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Eurusdsignals

EUR/USD Range-Bound but Ready to Break Higher? Since the beginning of the year, EUR/USD has been trading within a range, fluctuating between 1.0200 and 1.0440, aside from a few temporary spikes in both directions. While the overall trend remains bearish, I anticipate a relief rally in the near future, which could push the price toward the 1.0650–1.0700 zone in the medium term. In the short term, the market remains stable, with a strong support base forming around 1.0200. Given this setup, my bias is bullish, and I’m looking to buy dips, targeting 1.0500 as the first key resistance level.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
EURUSD Trade War pushing it to parity. 0.9900 Target possible.The EURUSD pair opened with a significant gap downwards in the aftermath of the first Tariff announcements between the U.S. and their strongest trade partners. This is a natural news reaction fundamentally but even from a technical standpoint, it is backed up. The reason is the massive 11-year Falling Wedge pattern that the pair has been trading in since May 2014. This pattern shows that after last September's Lower High and rejection below both the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), we have started the new Bearish Leg. With the 1W RSI making a somewhat Double Bottom on oversold territory (below 30.00), we see a similar pattern with the January 2022 and August 2018 fractals. Those sequences served as bearish continuation patterns following a consolidation phase. The pair has consolidated through January and now this is the technical signal to resume the bearish trend potentially. The 2018 sequence declined to at least its 0.786 Fibonacci level before hitting the Internal Higher Lows trend-line. This gives us a new bearish Target below parity at 0.99000, which is also contained above a potentially similar Higher Lows trend-line. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
EURUSD 1D MA50 break-out after 4 months. Major bullish signal.The EURUSD pair broke above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in almost 4 months (since October 03 2024). This is a major bullish signal as not only does it stop the downtrend that started on the September 25 2024 High but it resembles the post bottom rally of the November 02 2023 and March 21 2023 1D MA50 break-outs. The 1D RSI sequences between those fractals are identical and both previous bullish break-outs hit at least their 0.681 Fibonacci retracement levels. That is currently where the 1W MA200 (red trend-line) is trending towards, which is the major multi-year Resistance and a valid target and sell entry for swing traders. The current rebound however faces for the first time in years a bearish trending 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), so our Target has to be on it and not exceed it. We are aiming for 1.07500. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
EURUSD Top of the Channel Down. How to trade this.The EURUSD pair gave us a solid short-term buy last time (January 13, see chart below) that easily hit the 1.02850 Target: The price remains near the top of the 5-week Channel Down and technically this is a sell signal. Our Target is 1.01250, which is the -2.30% minimum decline that has taken place within this pattern as a Bearish Leg. If the price rises more however and breaks above the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line), it will be the first time to do so since October 01 2024, and a technical buy signal. In that case, take the loss on the sell and go long instead, targeting 1.06250, which is both marginally below the starting level (Resistance 1) of the Channel Down, as well as significantly below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
EURUSD Channel Down bottoming on oversold 4H RSI.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the December 06 2024 High. The 4H RSI is oversold (<30.00) and every time it has been so on this pattern, it was a buy opportunity. The target of those buy signals has been the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). We expect the price to be at least 1.02850 when it hits it. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
EURUSD Short-term buying activity spotted.The EURUSD pair has been under heavy selling pressure for the whole December but despite the red candle, it closed last week on a long wick and opened today on a green note. The weekly closing managed to make it inside the 2-year Megaphone pattern. At the same time, the 1W RSI is making a Double Bottom and that resembles the August 06 2018 candle, which was also a medium-term bottom after a multi-month decline. The rebound that followed peaked a little below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and Resistance. As a result, we are bullish on this pair, at least on the medium-term, targeting 1.0600 (just below the Resistance level). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
EurUsd could drop under parity in 2025 (0.95 target)Now that 2024 has concluded, EUR/USD has ended the year at its lowest point, marking a 7% decline from January and a 9% drop from its summer peak. Most notably, the pair fell 6% since November—a significant move for such a typically stable currency pair, highlighting strong bearish momentum. Technical Analysis On the daily chart, the EUR/USD has shown a steady downtrend since its double top in August and September. Every meaningful reversal attempt was met with selling pressure, leading to a quick resumption of the downward trajectory. The long-term (monthly) chart paints an even grimmer picture. The pair has been in a clear downtrend since its 2008 peak of 1.60, and it now sits precariously on critical support levels from the 2015 and 2017 lows. Fundamental Outlook The fundamentals align with the technical bearish trend. Diverging monetary policies and a bleak economic outlook for the EU add to the pair's struggles. Conclusion: Given these conditions, a drop below parity appears likely in the coming year. The most prudent trading strategy for EUR/USD is to sell into rallies and wait for further declines. My target is 0.95, but, to be honest, I would not be very surprised by 0.9
