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EURUSD at a Tipping Point: Explosive Breakout or Breakdown?Is the EURUSD on the verge of a major breakout, or are we heading for another disappointing retreat? Once again, we’re sitting above the 1.10 zone, and the price has moved into the upper range territory. Since early 2023, EURUSD has been stuck in a weekly range between 1.05 and 1.104, with only one quick rally to 1.12 that was quickly faded. Are we finally ready to see a clear breakout higher, or will the price fail again and fall back into the range? Let's take a closer look at what the charts are indicating. Zooming into the daily charts, we can see the range more clearly. Yesterday, the price spiked up to create a new high for the year before quickly selling off (see image below). Shifting to the 4-hour charts and adding the MACD indicator, a clear bearish SELL signal has appeared, indicating that buying momentum is beginning to fade. Given the HTF price zone we’re in, a sell-off to at least 1.093 seems likely. Now, I’m waiting for my TRFX indicator to give a sell signal on the 2-hour or 4-hour timeframe. The first target for this position is 1.093. I’ll then re-analyze the price action at that level. If selling momentum picks up, a deeper correction toward the bottom of the range could be on the cards. My stop loss will be set above 1.11. This week's WEEKLY candle close will be crucial. If we get a clear break and close above 1.105, a move up to 1.12 is highly likely. I’ll be closely watching for any reaction to the US GDP today. If the above scenario plays out, I will shift my strategy from selling to buying on any short-term retrace to 1.105, targeting 1.12. For now, it's a short setup until the market indicates otherwise. If you enjoyed the read, hit the boost button :)
Short
by TheFxAce
8
7 Dimension Sell Setup For EURUSDCore Analysis Method Smart Money Concepts 😇 7 Dimension Analysis Time Frame: H4 1: Swing Structure: A completely bearish structure with sweeps and mitigations. The market has taken proper inducement and completed its corrective swing move with multiple pullbacks. Now, after mitigating the external POI, it is once again forming a bearish internal structure from the premier zone. We are ready to go short with a classic smart money entry model. Resistance: Supply zones already give strong rejections. 2: Pattern 🟢 CHART PATTERNS Reversal: V-Shape Recovery formed toward the extreme POI, now ready for another rejection. 🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS Record session count candles are making too much bullish momentum but are unable to break the upper side POI, which seems to be nothing but a trap. Inside: Narrow Range just started forming a range pattern. 3: Volume We experienced massive volume during the last few 4H sessions, but they all failed to break the upper side resistance. It seems to be nothing but profit booking or execution volume here. 4: Momentum RSI 🟢 Since a long time, the market has been in a sideways to downtrend zone without any proper range shift. We also observed a powerful bearish divergence at the last rejected high area. No significant move in terms of momentum, indicating everything is in favor of bears. No need to change your mind. 5: Volatility Bollinger Bands The last volatile move contraction is now about to end with expansion, with a squeeze breakout and walking on the band. It fulfills all the volatile parameters, but at the end, it was not able to break the upside resistance. This indicates nothing but some profit-taking or big player manipulation. 6: Strength ADX In terms of ADX strength, this trend is in the bearish zone yet. 7: Sentiment All parameters and geopolitical indicators tell us loudly that EUR is still bearish. ✔️ Entry Time Frame: H4 ✅ Entry TF Structure: Bearish ☑️ POI Mitigated 💡 Decision: Sell 🚀 Entry: 1.09200 ✋ Stop loss: 1.09500 🎯 Take profit: 1.06367 😊 Risk to reward Ratio: 10RR 🕛 Expected Duration: 10 days SUMMARY: The analysis supports a sell position based on Smart Money Concepts methodology, with the structure, patterns, volume, momentum, volatility, strength, and sentiment indicating a bearish move.
Short
by Optimum369
5
EURUSD ( UNDER DOWNWARD PRESSURE ) ( 4H )EURUSD HELLO TRADERS in the last week the price of OANDA:EURUSD trading between turning level at 1.094 and support level (1) at 1.088 , currently price stabilizing below turning level this allows them to lower prices for the support level (1) . Tendency , the price is under bearish pressure , until trading below turning level . Upward Zone : for an upward movement to occur , the price needs to break through the turning level at 1.094 , leading to rise that could reach the resistance level (1) 1.099 , if the price breaks and stabilizing above this level it may attempt to reach resistance zone between 1.102 and 1.105 . Downward Zone: as long as the price remain below the turning level at 1.094 , it may drop towards the support level (1) at1.088 , if the price breaks this level with a 4h candle closing below it , it suggest further decline towards the support zone between 1.084 and 1.078 . CORRECTIVE : currently price it will be attempt to retest to reach a turning level at 1.094 before dropping . TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.099 ,1.102 , 1.105 . SUPPORT LEVEL : 1.088, 1.084 , 1.078 .
