$EU Short Idea UPDATEHi guys, this time i bring you an Euro analysis which isn't directional because i want you to comment your thoughts about where this is going to go, in my own opinion this is bearish at the moment but it could turn into a bullish situation if DXY flips it's H4 OB or bounces down from the Daily OB.
UPDATE: DXY had a CISD(Change in delivery of state) which leaves us with one conclusion with a few confluences
-DXY CISD & Weak push
-EU upper liq
Eurusdshort
EURUSD → Next on the downside appears 1.0640FX:EURUSD trades in an inconclusive fashion below the 1.0700 mark at the beginning of the week.
If bears regain the initiative, they could initially drag the pair to the interim 55-day SMA, today at 1.0639. The loss of this region could open the door to a probable visit to the weekly low of 1.0495 (October 13) ahead of the 2023 bottom of 1.0448 (October 3).
In the meantime, while below the 200-day SMA at 1.0800, the pair’s outlook should remain negative.
$EU AnalysisHi guys, this time i bring you an Euro analysis which isn't directional because i want you to comment your thoughts about where this is going to go, in my own opinion this is bearish at the moment but it could turn into a bullish situation if DXY flips it's H4 OB or bounces down from the Daily OB.
EURUSD → Next on the upside comes at 1.0756FX:EURUSD prints humble gains in the 1.0670/80 band at the end of the week.
In case the upward bias picks up extra pace, there is an initial barrier at the round level of 1.0700 ahead of the monthly top of 1.0756 (November 6).
In the meantime, while below the 200-day SMA at 1.0801, the pair’s outlook should remain negative.
EURUSD: Fed funds futures project rate cut in 2024, EUR/USD hitsRecent data indicates that the Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and the FOMC have noted a decrease in the anticipated reduction in federal funds rates for 2024. Forecasts were at 100 basis points (bps) last week, but this week they have decreased to 76 bps, which is in line with pre-Fed data.
The FOMC is continuing to oppose dovish pricing while attempting to maintain the possibility of a rate hike. In spite of these efforts, only 23% of experts now believe that interest rates will rise at the next meeting on January 31, 2024.
The EUR/USD currency rate dropped to its lowest point since the release of the most recent non-farm payrolls data in tandem with these market developments. Meanwhile, the US 2-year bond
Short Opportunity for EUR/USDEUR/USD is currently in a strong downtrend, and a previous trade idea based on the break of the previous day's low and 4-hour support yielded a 40-pip gain . The analysis now indicates a potential opportunity as the price approaches another critical level.
Now Seems like price is pulling back to 1h resistance at 1.06949.
If the price retests this level with an entry confirmation, a short trade is recommended. There are three potential targets:
The first target is set at 1.06668, which is a 4H support level.
The second target is at 1.06482, representing 1H support level.
The final target is the another 1H support level at 1.06319.
This setup could potentially yield more than 60+ pips. Traders should closely monitor the price for entry confirmations and act accordingly.
if not price can pullback to 1.07317 level.
Please remember to exercise caution and implement appropriate risk management strategies. Trading carries inherent risks, and this idea is not financial advice. Conduct your own research, assess your risk tolerance, and consider seeking guidance from a professional financial advisor as needed.
Short Opportunity for EUR/USDEUR/USD is currently in a strong downtrend, and a previous trade idea based on the break of the previous day's low and 4-hour support yielded a 40-pip gain . The analysis now indicates a potential opportunity as the price approaches another critical level.
If the price breaks below the 4-hour support at 1.06668 and retests this level with an entry confirmation, a short trade is recommended. There are three potential targets:
The first target is set at 1.06482, which is a 1-hour support level.
The second target is at 1.06319, representing another 1-hour support level.
The final target is the previous low of the day at 1.06197.
This setup could potentially yield more than 45 pips. Traders should closely monitor the price for entry confirmations and act accordingly.
if not price can pullback to 1.07064 level.
Please remember to exercise caution and implement appropriate risk management strategies. Trading carries inherent risks, and this idea is not financial advice. Conduct your own research, assess your risk tolerance, and consider seeking guidance from a professional financial advisor as needed.
