EURUSD ANALYSISThis is my anticipation on the EURUSD, our daily time frame recently broke structure to the downside, we would then do good to anticipate a pullback after the expansion BUT before we can anticipate that pullback, we need to see or have a confirmation in price on a time frame lower than the daily which will confirm our bias for the bullish pullback, as showed in my analysis, I wanna see price trading lower first to take the sellside liquidity first before we can begin the pullback, should price continue trading lower and not give us any confirmation for a pullback, we're not gonna engage, we simply let it go for this particular week, the same applies for when price just pulls back without first taking the sellside liquidity.
Eurusdpriceaction
EURUSD: Price Reaching Important Buying Key Level. FX:EURUSD price currently reaching a perfect buying key area where we expect price to bounce and continue the bullish trend up until it hit out 'take profit'. If you like our idea then please do consider liking the idea or leave comment. Good Luck and Trade Safe.
EUR/USD Longs from 1.08600 back up to 1.09400EU is following a pattern similar to GU as anticipated, so the approach will be similar. I'll be seeking buying opportunities near the current price, given the presence of a 6-hour demand zone that prompted a Breakout to the Upside (BOS). If price approaches this zone, I anticipate a Wyckoff accumulation formation before entering buy positions.
However, there's an Asian low beneath the zone, so I need to exercise caution regarding the potential buy. If we witness a successful reaction, I anticipate a price rally to fill the imbalance above, eventually leading to the mitigation of the 17-hour supply zone for potential selling opportunities downward.
Confluences for EU Buys are as follows:
- Price is approaching a decent level demand on the 6hr.
- Imbalances and liquidity above that need to be mitigated.
- Price has already been moving recently bullish the past couple weeks.
- After asian low gets taken I can expect price to slow down and accumulate.
P.S. With the shift in price character to the downside, this could represent a temporary retracement. However, if price persists in breaking structure to the downside, there's a possibility of this demand failing and selling pressure becoming more dominant.
EURUSD Analysis for a Positional Trade with amazing Reward
We have a Fresh Weekly Demand and a Fresh Weekly Supply areas formed,
Now Price has just reacted to the Weekly Demand and post a Confirmation in lower timeframes in the Upward direction(In the direction of the Trend), we will buy with a defined risk.
We see that the previous High is violated and a potential 4H Demand has formed, now there are two possibilities either this 4H Demand will take the price till its Weekly Supply in the opposite or this 4H Demand will be violated. Lets check the Reward to Risk ratio of this 4H Demand, as per the statistic anything above 3:1 is a good opportunity and any FII wouldnt miss such Trades.
Here is the Trade with a Reward : Risk ratio of just a little more than 6:1.
Thank You and ENjoy the Ride ! ! !
Pre Market EUR/USD analysis for Sunday February 25thPre Market EUR/USD analysis for Sunday February 25th.
After the EUR/USD run up last week, I'm looking to see if we find resistance around the trend-line area for a potential down move towards 1.06000.
If buyers come in, I'd ideally like to see the EUR/USD trading back above the yearly pivot level (1.0900).
Trade safe and manage risk.
EUR/USD Imminent Shorts towards 1.06800My analysis on EUR/USD mirrors that of GBP/USD, as it has entered a significant supply zone where I anticipate a bearish reaction. Given the abundance of liquidity and the temporary bullishness of the dollar, this scenario appears plausible. Therefore, I'll be monitoring for a redistribution pattern on Monday before considering initiating sell positions.
I acknowledge the presence of considerable imbalances above, which could prompt price to rise and potentially reach the supply zone in scenario (C). However, my overall expectation for EUR/USD is a downward movement towards 1.06800.
Confluences for EU Shorts are as follows:
- Price left a clean 3hr supply zone which price is currently re distributing inside.
- Price has been moving bearish regarding the recent break of structure to the downside.
- DXY is also been moving bullish so it backs the EU downtrend.
- Lots of liquidity to the downside like trendline Asian lows and swing lows.
- The overall trend of this market like the monthly still shows its a bearish trend.
P.S. I'm currently leaning towards a pro-trend stance with this idea, primarily because of the recent downward breaks in structure. Additionally, there are few demand zones in proximity to the current price, suggesting that price may decline to sweep that liquidity.
HAPPY TRADING AND REMEMBER ITS USD BANK HOLIDAY MONDAY!
Bearish Continuation on EURUSD Towards 1.0700EURUSD has recently encountered resistance at two critical supply levels – the previous monthly low and the low from two weeks prior.
This rejection suggests a bearish sentiment, setting the stage for a potential bearish continuation. Our analysis, based on our framework, indicates selling opportunities in the EURUSD pair.
Technical Analysis:
The rejection at key levels and the subsequent failure to breach resistance points toward a potential bearish movement in EURUSD. The recent price action aligns with our 1-2-3 price action framework, signaling a selling opportunity.
