EURUSD M15 / Short Trade Idea / Waiting for Confirmation ✅Hello Traders!
This is my idea related to EURUSD M15. I expect a retracement from the resistance level.
Today we have important news on EURUSD, let's see what impact it will have on the EU move.
As a target point, I take into consideration the BOSS which I expect will be taken.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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Eurusdprediction
EURUSD Trend Reversal ?Pair : EURUSD ( Euro / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Falling Wedge as an Corrective Pattern in Long Time Frame. Completed Impulsive Waves " 12345 " Bearish and " AB " Corrective Waves. Exp FIAT as an Correction in Short Time Frame need to wait until it Rejects from Upper Trend Line or Demand Zone
EUR/USD Finds Solid Support at 1.08500 Amidst Tepid Data.EUR/USD Finds Solid Support at 1.08500 Amidst Tepid Data, Eyes on Maintrend Continuation
In a noteworthy turn of events, the EUR/USD has staged a rebound, establishing a robust support zone at 1.08500. This critical level is reinforced by the confluence with the Dynamic trendline, acting as dynamic support, and the 61.8%-78.6% Fibonacci zone. Additionally, a Bullish Divergence in the RSI and a favorable reaction at the 200-day Moving Average signal potential upward momentum.
Euro Resilience Despite Local Data:
Interestingly, the Euro has demonstrated resilience despite tepid local data. The preliminary Producer Manager Index (PMI) survey conducted by the Hamburg Commercial Bank (HCOB) indicates that business activity in the euro area contracted at the slowest rate in January, marking a six-month low. However, the official report highlights persistent downturns in both manufacturing and service sectors, coupled with further declines in new business.
German PMI Figures:
Breaking down the data, Germany's Manufacturing PMI recorded 45.4, while the services index posted at 47.6. For the Eurozone, the Services PMI came in at 48.4, a slight decrease from the previous 48.8. On a positive note, the manufacturing index showed improvement, rising to 46.6 from 44.4 in December.
Upcoming US Preliminary PMIs:
Later in the day, S&P Global is set to release the January preliminary PMIs for the United States (US). Market expectations lean towards manufacturing output maintaining its position in expansionary territory. This event could introduce further dynamics to the EUR/USD pair, given the interconnectedness of global markets.
Technical Outlook and Maintrend Continuation:
From a technical perspective, the confluence of support factors at 1.08500, along with the positive indications from the RSI and the 200-day Moving Average, strengthens the case for a continuation of the current tendency. Traders will be closely monitoring how the pair navigates through these levels and whether the rebound can be sustained.
Conclusion:
The EUR/USD's resilience at the crucial support level of 1.08500, despite mixed local data, underscores the significance of technical factors in guiding market movements. As the pair eyes a continuation of the maintrend, upcoming US PMI data could play a pivotal role in shaping short-term market dynamics. Traders should remain vigilant and adapt their strategies in response to evolving technical and fundamental factors in the forex landscape.
Our preference
Long positions above 1.07700 with targets at 1.1000 & 1.1150 in extension.
💡 EURUSD: Forecast January 15After breaking the bottom of 1,085, the selling pressure was not maintained, the buying force returned strongly and pushed the price beyond the downtrend line. Although there is still no clear bullish reversal signal, it can be seen that the buying side is strengthening through the frequency and size of bullish candlesticks. You should temporarily stop trading at this time, need to wait for clearer signals.
💡 EURUSD: Forecast January 26After breaking the short-term downtrend line, the buyers were unable to maintain the pressure and the sellers returned later, currently the price is being forced down to the resistance area of 1,082, a continuous change in buying and selling pressure. This shows that the two sides are struggling fiercely in this area without creating any really clear signals. You temporarily stop trading, pay attention to the boundaries of the range, the direction of the breakout can reveal the next direction of the price.
EURUSD: The ECB's policy decision is the highlight of today's ec
The dollar rose slightly early in the day after being mixed in yesterday's trading. Rising Treasury yields of late have supported the greenback.
US stocks also saw late declines, although technology stocks again outperformed as the Nasdaq index closed up 0.4%. The S&P 500 managed to rise 0.1% while the Dow closed down 0.3%. US futures are currently flat.
In the bond market, the 10-year bond yield in the US decreased 2 basis points to 4.158%.
ECB President Lagarde will continue to speak based on the data but traders will keep an eye out for any unexpected comments from her.
The market prices the ECB's ability to cut interest rates in April at 72% and expects 127 basis points of interest rate cuts this year.
💡 EURUSD: Forecast January 23ANALYSIS TODAY: EURUSD slipped slightly in the past session and there have been no significant new signals, the price is still maintained below the short-term downtrend line, and the recent accumulation moves of the price reflect that sellers may are accumulating and waiting for a new price push so the outlook is still bearish. Please pay attention to the support level at 1,085. If it is broken, the downward momentum could quickly expand to the 1,070-75 area. If you still have a short position, you can continue to hold the order.
