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EUR/USD – Short from Channel TopHi Traders , Took a short on EUR/USD after price rejected the top of the ascending channel. Entry: 1.17545 Stop Loss: 1.18015 Take Profit: 1.17098 📌 Why I took this trade: Price is showing rejection at the upper trendline + near resistance (R1). RSI is cooling off, so I’m expecting a move back to the demand zone around 1.1710. Clean structure, low risk, good reward. Just my take, not financial advice. What do you think — continuation or rejection?
Short
by Trading-On-Top
4
EURUSD: Buy or Sell?Dear friends! On our 1D chart, after careful observation, we can see that a wedge pattern is forming. After EURUSD breaks out of the previous trend and completes the correction phase, a new downtrend is likely to be established. Adam's target is to break above the 1.16000 support level and head towards the lower support level of 1.140000, which is where the pine attracts a large amount of buyers. And you, do you think the price will go up or down? What is the target for your thinking?
Short
by Adam_Scalping
2
EUR/USD Short from the nearby 1hrI’m currently more confident in EU’s bearish setup compared to GU, as price is nearing a clear point of interest (POI) that aligns well with the developing downtrend. The 2hr supply zone has already caused a CHoCH (Change of Character), and price has been approaching it slowly and with reduced momentum — often a strong indication of an upcoming reaction. While price isn’t near a demand zone yet, I’ll be keeping an eye on the 7hr demand zone below. If price reaches that area, I’ll be looking for a high-probability buy setup in line with the broader market context. Confluences for EU Sells: Price has tapped into a 2hr supply zone that caused a CHoCH to the downside Bearish pressure remains strong, supported by DXY strength Clean liquidity to the downside that needs to be swept Slowing momentum and signs of distribution as price approaches supply P.S. If price continues lower from this point, I anticipate another break of structure, which could form a new supply zone to work with later this week. Let’s stay patient, follow the flow, and execute smart. 🔥📉💼
Short
by Hassan_fx
Short Term Market Reversal IncomingRetail’s still buying breakouts, but the music just stopped. This was the rally they weren’t supposed to catch. Now it’s time to flip the script and bleed it back to origin. Trading is a very difficult profession. Most people fail, but it's also not impossible. If you don't trade you're a loser. It's a zero-sum game. 0 1 Zero-sum game is a mathematical representation in game theory and economic theory of a situation that involves two competing entities, where the result is an advantage for one side and an equivalent loss for the other. It's all just digits on a screen and if they want your money they'll take your money, so you gotta respect your risk management if you don't want to lose everything or you'll have to break the matrix by seeing into the future, Once you get to see the future. THERE IS NO TURNING BACK. If you're reading this I hope you're having a great year. This year is all about endings and new beginnings. So stay locked in. WAGMI Oh yeah don't forget I gave you guys FX_IDC:EURUSD at 1.03 and FX_IDC:XAGUSD at $22 Nerds
Short
by Orgest
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 25, 2025 EURUSDThe euro remains under pressure as the bond yield gap is once again widening in favor of the dollar following comments from Fed Chair Powell about the need to “keep policy tight for longer” to counteract the inflationary effects of new US tariffs. Additional support for the dollar came from the increase in June retail sales and a decline in jobless claims, which confirms the resilience of the US economy and pushes expectations for the first rate cut toward the year-end. From the European side, euro support is undermined by signs of slowing activity: the GfK consumer confidence index in Germany remains below its historical average, and preliminary July eurozone PMIs, despite some improvement, still indicate an uneven recovery of the real sector. Further pressure comes from ongoing uncertainty around EU–US trade talks; Washington is still discussing the possibility of 15% tariffs, which threatens the bloc’s export prospects and fuels demand for the safe-haven dollar. With monetary policy divergence and tariff escalation risks persisting, the pair is likely to continue correcting toward 1.17. Investors are awaiting tomorrow’s US PCE data, which could reinforce expectations of the Fed maintaining a “hawkish” stance and cement the downward trend. Trade recommendation: SELL 1.17350, SL 1.17550, TP 1.16350
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EURUSD SELLEUR/USD stays defensive below 1.1800 ahead of ECB decision EUR/USD remains in a bullish consolidation mode below 1.1800 in European trading on Thursday. Traders refrain from placing fresh bets ahead of the European Central Bank policy announcements and the US preliminary PMI data. Mixed PMI data from Germany and the Eurozone failed to trigger a noticeable reaction. The EUR/USD pair retreated from a fresh two-week peak at 1.1781 posted during Asian trading hours, hovering around 1.1750 ahead of the European Central Bank (ECB) monetary policy announcement. The US Dollar (USD) edged lower on the back of risk appetite, amid headlines indicating a trade deal between Japan and the United States (US). US President Donald Trump announced in a post on social media a trade deal with Japan that sets "reciprocal" tariffs at 15% on