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EURUSD: at key resistance: Will price rebound to 11300?Quick recap on EURUSD, seriously déjà vu of my previous analysis on EURUSD - once again we see the price coming towards the same resistance level. This is a level where it has struggled to break through and reversed nicely to the downside as expected. For me it's definitely one to monitor, especially for anyone considering short trades. If we start seeing signs that the price is getting rejected here: like long wicks, bearish candles, or buyers starting to lose momentum, I think we could see a move down toward the 1.11300 level. I am targeting a slight bounce like before, nothing major. But if price cleanly breaks out, that would rule out the bearish outlook and suggest even further upside will follow. This area is pretty important and could give us a better idea of where price is headed next. Just sharing my thoughts on support and resistance, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly.
Short
by TrendDiva
54
EURUSD(20250619) Today's AnalysisMarket news: Fed's June interest rate meeting - kept interest rates unchanged for the fourth consecutive time. The dot plot shows two rate cuts this year, but the number of officials who expect no rate cuts this year has risen to 7, and the rate cut expectations for next year have been reduced to 1. Powell continues to call for uncertainty, and the current economic situation is suitable for waiting and watching. He also expects tariff-driven inflation to rise in the coming months. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.1489 Support and resistance levels: 1.1558 1.1532 1.1516 1.1463 1.1446 1.1420 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.1489, consider buying in, with the first target price of 1.1516 If the price breaks through 1.1463, consider selling in, with the first target price of 1.1446
Short
by NuggetsWarriors
Core Impact Logic of the Middle East Situation on EURUSD(I) Energy Transmission Chain: Oil Price Fluctuations → Eurozone Inflation and Economy The escalation of the Middle East situation (the Iran - Israel conflict, risks in the Strait of Hormuz) directly impacts the global energy supply chain: If the conflict expands to block the Strait of Hormuz (transports ~20% of global crude oil 🛢️), Brent crude has already soared from recent lows—spiking over 5% on June 17 amid tensions ⛽️. This pushes up imported inflation in the Eurozone. As a net energy - importing region 🌍, prolonged high oil prices will squeeze corporate profits, suppress consumption, and drag Eurozone economic recovery (German/French manufacturing is acutely energy - cost - sensitive 🏭). This weakens the euro’s fundamental support. (II) Geopolitical Safe - Haven Sentiment: The "Safe - Haven Balance" Between USD & EUR Amid Middle East tensions, the US dollar’s traditional safe - haven status competes with Eurozone havens like German bonds 📈: If the US (e.g., the Trump administration) intervenes militarily 💥, market fears of "America mired in war" rise. USD safe - haven demand may temporarily weaken ⬇️, and the euro benefits as funds shift 🔄 ⚡️⚡️⚡️ EURUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️ 🚀 Buy@ 1.14500 - 1.15000 🚀 TP 1.15500 - 1.15600 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Long
by Sovereign_1
1
EUR/USD Holds Neutral Tone Ahead of Fed DecisionIn recent hours, the pair has shown limited movement of just 0.5%, reflecting a neutral bias as the market prepares for the upcoming Federal Reserve policy announcement. At this point, expectations suggest that the U.S. central bank will maintain a neutral stance, keeping the interest rate steady at 4.5% in the short term. However, the key focus will be on the Fed’s accompanying statement, where the greatest uncertainty lies. If the tone remains hawkish, it's likely that demand for the U.S. dollar will strengthen, potentially adding downward pressure to EUR/USD. Uptrend Remains Intact Since early March, the pair has maintained a steady bullish trend, without any major corrections that would threaten the current structure. That said, the price has once again approached key resistance zones, but has yet to break through them in a sustained manner—opening the door for range-bound movement if this pattern continues. Technical Indicators RSI: The Relative Strength Index has begun to show lower highs, while EUR/USD continues to print higher highs. This bearish divergence indicates an imbalance in market forces, potentially signaling room for a short-term correction. MACD: The MACD histogram is fluctuating near the zero line, reflecting a technically neutral environment. As long as this behavior continues, the pair may enter a consolidation phase, awaiting a clearer directional signal. Key Levels to Watch: 1.15443 – Current Resistance: Marks the multi-month high. A sustained move above this level could revive the bullish momentum. 1.13177 – Intermediate Support: Aligns with a recent neutral zone and the 50-period moving average. It acts as a technical support in the event of short-term pullbacks. 1.10428 – Key Support: Represents the lowest level of recent months. A break below this area could trigger a stronger bearish bias, putting the current uptrend at risk. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst Follow him at: @julianpineda25
by FOREXcom
EUR/USD Potential Reversal from Resistance Zone –Bearish OutlookThe EUR/USD pair has been trading within a well-defined ascending channel for several weeks. Price recently tested a strong resistance zone near 1.15850 – 1.16000, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel and a previously marked supply area. Key observations: The price action shows signs of rejection from the resistance zone with a potential double-top or fakeout pattern forming. A projected bearish trajectory is marked, suggesting a possible break below the channel support. Immediate bearish targets are set at key demand zones around 1.14500, 1.12500, and further down to 1.10500. A large red arrow indicates the strong downside bias if the price confirms the breakdown. Conclusion: If EUR/USD fails to sustain above the 1.15850 resistance zone and breaks below the ascending channel, a strong bearish correction is anticipated. Traders should watch for confirmation of the breakdown before entering short positions.