EURUSD: Euro slides after inflation data from Germany and SpainOnly a few days after the European Central Bank completed its longest interest rate bull run in 25 years last week by maintaining the key policy rate at 4%, the euro slipped 0.1% to 1.0554 as data indicated that inflation in the euro zone was declining.
Germany's most populated state, North Rhine Westphalia, saw a 3.1% year-over-year increase in consumer prices in October, down from a 4.2% increase the previous month, according to data released early on Monday.
In addition, the Spanish CPI increased by 3.5% annually, less than the 3.8% predicted, and by 0.3% in October, less than the 0.6% predicted.
EURUSD short trade oppurtunity amid ECB rate haltDriven by recent ECB rate decisions and technical indicators. The ECB's pause on rate hikes amid lingering inflation concerns has led to a mild appreciation in the pair, closing at $1.05930 during the week ending October 20, 2023. However, technical analysis reveals a broader bearish trend with critical support at 1.0500. A break below this level could signify a stronger bearish control.
Entry Point: 1.0566
Take Profit: 1.0500
Stop Loss: 1.0600
BluetonaFX - EURUSD Bear Flag Pattern SHORT IdeaHi Traders!
There is a bear flag pattern on the EURUSD 1D chart, and if we get a break of the flag channel, there is potential for continuation towards the yearly low at 1.04485.
Price Action 📊
The market is currently in the flag channel and has failed to break back above the 20 EMA, which is a bearish signal. We are looking for a momentum break and a close below the flag channel to potentially target 1.04485 for a re-test of the level.
Fundamental Analysis 📰
The US economy expanded at a 4.9% annual rate from July through September as Americans defied higher prices and rising interest rates. Economists have also said the US economy expanded last quarter at the fastest pace in nearly two years—more than twice the 2.1% annual rate of the previous quarter.
Support 📉
1.05352: PREVIOUS DAY'S LOW
1.04485: YEARLY LOW
Resistance 📈
1.05971: PREVIOUS DAY'S HIGH
Risk ⚠️
No more than 2% of your capital.
Reward 💰
At least 4% of your capital.
Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps.
Trade safely and responsibly.
BluetonaFX
Short Opportunity: Riding the Dollar Bullish Momentum in EUR/USDHi Realistic Traders. Here's my price action analysis on EURUSD!
EURUSD has recently dipped below the EMA200 line , thereby confirming its bearish trend. The most probable scenario at this point is a continuation of this bearish trend. Upon closer examination of the chart, it becomes evident that EURUSD has formed a bearish pattern recognized as the Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern, complete with a breakout. Breakouts in such instances typically foreshadow a continuation of the downward trajectory. Additionally, the momentum indicator is currently indicating a downward momentum, as it approaches the negative zone, signaling the potential for further downward movement toward the designated target area.
it is essential to note that the analysis will no longer hold validity once the target/resistance area is reached.
Please support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below!
Disclaimer:
"Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on FX:EURUSD ."
EUR USD IdeaGood morning, fellow traders. Today, our focus is on the EUR/USD pair, and we find ourselves navigating the daily trading zone. Our strategy involves identifying and utilizing institutional high-volume levels, including those on the daily, weekly, and monthly timeframes, alongside the points of controls and Value areas.
Our approach centers on quick in-and-out scalping within these established levels. We marry these levels with fresh structural data to pinpoint trade opportunities. The beauty of this setup is that it offers a multitude of trading opportunities for today and possibly tomorrow.
In this current environment, we're operating within the confines of a monthly order block, and the market lacks a clear directional bias. Swing trading, in this context, carries lower probability, so we're focusing on short-term scalps. It's important to note that scalping demands an intensive amount of screen time and the ability to execute trades with precision, often in a matter of minutes or even seconds.
The key takeaway is that we're prioritizing these quick, short-term trades, aiming for 1 to 3 trades with minimal holding time. Successful scalping is all about timing and swift execution. So, keep a keen eye on the market, and execute your trades swiftly. This is the way to navigate the market like a pro.