Eurusdtrade
1-hour chart GBP/USDVisit fourtrades website for more active insights
On the 1-hour chart, GBP/USD is consolidating within a range between 1.2840 and 1.2800. The price recently tested the lower boundary of this range and the descending channel support. A bullish breakout from this range could see the price targeting the 1.2940 resistance level. Conversely, a bearish breakout could lead to a continuation of the downtrend towards 1.2750.
Conclusion
The GBP/USD pair is at a critical juncture, testing significant support levels on multiple timeframes. Traders should watch for a breakout from the current descending channel and the 1.2820 support level. A bullish breakout could offer long opportunities targeting 1.2940 and 1.3000. On the other hand, a break below 1.2820 could see the price moving towards 1.2750 and 1.2650, providing potential short opportunities.
7 Dimension Sell setup for EURUSDCore Analysis Method: Smart Money Concepts
😇7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: 15M
1: Swing Structure: The market has formed a bearish BOS after taking inducement. Now, the focus is on the corrective swing move as a pullback. The internal structure also supports a bullish corrective move toward the external POI, OB & BB with proper FVG and LIQ resting area in the discounted zone. We are using one regular entry module for this.
2: Pattern
🟢 CHART PATTERNS:
Reversal: Triple top is already formed at the top of the swing.
🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS:
We will check at the POI zone.
3: Volume:
🟢 Fixed range indicates full bearish control at the POI.
🟢 Volume during correction is almost dry.
4: Momentum RSI:
🟢 In strong bearish zone with proper bearish range shift and classic.
🟢 Grandfather-Father-Son entries based on H4 TF are intact and formed.
5: Volatility Bollinger Bands:
🟢 About to break after contraction, possible squeeze breakout in the lower band. Walking on the band is also expected here.
6: Strength: Based on ADX, bears fully control the market at this level.
7: Sentiment: Strong bearish.
✔️ Entry Time Frame: 15 min
✅ Entry TF Structure: BOS Bear
☑️ Trend line breakout: Awaited
💡 Decision: Sell limit
🚀 Entry: 1.08475
✋ Stop loss: 1.08580
🎯 Take profit: 1.07601
😊 Risk to reward Ratio: 7RR
🕛 Expected Duration: 2 days
SUMMARY: Analysis supports a sell position based on Smart Money Concepts methodology, with strong bearish signals from structure, volume, momentum, volatility, strength, and sentiment.
EURUSD Trade Idea👉 My bias for EURUSD is bearish according to this 4H chart. We can clearly see lower highs and lower lows, along with a break in market structure to the downside, accompanied by significant displacement with the candle above the break. As always, trading involves risk. This is not intended as financial advice, and it's wise to trade responsibly with consistent and conservative risk management.
EURUSD ( STABILIZING BELOW TURNING LEVEL ) (4H)EURUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price is under bearish pressure , until trading below 1.084 .
TURNING LEVEL : the price of this level at 1.084 , as long as the price trading below this level reach a support level (1) , but if breaking by open 4h candle above this level reach a resistance level (1)
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 1.088 , for reach this resistance level the price need breaking a turning level
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 1.094 , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1)
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 1.079, for reach this support level the price need stabilizing below turning level
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 1.076 , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1)
PRICE MOVEMENT : currently price 1.083 , as long as the price trading below this level reach a support level (1) , but by breaking this level by open 4h candle above this reach a resistance level (1) ,
MY GOAL : support level (1) at 1.079 .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.088 , 1.094 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 1.079 , 1.076 .
EURUSD trading signals✨EUR/USD is trading highs near 1.0850 during the European session on Thursday. The pair ignored risk-on market sentiment and dismal German IFO data, finding support from US dollar weakness. Traders are now looking to US Q2 GDP data for fresh guidance.
✨Technically EURUSD is in an uptrend. Our BUY signal is in the critical zone of the EMA combined with the Fibonacci 0.5 retracement level. The starting point of wave 5 of the Elliot wave model with the expectation that the currency pair will reach the resistance level at 1.1000 coincides with Fibonacci 1.272.