Short
by ZareeFxTradingAac
4
EUR/USD Bearish Reversal AnalysisEUR/USD Bearish Reversal Analysis 📉🧭 🔍 Technical Breakdown: Trend Structure: EUR/USD was trading inside an ascending channel, respecting both support and resistance trendlines. 🔴 Double Rejection at Resistance: Price action faced strong rejection near the upper boundary of the channel and resistance zone (~1.16500), forming a lower high, suggesting bearish exhaustion. 🟠 Key Breakdown Zone: A critical horizontal support around 1.13560 has been identified as a short-term target zone. This level previously acted as a demand zone and now may be retested. 🔽 Forecast Path: A projected bearish wave is anticipated: A potential pullback or consolidation may occur before resuming the downtrend. Once 1.13560 is broken, price could drop further toward the major support zone around 1.12000, marked by the previous accumulation area. 🟦 Support Zone: This final target aligns with a major structural support from late May, strengthening the bearish outlook if the breakdown continues. 📌 Conclusion: EUR/USD is showing signs of a bearish reversal after failing to sustain above resistance. As long as it remains below the mid-channel region, further downside toward 1.12000 is likely, with 1.13560 as the key short-term level to watch.
Short
by MrStellanSight
1
#EURUSD: Nothing to expect from DXY| View Changed Swing Trading|Hey there! So, we were previously thinking EURUSD was going to be bearish, but things have turned around and it’s looking bullish for now. The extreme bearish pressure on USD has caused all the major USD pairs to be in a range. As the week goes on and we get the NFP data, the market will probably focus more on these economic indicators. So, it’s not surprising to see some market ranges during this time. We’ll keep a close eye on the market, as there might be some manipulation going on this week. We recommend waiting until Monday’s daily candle closes to see if the bullish trend is strong enough. Then, based on the price momentum, you can make your decisions. We hope you have a great week and safe trading! If you like our work and analysis, please consider liking, commenting, and sharing our content. Cheers, Team Setupsfx ❤️🚀
Long
by Setupsfx_
30
EUR/USD) back to bearish Trand Read The captionSMC trading point update Technical analysis of EUR/USD pair on the 2-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the idea behind the analysis: --- Trading Idea Summary: EUR/USD Bearish Reversal Setup 1. Rejection at Resistance Zone Resistance Level (~1.1600): Price has tested this level twice (red arrows) and faced strong rejection, suggesting it’s a firm supply zone. This double top near resistance signals potential downside pressure. 2. Bearish Market Structure Price action shows a break in short-term bullish momentum. Bearish trend arrows and structure indicate expected continuation to the downside. 3. EMA Resistance The 200 EMA (blue line) at 1.14356 is above the key support zone, acting as dynamic resistance, reinforcing the bearish outlook. 4. Target Levels First Target: 1.13694 (Key Support Level) Previous structure zone with strong historical price reaction. Final Target: 1.12025 (Major Support Zone) Larger demand area where buyers previously stepped in. Mr SMC Trading point --- Conclusion This analysis suggests a potential short setup with confirmations from: Repeated resistance rejection Bearish price structure and trend arrows EMA as added confluence Clear downside targets: 1.13694, then 1.12025 > Bearish bias remains valid unless price reclaims and closes above the resistance zone (~1.1600). pelas support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
8
Testing Upper Channel Line || Eyes on 1.16 and Previous High📌 EURUSD 4H – Testing Upper Channel | Eyes on 1.1600-1.1666 🕓 June 12, 2025 👤 By: MJTrading 🔍 Technical Overview: EURUSD continues its upward trajectory within a clean ascending channel, respecting both dynamic structure and EMA support zones. We're now retesting a key confluence area: ============================================================== 🔻 Bearish Setup Idea: Entry Zone: 1.1570–1.1600 Stop Loss: Above 1.16666 (round number & psychological resistance) Target: Channel midline (~1.1450) or lower band (~1.1380) 🧠 Why This Zone Matters: 🔺 Previous Swing Highs: Price is revisiting the April peak zone (~1.1570) 🧱 Round Number Confluence: 1.1600 & 1.1666 📉 Rising Channel Resistance: Upper boundary hit after extended leg 🔄 Potential Mean Reversion: EMAs are lagging behind price ⚠️ Invalidation: A clean break and close above 1.1700 with follow-through may invalidate short bias and signal continuation toward 1.1800+ 💬 Patience is power. Let the levels do the talking. 📎 #EURUSD #ForexAnalysis #TechnicalTrading #SmartMoney #PriceAction #RoundNumberLevels #MJTRADING