Short
by ArinaKarayi
1
POTENTIAL TRADE SETUP ON EURUSDPotential Trade Setup on EURUSD Prior to the spike which was initiated by the July NFP data released. EURUSD seem to be ranging since then, however there is an opportunity for trade setup moving forward.. The price is developing, and I am waiting for either a break above the resistance and retest of that zone to take a a BUY trade, or Alternatively if the price drop further downside move, then a SELL trade is good to go. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Trade Responsibly! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Short
by Adefxc
EUR/USD Longs from 1.08200 back up This idea aligns with my other pairs. After mitigating a daily imbalance, price is showing clear rejection and heading down to fill the imbalance left from last week's NFP news event. If price reaches the extreme demand level on the 17-hour timeframe, I'll wait for a Wyckoff accumulation to buy back up. Meanwhile, I’m watching for a new supply zone to sell from or considering imminent sells as price is currently in a 4-hour supply zone. Confluences for EU Sells: Price broke structure to the upside on the higher timeframe. Significant liquidity and imbalances remain to the upside. A clean 17-hour demand zone triggered this bullish move. Large imbalance above the demand zone that needs filling. P.S. If price moves higher and surpasses the last swing high, I'll look to the deep supply on the 22-hour timeframe as the next drop-off point.
Long
by Hassan_fx
EURUSD analysis week 33Fundamental Analysis EUR/USD traded sideways above the round-figure support of 1.0900 in New York trading on Friday. The ECB is expected to cut interest rates two more times this year as the Eurozone economy struggles and price pressures are on track to return to the desired 2%. However, ECB officials have yet to commit to a predetermined rate-cutting path as they expect a path towards the central bank's 2% target. The US dollar (USD) consolidated in a narrow range, with investors focused on the extent to which the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates at its September meeting. Looking ahead, the next trigger for the US dollar will be the US (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for July, due out on Wednesday. Technical Analysis GBPUSD continues to trade within an ascending channel with the nearest support and resistance in the price range of 1.100 and 1.074. On the H4 timeframe, the EMA 34 has crossed above the EMA 89, indicating that the market structure is starting a new uptrend in line with the current price channel with the highest Resistance at the peak of the beginning of this year around 1.112. On the other hand, any daily close above the support level of 1.075 would confirm that EURUSD could break the ascending channel and move towards the support level of last month around 1.062. Resistance: 1.100-1.112 Support: 1.075-1.062 Trading Signals SELL EURUSD zone 1.100-1.102 SL 1.104 BUY GBPUSD zone 1.075-1.073 SL 1.071
by TVS-Trader
EURUSD Analysis==> H&S patternEURUSD reacted well to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Heavy Resistance zone($1.1185-$1.098) . According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that EURUSD has succeeded in completing five impulsive waves , and we should wait for EURUSD to decline . From the point of view of Classical Technical Analysis , it seems that Head and Shoulders Pattern is likely to form. I expect EURUSD to continue to decline, at least in the Support zone($1.0885-$1.0860) . Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 1-hour Time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
4
Eurusd EUR/USD retreats toward 1.0900 after US data EUR/USD struggles to preserve its recovery momentum and declines toward 1.0900 in the second half of the day on Thursday. Better-than-expected weekly Initial Jobless Claims data from the US supports the USD, causing the pair to stretch lower.EUR/USD is the forex ticker that tells traders how many US Dollars are needed to buy a Euro. The Euro-Dollar pair is popular with traders because its constituents represent the two largest and most influential economies in the world. Follow real-time EUR/USD rates and improve your technical analysis with the interactive chart. Discover the factors that can influence the EUR/USD forecast and stay up to date with the latest EUR/USD news and analysis articles.The EUR/USD pair fell following the release of US employment-related data and pierces the 1.0900 mark. The daily chart shows it’s down for a third consecutive day and that technical indicators turned south, in line with the increased selling pressure. At the same time, the pair trades above all its moving averages, although the 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA) has lost its upward strength and turned flat at around 1.0870. The case for a steeper decline seems limited, albeit a break through 1.0890, the immediate support level, could exacerbate the decline. In the near term, and according to the 4-hour chart, the risk skews to the downside. EUR/USD retreated sharply after repeatedly meeting sellers around a flat 20 SMA, somehow suggesting buyers capitulate. Technical indicators, in the meantime, head firmly south within negative levels, supporting another leg lower. Support levels: 1.0890 1.0845 1.0800 Resistance levels: 1.0950 1.1005 1.1045
by JohnHarry_7
EURUSD ( INSIDE ASCENDING CHANNEL) ( 4H )EURUSD HELLO TRADERS Tendency, the price is under up ward pressure , until trade above turning level at 1.091 . Upward zone : In order to see an increase, the price needs to continues trading above a turning level at 1.091 , to reach resistance levels (1) around 1.098 , then if the price breaking resistance level (1) by open 4h candle above it indicates to reach a resistance level (2) at 1.102 , but stabilizing below this level it refers likely to reach a turning level . Downward zone: Provided until the prices breaking turning level by open 4h candle below it, indicates a reach of the support level (1) at 1.084 , then breaking this level with a 4h or 1h open candle below is likely to reach the support level (2) at 1.078 . Corrective level :Price may make a correction at 1.091 , before rising . TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.098 , 1.102 . SUPPORT LEVEL : 1.084 , 1.078 .