BUY EURUSD now zone 1.08500-1.08300
↠ Stoploss 1.08000
→ Take Profit 1 1.08800
→ Take Profit 2 1.09500
EUR/USD Sell SetupThe current technical analysis supports a bearish outlook on EUR/USD. By carefully monitoring key resistance levels and using proper risk management, this sell setup aims to capitalize on the expected downtrend while minimizing potential losses. Always stay informed about market conditions and be prepared to adjust your strategy as necessary.
EURUSD ( UNDER BEARISH PRESSURE ) ( 4H )EURUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price is under bearish pressure until trade below turning level .
TURNING LEVEL : the price of turning level around 1.091 , indicates the price trade below this level reach a support level , but if breaking this level reach a resistance level .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : around 1.094 , for reach this level will be breaking turning level .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 1.097, for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle above resistance level (1) , it make created a new historical peaks .
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : support level at 1.087, for reach this level the price will be trading below
turning level .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : this support level at 1.084 , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) .
CORRECTIVE LEVEL : the price retest 1.091 , before dropping .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.094 , 1.097.
SUPPORT LEVEL : 1.087 , 1.084 .
EUR/USD Short ideas from 1.09100 or 1.09300My bias for EU is similar to GU, as I am mainly looking for sell opportunities. Last week’s price distribution across higher time frames has left promising zones to watch, specifically the 4-hour and 17-hour supply zones. If these zones are mitigated, I will look for redistribution within them.
If the price continues to drop, I will look for counter-trend trades to catch retracements, possibly from the 11-hour demand zone I’ve marked or the 5-hour demand zone if the price goes deeper.
Confluences for EU Sells:
Newly created supply zones near the UTAD show promising selling opportunities.
There is significant liquidity to the downside in the form of Asia lows and imbalances that need filling.
The dollar is bullish, aligning well with the bearish bias for EU.
This is a pro-trend trade on the higher time frame.
P.S. I will wait to see how the price action unfolds, as the current price is somewhat distant from my points of interest (POIs), but I expect the price to keep dropping.
EURUSD analysis new weekFundamental analysis
Broad market hopes for a faster pace of interest rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve (Fed) peaked on Friday despite producer price index (PPI) wholesale inflation. of the United States increased significantly. The Fiber index extended its third straight weekly gain as investors' risk appetite was kept at a ceiling.
US Retail Sales figures will be released next Tuesday and Euro traders will have to wait for the European Central Bank's (ECB) latest interest rate call next week, which is expected takes place early next Thursday. The ECB recently delivered a quarter-point rate cut in early June, but further cuts appear unlikely and markets are generally forecast to cautiously leave rates unchanged in July.
Technical analysis
EUR/USD notched a third straight weekly gain, closing Friday slightly above 1.0900. The pair is up 2.3% from its late-June lows and the day's price action is preparing for a clash with the next technical resistance around 1,097. Beyond this peak, EURUSD will continue to move towards the previous year's high at 1,112. In the pullback the direct support level is at the point where investors fought a lot before choosing the winning BUY side at the 1.082 price zone, which is the same zone supported by the two EMAs. In a trend reversal next week's low could reach around 1,068.
Support: 1,082-1,068
Resistance: 1,097-1,112
SELL EURUSD zone 1.082-1.084 Stoploss 1.085
SELL EURUSD zone 1.112-1.114 Stoploss 1.115
BUY EURUSD zone 1.082-1.080 Stoploss 1.079
BUY EURUSD zone 1.068-1.066 Stoploss 1.065
EURUSD - Long idea !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are still in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long position. We have hidden divergence, also price can reject from liquidity zone and on H1 we have regular divergence, so after breaking 1.08940, I will open a long.
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EURUSD Bullish Reversal Alert-Key Entry & Profit levelsThe EURUSD is currently forming a Bullish Shark Harmonic Pattern (XABCD) on the 4-hrs chart. This pattern is characterized by a specific series of Fibonacci retracements and extensions, signaling potential reversal points in the market.