Short
by MJElahifx
EURUSD(20250616) Today's AnalysisMarket news: Trump: The United States may still intervene in the Iran-Israel conflict. If Iran launches an attack on the United States, the United States will "fight back with all its strength on an unprecedented scale." Iran and Israel should reach an agreement. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.1550 Support and resistance levels: 1.1674 1.1628 1.1598 1.1502 1.1472 1.1426 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.1550, consider buying, and the first target price is 1.1598 If the price breaks through 1.1502, consider selling, and the first target price is 1.1472
by NuggetsWarriors
EUR/USD - Upside Bias Continues Amid Market EventsHi Everyone, As outlined in our analysis last week, we continue to expect EUR/USD to advance further to the upside. A successful retest of the 1.15240 level provides support for the move. This promises to be an eventful week as markets navigate geopolitical tensions and upcoming central bank decisions. As long as price holds above 1.14483, we anticipate a continuation higher toward the 1.16564 level, which would further reinforce our long-term bullish outlook. A confirmed break above this resistance would likely open the door for a move toward 1.18325, where we anticipate encountering dynamic resistance. We will provide further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD should price reach this level. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend toward the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649. We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support! All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
EUR/USD Elliott Wave Outlook – Expanded Flat Playing Out?EUR/USD appears to be unfolding a classic expanded flat correction for wave (4): Wave A formed as a 3-wave zigzag Wave B retraced beyond the start of A — a key trait of expanded flats Now looking for a 5-wave C-leg decline toward the 1.1122 – 1.1002 area Aligned with 1.0–1.618 extensions of A RSI + MACD divergence adds bearish confirmation at the B top Potential bullish reversal zone into late June / early July As long as price holds below the B high (~1.1650), the bearish path in wave C remains in play. 📍 Target zone: 1.1122–1.1002 📈 Bias: Bearish short-term, bullish long-term (wave 5 up next)
Short
by EWaveInsights
7
EURUSD is continuing its uptrendEURUSD is still in a strong uptrend. There was a drop in the Asian and European sessions on Friday but that was not enough to reverse the pair. The end of the US session saw the price being pushed up by the bulls from the 1.155 price zone and is stuck in this resistance zone. The price continues to increase when breaking 1.155 will head towards the resistance of 1.161, the highest peak of last week. If there is a retest of 1.155, the price will head towards 1.166 next week to be able to use short-term SELL strategies The BUY strategy is still prioritized as the EU is still in an uptrend. The main BUY zone of the pair is still waiting for 1.150 and lower is the breakout zone of 1.145 Resistance: 1.161, 1.166 Support: 1.150, 1.145
Long
by VHT_Trader
EUR/USD Breakout Retest StrategyEUR/USD Breakout Retest Strategy 🟢📈 📊 Technical Analysis Summary: The chart illustrates a bullish breakout from a consolidation range with a well-defined support near 1.12500 and resistance between 1.16500–1.17000. 🔍 Key Observations: 🔸 Triple Rejection Zone: Price faced rejection 3 times (highlighted with orange circles) near the same level before the breakout — classic liquidity sweep above resistance. 🔸 Strong Support Bounce: Each time price reached the green support zone, it showed strong bullish reaction (green arrows) signaling solid buying interest. 🔸 Break and Retest Formation: Price broke the previous highs and now seems to be retesting the breakout zone (around 1.15250–1.15300). A successful retest could confirm bullish continuation. 🔸 Projected Bullish Move: If the retest holds, we may see price pushing up toward the 1.17000 resistance zone as marked. 📌 Trading Plan: ✅ Bullish Bias above 1.15250 ✅ Look for bullish candlestick confirmation or breakout structure 🚫 Avoid trades if price drops below 1.15000 with momentum 📈 Target Zone: 1.16500 – 1.17000 🛑 Stop Loss suggestion: Below 1.14750 🧠 Keep patience during the retest — smart money often tests emotions before real moves! 💰📉📈
Long
by MrStellanSight
(iFVG) before continuing its fall.EUR/USD is now ready to move downward. The market has already cleared out all the liquidity above, which suggests that it's now in the mood to drop. Earlier, on the 4-hour timeframe, the market had formed a bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG), but that has now been broken to the downside. Currently, there are chances that the market might touch the imbalance (iFVG) before continuing its fall. Keep an eye on that level and observe how the market reacts there. It could be an important zone. Do Your Own Research (DYOR)! This is not financial advice.
Short
by Peter_Wade
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D13 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D13 Y25 PERHAPS THE LAST CHANCE FOR SHORTS- GRAB A THE BEST DISCOUNT ! Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block ✅15' order block ✅1 hour order block ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
EURUSD Setup | CPI Fades, Fed Focus & Gold Leads Dollar ReboundEURUSD is showing signs of exhaustion after soft US CPI failed to extend the rally beyond 1.1495. While markets initially priced in a dovish Fed response, recent commentary and gold’s rejection from its highs suggest the dollar may be gearing up for a short-term recovery. With Gold pulling back and yields stabilizing, EURUSD could now follow suit lower into key support levels—especially if the Fed maintains a patient tone at this week’s meeting. 🔹 EURUSD (4H) Analysis 📉 Bias: Bearish 💡 Context: EURUSD stalled just below 1.1500 after the CPI miss and now sits at a high-liquidity reversal zone. With DXY stabilizing and gold already rolling over, EURUSD may lag behind but eventually follow the same path. If the Fed leans hawkish or even neutral (ignoring political pressure), it could catalyze a drop toward 1.1268 and below. 📊 Technical Levels: Resistance Zone: 1.1495–1.1530 Target 1: 1.1268 Target 2: 1.1086 Invalidation: Daily close above 1.1530 (or strong bullish follow-through after FOMC) 🪙 Leading Asset Clue: Gold has already rejected major resistance (3,390–3,403) and is now pulling lower. Historically, EURUSD tends to follow when metals stall—especially if driven by real yields and Fed dynamics. ⚠️ Fundamentals to Watch: 🏦 FOMC Rate Decision & Dot Plot (June 12) 📈 US PPI + Jobless Claims (June 13) 💬 Fed Chair Powell's Press Conference 📰 Any shift in ECB or Fed rate cut timelines 🧠 Risk Factors: Fed surprise dovish shift due to CPI softness Market overreacts to rate cut expectations Geopolitical risk-off flows favoring EUR ✅ Summary: Bias and Watchpoints EURUSD Bearish Fed holding firm vs. ECB easing bias Fed turning dovish post-CPI (Top Risk) FOMC Rate Decision, PPI, Powell 📌 Final Note: Gold is leading the turn as dollar strength resurfaces. EURUSD may lag initially but the macro context favors downside from this key resistance zone. Watch the Fed for confirmation—positioning into 1.1268 and 1.1086 looks attractive if the dollar gains traction post-FOMC.
Short
by ultreosforex
12
EUR/USD Rally Extends – Eyes on 1.20000 as Momentum BuildsHi Everyone, As outlined in our analysis last week (idea linked below), EUR/USD continued to the upside and reached the 1.15240 level. We expect price action to extend further toward the 1.16564 level, which would reinforce our long-term bullish outlook. A confirmed break above this resistance would likely open the door for a move toward 1.18325, where we anticipate encountering dynamic resistance. We will provide further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD should price reach this level. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend toward the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649. We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support! All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX