Sell EURUSD H4 Channel BreakoutEUR/USD Poised for Potential Downtrend as Bullish Channel Breaches Lower Boundary.
The EUR/USD pair might be heading south, exhibiting a bearish signal on its H4 chart. A recent breakdown through the lower border of a bullish channel pattern suggests waning upward momentum and a potential shift in trend.
Key Points:
Bullish Channel Breakout: The price had been confined within an ascending channel, characterized by rising support and resistance lines. However, a recent break below the lower support at 1.0900 indicates a potential shift in momentum towards the downside.
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price near 1.0900, offering an entry point close to the breakout level.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the support levels of 1.0700 and 1.0585, marking the previous bottoms within the channel.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the resistance line of the broken channel at 1.0950
EUR/USD News and Events to Watch Next Week (January 29 - February 2):
Federal Reserve (Fed) Meeting and Interest Rate Decision (Jan 31): This is the biggest event of the week. A hawkish Fed stance with another large rate hike (75bps or more) and strong economic projections could significantly strengthen the USD against the EUR. Conversely, dovish hints or smaller rate increases could favor the EUR.
US Non-Farm Payrolls (Feb 2): Strong jobs growth could indicate a resilient US economy and support the USD. Conversely, weaker data could dampen hawkish sentiment and benefit the EUR.
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Eurusdshort
Sellers are Ready for EURUSDPure technical analysis.
EURUSD appears to have completed the 4th leg of Elliott Waves and is approaching previous support at 1.07464. There is still 1 leg of the Elliott Wave left to be fulfilled (leg E) which is predicted to be a pullback to the 0.618 Fibonacci zone, where there is equal high liquidity to be taken and then EURUSD will start a new wave (12345).
For entry, wait for a pullback to the 1.01000 - 1.10485 zone and wait for signs of reversal (engulfing candles or double/triple top in the smaller time frame). Ride the bearish waves to the strong support zone at 1.06110, an area that was previously also a flip zone. Stop loss at level 1.11135 or slightly higher to avoid fakeout (stop loss hunting/purge).
Cancel the setup if the price rises to 1.11135 with high volume.
EURUSD plan for 01/02/2024It looks like the H4 demand zone that has been propping up the weekly chart may fail, today giving us the opportunity of some strong sells for the quarter. I have marked the zones I will be looking for shorts from with confirmation entries.
High impact data releases during NY
EURUSD - IN ANTICIPATION OF A POSITIVE PCE REPORT (TARGET 1.081)The upcoming release of the Core PCE Price Index, a key inflation metric closely monitored by the Fed, is scheduled for 13:30 GMT. Despite not anticipating major surprises due to its inclusion in the recent GDP report, investors will closely examine this data along with December's Personal Spending and Personal Income figures for deeper economic insights. While positive outcomes in spending and income could bolster the USD, disappointing results might signal weakening consumption, potentially impacting the USD's immediate performance.
The previous retail sales data was extremely bullish. Retail Sales and Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) often show a positive correlation, both reflecting consumer spending trends. While Retail Sales focus on goods, PCE covers a broader range including services. Both indicators are influenced by similar economic factors like employment rates and consumer confidence, making them crucial for understanding economic health. However, their scope differs, with PCE providing a more comprehensive view of total consumer spending. Traders should monitor these metrics for insights into consumer behaviour and overall economic conditions.
Based on these macro assumptions I'll explore the bullish outcome for the dollar:
What is on the chart? (Follow the steps)
1) We have our first accumulation structure which was followed by a breakout and also a market structure shift. This accumulation was fuelled by a 4H FVG.
2) When paired with the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicator you'll notice more downside confirmations such as a break of both the daily Kijun and Tenkan, a Tenkan/Kijun crossover and a Kumo twist. Thirdly the weekly Tenkan was broken and retested. These are all major signals.
3) We're currently still range bound with the daily 0.786 level as support that was perfectly respected. This level is strengthened by the daily Kumo.
4) I am relying on the 4 Hour order block as the final resistance before the potential positive PCE data release which would be final blow. Price should continue its downfall towards sellside liquidity.
Here are some extra charts to strengthen the bias:
As usual, happy trading and have great day!! :)
EURUSD M15 / Short Trade Idea / Waiting for Confirmation ✅Hello Traders!
This is my idea related to EURUSD M15. I expect a retracement from the resistance level.
Today we have important news on EURUSD, let's see what impact it will have on the EU move.
As a target point, I take into consideration the BOSS which I expect will be taken.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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EUR/USD ENTRIESIm still leaning towards USD weakness, so therefore I am predominately looking for long entries, I am going to wait for the London open before making a decision, if price continues to reject from the 108.700 area then I would consider a buy from the current area, however if it drifts up to the middle of structure then I would wait for the break above structure and a 1h / 4h close above the blue line.
Sells could be on the cards with a sold break below structure and a retest of the blue line and a lower low close on the 15 min
EURUSD is ready to go shortThe price movements from 1.0980 are viewed as a corrective pattern for the preceding uptrend. While further upward movement cannot be ruled out, the rally appears to be capped by the break of the 1.0920 level, signaling a potential sell-off towards the target at 1.0768.
Therefore, we are opening a short position to target the mentioned objective as the next goal.
Yemi_Fx1 | SELL OPPORTUNITY ON EURUSD The overall structure is an ascending channel which is a reversal pattern in between it is a formation of a continuation pattern 15MIN flag pattern). So my bias on OANDA:EURUSD is bearish. Anticipating price to test the upper dynamic trendline in conjunction with the resistance zone, then to the nearest support level.
Bearish Symphony: EUR/USD Dances to the Melody of Downward TrendGood morning, this is Joe Malone from Districtfx. Currently, we're observing bearish price action for the EUR/USD pair. The charts indicate a bearish sentiment around the 1.08900 level. We anticipate a retracement to that level, presenting a selling opportunity to the downside. Upon retracement, we'll explore a potential selling opportunity, targeting the low of the London session at 1.08680 and another take profit level at 1.08550. It's crucial to manage risk effectively for future trading opportunities. Stay warm on the East Coast, and have a great weekend!
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