Indicator is used:
- Chandelier Exit
- EMA
- MACD
Long EURUSDI'm expecting bullish movement on EURUSD throughout the remainder of the month. We've already come down and took out liquidity residing below December 15th low (1.08811) and filling in the gap below that level. If price manages to push with good volume pass the 1.08963 price I'll be looking to enter a long position aimed at December's high.
EURUSD BUY
EURUSD is showing signs of a rebound from the higher low area of the uptrend line in the 4-hour timeframe chart.
📉 Expectations:
Anticipate the pair to re-test key support levels as highlighted in the attached chart.
📊 Trading Strategy:
This trade is based on a combination of technical analysis and candlestick patterns. It's a long-term position, so ensure sufficient margin to manage market fluctuations. Implement proper risk management in line with your account size.
🚦 Trading Rules:
1️⃣ Rule 1: If the trade does NOT surpass our entry level (GREEN LINE ON THE CHART), Do not enter the trade.
2️⃣ Rule 2: When the market hits Target 1, consider closing some positions or move your STOP LOSS to ENTRY price for safe trading.
3️⃣ Rule 3: After reaching Target 1, avoid placing new trades based on the same signal/alert.
4️⃣ Rule 4: If the market consolidates for more than 2 days, close the trade and patiently wait for the next favorable trading opportunity.
EUR/USD Struggles for Direction Amid ECB Rate Cut UncertaintyEUR/USD Struggles for Direction Amid ECB Rate Cut Uncertainty
The EUR/USD pair finds itself in a tight trading range below the 1.0900 and 1.08500 levels during the European session on Wednesday. Traders appear cautious, refraining from making aggressive directional moves as uncertainty looms over the potential timing of an interest rate cut by the European Central Bank (ECB).
ECB Rate Cut Speculations:
The first ECB policy rate cut is anticipated in April, with markets pricing in a total reduction of 135 basis points (bps) by the end of 2024. However, ECB President Christine Lagarde's recent signal that borrowing costs may only start decreasing in the summer, contingent on supportive economic data, has left traders in a wait-and-see mode. The focus now shifts to the upcoming ECB monetary policy meeting on Thursday, seen as a pivotal event that could significantly impact the EUR/USD pair.
Event and Data Risks:
This week brings forth critical event and data risks, with preliminary estimates of the January Purchasing Manager Indexes (PMIs) set for release on Wednesday. These indicators will provide insights into the economic activity within the Eurozone and potentially influence the market sentiment. However, the real highlight of the week remains the ECB meeting on Thursday, where market participants anticipate clarity on the central bank's stance regarding interest rates and monetary policy.
OCBC Bank's Analysis:
Economists at OCBC Bank are closely analyzing the outlook for the EUR/USD pair. They suggest that an improvement in the PMI print could act as a catalyst, giving the Euro a renewed boost. Positive economic data may sway sentiment in favor of the Euro, offering traders additional insights as they position themselves in the market.
Technical Perspective:
From a technical standpoint, the EUR/USD maintains a bullish bias in higher timeframes. The current retracement, hovering around the 1.08500 area and in confluence with the Dynamic trendline, the 61.8%, and 78.6% Fibonacci zones, presents an interesting zone for potential buyers looking for discounted prices. This area could serve as a launching pad for a new bullish impulse, with the target set around the 1.1000 level.
Conclusion:
The EUR/USD pair faces a challenging environment as traders navigate uncertainty surrounding potential ECB rate cuts. With the focus on the ECB meeting and key economic indicators, market participants are adopting a cautious approach. The technical analysis suggests a bullish outlook, with the retracement presenting an opportunity for buyers to enter at a discount. However, the true catalyst for a sustained move may come from the ECB meeting and positive PMI prints, providing clarity and direction for the EUR/USD pair in the coming sessions. Traders are advised to stay vigilant and adapt their strategies accordingly in response to unfolding events and data releases.
Our preference
Long positions above 1.07700 with targets at 1.1000 & 1.1150 in extension.
EURUSD and GBPUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EURUSD is ready to go shortThe price movements from 1.0980 are viewed as a corrective pattern for the preceding uptrend. While further upward movement cannot be ruled out, the rally appears to be capped by the break of the 1.0920 level, signaling a potential sell-off towards the target at 1.0768.
Therefore, we are opening a short position to target the mentioned objective as the next goal.
💡 EURUSD: Forecast January 22ANALYSIS TODAY: After consecutive bullish reversal signals including the spinning top and pin bar pattern, the price has recovered slightly in the past session, however it has not yet broken the short-term downtrend line and has not created a new high, so The situation has not yet changed significantly. You continue to be wary of the possibility of a bullish reversal. If you still have a short position, you need to maintain the SL above 1.09.