Long
by ArinaKarayi
1
1-Hour Chart AnalysisVist fourtrades website for market analysis link in the bio Current Price: 1.09208 Trend: The daily and 4-hour charts remain bullish. Key Levels: Resistance: 1.09600 - 1.09700 Support: 1.09000 - 1.08900 The 1-hour chart indicates that EUR/USD is experiencing a short-term pullback within a broader bullish trend. The price is currently consolidating just below a key resistance level. If the price breaks above the resistance zone, it could target the upper resistance level around 1.09600 - 1.09700. Conversely, a failure to break above may result in a decline towards the support zone at 1.09000 - 1.08900.
Long
by FourtradesTV
EURUSD Analysis week 32Fundamental Analysis EUR/USD gained on Friday after the Greenback was weakened by the poor US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data. With the US economic data turning sour, investors extended their losses for two days on growing concerns about a broader recession in the domestic US economy, triggering a flight from risk assets and sending equity indices sharply lower. Next week, the US will see the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for July on Monday. Euro-wide retail sales for the year ending June are scheduled for release early Tuesday. This will give us a clearer picture of the current stage of the currency market. Technical Analysis GBPUSD formed a wide range after the NF release with the nearest support resistance in the range of 1.094 and 1.082. On the H4 timeframe, EMA 34 is looking to surpass EMA 89 to escape the short-term downtrend of the past week. Specifically, it proves that the price line has broken out of the downtrend line. The uptrend may face the highest resistance at 1.098 when the price breaks out of the immediate resistance at 1.094. On the other hand, recovery is necessary in an uptrend. The price trend may retest the broken trend zone around 1.083 after some investors take profit. If the downtrend is established, the strong support zone next week will be 1.075. Resistance: 1.094-1.098 Support: 1.083-1.075 Trading Signals BUY EURUSD zone 1.075-1.073 Stoploss 1.071 SELL GBPUSD zone 1.098-1.100 Stoploss 1.102
by TVS-Trader
EURUSD ( UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE ) ( 4H )EURUSD Tendency , the price is under bullish pressure , until trading above 1.076. TURNING LEVEL : the price of this level at 1.076 , so as long as the price trade above this level indicates likely to reach a resistance level (1) , but if the breaking by open 4h candle below this level reach a support level (1) . RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 1.084 , for reach this resistance level the price need stabilizing above a turning level , indicates have good selling in this level . RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 1.089 , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1) SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 1.072 , for reach this support level the price need breaking a turning level , indicates have good buying in this level . SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 1.067 , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) . PRICE MOVEMENT : currently price 1.079 , as long as the price trading above turning level , indicates to reach a resistance level (1) , then breaking this level likely to reach resistance level (2) , by breaking turning level indicates likely to reach support level (1) . TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.084 , 1.089 . SUPPORT LEVEL : 1.072 , 1.067 .
Long
by ArinaKarayi
2
EURUSD Technical Analysis and Trade Idea 👉🔍In this video, we closely examine EURUSD. Recently, the EURUSD has experienced a strong bullish rally but now appears overextended and has reached a key resistance level. Given this overextended move, I'm looking for a buy opportunity on a Fibonacci retracement. In the video, I share my insights on price action, market structure, and the trend. Remember, this content is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading carries significant risk, so it's important to use responsible risk management strategies. 📊✅
Long
by fxtraderanthony