH zone marks an area where previous highs are equal or nearly equal — a common target for price manipulation or stop-hunting. It’s expected that the market will sweep this area for liquidity before possibly reversing or continuing. 💡 Interpretation: The setup reflects a liquidity-based strategy using smart money concepts. Bearish short-term → bullish medium-term outlook. Potential trade idea: Wait for price to tap the lower demand zone, then look for entry confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing or Ch0CH) to ride toward EQH.
by King_Maker_FX
EURUSD POSSIBLE TRADE SETUP💶 Potential Trade Setup on EURUSD Overview: Since March, EURUSD has shown consistent bullish momentum, especially after breaking through the key 1.0600 supply zone. The pair has maintained higher highs and higher lows, suggesting continued strength in the medium term. That said, I am still quite anticipating for a possible continuation of the bullish momentum that started a long time ago, and moving forward, I will anticipate for a clear retest of the 50% fib at the 1.1425 region, then I go in for the kill. Alternatively, there is a clear short opportunity, provided that, the bullish trendline is broken and the 1.1370 region is broken to the downside, this is a bit far a stretch, but it is in play. "IF" the DXY keeps the bullish momentum going. 🧭 Trading Plan: ✅ BUY Bias (Primary Plan): Look for a retest of the 50% Fibonacci retracement zone around 1.1425. This aligns with the ongoing momentum on the 4H timeframe. 🔻 SELL Bias (Alternative Scenario): If price breaks the bullish trendline and the 1.1370 support zone, a short opportunity opens up. This is only valid if DXY continues to strengthen, shifting sentiment. 🎯 Targets & Risk Management: Targeting 1:2 R:R on both setups. Ensure entries are backed by price action signals and confluences.
Long
by Adefxc
EURUSD Gearing Up for Next Leg Up – DXY Weakens After PPI MissToday, key U.S. economic indexes were released, providing fresh insights into inflationary pressures and the state of the labor market: Core PPI m/m: Actual: 0.1% | Forecast: 0.3% | Previous: -0.4% Lower than expected – suggests weaker underlying producer inflation. PPI m/m: Actual: 0.1% | Forecast: 0.2% | Previous: -0.5% Slight miss – overall inflation at the producer level remains soft. Unemployment Claims: Actual: 248K | Forecast: 242K | Previous: 247K Slightly higher than forecast – signaling some cooling in the labor market. Market Outlook : These data releases point toward cooling inflation and softness in job growth, which may strengthen the dovish narrative around the Fed’s next move. DXY Index ( TVC:DXY ) is under pressure, and EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is showing signs of bullish momentum . ----------------------------------------------------------- Now let's take a look at the EURUSD chart on the 1-hour time frame . EURUSD is trading near the Heavy Resistance zone($1.182-$1.160) and Monthly Resistance(2) . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , EURUSD appears to be completing microwave 4 . Microwave 4 could be completed at one of the Fibonacci levels . I expect EURUSD to attack the Heavy Resistance zone($1.182-$1.160) at least once more after completing microwave 4 and could even rise to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . Note: If EURUSD touches $1.1446 , we can expect more dump. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
5
Chartanalyse: Der Chart zeigt eine Seitwärtskonsolidierung mitTechnical Overview: The EUR/USD chart exhibits signs of a bearish reversal pattern forming near a key resistance zone (1.15800 - 1.16000), highlighted with repeated rejection wicks (🔴 red arrows). Price is currently trading at 1.15222, after failing to hold above the neckline of the rounded bottom pattern. 🔍 Key Observations: 🔺 Resistance Zone: Strong resistance has been confirmed multiple times (red arrows), indicating sellers are active at the top. 🟠 Double Top / Head & Shoulders Behavior: Price action shows topping formations (highlighted with orange circles), suggesting exhaustion of bullish momentum. 📉 Bearish Breakdown Possibility: Price rejected near neckline and is showing bearish candle formations. Breakdown from the current consolidation zone could push price toward the target zone at 1.14491, marked in purple. This aligns with previous support structure, reinforcing a technical downside projection. 🔻 Support Zone: Around 1.13800 - 1.14000 is a strong area of demand and may act as the next bounce point if the bearish move continues. 📐 Chart Pattern Structure: Rounded bottom formed earlier, but the failure to continue higher and breakout suggests a false breakout trap for buyers. Downward sloping trendline broke, but now price is struggling to sustain above previous highs. 📌 Conclusion: ⚠️ Caution for bulls as price shows signs of weakness at resistance. A move below 1.15000 may initiate further downside toward 1.14491 and possibly lower. Short-term traders can watch for confirmation candles near this zone for entries. 📅 Short-Term Bias: Bearish 🎯 Target: 1.14491 ⛔️ Invalidation: Strong breakout above 1.16000
Short
by MrStellanSight
EUR/USD - H4 - Triangle Formation (31.05.2025)The EUR/USD pair on the H4 timeframe presents a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. 1. Wait for Breakout with Good Volume 2. Conformation in short Timeframe Must 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Fundamental Updates : Dollar mixed on tariff uncertainty, U.S. President Donald Trump to battle a U.S. trade court ruling that blocked most of his proposed tariffs. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
26
EUR/USD 4H Analysis – Bearish Outlook with Key Levels📉 EUR/USD 4H Analysis – Bearish Outlook with Key Levels 📊 🔍 Overview: The EUR/USD pair on the 4-hour chart is showing signs of a potential bearish reversal after testing a strong resistance zone near 1.16000. Price action has rejected this area twice (🔴), confirming it as a significant supply zone. The chart now suggests a descending move toward the strong support zone around 1.12000. 🔑 Key Levels: 🟡 Resistance Zone: 1.15700 – 1.16000 Multiple rejections indicate strong selling pressure. 🟦 Mini Support: Around 1.14550 A minor level where price could react short-term, but not a major barrier. 🔻 Mid-Level Target: 1.13653 Potential bounce zone before continuation downward. 🟥 Strong Support Zone: 1.11500 – 1.12200 Previously held as a launch point for a major rally in May; likely to be tested again. 📈 Scenario Outlook: Bearish Path Expected: Price is forming a series of lower highs and appears to be losing bullish momentum. Target Path (Blue Arrows): A potential drop toward the 1.13653 level is expected, followed by a deeper drop toward the strong support. Rebound Possibility: If the strong support holds, we could see a strong bullish bounce 🔄, potentially creating a longer-term buying opportunity. 💡 Conclusion: EUR/USD is currently in a correction phase. Traders should watch for a confirmed break below 1.14550 for bearish continuation 📉. A drop to the 1.12000 zone may offer a high-probability reversal setup 📊📍. 🔔 Trading Tip: Use caution around mini support; aggressive sellers may enter on any weak bounce. Wait for confirmation before entering positions. 🧠📉
Short
by VikingFx-Community
EUR/USD Bullish Reversal Breakout Pattern Technical Analysis Summary: The chart illustrates a strong bullish reversal pattern forming on the EUR/USD pair: 🔹 Double Bottom Formation (🔶🔶): Two clear bottom zones are marked with orange circles near the 1.14400–1.14500 area, indicating strong buying interest and support. The second bottom confirms the double bottom pattern, often a precursor to an upward trend. 🔹 Support Zone (📉): Firm support around 1.14450, as highlighted on the chart. Price has respected this zone twice, bouncing back with bullish momentum each time. 🔹 Neckline Breakout (🔼): Price is approaching the neckline zone at 1.16087, which acts as the bullish target. A break and close above this neckline will confirm the reversal and open the way toward the resistance zone around 1.16500. 🔹 Projected Move (🎯): If the neckline breaks, price is expected to surge towards 1.16500, aligning with the historical resistance. This move completes the measured target projection from the double bottom structure. 🔹 Bullish Structure: Higher lows and strong bullish candles are reinforcing the uptrend momentum. Curved trajectory shows accumulation followed by a breakout phase. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: Support: 1.14450 – 1.14500 Neckline/Target: 1.16087 Resistance: 1.16500 🛑 Invalidation: A strong breakdown below support (1.14450) would invalidate this bullish setup.
Long
by MrStellanSight
EURUSD Breaks Structure: Bullish Continuation Opportunity💶 EUR/USD Analysis – Bullish Momentum Builds 📈 Taking a look at the EUR/USD on the daily chart, it’s clear the pair is currently in a strong bullish trend 🚀. Momentum has been building consistently, reflecting underlying euro strength and continued USD weakness. 🕓 On the 4H timeframe, we’ve now seen a clear shift in market structure to the upside, confirming bullish intent. Look for a continuation entry after a retracement back into equilibrium — ideally around the 50% level of the current price swing 🔄📐. 🎯 Trade Plan Idea: Wait for price to pull back into equilibrium 🌀 Entry: Long from the discounted zone 🟩 Stop loss: Just below the recent swing low 🔻 Target: Previous high as a logical take-profit zone 🎯📊 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📚💼
Long
by fxtraderanthony