Indicator is used:
- Chandelier Exit
- EMA
- MACD
EUR/USD Awaits ECB Meeting Amidst Shifting Market DynamicsEUR/USD Awaits ECB Meeting Amidst Shifting Market Dynamics
The EUR/USD pair is registering modest gains, hovering near the 1.0900 area in the early European trading session on Monday. All eyes are on the European Central Bank's (ECB) upcoming January monetary policy meeting, scheduled for Thursday. As of the latest update, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0897, reflecting a 0.03% increase for the day.
Technical Analysis:
From a technical standpoint, the price experienced a rebound around the 1.08500 support area, coinciding with the 61.8% Fibonacci level and the Dynamic trendline. These factors contribute to the pair's attempt to gather new bullish momentum for a sustained upward movement.
Shifting Market Sentiment:
Market sentiment has witnessed a shift as doubts grow regarding the likelihood of a Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cut in March. Last week's positive US economic data, including Retail Sales and the Consumer Sentiment Index, have contributed to this change. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a rate cut in March has decreased to 49.3%, down from 81% just a week ago.
ECB's Cautious Stance:
In contrast, the European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council members are exercising caution against prematurely easing financial conditions. The January policy meeting on Thursday is not expected to bring any policy changes. Traders will be keenly watching ECB President Christine Lagarde's post-meeting speech for indications on potential rate cuts this year. Investors anticipate a gradual approach by the ECB, with interest rate cuts likely in the spring, driven by sustained progress towards the 2% inflation target.
Upcoming Events:
The ECB's monetary policy decision is scheduled for Thursday, and no policy changes are anticipated. Additionally, Thursday will see the release of the US preliminary Gross Domestic Product Annualized (Q4). On Friday, the Commerce Department will unveil the December reading on the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE), a key inflation gauge for the Fed.
Conclusion:
As the EUR/USD pair maintains a bullish stance, the spotlight is on the ECB meeting and evolving market dynamics. Technical indicators suggest a potential upside, but external factors, including the Fed's stance and US economic data, contribute to the complex currency landscape. Traders should stay attentive to central bank communications and economic releases for a comprehensive understanding of the pair's future movements.
Our preference
Long positions above 1.07700 with targets at 1.10170 & 1.1140 in extension.
Yemi_Fx1 | SELL OPPORTUNITY ON EURUSD The overall structure is an ascending channel which is a reversal pattern in between it is a formation of a continuation pattern 15MIN flag pattern). So my bias on OANDA:EURUSD is bearish. Anticipating price to test the upper dynamic trendline in conjunction with the resistance zone, then to the nearest support level.
EURUSD: Euro outlook next weekNext week, the ECB's monetary policy meeting will be held on Thursday, and important economic indicators from Germany will also be announced, so the euro may fluctuate significantly.
This week, a number of central bank officials spoke out against overly optimistic markets about a rate cut in 2024.
Next Thursday's ECB Governing Council meeting is likely to be too early for ECB President Christine Lagarde to start setting a concrete schedule for interest rates, and markets will wait until the next Governing Council meeting on May 7 for more information. would have to.
Next week will see the release of the German and European PMI reports, the IFO annual report and the German Consumer Confidence Index. This data should be closely monitored as the German economy remains weak.
EUR/USD broke out of a channel pattern on Tuesday and is currently trading below the 200-day SMA of 1.0850. The current support level for this pair is 1.0787, but resistance areas at 1.0950 and 1.1000 are also observed.
💡 EURUSD: Analysis January 19Indicator is used:
- Chandelier Exit
- EMA
- MACD
Re-tested the 1.09 conversion resistance zone in the last session, but the selling force returned and prevented the price from rising above this level. However, observing on a daily basis we see a spindle - credit model. Potential reversal signal. Therefore, you need to be wary of the possibility of a price reversal to the upside. You can hold short positions according to the previous breakdown signal but the SL needs to be placed above the 1.09 resistance level.
EURUSD Weekly setupThat's my main view for the coming week about EURUSD. I expect it to pump and touch the main trendline around 1.10 area. As soon as we will broke up 1.092 we should see some real moves. On H4 timeframe there is also a good bullish divergence, and we can see a range on H4 with what looks like a short squeeze. I expect a pump like i said in my previous idea
#1 EURUSD Weekly Analysis 21.01.2024+
1.) weekly orderflow bullish
2.) took 2 weekly lows and reject
3.) 4 daily rejection candles on 1.08680 weekly level
4.) daily divergence (weekly orderflow)
5.) 4h divergence on weekly level
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1.) daily orderflow bearish
-could be a pullback trade-
waiting for a small pullback then long