EUR/USD: Euro Tested Before Tariff NewsIn the early trading session on Wednesday, the euro against the US dollar fluctuated narrowly around 1.0800. It had declined slightly for the second consecutive day on Tuesday and entered a consolidation phase around 1.0800 in the European morning on Wednesday. The short - term technical outlook failed to offer a clear price trend indication.
The disappointing macroeconomic data from the US on Tuesday made it hard for the dollar to strengthen, thus supporting the euro against the dollar. However, the cautious market sentiment prevented the currency pair from gaining upward momentum.
Later today, the ADP Employment Change data will be on the US economic calendar. But
investors are unlikely to respond to this data before President Donald Trump announces the tariff measures on "Liberation Day".
The RSI indicator continues to move sideways around 50, reflecting a lack of clear short - term directional momentum for the EUR/USD. If the euro remains below 1.0800 and this level is confirmed as resistance, technical sellers may act, opening the door for a further slide towards 1.0730 (200 SMA). On the upside, 1.0840 ( 20 SMA) is the first resistance level, followed by 1.0900 and 1.0950.
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Eurusdsell
EUR/USD Rally Stalls, Technicals Turn SouthOn Monday, the EUR/USD traded within a limited range, hovering around 1.0800 in the early US trading session. Due to the weak start of the US dollar, EUR/USD approached 1.0850 during the Asian trading session. However, the pessimistic market sentiment restricted the upward momentum of the high - yielding euro.
The daily chart of EUR/USD indicates that the currency pair may continue to decline in the coming trading sessions. The opening price on that day was below the 20 - day Simple Moving Average (20 SMA), which was still in a bullish trend, and encountered selling pressure above this moving average. Overall, technical indicators are moving downward, and the momentum indicator has accelerated its decline below the 100 level. Meanwhile, the flat 200 - day Simple Moving Average provides support near 1.0730, where there was strong buying interest last week.
From the 4 - hour chart perspective, the direction - less 100 - day Simple Moving Average forms resistance near 1.0850. The flat 20 - day Simple Moving Average is located near 1.0790, providing short - term support. Although technical indicators are at neutral levels, they are clearly trending downward. If 1.0790 is broken, it may further decline towards 1.0700.
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EUR/USD Double Top Analysis - Bearish Reversal Trade Setup This analysis highlights a Double Top pattern forming on the EUR/USD 4-hour timeframe, which is a classic bearish reversal pattern. The pattern signals a potential shift from a bullish trend to a downtrend, providing traders with a well-defined entry, stop loss, and target levels.
1. Understanding the Double Top Pattern
A Double Top is a trend reversal pattern that forms after an extended uptrend. It consists of two peaks (Top 1 and Top 2) at approximately the same resistance level, followed by a break below the neckline (support level), confirming the pattern.
Pattern Breakdown:
Top 1 & Top 2: These peaks represent failed attempts to break higher, showing strong selling pressure at resistance.
Support (Neckline): The price found support at a key level, where buyers initially stepped in, but eventually, this level was broken, triggering a potential downtrend.
2. Key Levels & Trading Setup
📌 Resistance Level (Bearish Rejection Zone)
The resistance level is marked in the 1.09500 - 1.09600 range.
Price action tested this zone twice (Top 1 & Top 2) but failed to sustain above it.
The repeated rejection indicates that sellers are dominant in this zone.
📌 Support Level (Neckline Breakout Confirmation)
The support level is marked in the 1.07700 - 1.07800 zone.
The price bounced off this area initially, but later broke below it, confirming a bearish move.
The breakout suggests selling momentum is increasing.
3. Trading Strategy – Bearish Setup
🔴 Entry Point (Sell Trigger)
A short trade is confirmed when the price breaks below the neckline (support level) after forming the Double Top.
The breakout confirms seller dominance and signals potential downside movement.
🚨 Stop Loss Placement
Stop Loss is placed slightly above the resistance level at 1.09575.
This ensures protection against false breakouts or price retracements.
🎯 Target (Take Profit Projection)
The price target is calculated based on the height of the Double Top pattern.
Target Level: 1.06639, aligning with the measured move from the resistance to the neckline.
4. Market Outlook & Risk Management
📉 Bearish Scenario (High Probability Move)
✔️ The market structure shows a strong bearish reversal with price failing to break above resistance.
✔️ The confirmed neckline break indicates sellers have taken control.
✔️ If the price continues lower, we can expect a move toward 1.06639.
📈 Bullish Scenario (Invalidation of Trade)
❌ If price closes back above resistance (1.09575), it would invalidate the bearish setup.
❌ This would indicate that buyers are regaining control, and the trade setup should be re-evaluated.
5. Final Thoughts & TradingView Tags
Summary of Trading Setup:
✅ Pattern: Double Top (Bearish Reversal)
✅ Sell Entry: Below the support neckline
✅ Stop Loss: Above 1.09575
✅ Target: 1.06639
✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable
📌 Tags for TradingView Idea:
#EURUSD #DoubleTop #ForexTrading #BearishReversal #SupportResistance #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexSetup #TradingStrategy
EUR/USD Weekly Forecast: Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish TargetChart Overview:
The provided EUR/USD daily chart displays a well-structured Rising Wedge pattern, which eventually led to a significant bearish breakdown. The analysis highlights key levels, including resistance, support, stop loss, and a downside target, all of which contribute to a well-planned trade setup. The market structure suggests a strong bearish continuation, targeting lower price levels based on technical projections.
1. Chart Pattern: Rising Wedge Formation & Breakdown
A Rising Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that forms when price creates higher highs and higher lows, but the slope of the trendlines indicates weakening bullish momentum. This pattern is often a signal of upcoming bearish price action once a breakout occurs.
Pattern Breakdown Analysis:
The price moved inside the wedge, showing a gradual upward trend with declining momentum.
Upon reaching a key resistance level, price faced strong rejection (marked with a red circle).
The bearish breakdown below the wedge confirmed the pattern, leading to a sharp decline.
A retest of the broken wedge followed before continuing downward.
This confirms a classic bearish trend reversal, making it a strong technical setup.
2. Key Levels and Trade Setup:
🔹 Resistance Level (Major Supply Zone)
The resistance zone (highlighted in beige) acted as a strong supply area, where buyers lost control.
Price reached this resistance multiple times but failed to sustain above it.
A bearish reversal initiated from this level, marking the beginning of a downward trend.
🔹 Support Level (Key Demand Zone)
The support zone (also highlighted) represents a major demand area where price previously reversed.
This level aligns with historical price action, making it a critical area to monitor for potential reactions.
🔹 Stop Loss Placement
A stop loss is placed above the previous high within the resistance zone to protect against false breakouts.
If price invalidates the breakdown and moves above this level, the bearish setup would no longer be valid.
🔹 Price Target Projection
The breakdown suggests a potential drop towards 1.00874, as indicated by the 100% measured move.
This aligns with previous historical support, making it a realistic downside target.
3. Trade Execution Plan: How to Trade This Setup?
📌 Entry Strategy:
Traders can enter short after confirmation of the breakdown and a potential retest.
A sell position can be initiated around the resistance turned support after a pullback rejection.
📌 Stop Loss Strategy:
A stop loss should be set above the resistance zone (around 1.12208) to minimize risk.
This ensures protection against a bullish breakout invalidation.
📌 Take Profit Strategy:
The first take profit target is set at the support level near 1.04498.
The final take profit target is at 1.00874, which aligns with the full measured move projection.
4. Conclusion & Market Sentiment
🔸 Bearish Market Bias – The breakdown of the rising wedge confirms strong bearish momentum.
🔸 Key Resistance Held Strong – The price was unable to break above, confirming seller dominance.
🔸 Downside Target Aligns with Previous Support Levels – A confluence of technical signals supports further decline.
Final Thought:
This chart presents a high-probability bearish trade setup in EUR/USD. The combination of a rising wedge breakdown, clear resistance rejection, and a defined downside target makes it an ideal short-selling opportunity. Traders should watch for price action confirmations and risk management strategies before executing trades.
🚨 Risk Disclaimer: Always apply proper risk management and confirm signals before trading. Market conditions may change, so monitoring price behavior is crucial for trade adjustments.
EUR/USD: Uncertain Trajectory Amid Tariff - Induced JittersThe EUR/USD is trading at 1.0796. After a Thursday rebound from 1.0733 due to a weakening USD, it's now pressured at the intraday high of 1.0799.
US President Donald Trump's new 25% import taxes on cars and car parts, with potential additional levies on the eurozone and Canada, have stoked risk - off sentiment. This has led to a temporary dip in the US dollar's appeal.
On the daily chart, it's found buyers near the non - directional 200 - day SMA, with 1.0730 as dynamic support. It's attempting to break the bullish 20 - day SMA, while the 100 - day SMA is non - directional below the current level. The momentum indicator is flat below 100, and the RSI at 56 hints at upward risk, yet unconfirmed. Bulls should be cautious short - term.
