Eurusdshort
EURUSD top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EURUSD: Bearish Reversal Idea, Seasonal AnalysisBearish Indications
• Resistance Zone at 1.06428
• Seasonal Analysis show EXY remains Bearish in January 60% of times.
• DXY is in a Bearish Trend on Weekly time-frame.
• Gartley’s XABCD the point D indicates a reversal in the Zone of 1.06428 to 1.06605
• Monthly Seasonal analysis shows DXY remain Bullish in January 60%.
• EXY remained Bullish in December 2022 which indicated to a point that seasonal are working so far.
• Weekly Seasonal Analysis show EURUSD remain Bearish in 3rd Week of January
• DXY is at a significant Support Zone 103.780 from where a bounce back is possible.
• Slight Divergence spotted on ChandeMO Oscillator on EXY .
Bullish Indications
• 4hrs time-frame Higher Highs and Higher Lows formation.
• 4hrs time-frame Three White Soldiers candle pattern.
• Significant Support Zone at 1.06322
• EXY is in a Bullish Trend on Weekly Time frame.
• Weekly Seasonal Analysis shows EURUSD remains Bullish in 2nd Week of January.
• On Weekly timeframe DXY price action show an inverted hammer candle which indicates sellers are in control.
• Traditionally EXY and DXY are negatively correlated.
Biased : Short
Trade PLAN (Short)
Entry: 1.06556 (Fib Lvl 78.6%)
TP: 1.05711 (Fib Lvl 38.2%)
Stop Loss: 1.06881 ( Support area / Higher High/ Fib Lvl 88.6%)
Risk/Reward: 1:2.39
N.B.
Manage your Risk Accordingly.
EURUSD - Boom or BustNFP around the corner, will it strengthen USD or weaken sentiment?
EURUSD is at monthly channel low, good upside potential (macro)
DOW is also at monthly low, be interesting to see what run bullish as it will determine the direction of the EURUSD pair.
DOW + Bullish = EURUSD Bearish
Negative NFP reports could push DOW into new lows and set the EUR off on it's bull run.
Also quite difficult to give an accurate estimate because rates are still so high and with so much quantitive easing post covid from both the USD and EUR it's hard to tell what will happen.
Good time for reactive trading, rather than predictive.