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
12
EURUSD Channel Up targeting the 4H MA200.The EURUSD pair broke above its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and following a Double Bottom bounce on the Support Zone on December 18, it started a Channel Up. Having initiated that after a highly oversold 4H RSI, it shares many similarities with the November 22 Channel Up, which peaked just below the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). This is where our current short-term Target is at 1.04900. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
EURUSD short-term trading set-upThe EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Down since the September 25 High and remains on a bearish course below the 4H MA200 (red trend-line) since October 01. The 1D RSI is displaying a huge Bullish Divergence, being on Higher Lows against the Lower Lows of the Channel Down, so long-term a strong bullish break-out is expected. On the short-term though, we can take advantage of this Lower Lows fractal that has been formed another 2 times on this pattern and rebounds towards the 4H MA200. You can short towards the RSI's Higher Lows trend-line, take the profit and switch to buying just before it touches it and then target 1.04200 (expected course of the 4H MA200). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot
EURUSD Bottom formation in progress. Strong Buy.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a nearly 2-year Channel Down. Being below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) since October 02 2024, this is technically still the pattern's Bearish Leg. However, having bottomed on November 22 and transitioned into a (dotted) Channel Up, this is the technical bottom formation of the long-term Channel Down and the rise following a 1D MACD Bullish Cross from such a low level (the lowest in 2 years), confirms that. The similarities with both previous bottom formations (September - October 2023 and February - March 2023) are obvious, all of them triple bottomed before rebounding above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. As a result, buying now and targeting 1.08765 (Fib 0.618) is an excellent long-term trade in terms of R/R. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
3
EURUSD Crucial test on the 4H MA200. Bullish if broken.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Bearish Megaphone since the September 30 High, which is technically the Bearish Leg of the long-term Channel Down pattern, which we saw on our previous analysis. Having found support on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), the pair appears to be attempting another test on the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line), which rejected the last Lower High (November 05) and has been intact since October 01, making it practically the basic long-term Resistance. As a result, if the 4H MA200 breaks, the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Bearish Megaphone should follow too, which will cause a technical medium-term break-out. Our Target is the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at 1.08765. You may use the Higher Lows trend-line as an additional tool to determine if the break-out will be successful as last time (November 05) the failed to hold and caused the new Bearish Low of the Megaphone. Similar analogy with the 4H RSI Higher Lows trend-line. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot
EURUSD Once in a year buy opportunity about to run out.Last week (November 25, see chart below) we gave an ultimate buy call on the EURUSD pair as the price pierced through the 1.5 year Channel Down and immediately rebounded: As you can see, that was the absolute bottom of the pattern, its technical Lower Low, which happened last time more than 1 year ago, on October 03 2023. The 1-week rally that followed is on a pull-back today as the new week opened and based on the previous two Lower Lows, this might be the final one, i.e. the last buy opportunity we will get before multi-week rally. More specifically and as far as the October 2023 bottom is concerned, we are on the 1W RSI rebound similar to the week of October 23 2023. At the same time, this matches being on the 1W MACD's 2nd straight pink histogram bar. This indicates that this could be the last red week before the rally. Our Target remains intact at 1.08765, exactly on the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (similar to the November 2023 Fib test). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
1
EURUSD Today's 1D Death Cross turning into a 3 month rally!The EURUSD pair is having a strong bullish reversal after marginally breaking on Friday below the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the 1.5 year Channel Down. The 1W RSI got marginally oversold (below 30.00), which is a technical buy level. So far it is similar to the October 03 2023 bottom, which was formed on a 1D Death Cross, exactly the kind of pattern that is being completed today! That bottom initiated a strong 3-month rally that hit the 0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level respectively. Our long-term Target is 1.08765 (Fib 0.618). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot