DeGRAM | EURUSD reached the resistance level📊 Technical Analysis
● Bulls defended the rising-channel mid-line (≈1.1480), turning it into support and snapping the intraday falling wedge; hourly closes now print higher highs above the reclaimed 1.1520 pivot.
● A tight bull flag is forming against 1.1560; its 1.618 swing coincides with the upper rail / 1.1617 resistance, keeping the channel’s momentum bias pointed north.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Softer US housing starts and a slide in 2-yr yields pulled the DXY to two-week lows, while ECB’s Knot warned “premature cuts risk inflation flare-ups,” widening the short-rate gap in the euro’s favour.
✨ Summary
Long 1.1515-1.1530; flag break >1.1560 targets 1.1617, stretch 1.1670. Bias void on an H1 close below 1.1480.
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Eurusdsignal
DeGRAM | EURUSD double bottom📊 Technical Analysis
● The price is currently testing the upper resistance of a descending wedge pattern after forming a clear double bottom formation. This double bottom occurred precisely at a confluence of support, where the long-term ascending support line intersects with the lower boundary of the wedge, indicating a strong potential for a bullish reversal from the 1.1450-1.1470 area.
● This recent bullish price action follows a prior "double top" pattern that initiated the corrective move downwards into the current wedge. A decisive breakout and hold above the wedge's resistance would invalidate the recent bearish pressure and confirm that buyers are taking control, with the first significant target being the horizontal resistance line near 1.1523.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Market attention is centered on the upcoming U.S. Federal Reserve policy meeting. While no rate change is expected, forward guidance is key. Current market sentiment, as noted by analysts at RoboForex and FreshForex, is pricing in the possibility of a Fed rate cut later this year, which could place downward pressure on the US Dollar.
● Conversely, the Euro is finding support from a comparatively hawkish European Central Bank (ECB). Recent reports indicate that the probability of an ECB rate cut has diminished, suggesting a policy divergence that favors EUR strength against the USD, underpinning the technical case for a move higher.
✨ Summary
Long entry on a confirmed 30-minute candle close above the descending wedge resistance (~1.1485); initial target 1.1523 → 1.1560. The bullish outlook is invalidated on a close below the double bottom support at 1.1450.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD rebound from the lower boundary of the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● A completed AB=CD (0.883 / 1.112) pattern at the channel floor (1.1488) produced a hammer, signalling exhaustion of bears at the measured PRZ.
● Price is now reclaiming the micro structure high 1.1526; that flips the inner range to support and opens the next intra-channel pivot 1.1560, with room to the upper wall near 1.1600.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● EZ May trade balance swung back to a €4 bn surplus while weak US housing starts shaved another 4 bp off 2-yr yields, compressing the short-rate gap and underpinning EUR bids.
✨ Summary
Buy 1.1500-1.1530; break >1.1560 targets 1.1600, stretch 1.1650. Bull bias void on 30 min close below 1.1480.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD fixed above the lower boundary of the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Euro keeps stair-stepping along the inner trend-line of the 2-month rising channel; each dip to the line (green arrows) is met with higher lows, confirming firm demand around 1.1485-1.1500.
● Friday’s break back above the former wedge cap turned 1.1550 into support; clearing the last swing high at 1.1605 would expose the channel median / fib cluster at 1.1650, with the upper rail near 1.1745 as an extension.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Softer US retail-sales and a slump in NY Fed manufacturing pulled Treasury 2-yr yields under 4.70 %, while ECB speakers warned that further cuts “are not a given,” narrowing the rate gap and reviving euro bids.
✨ Summary
Long 1.1520-1.1560; hold above 1.1550 targets 1.1650 ➜ 1.1745. Bias void on an H4 close below 1.1480.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD formed the double top📊 Technical Analysis
● A double-top printed at the channel roof (≈ 1.1600) and a bearish engulfing candle signal exhaustion; price is slipping back inside last week’s inner trend-median, turning 1.1550 into fresh resistance.
● Hourly RSI diverged lower and the grey return line from 1 June has broken; pattern depth points to 1.1500 support, with the channel mid-band / former triangle apex near 1.1470 as the next magnet.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Post-CPI profit-taking meets cautious ECB rhetoric: Lagarde reiterated “no preset easing path,” yet money-markets still price two Fed cuts by year-end, inviting near-term dollar reprieve.
✨ Summary
Short 1.1540-1.1560; break below 1.1520 targets 1.1500 → 1.1470. Bear view void on an H1 close above 1.1600.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD above the 1.15📊 Technical Analysis
● Hourly close above 1.1500 completed a small ascending triangle; price is now hugging the rising-channel’s upper rail after a chain of higher-lows, pointing toward the 1.1600 objective.
● Triangle top and channel mid-line overlap at 1.1500-1.1520; while candles stay above, risk : reward favours a push to the next fib / upper parallel near 1.1650.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US core-CPI eased to 0.1 % m/m, driving Treasury yields lower and lifting September Fed-cut odds >70 %, weakening the dollar, while ECB officials talked up a “data-dependent” pause, keeping euro bids firm.
✨ Summary
Long bias while price holds 1.1520; targets 1.1600 then 1.1650. Invalidate on an hourly close below 1.1470.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD held the support📊 Technical Analysis
● Euro holds above 1.137 – 1.140, where the channel’s mid-line meets the old wedge roof, printing a fresh higher-low (green arrow).
● Price is compressing inside a pennant capped at 1.142; flag height projects to 1.156 – 1.160 at the rising-channel median once 1.142 gives way.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● After the ECB’s “one-and-pause” cut, sticky EZ core CPI (2.9 % y/y) and softer US payrolls narrowed the 2-yr rate gap, keeping flows tilted toward the euro.
✨ Summary
Buy 1.137–1.141; pennant breakout >1.142 targets 1.156 → 1.160. Long bias void on an H4 close below 1.126.
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EUR/USD – Bearish Setup with Potential Drop Toward 1.1285 and 1.EUR/USD is showing signs of exhaustion near the 1.1475 Fibonacci extension level (127.2%), with a completed five-wave impulse pattern likely followed by an ABC correction.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
A clear 5-wave Elliott structure suggests a top might be in.
Price is now losing momentum, indicating the start of a corrective move.
If selling continues, 1.12850 will be the first key level to watch.
A break below that could open the door for a deeper correction toward 1.12286.
📉 Momentum Support:
The Detrended Oscillator shows a loss of bullish momentum, aligning with the corrective structure expectation.
🔴 Invalidation:
A break back above 1.1475 would invalidate the bearish count and suggest trend continuation.
This setup favors short opportunities on breakdown confirmation with targets at the next major supports.
DeGRAM | EURUSD formed a bullish takeover📊 Technical Analysis
● A bullish engulfing on the grey 1.135-1.139 demand band reclaimed the inner trend-median and confirmed the base of the rising 2-month channel.
● The pull-back has just retested the broken wedge top (~1.140) as support; pattern height projects a grind to the channel mid-rail / horizontal cluster at 1.1565.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Ahead of the ECB’s expected “one-and-pause” 25 bp cut, EZ core CPI stayed stuck at 2.9 % y/y while soft US job-openings and lower T-bill yields narrowed the 2-yr spread, helping bids return to the euro.
✨ Summary
Long 1.137-1.140; hold above 1.135 seeks 1.156 ➜ 1.160. Invalidate on H4 close < 1.126.
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EUR/USD Analysis – Possible Scenarios🔹 Price is currently trading around 1.1421, consolidating between key supply and demand zones.
🔴 Supply Zone (Order Block 1H): 1.14360 – 1.14590
📌 Strong bearish reaction from this resistance area. First scenario: rejection from this OB and a move downward.
🔵 Demand Zone (Order Block 4H): 1.13050 – 1.13430
✅ If price fails to break the resistance, we could see a retracement to this OB. Bullish reaction here may offer long opportunities.
🟢 Fair Value Gap (FVG 1H): 1.11800 – 1.12220
📉 If OB 4H fails to hold, price could drop into this FVG area – a high-liquidity zone for potential reversal.
📊 Possible Scenarios:
1️⃣ Break and hold above OB 1H → price may extend toward next OB zone at 1.15150 – 1.15400
2️⃣ Rejection from OB 1H → pullback to OB 4H → possible long setup if confirmed
3️⃣ Break below OB 4H → deeper move into FVG 1H
‼️ Avoid premature entries – wait for valid confirmations.
🔍 Insight by ProfitaminFX
If this outlook aligns with your bias, or if you see it differently, feel free to share your perspective in the comments. Let’s grow together 📈
DeGRAM | EURUSD fixed above the resistance line📊 Technical Analysis
● Price has broken the H1 descending-channel roof and twice “fixed” above it at ≈1.137, turning the former ceiling into short-term support.
● The rebound forms an ascending triangle under 1.142; its measured swing targets 1.156 – 1.160, where the violet long-term resistance line and mid-channel parallel converge.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Markets expect the ECB to cut only 25 bp on 6 Jun and signal patience, while soft US JOLTS openings and slipping ISM-prices lifted September Fed-cut odds past 60 %, narrowing the 2-yr yield gap and underpinning EUR.
✨ Summary
Buy 1.135-1.137; triangle break >1.142 seeks 1.156 → 1.160. Long view void on an H1 close below 1.126.
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EURUSD: Pullback From Support Confirmed 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Update for our yesterday's setup on EURUSD.
It feels like the pair has successfully completed a retracement,
respecting an intraday horizontal support.
A double bottom formation on that and a formation of a bullish
imbalance candle provide a strong bullish confirmation.
I think the pair may rise at least to 1.144 support soon.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD broke the downward channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Price broke the H4 descending channel roof and reclaimed 1.130 support; the breakout is holding above the long-term blue trend-line, creating a fresh higher-low cluster.
● Momentum is compressing in a bull flag between 1.1420 resistance and 1.1330 support; flag depth projects to 1.1565-1.1600 near the violet channel cap.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Flash EZ CPI jumped to 2.6 % y/y vs 2.5 % est. while US ISM mfg. slid to 48.1, trimming Treasury yields and widening EUR-USD rate appeal.
✨ Summary
Long 1.133-1.136; flag break >1.142 targets 1.156 → 1.160. Trend risk flips on a close below 1.126.
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EURUSD on 3rd May 2025By looking at EURUSD in 4h timeframe, it is trading on very strong zone as it became support now due to yesterday breakout. Also there is uptrend trendline which is acting as strong support, if it breaks our next target will be down to 1.12490 and 1.12930. if this support holds then price may surge in upward direction. Need to wait till breakout in downward.
Key point.
Support - 1.14190, 1.13600, 1.13152
Resistance - 1.14906, 1.15440
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DeGRAM | EURUSD retest of the support📊 Technical Analysis
● Price rebounded off the flag base (1.128) and reclaimed the inner grey trend-median, keeping the sequence of higher-lows inside the two-year rising channel.
● The flag’s upper rail at 1.145 has been tested twice; a close above completes the pattern and projects to the channel roof / horizontal confluence at 1.1600, while dynamic support rises with the violet breakout line at 1.1214.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Euro stays bid after May EZ headline CPI re-accelerated to 2.6 % y/y, tempering expectations for aggressive ECB cuts, whereas weaker US ADP hiring and cooling core-PCE pressured real yields and the dollar.
✨ Summary
Long bias above 1.128; flag break > 1.145 targets 1.1600, stretch 1.1950. Invalidate on daily close < 1.1080.
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EURUSD: Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis
and important supports and resistances for EURUSD
for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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EURUSD,GBPUSD and AUDUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
DeGRAM | EURUSD held the support line📊 Technical Analysis
● Price broke the two-year descending channel roof and completed a daily “cup-with-handle”; the handle low held exactly on the 1.121-1.128 former supply, confirming it as demand.
● Pattern height added to the breakout line projects to 1.1600, which coincides with the violet channel-top; next target is the upper parallel / 1.1950, while the handle floor at 1.1080 guards the trend.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Euro support grows as April EZ wage-growth beat ECB staff forecasts, tempering expectations for an aggressive easing cycle, while softer US core-PCE keeps real-yield spreads tilting in the euro’s favour.
✨ Summary
Long bias intact above 1.121; objectives 1.145 breakout ➜ 1.1600, stretch 1.1950. Invalidate on a daily close below 1.1080.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD held the accumulation zone📊 Technical Analysis
● Two-year rising channel is intact; price just rebounded from the lower rail (RB) and punched back above the 2020-2024 red resistance trend-line, repeating the 2022 “break-retest-fixation” pattern.
● An 18-month accumulation rectangle (1.06-1.13) has resolved higher, printing a bullish weekly engulfing; the measured move points to the channel mid-band / horizontal cluster at 1.1600, then the upper rail near 1.1950.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Eurozone core CPI is stuck at 2.7 % y/y while US ISM and housing prints cooled, dragging real U.S. yields lower and narrowing the policy-rate gap priced for 2025.
✨ Summary
Long above 1.1214; breakout projects 1.16 ➜ 1.195. Risk flips only on a weekly close back below 1.108.
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Big Picture Shift: EURUSD Bulls Eye 1.23–1.25 Zone📊 EURUSD – Has the Long-Term Trend Finally Reversed?
Since the 2008 all-time high at 1.60, EURUSD has been in a persistent downtrend, dropping all the way below parity in September 2022.
Following the recovery back above parity, the pair has been range-bound in a 700-pip channel for nearly two years. And while early 2025 brought a sharp decline toward the 1.02 zone, this move was quickly reversed, forming what now looks like a higher low relative to the sub-parity bottom.
❓ The big question: Is the long-term trend now bullish?
There are several signs supporting this idea:
✅ From 2008 to 2014, the pair formed a massive descending triangle, which eventually broke to the downside.
✅ The area around 1.05 held as a long-term support, and price began trading in a broader range with 1.22–1.23 resistance.
✅ The break below parity could now be interpreted as a false breakdown, with the strong reversal from 1.02 this year confirming the historical support zones from 2015 and 2017.
✅ Most importantly, the recent push to 1.1550 could be the first higher high on the long-term chart — a potential signal that the downtrend of nearly two decades is ending.
🎯 Conclusion and Long-Term Target
In my view, the long-term trend has shifted. The structure now favors bullish continuation, and my primary target on the long term is the 1.23–1.25 zone.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD reached the upper boundary of the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Price is capped by the H4 supply at 1.130-1.135 and the roof of a year-long downward channel; the latest test printed a bearish pin (red arrow).
● Inside, a smaller blue rising channel has just broken south—turning 1.128 into fresh resistance—and leaves room to the mid-channel support at 1.121, then the lower rail / 1.113.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● ECB’s Villeroy repeated that a June cut is “very likely” while Fed minutes stressed rates may stay restrictive; widening yield gap revives USD demand.
✨ Summary
Fade 1.128-1.131; targets 1.121 ➜ 1.113, extension 1.106. Short view void on a close above 1.135.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD testing the resistance line📊 Technical Analysis
● Euro rebounded from the channel mid-line and reclaimed the purple corrective trend-line; that switch from resistance to support confirms a bull-flag breakout.
● Fresh upside is opening above 1.1280 (prior swing cap). Clearing it exposes the channel top / horizontal hurdle at 1.1380; measured move of the flag aligns with 1.1550.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● FXStreet notes US April leading-index fell for a 25th month, pulling 2-yr yields off highs, while Yahoo Finance reports German PPI turned positive m/m, limiting ECB-cut bets and lending bid to the euro.
✨ Summary
Buy 1.122-1.128 ; objectives 1.138 → 1.155, invalidate below 1.108.
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