Discounted DXY Levels:
The US Dollar Index (DXY) has experienced a pullback to a key level, providing a favorable discount area to plan the EURUSD trade. This alignment with DXY's movement enhances the bearish case for EURUSD.
DXY Target and EURUSD Projection:
Our previous DXY update highlighted a bullish stance, reaching a 1:1 target before pulling back to a key level. If DXY holds these levels, we anticipate a continuation towards its target. This scenario could drive EURUSD lower, aiming for the 1.07300-1.0700 range.
Trade Plan:
Monitoring the market dynamics, we are prepared to initiate a bearish continuation trade on EURUSD if the conditions align. As always, our approach remains adaptable, and we will let the market guide our decision-making process.
EUR/USD SHORT "FOLLOWING THE STRUCTURE"we are marking structure on 4h tf. eur/usd is making lower lows and lower highs indicating a downtrend and marking resistance on 4h tf. when London opens at 3 am EST 30m and 1h close below resistance. we are taking a short entry there. we have CPI, PMI, retail sales and multiple fed member speaks. monitor economic events closely and manage your position.
EURUSD Swing Buy Trade with a good Reward.
We have a 4 Hour Loop in Upward direction, We have a 4H Source Demand and a Fresh 4H Supply formed as Destination Supply giving us the Demand Supply Equilibrium Curve as follows.
After reacting to the Source Demand Price has started respecting Demands and violating Supply areas. hence this is a New Position with an Amazing reward to Risk ratio.
EURUSD Plan for week 5 - 2024Plan for the week for EURUSD
I would normally push this out on a Sunday but I have been pushed for time and also the h4 was right in a zone that made it hard to work with. Now that it has pushed though this zone and shown some intention I am happy to give you my thoughts.
It is now looking like the H4 has confirmed bearish order flow which lines up with the weekly major trend and the weekly order flow so shorts for the foreseeable future should be the highest probability trades
EUR/USD Longs from 1.07500 up towards 1.08800For EURUSD this week, my analysis closely mirrors what I've observed with GBPUSD. I anticipate a similar scenario unfolding, where I expect price to dip slightly further to interact with the refined demand zone on the 2-hour timeframe. Following this interaction, I'll be on the lookout for a bullish response.
Alternatively, if price doesn't reach this demand zone, I foresee a swift retracement to fill the imbalances from NFP Friday, followed by potential distribution within the newly identified 10-hour supply zone. Should this supply zone be tested first, my strategy will involve selling positions targeting the 2-hour demand zone.
Confluences for EU Buys are as follows:
- Price is near a clean 2-hour demand zone that has broken structure to the upside.
- Liquidity above zone so when it gets swept we can expect price to re-accumulate within our zone to then buy back up.
- There's lots of liquidity to the upside that needs to be addressed as well as some imbalances.
- Dollar (DXY) is still looking bearish as well which means more upside is still left for EU.
P.S. Should the 2-hour demand zone be breached, I anticipate a shift towards a bearish trend, as it represents the final support connected to that wing point. Keep your zones pre-marked to stay prepared for any sudden price movements.
Have a great week everybody!
EURUSD → Short to 1.06? Or Will we Break Resistance to Long?EURUSD was rejected twice at the Resistance Zone and ended last week with another leg up. Should we short here?
How do we trade this? 🤔
We had a decent entry last week, but that ended with a surprise leg up into the Resistance Zone. We now have a sell signal at the top of the zone, but need to wait for a strong bear bar closing on or near its low below the Resistance Zone around the 1.10 area. Stop loss should be placed above the Resistance Zone and set a take profit around 1:2 Risk/Reward at 1.065. It's also reasonable to take half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward and swing the remainder of your position.
💡 Trade Ideas 💡
Short Entry: 1.09835
🟥 Stop Loss: $1.1150
✅ Take Profit: 1.06500
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Contact with Resistance Zone and Two Bear Bars
2. Look for Follow-Through and a close below Resistance Zone.
3. 1:2 Risk/Reward Ratio, Watch Out for Support at EMA Ribbons.
4. RSI at 60.00 and above Moving Average, Needs to Fall Below.
5. Also Reasonable to Scalp 1:1 and Move Stop Up to Entry.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
All trades carry a probability value based on statistical data of the price action. If the market exceeds 60% probability in a direction, it's reasonable to take the trade assuming your Risk/Reward and Probability are positive.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
EURUSD Longs from 1.08000 back upCurrently, EURUSD has been in a prolonged range, gathering significant liquidity. Given the current state of equilibrium, I am not actively seeking trades at this moment. However, I anticipate a potential move to unfold, continuing the bullish trend. For now, I will be patiently waiting for a breakout before considering any trading opportunities.
