EURUSD formed the 1st 1D Death Cross since September!The EURUSD pair quickly hit our 1.07250 Target, which we set on our most recent sell signal (March 27, see chart below):
Moving out to the 1D time-frame we can see that this is the Bearish Leg of the long-term Channel Down pattern that started at the beginning of the year and we are only halfway through it. Also the pair just completed the first Death Cross on the 1D time-frame since September 29 2023. That is a strong enough sell signal on its own.
As long as the price keeps closing 1D candles below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), we will remain bearish, expecting a new Lower Low on this 3-month Channel Down. The previous was formed on a -4.00% decline, so a repeat of that targets 1.05500.
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Eurusdsignals
EURUSD 4H Death Cross emerging after +2 months.The EURUSD pair is ahead of the first Death Cross on the 4H time-frame since January 19 2024, trading within a Channel Down similar to January's. This technical symmetry suggests that every rebound is a short-term sell opportunity, with the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) expected to turn into a Resistance until the next Bullish Leg.
One last rally towards 1.08750 is possible but as mentioned, for the next 2 weeks, we expect Support 1 (1.07950) to break and fall towards Support 2 (1.06950). We set a more modest target on the Symmetrical Support Zone at 1.07250.
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Eurusd sell confirm Target EUR/USD is the forex ticker that tells traders how many US Dollars are needed to buy a Euro. The Euro-Dollar pair is popular with traders because its constituents represent the two largest and most influential economies in the world. Follow real-time EUR/USD rates and improve your technical analysis with the interactive chart. Discover the factors that can influence the EUR/USD forecast and stay up to date with the latest EUR/USD news and analysis articles.
EUR/USD regained its traction and recovered above 1.0850 in the American session on Tuesday. The US Dollar struggles to preserve its strength following the mixed opening in Wall Street and helps the pair hold its ground ahead of Fed policy announcements on Wednesday.
From a technical point of view, the EUR/USD pair is poised to extend its decline. The pair is down for a second consecutive day, hovering around 1.0850. Technical readings in the daily chart show indicators are crossing their midlines into negative territory, falling short of confirming an upcoming decline but, anyway, skewing the risk to the downside. Additionally, the pair broke below a now flat 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA), which converges with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the latest daily slump between 1.1139 and 1.0694 at 1.0865. Finally, mild buying interest defended the downside around a flat 200 SMA. A break below the latter should open the door for additional sellins. Confirm Chart
EurUsd- Will bulls finally conquer 1.09 zone?The EUR/USD, like the entire forex market, has been notably quiet in recent days, with prices fluctuating within a very narrow range. However, it seems that bullish momentum is building among EUR traders in preparation for a breakthrough.
As outlined in a previous analysis, the drop to 1.07 back in mid-February resembles the bottom at 1.0450 and potentially signals a higher low in the overall long-term trend. Additionally, the end of last month also marked a higher low, and confirmation will require a break above 1.09.
In such a scenario, the EUR/USD will transition into a bullish phase and could rise to test the 1.11 zone in the medium term.
EURUSD Can this 4H Golden Cross turn it bullish long-term?The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the start of the year but since the February 22 rejection on the 1D MA50 (red trend-line), it has failed to start a new decline to a Lower Low and instead has stayed near the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Channel Up.
What is adding more to the bullish case is the formation of a 4H Golden Cross last Thursday, the first such pattern in 4 months (since October 31 2023). That was a bullish signal then, starting a very strong rally towards the December 28 2023 High.
Despite this bullish technical sentiment, since the Channel Down is intact and as long as the 1D MA50 holds, we are bearish, targeting 1.07500 initially (just below the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, which was the November 01 2023 pull-back target). If a 1D candle closes below 1.07300, we will resell and target Support 2 at 1.06550.
If on the other hand, we close a 1D candle above the 1D MA50, then the bullish bias of the 4H Golden Cross will prevail and we will take the loss on the sell and instead buy, targeting the -0.236 Fibonacci extension and medium-term Resistance at 1.09300 (which was the November 06 2023 bullish break-out target within the Megaphone).
Notice also how similar the 4H MACD sequence of the October - November 2023 Megaphone is to the price action now since February.
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EURUSD 1st hit on the 1D MA50 after a month. Rejection or not?The EURUSD pair hit today the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in almost 1 month (since January 24) and immediately retraced. Will this level provide a full technical rejection? Well at first glance, this is also the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the nearly 2-month Channel Down. In addition, last time the 1D MA50 was tested (Jan 24) or nearly tested (February 02), it was emphatically rejected.
A similar development took place on the pair's previous long-term correction (July 18 - October 03 2023). After it broke below the 1D MA50, the first counter trend rally was rejected just below it (August 30 2023). That was the start of the Phase 2 of that correction leg, which extended to the 1.136, 1.236, 1.6 and 1.618 Fibonacci extension levels in succession. As long as the 1D candle keeps closing below the 1D MA50, we will remain bearish, targeting Support 2 at 1.06550.
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EurUsd- Change of medium term trend?Two days ago, in a short-term analysis of FX:EURUSD , I mentioned that the 1.0790-1.0800 zone is pivotal for a potential reversal in the currency pair.
The pair did break above that level and is currently consolidating above it.
Now, I find myself wondering whether this marks a reversal in the medium-term trend or simply a correction from the year's selloff.
Upon examining the weekly chart, the technicals suggest a potential longer-term reversal.
As we are aware, the 1.0730 zone served as a support level.
Upon piercing it twice, the pair reversed direction on each occasion, notably marked by pin bars.
Additionally, the current reversal bears a striking resemblance to the reversal observed around 1.05 back in October.
In conclusion, from a longer-term perspective, there appears to be a significant likelihood of a reversal for EUR/USD, with a target around 1.1, but perhaps more likely at 1.12.
EurUsd could rise to 1.09Since the beginning of the year, FX:EURUSD has been in a downtrend, with the single currency dropping more than 400 pips in the past two months.
However, after a false break below the horizontal support last week, the pair quickly reversed course and is now once again approaching the important 1.08 zone resistance.
Taking into account the false break and yesterday's swift reversal from the well-established support at 1.0733, I anticipate an upward breakout with a target at the 1.09 zone resistance.
In conclusion, my preferred strategy is to buy dips, with negation under 1.07.
EURUSD BUY | Day Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
The completed correction, recovery and formation of a pre-breakout set-up hint at the continuation of growth. GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity EURUSD
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EURUSDHello traders ,what do you think about EURUSD?Today, the data of Germany's ZEW and CPI of America are published, both of which have an impact on the movement of this currency pair. This currency pair is expected to drop at least to the specified levels after a corrective move to the specified resistance zone.
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EURUSD Best sell signal on a 6 week basis.EURUSD remains within the 6 week Channel Down pattern and with today's analysis we are basically updating our February 01 outlook (see chart below):
Our area of focus now is the zone which the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and 4H MA100 (green trend-line) form. This is depicted on the chart by the red circle and as you see it has formed every Lower High of the Channel Down since January 11. In fact all of them were priced after they touched the 4H MA100.
Right now we have only the 4H MA50 breach, but if you cost average your positions effectively, it is good enough to go on a new short-term sell again and target near Support 2 at 1.06650. That represents a -1.42% decline from a potential 4H MA100 Lower High, the minimum decline we've had on a Bearish Leg within the Channel Down. Note that the 4H RSI Rectangle can be used as an additional indicator for buying and selling.
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EURUSD: Consolidation & Your Trading Plan 🇪🇺🇺🇸
EURUSD is currently trading within a narrow horizontal range on a daily
and stuck between 2 daily horizontal structures.
If the price breaks and closes above 1.0817 resistance,
we will expect a bullish continuation at least to 1.087.
If the price breaks and closes below 1.0723 support,
a bearish movement will be anticipated to 1.067
The US inflation data will most likely be the catalyst.
Patiently wait for a breakout and the follow the market.
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EURUSD: Detailed Structure & Key Levels For Next Week 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my structure analysis for EURUSD.
Support 1: 1.0724 - 1.0760 area
Support 2: 1.0655 - 1.0670 area
Resistance 1: 1.0785 - 1.0817 area
Resistance 2: 1.0895 - 1.0930 area
Resistance 3: 1.0973 - 1.1000 area
Resistance 4: 1.1106 - 1.1140 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading next week.
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EurUsd- Will it drop to 1.05?FX:EURUSD started the year badly, with the price falling more than 300 pips and reaching the important 1.07 zone support.
Now the pair is in a normal rebound after touching this level, the overall structure is bearish though.
1.08 is resistance and, in my opinion, rallies in that zone should be sold.
a reversal from that zone followed by a break of support could lead to a drop to important 1.05.
I'm bearish as long as the price stays under 1.09
EURUSD 1st 1W MACD Bearish Cross in 6 months! Bearish.The EURUSD pair is declining on a rapid pace and this is a good time to update our sell perspective that we shared with you 3 weeks ago (see chart below):
This time we transition onto the 1W time-frame in order to gain a more efficient long-term understanding of the trend. The biggest development has been the completion of a 1W MACD Bearish Cross on last week's closing. This is the 1st such formation in 6 months (since the week of August 07 2023) and every time it happened in the past 12 months, the downtrend was extended for at least another 3 weeks.
Technically we are on the new Bearish Leg of the 1-year Channel Down, below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), having started with a clear rejection on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). Practically, the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), has been the Support since the November 06 2023 candle, having closed all 1W candles above it. Basically since April 2023, it has acted as such on numerous occasions.
As a result, our medium-term Target remains 1.06500 and then only a 1W candle close below the 1W MA100 would make us take a new sell and target 1.0500, which is the top of the 2-year Support Zone.
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EURUSD Will the Fed's unchanged rate pressure the pair more?The EURUSD pair is extending its downtrend within the 1-month Channel Down and basically this is a quick update to our most recent analysis (January 19, see chart below) on the 1D time-frame:
Following the Fed Rate Decision yesterday, which left it unchanged at 5.50% and made clear they are in no rush to cut rates, we think it would be helpful to look at the 4H time-frame again and identify additional trade opportunities.
Based on the comparison with the previous Bearish Leg (dotted Channel Down, July - September 2023) of the long-term Channel Down (blue), yesterday's rejection on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) puts the price action on a similar level as August 22 2023. This suggests that after this rejection is completed, we will get one final rebound that shouldn't break the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) and which should be the final sell opportunity before testing the 1W MA200 (yellow trend-line) and the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level.
Perhaps the ideal signal to enter this additional medium-term sell, would be when the 4H RSI turns overbought again at 70.00, similar to the August 30 (Lower) High. As you can see on the chart, our sell trading plan has Target 1 at 1.07500 and Target 2 at 1.06500 (1W MA200 contact).
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EURUSD: Can We Expect a Pullback?! 🇪🇺🇺🇸
EURUSD may retrace from a key daily structure support.
After its test, the price broke and closed above a resistance line
of a falling wedge pattern on a 4H time frame.
It feels like the price may bounce ahead of FED rate decision tonight.
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EURUSD BEARS LOOKING FOR MORE DOWNSIDE !!!Hello Traders
EURUSD is now trading in downtrend and ECB also looking for rate cuts so our expectations are a down till these design levels friends our R & R ratio is great on this trade lets see what markets give us this week have look on our Other analysis so you can understand why we are buying $ this week this is just an trade idea make a proper analysis before any trade and share
Ur thoughts with us in comments on EURUSD it help alot of traders
Stay tuned for more updates .......
EURUSD Strong MA squeeze most likely breaking downwardsThe EURUSD pair is on a very tight consolidation within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the past 3 days. The long-term pattern is a Channel Down and this correction can be the start of the new Bearish Leg.
The 1D RSI pattern resembles the Bearish Leg of July - September 2023, which below the 1D MA50 targeting the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level and the 1W MA200 (yellow trend-line) which also did another 2 times before.
As a result our first Target is 1.07250 (Fib 0.618) and if we get a 1D candle closing below the 0.618 Fib, we will extend the target at 1.06500.
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EurUsd- Strongly bearish under 1.0950As mentioned in my analysis of OANDA:EURUSD from two days ago, the pair failed to break above 1.1. Consequently, there was a potential for it to dip below the support level and continue its decline to the next significant support at 1.0750.
Indeed, the price dropped below the support zone and hit a local low at 1.0845 yesterday. Currently, the pair is undergoing an upward correction, presenting an opportunity for short trades.
In my view, any rallies toward 1.0950 should be considered for selling. Depending on risk tolerance and patience, the target can be set at either the recent low of 1.0850 or the major support at 1.0750.
The negation of this scenario occurs if EURUSD manages to break above 1.1.