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Eurusdprediction

Major Events in Euro Area and US on Friday Major Events in Euro Area and US on Friday Friday is a significant day with Euro Area Consumer Price Index (CPI) and US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data on the radar. Euro Area inflation likely eased to 2.5% in February, and the official report is expected on Friday after a rush of local economic data from the Euro Area. The European Central Bank (ECB) is grappling with the challenge of bringing core inflation down from 3% to 2%. While the market previously anticipated rate cuts to begin in April, the ECB, emphasizing data reliance, has prompted market adjustments, pushing the expected first rate cut to June. In the US, the focus this week is on the PCE data. The day before, we do get Q4 GDP second estimate. But unless it is adjusted significantly, this will likely not have an impact. Anticipating comparable rate cut trajectories in both economies, the dollar could potentially make up recent losses against the euro, particularly if January's PCE data exceeds estimates, thanks to its superior interest rate differential. Thursday witnessed a surge that touched the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) before a subsequent retreat. Looking at the short term, technical indicators on the 4-hour chart hint at a potential upward bias. EUR/USD is presently trading above all its moving averages, and the 20 SMA appears poised to surpass the mildly bearish 200 SMA.
by BlackBull_Markets
EUR/USD Longs from 1.07800 back up to 2hr supply or above.This week's bias for EU resembles GU's, but I wouldn't be surprised if EU rises slightly to clear the 2-hour refined supply before dropping to remove the trendline liquidity below. Nevertheless, I anticipate price to eliminate the trendline liquidity and fill the small imbalance just above the demand zone. During this process, I expect price action to slow down after consuming a significant amount of liquidity, signalling a potential Wyckoff accumulation phase. It's worth noting the presence of an Asian low beneath the demand, which warrants caution. However, I want to emphasize that this is a counter-trend notion, and my overall sentiment for EU remains bearish. Confluences for EU Buys are as follows: - Price broke structure to the upside and left a clean 10hr demand zone. - Still some imbalance that still hasn't been filled as well above my demand POI. - Market also broke major structure to the upside could indicate a bullish trend. - there's some liquidity above the recent high that needs to be taken as well. - Triple touch trendline liquidity that needs to be swept. - for price to go down it must mitigate a supply higher up like that 12hr. P.S. Ideally, I'm looking for another rally to trigger price action to clear out the significant pool of liquidity located just below the 12-hour demand zone at the top of the chart. However, I anticipate price to establish a new supply once it descends to take out the trendline. This would allow me to wait for a mid-week pullback to sell down towards the demand. Have a great trading week and lets catch these PIPS!
Long
by Hassan_fx
4
EURUSD SELL THEN BUY ??Head and shoulder on keylevel + rejection on supply zone + break of trendline the market is likely going to drop DXY also wants to go up after the drop it is possible that the price will go up again if we see a reaction on the highlighted zone on a higher time frame the martket formed a double bottom and broke neckline if the bearish scenario occurs the drop will turn the double bottom into an inverse hs which can push eur usd up alot of economic events coming next week trade safe !!
Long
by xAB777
8
EURUSD: The USD fell before the PMI data, the Euro and British PThe greenback edged decrease in early European alternate on Thursday, with hazard sentiment buoyed through Nvidia`s sturdy income, at the same time as investors awaited the discharge of enterprise interest surveys. critical for locating clues approximately the fitness of the worldwide economy. At 04:10 ET (09:10 GMT), the Dollar Index, which tracks the dollar towards a basket of six different currencies, changed into buying and selling 0.4% decrease at 103.472, down almost 1% yr to date. this factor this week. Strong income from AI favourite Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) boosted international confidence, ensuing withinside the safe-haven greenback taking a hit, favoring greater cyclical currencies . The dollar hit a excessive this week, however stays greater than 2% better for the yr, as investors eased competitive bets on a sequence of hobby charge cuts through the Federal Reserve this yr. Minutes of the Fed's overdue January meeting, launched on Wednesday, confirmed that the financial institution is in no hurry to lessen hobby quotes withinside the close to future. Speeches through numerous Fed officers this week additionally reiterated this hawkish stance, with policymakers bringing up worries approximately difficult inflation. Attention now turns to the discharge of PMI statistics, weekly unemployment statistics and, greater importantly, production and offerings PMI statistics for February, to gauge the economy's underlying strength. “Our evaluation and statistics shows the greenback will retain to reinforce over the following couple of weeks - we've a sturdy January center PCE launch on February 29 - after which will reduced in March because of a softer payroll document and softer February CPI numbers.” ,” analysts at ING stated in a note. Euro location offerings PMI impressed In Europe, EUR/USD rose 0.5% to 1.0869, with the euro supported through a greater tremendous funding climate.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
EurUsd- Change of medium term trend?Two days ago, in a short-term analysis of FX:EURUSD , I mentioned that the 1.0790-1.0800 zone is pivotal for a potential reversal in the currency pair. The pair did break above that level and is currently consolidating above it. Now, I find myself wondering whether this marks a reversal in the medium-term trend or simply a correction from the year's selloff. Upon examining the weekly chart, the technicals suggest a potential longer-term reversal. As we are aware, the 1.0730 zone served as a support level. Upon piercing it twice, the pair reversed direction on each occasion, notably marked by pin bars. Additionally, the current reversal bears a striking resemblance to the reversal observed around 1.05 back in October. In conclusion, from a longer-term perspective, there appears to be a significant likelihood of a reversal for EUR/USD, with a target around 1.1, but perhaps more likely at 1.12.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
1
SHORT EUR/USD 1.0794In the last hour we've seen EUR/USD break the neckline of a standard M-Top candle formation. M-Tops and W-Bottoms are highlu reliable structures and although they can be used in isolation its always better to see if they form at areas or lines of resistance or support. In this case we have RSI decling as well as MACD and yesterday pricehit WR1 pivot elevel which frequently will have SELLERS jumping into the market. I'm a big believer in Pivot levels as these can be marked on your charts at the start of the week so you are forewarned that the price MAY do something if WR1 and WS1 are hit. Pivot Point SuperTrend which I use has confimed this SHORT bias and the Andean Oscillator red SELL line is rising. All in all this looka s olid SELL signal although the key 100 and 200 EMA moving averages are below the price but far enough away to get a healthy plus STOP should price make it down there. STOP for this trade is 1.0819 which is the recent high and target is open but provisionally 1.0774 which is the 200 EMA.
Short
by forextraplaces
EURUSD Technical Analysis & Trade IdeaThe EURUSD exhibits a bearish bias on higher timeframes. The weekly chart reveals a clear break of market structure to the downside followed by a retracement. Drilling down to the daily timeframe, the retracement has taken out previous buy stops, further supporting a short bias. A short entry at the current level appears viable, with a stop-loss placed above the recent high and targeting previous lows. This setup presents an intraday or swing trade opportunity. Important Disclaimer: This analysis offers a technical viewpoint and does not constitute direct financial advice. Before initiating any trades, conduct your own comprehensive research and apply appropriate risk management strategies.
Short
by fxtraderanthony
EURUSD H4 channel continuous or breakout ?A chart of the EUR/USD currency pair on a 4-hour timeframe. The chart displays a bearish channel pattern. Bearish channel: The price has been trading within a downward-sloping channel for some time, characterized by a resistance line at the top and a support line at the bottom. The price is currently trading at Top of channel pattern, if Breaks the Upside then it start Bullish Sign. However, it is still early to say whether this is a genuine breakout or a false signal. Overall, the chart suggests a potential breakout from a bearish channel, which could be a bullish signal for the EUR/USD pair. Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
21
Trading Through Turbulence: EUR/USD Strategies Amid U.S. Fiscal The current economic indicators, alongside commentary from key Federal Reserve officials, suggest a cautious approach towards the EUR/USD pair. With the U.S. showing no immediate intent to cut interest rates due to a robust labor market and unresolved inflation targets, traders should prepare for potential dollar strength and volatility in the currency markets. The anticipation of a "hard landing" for the U.S. economy further complicates the landscape, warranting a strategic approach to trading the EUR/USD pair. 1. U.S. Interest Rate Outlook: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic's recent statements highlight a significant resistance to cutting interest rates in the near term. The robustness of the U.S. labor market and the economy, coupled with inflation not convincingly on track to meet the 2% target, suggests that the dollar might remain strong. Bostic's remarks underscore the uncertainty surrounding inflation, indicating that the Fed is not yet convinced that inflationary pressures are sufficiently under control to warrant a change in monetary policy. This stance is crucial for EUR/USD traders, as interest rate expectations are a primary driver of currency movements. The Fed's cautious approach may bolster the dollar, creating resistance against EUR gains. 2. Market Reactions and Treasury Movements: The reaction to Bostic’s comments was immediate, with Treasuries falling and holding their decline, reflecting market adjustments to the expectations of continued strong U.S. monetary policy. Conversely, Jupiter Asset Management's move to increase its Treasury holdings to a record suggests a hedging strategy against a potential economic downturn. For EUR/USD traders, these dynamics indicate a flight to safety and potential volatility, with a strong dollar scenario possibly prevailing in the short term. 3. Equity Market Inflows and Implications for the Dollar: Significant inflows into global equity funds, especially following substantial sell-offs in U.S. stocks by Japanese and Chinese funds, hint at a complex investment landscape. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures' rise indicates investor optimism or speculative positioning, potentially impacting the dollar by influencing risk sentiment. For the EUR/USD, this could mean short-term bullish signals for the dollar, especially if equity market strength translates into confidence in the U.S. economy. 4. Inflation Concerns and Labor Market Strength: The anticipated high CPI and potential for a similarly high Producer Price Index (PPI) could extinguish hopes for an interest rate cut, further strengthening the dollar. The persistent strength of the U.S. labor market suggests that inflation may not be easily tamed, reinforcing the Fed's cautious stance on rate cuts. For EUR/USD traders, this means monitoring U.S. economic indicators closely, as signs of sustained inflation or labor market overheating could prompt adjustments in trading strategies, favoring the dollar. The EUR/USD trading environment is marked by uncertainty, with a robust U.S. economy and unresolved inflation concerns suggesting a cautious approach. Traders should remain vigilant, adapting strategies to navigate potential volatility and the implications of U.S. monetary policy on currency movements.
Short
by Wiiso
2
EurUsd could rise to 1.09Since the beginning of the year, FX:EURUSD has been in a downtrend, with the single currency dropping more than 400 pips in the past two months. However, after a false break below the horizontal support last week, the pair quickly reversed course and is now once again approaching the important 1.08 zone resistance. Taking into account the false break and yesterday's swift reversal from the well-established support at 1.0733, I anticipate an upward breakout with a target at the 1.09 zone resistance. In conclusion, my preferred strategy is to buy dips, with negation under 1.07.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
3