Tuesday, while Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba acknowledged the trade agreement on Wednesday, saying it would benefit both sides. Trump shifted his attention to the European Union (EU), noting that if the Union agrees to open up to US businesses, he will then charge lower levies. Meanwhile, the Hamburg Commercial Bank (HCOB) published the preliminary estimates of the July Purchasing Managers’ Indexes (PMIs). European growth stands at its highest in almost a year according to the surveys, as the Composite PMI rose to 51.0 in July from 50.6 in Jun,e while beating expectations of 50.8. As for the ECB, the central bank announced its decision to keep the benchmark rates on hold, as widely anticipated. The interest rate on the main refinancing operations, the interest rates on the marginal lending facility and the deposit facility stood at 2.15%, 2.4% and 2%, respectively. The headline had no impact on EUR/USD, which kept trading at around 1.1750. Right afterwards, the US released Initial Jobless Claims for the week ended July 19, which improved to 217K from the 221K previously posted and the 227K anticipated. Coming up next is ECB President Christine Lagarde's press conference, and the US S&P Global preliminary July PMIs. SUPPORT 1.17118 SUPPORT 1.16767 SUPPORT 1.16316 RESISTANCE 1.17937 RESISTANCE 1.17703
Short
by Mark804
EURUSD Is Weaker vs USD. Look For Sells!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of July 21-25th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: EURUSD Expecting the USD to continue to push higher, which would further drag the EURO down. Look to take advantage of this dynamic and wait for sell setups! Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Short
by RT_Money
7
EURUSD – WEEKLY FORECAST Q3 | W30 | Y25📊 EURUSD – WEEKLY FORECAST Q3 | W30 | Y25 Weekly Forecast 🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. FRGNT FOREX ANALYSIS 📊
Long
by JCFRGNT
EURUSD BUYThe EUR/USD pair edged lower in the past week, settling a handful of pips below the 1.1700 mark, further retreating from the multi-year peak posted early in July at 1.1830. Financial markets kept revolving around the United States (US) President Donald Trump's targets. With geopolitical woes cooling down, Trump’s focus returned to tariffs, and the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) wait-and-see stance on monetary policy. Trump fixated on tariffs and Powell Since the week started, speculative interest kept their eyes on the July 9 tariffs deadline. Trump announced massive retaliatory levies on over 180 trading partners in May, quickly establishing a 90-day grace period afterwards. His goal was to clinch better trade deals with all these nations. But as the date loomed, deals were scarce. The US made some trade arrangements with some minor economies, such as Vietnam, but there were none with major counterparts, nor, of course, with China TP 1 1.162 TP 2 1.165 TP 3 1.168 RESISTANCE 1.154
Short
by Mark804
2
EURUSD - BEARISH TREND CONTINUESEURUSD - BEARISH TREND CONTINUES📉 On Tuesday, despite the bullish divergence (highlighted as green on RSI), the price broke through the trendline, formed since the beginning of May. Yesterday this trendline got retested on Bloomberg's rumor that Powell may resign. Currently the price is going through the support level of 1.16000. I see the major way is to go towards 1.15000 support level with a further rebound and possible target of 1.16000. Another option is to go straight towards 1.14000. Will see.
Short
by ProfessorSingapore
EUR/USD - Daily Chart (Wedge Breakout) (16.07.2025) The EUR/USD Pair on the D1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Days. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.0956 2nd Support – 1.0625 💡 Fundamental & Sentiment Context Euro under pressure amid renewed concerns over EU‑US trade friction . The USD is strengthening, supported by safe‑haven flows amid tariff uncertainties. 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
32
EURUSD TRIGGERED STOP LOSSTRADING IDEA UPDATE - EURUSD TRIGGERED STOP LOSS The U.S. CPI report data came out right what the market expected (2.7% vs. 2.7% annually). After this report the pair went downwards on increased volume, triggering my stop loss and found the support only on 4-h sma200 and 1.16000 level. What will be the possible scenario next? I assume that the asset will go testing the trendline at 1.16650. If the test is successful, I will consider opening a 🔽 a pending sell stop order at 1.16651 with ❌a stop loss at 1.18180 and 🤑a take profit at 1.15122 Only if the retest is successful, not earlier! Let's observe first. Additionally, today is the U.S. PPI report coming out at 12:30 p.m. UTC, so got to be careful around this time
Short
by ProfessorSingapore
EURUSD Bearish ideaWe are in a weekly fair value gap that we have balance and potentially collected orders to prepare for a potential drop in price. We are anticipating a quarterly shift for the month of July were we could be targeting downside liquidity that is in open float. * Fundamentals: -Interest rate differentials shows us that USD interest rate of 4.5 is higher than the interest rate EUR 2.15 which lead to the longer fundamental frame work of price correcting to the higher dollar rate to the euro. -The COT report also indicates to us that there is huge buying of Dollar by the commercials and a huge amount of selling of the EUR by commercials which can lead us to assume potential weaker dollar. *Targeting: -We are looking for the low of last month (June) to be taken out as well as even potentially reaching to the implied weekly fair value gap.
Short
by That_Guy_Trades
8
The euro's bearish structure remains unchanged.EUR/USD rebounded from around the three-week low of 1.1655 during the European session. However, the overall trend of the exchange rate remains within the descending channel that has been in place since early July. Market concerns over the U.S. government's new 30% tariff measures have dampened risk appetite, limiting the room for the exchange rate to rebound. In the short term, the exchange rate is expected to contend within the 1.1650-1.1700 range. Analysts believe that if the euro fails to break through and stabilize above the 1.1700 threshold, the bearish structure will remain intact, and the exchange rate will continue to test lower support levels such as 1.1630 and 1.1600. A breakdown below these levels could open up further downside space, with the target pointing to around the lower Bollinger Band at 1.1387. you are currently struggling with losses，or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results.
Short
by MyronWilson
1
EURUSD - OPPORTUNITY TO PLAY BOTH SIDES OF DESCENDING CHANNEL CMCMARKETS:EURUSD TRADING IDEA - EURUSD MOVES WITHIN A DESCENDING CHANNEL - OPPORTUNITY TO PLAY BOTH SIDES EURUSD has been trading within a descending channel since the beginning of the month. Nearby the upper border of the channel there is SMA200 on a 30-m timeframe, pushing on the pair. Generally speaking, all major moving averages are pushing on the EURUSD, the short-term bearish trend continues, so I decided to open 🔽 a market sell order at 1.16688 with ❌a stop loss at 1.16985 and 🤑a take profit at 1.16324 Later I expect a rebound from the lower border with a potential uprise towards upper border of the descending channel.
Short
by ProfessorSingapore
US Jobless Claims: Why They Matter for EURUSD 🇺🇸FOREXCOM:EURUSD 📈 US Jobless Claims: Why They Matter for EURUSD 🇺🇸💼 While Trump’s tariff policies ⚔️ remain in focus, it’s important not to overlook today’s economic calendar 🗓️, with Initial Jobless Claims taking the spotlight. 🧐 What are Jobless Claims? Initial Jobless Claims 📑 measure the number of people filing for state unemployment insurance for the first time. Released weekly by the US Department of Labor 🏛️, it’s a key indicator of the health of the US labor market 💪. Why does it matter? A strong labor market typically supports the US dollar 💵, as it reduces the likelihood of immediate Fed rate cuts 🕰️, while higher claims suggest a weakening economy, which could pressure the dollar lower. 📊 Latest Figures: 🔹 Previous: 233K 🔹 Forecast: 235K Last week, claims fell from 237K to 233K, highlighting continued labor market resilience. If today’s data beats expectations (lower claims), the USD may strengthen 🛡️, potentially pushing EURUSD below 1.1700. Conversely, higher claims could weaken the USD ⚠️, lifting EURUSD above 1.1800. 💡 Trade Idea: BUY EURUSD at 1.17300 ❌ Stop Loss: 1.17600 ✅ Take Profit: 1.16500 While the US labor market remains strong, technical factors and broader fundamentals can confirm a strong EURUSD reversal, keeping bearish opportunities in play. 🚀 Stay tuned for live reactions after the data drops! 💬 Support this post if you find it useful! 🔔
Short
by ProfessorSingapore
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 4, 2025 EURUSDEvents to pay attention to today: 12:00 EET. EUR - Producer Price Index EURUSD: On Friday, during the Asian session, the EUR/USD pair is trading in a narrow range around 1.1760. The main currency pair is showing sluggish dynamics amid the US holiday (Independence Day). The US dollar (USD) is maintaining its recovery, triggered by better-than-expected non-farm payrolls (NFP) data for June. Data released on Thursday showed that the US economy added 147,000 new jobs, exceeding expectations of 110,000. The better-than-expected NFP data brought some relief to the US dollar, but this is unlikely to continue as the report shows that private sector hiring is losing momentum. Private employers added 74,000 jobs in June, well below the three-month average of 115,000. This scenario is unlikely to ease the position of several Federal Reserve (Fed) officials, including Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman, who advocated for lower interest rates at a policy meeting later this month, citing potential risks in the labour market. In the eurozone, the sharp appreciation of the euro (EUR) has raised concerns that inflation could fall below the European Central Bank's (ECB) 2% target. According to a senior ECB official, ‘the ECB may have to make it clear that too strong a euro could be a problem, as it could cause inflation to hover below target,’ reports the Financial Times (FT). Trading recommendation: SELL 1.17700, SL 1.18000, TP 1.16900
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004