In the 4 - hour chart, technicals are rising but below the mid - line. EUR/USD is fighting a bearish 20 - day SMA, and the 100 - day SMA has lost upward steam around 1.0840. A break above 1.0840 could bring back the bulls.
EURUSD
buy@1.08200-1.08500
tp:1.08900-1.09300
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Attention! Key Signals in the EUR/USD Exchange Rate TrendThe EUR/USD pair has traded with a soft tone for five consecutive trading days, and the decline has expanded to 1.0776, the lowest level since March 6. However, the broad weakness of the US dollar in the middle of the European session pushed the currency pair to turn upward.
In the short term, according to the 4-hour chart, although the possibility of further upward movement is low, the downside potential also seems limited. The EUR/USD found buying support around the bullish 100-day moving average but failed to break through the bearish 20-day moving average. Finally, although technical indicators show an upward trend, they remain in negative territory.
EURUSD Trading Strategy:
buy@1.08200-1.08500
tp:1.08900-1.09300
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CAD JPY Trade Setup 1 hour timeframe CAD JPY Trade Setup 1 hour timeframe
Following last week's trade setup CAD JPY is moving in an uptrend making Higher Highs and Higher Lows, so we will keep looking for Buying opportunities.
CAD JPY is forming a bullish break and retest continuation pattern that also align with the 0.618-0.50 Fib Retracement level.
Lets wait for the price to pull back to the retest level then enter base off candlestick confirmation
EURUSD Trading: Unveiling the Precise Strategy GuideAfter last week's decline, the euro against the US dollar started to recover at the beginning of this week and is currently trading within the positive range around 1.0850.
According to the Wall Street Journal, the White House is adjusting its tariff policy set to take effect on April 2nd. It may cancel a series of tariffs targeting specific industries and instead impose reciprocal tariffs on countries with significant trade relations with the US. Affected by this news, during the European morning session, US stock index futures rose by 0.8% to 1.0%.
On the 4 - hour chart in the European morning session on Monday, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator climbed to 50, indicating that the recent bearish momentum has dissipated to some extent.
In terms of the upward direction, the 50 - period Simple Moving Average (SMA) forms an interim resistance level at 1.0880, followed by 1.0900. If the euro - US dollar pair can firmly stand above this level, the next resistance level may be at 1.0950.
EURUSD Trading Strategy:
buy@1.08200-1.08500
tp:1.08900-1.09300
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EURUSD Maintains Bearish Momentum - Is 1.07500 the Next Target?OANDA:EURUSD is trading within a well-defined descending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. Recently, the price rejected a key resistance zone, reinforcing bearish momentum and signaling a potential continuation toward lower levels.
The current price action suggests that if price continues to respect this resistance, we could see further downside toward 1.07500, aligning with the lower boundary of the channel. However, if price breaks above the channel and sustains above it, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, potentially signaling a shift in momentum. Monitoring price action and volume at this level will be essential for confirmation.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
EUR/USD: Key Levels and Short-Term OutlookRecently, although inflation data in the United States has declined, it remains elevated, and the labour market continues to be tight. The Federal Reserve may maintain a hawkish stance, which is supportive of the US dollar. Meanwhile, the economic recovery in the eurozone has slowed. Weak manufacturing PMI data has dampened business and consumer confidence, exerting downward pressure on the euro.
From the 4-hour candlestick chart, EUR/USD is currently in a triangular consolidation pattern, with the price hovering around 1.08343. The resistance zone lies between 1.08760 and 1.09090, whilst the first support level is at 1.08067 and the second at 1.07528. In this context, EUR/USD is more likely to test the support levels in the short term.
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
Fri 21st Mar 2025 EUR/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a EUR/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
EURUSD Sell Position - 21 March 2025 Hello everyone, dzhvush here !
I am looking for selling position on FOREXCOM:EURUSD chart. I think we will close the price below the LL level. At 05:00 AM (GMT -4), we have current account new for Euro. I am waiting that the price is going up in Asia Range.Then at London Range, waiting for taken liquidity.
Notes for me being better trader:
You don't need to look the chart every single minute.
You are doing well, just keep in simple and no reaction.
Believe
See you next week !
Best Regards
dzhvush
Looking for shorts on EUR/USD on pullback from previous EU seshLooking for a retrace, new liq. sweep that will make an nice order block then enter on BOS confirmation. These confluences will give a solid short position with a nice 2R with a good stop buffer and previous session highs. This draw down is result of bad EU news and the US not cutting the interest rates just yet leading to a strong dollar. These shorts will probably not take out the full move on EUR/USD but this pull back and short is highly likely to play out with the end of the week near. Comment below what you think.
EURUSD Sell and Buy Trading PlanH4 - We had a strong bullish move with the price creating a series of higher highs, higher lows structure
This strong bullish move ended with a bearish Divergence
While measuring this strong bullish move using the Fibonacci retracement tool we have two key support zones that has formed (marked in green)
So based on this I expect potential short term bearish moves now towards the key support zones and then potential continuation higher.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.-
Short on EUR/USD as order block is now being formedWe have a liquidity sweep and order block forming on the upside. As we look for the break below equilibrium and a full break of structure we will short and target previous lower levels of liquidity. Keep in mind news is strong this week with FOMC on wed. and Unemployment on Thur.
EURUSD at Key Resistance Level – Will Sellers Step In?OANDA:EURUSD has reached a key resistance level, marked by prior price rejections, suggesting strong selling interest. This area has previously acted as a key supply zone, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reversal if sellers step in.
If bearish signals emerge, such as rejection wicks, bearish candlestick patterns, or signs of weakening bullish pressure, I anticipate a move toward the 1.07400 level. However, a clear breakout above this resistance could challenge the bearish outlook and open the door for further upside. It's a pivotal area where price action will likely provide clearer clues on the next direction.
Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management.
Thu 13th Mar 2025 EUR/AUD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a EUR/AUD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
"EUR/USD Bearish Breakdown – Targeting 1.0802 Support"This chart is a 30-minute timeframe analysis of EUR/USD, showing a potential bearish move.
Key Observations:
Resistance Zone (Red Highlighted Area ~1.0856)
Price attempted to break above but got rejected multiple times, indicating strong selling pressure.
Break & Retest Formation
The price has dropped below 1.0836 and is now testing this level as resistance.
This suggests a classic break-and-retest pattern, which could lead to further downside movement.
Bearish Expectation (Red Arrow & Green Zone)
The chart suggests a short position, with a target around 1.0802 (blue horizontal support).
The stop-loss is placed above 1.0856 (resistance), minimizing risk.
Trade Setup Analysis:
Entry: Below 1.0836, after confirmation of resistance hold.
Stop-Loss: Above 1.0856 (previous resistance).
Take-Profit: Around 1.0802 (support).
Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable, as the target is significantly lower than the stop level.
Conclusion:
This is a bearish setup with expectations of further downside towards 1.0802. However, if price reclaims 1.0856, the setup might become invalid, and bulls could regain control. Let me know if you need further insights! 📉🔥
EURUSD Approaching Key Resistance - Will Sellers Step In?OANDA:EURUSD is approaching a key resistance zone, marked by strong selling pressure. This area has consistently acted as a turning point, suggesting the potential for another bearish reaction if sellers step in.
If the price shows clear signs of rejection from this resistance zone, I anticipate a move downward toward the 1.06900 level, which serves as a logical target for this setup. Conversely, a clean breakout above the resistance zone could signal a potential bullish continuation.
Traders should monitor for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles, long upper wicks rejecting the resistance, or increased selling volume before considering short positions. Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have
EURUSD at Key Resistance – Will Sellers Step In?OANDA:EURUSD is currently trading at a key resistance zone, where sellers may regain control. This level has been a strong area of interest in the past, leading to price reversals. The recent bullish momentum has pushed price into this supply zone, suggesting a potential for bearish continuation if price action confirms a rejection.
If the price confirms rejection from this zone, a move lower toward 1.05000 is likely. However, a strong breakout above could invalidate this setup, shifting momentum back to the bulls.
Do you agree with this analysis? Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
EURUSD Approaching Key Resistance – Will Sellers Step In?OANDA:EURUSD is approaching a significant resistance zone, highlighted by previous price reactions and strong selling interest. This area has historically acted as a supply zone, where sellers have stepped in, leading to notable price reversals. The current price action suggests a potential bearish reaction if the resistance holds.
If sellers maintain control, we could see a decline toward the 1.03940 level, which represents a logical target based on the current market structure. Confirmation signals—such as a bearish engulfing candle, rejection wick, or increased selling volume—would strengthen the bearish outlook.
However, if the price breaks above this resistance zone and sustains momentum, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, signaling a potential shift in favor of buyers.
Monitoring how price reacts to this zone is crucial for identifying entry opportunities. As always, applying proper risk management is essential given the potential for volatility.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!