There is another plausible scenario where price breaks above to mitigate the 10-hour supply zone, leading to a bearish reaction. This possibility is valid, considering the imbalances just below that need filling and liquidity that requires sweeping.
My confluences for EURUSD buys are as follows:
- A 10-hour demand zone below triggered a new CHOCH to the upside.
- The overall short-term trend is bullish, aligning with this idea.
- Imbalance above the demand signals a favourable reaction at my POI.
- Abundant liquidity above, including trend lines and untouched Asian highs.
- Price needs to dip to a significant demand level for an upward rally to persist.
- I also expect the dollar to keep dropping indicating that EU will keep going up.
P.S. As price is still considerably distant from any nearby Points of Interest (POI), I am content to wait patiently and refrain from taking any immediate action until price triggers one of the levels I am monitoring.
Have a great trading week ahead!
EURUSD Longs from 1.09200 or @1.08000 Back upEURUSD shares a similar bias with GU, but the price exhibits more imbalances and liquidity at greater distances. While there is a 50-minute demand zone near the current price, I anticipate only a minor reaction from it. My primary buying opportunities are within the 10-hour demand zone, which offers a more discounted price.
Alternatively, there's a possibility that price continues its upward movement, reaching the 10-hour supply zone above. This represents a promising Point of Interest (POI) for me, where I expect price to undergo distribution before a potential sell-off. However, at the moment, I'm patiently waiting for price to accumulate within either of my demand zones to capture buying opportunities along this temporary bullish trajectory.
Confluences for EURUSD buys are as follows:
- Bullish pressure weakens, evident in a CHOCH and confirmed by a BOS
- A 11hr demand zone below triggered a break of structure to the upside.
- The market trend is bullish, aligning with this idea.
- Imbalance above the demand signals favourable reaction at my POI.
- Abundant liquidity above, including trend lines and untouched Asian highs.
- Price needs to dip to a significant demand level for an upward rally to persist.
- Lots of imbalances lying below that need filling before price continues to ascend.
P.S. Although my long-term outlook for this market remains bearish, I will be actively seeking buying opportunities for EURUSD as the dollar continues to exhibit a bearish trend.
EURUSD: Another Bull Run Towards 1.1200?Dear Traders,
Happy Holidays,
EURUSD recently had some short of correction and now there is sign that price may push towards 1.1200 price area before the NFP next week. A proper risk managed entry can give you around 150 pips.
good luck and trade safe:
all the best for new year 2024 , may this year fulfil all your trading goals.
EURUSD Longs from 1.09600 up towards 1.11000My forecast for this week aligns with my plan for GU as anticipated, with some minor adjustments. The concepts remain consistent, but the positioning is extended due to the trend line liquidity near the current price. I expect this liquidity and the Asian low to be taken out, leading price down towards the 5hr demand zone.
Upon the formation of a Wyckoff accumulation pattern, I plan to initiate buy positions, targeting a move back up towards the 10hr supply zone located at the psychological level of 1.11000. This pair is currently favourable for me, exhibiting ideal price structure and aligning with a pro-trend perspective.
Confluences for EURUSD Buys are as follows:
- Unmitigated 5hr Demand zone has been left which caused a major BOS to the upside.
- Temporary trend is also bullish as price has broken structure once again.
- DXY is still looking bearish meaning that EURUSD is expected to rise.
- Trend line on top of demand is a good sign as price will sweep liquidity before entering.
- In order for price to continue in its bullish course, it must ideally react off a demand level.
P.S. While I anticipate an initial drop to mitigate the demand, I acknowledge the possibility of remaining upside. This could lead price to react off the 10hr supply, subsequently eliminating the trendline liquidity below.
HAPPY NEW YEARS TO ALL OF YOU AND HOPE THIS YEAR BRING EVERYONE PROFITABILITY AND CONSISTENCY. LETS CATCH THESE PIPS!
GBPUSD: - A Detailed Analysis of Market Structure and FibonacciWelcome to my TradingView profile! In this article, we will embark on a journey together to explore the intriguing prospects of EURUSD, guided by the fundamental principles of market structure and Fibonacci retracement. I invite you to join me in analyzing one of the most traded currency pairs.
Our primary instruments will be market structure, the identification of the trend direction, and the application of Fibonacci levels. We will delve into how these factors can provide meaningful insights for making informed trading decisions.
he inclusion of detailed charts and illustrations will aid in visualizing the discussed concepts. We will explore key Fibonacci retracement levels and how they interact with the overall market structure.
This will be an informative article, focusing on understanding the market context and applying fundamental concepts of technical analysis. The goal is to provide a clear perspective and stimulate critical thinking within our trading community.
If you find this analysis valuable, I encourage you to subscribe to stay updated on my latest posts and market analyses. This is just the beginning, and subscribing will allow you to be among the first to receive updates and trading ideas.
Feel free to make any adjustments or let me know if there's anything specific you'd like to modify!