__________Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) and Confluence Factors_____
Point D, identified as the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ), is a critical area where price action is expected to reverse its current trend. This PRZ is notably aligned with several confluence factors, strengthening our bullish bias:
Key Support Area: Point D coincides with a significant support level, suggesting strong buyer interest and potential price reversal.
Bullish RSI Divergence: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing bullish divergence, indicating a potential shift in momentum from bearish to bullish.
78.6% Fibonacci Level: The PRZ is also at the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the previous daily swing points, adding further credibility to the expected bullish reversal.
_______________Trade Setup_______________
Given the above confluence of technical indicators, we anticipate a bullish trend reversal from Point D. The following trade setup is recommended:
Entry Point: 1.07075, at the 50% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop Loss: Placed below the key support level at 1.06485 to mitigate risk.
____________Take Profit Levels____________
The take profit targets are strategically placed to maximize potential gains while managing risk:
TP-1: 1.07665
TP-2: 1.08255
TP-3: 1.08845
Each take-profit level represents a logical point where price action may encounter resistance, providing opportunities to secure profits incrementally.
Conclusion:
The EURUSD is poised for a potential bullish reversal at the identified PRZ, supported by a convergence of technical indicators. By entering at 1.07075 and placing a stop loss below the support level at 1.06485, we position ourselves to capitalize on the expected upward movement. The outlined take profit levels offer a structured approach to profit-taking, balancing potential gains with prudent risk management.
Recommendations:
Traders are advised to monitor the EURUSD closely for confirmation of the bullish reversal before entering the trade. Adjustments to the trade setup may be necessary based on evolving market conditions and price action behavior.
EURUSD ( BREAKOUT CHANNEL ) ( STRONG BULLISH ) ( 4H )EURUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price is under strong bullish pressure ,after breakout 1.084
TURNING LEVEL : the price of turning level between 1.091 and 1.094 , indicates the price breaking 1.091 reach a new resistance level or created a new historical peaks , but if breaking 1.094 reach a support level .
RESISTANCE LEVEL : in the last chart price reach a full resistance level , know this level at 1.096
and 1.099 , for reach this level after breaking 1.091 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : support level at 1.088 . for reach this level should be price breaking a turning level at 1.094 .
PRICE MOVEMENT : the price is sensitive area , yesterday price have strong rising an breakout a supply zone reach a full target , created a new historical peaks , price breaking 1.091 rising or reach a new resistance level at 1.096 , then reach a 1.099 , after breaking 1.094 reach a support level at 1.088 it is a strong support level , the by open below 4h candle below this level reach 1.079 .
TARGET LEVEL
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.096 , 1.099 .
SUPPORT LEVEL ; 1.088 , 1.079 .
EUR/USD Price Surge: Analysis and Future Outlook
The EUR/USD price has surged significantly over the past 10 days. Let's explore the reasons behind this movement and the potential trends we might face in the coming days.
Fundamental Analysis:
The EUR/USD exchange rate has seen a significant increase over the past 10 days. This upward trend is primarily supported by a weakening U.S. dollar, driven by several economic factors. Recent inflation data shows that U.S. inflation is slowing down, with the annual inflation rate for June 2024 at 3.0%, a decrease from previous months. This has strengthened expectations of a less restrictive monetary policy from the Federal Reserve, with investors anticipating rate cuts in September and possibly in November or December. On the other hand, the euro has been bolstered by the European Central Bank's (ECB) aggressive stance on raising interest rates, improving energy prospects in Europe, and relative weakness in the dollar.
Technical Analysis:
The EUR/USD chart indicates a potential structural change. Recently, as the price dropped to the lower part of the channel, it found support around the 1.07 level, hitting an upward trendline without making a lower low from the previous wave at 1.06. From that level, the price rose, testing the upper part of the channel and closing the daily and weekly candles at the previous high around 1.09. This is a crucial level; if it breaks with a daily candle, it would confirm the structural change, leading to a potential further rise. Conversely, a rejection at this level could result in a decline.
Volume Analysis:
In recent sessions, the Point of Control (POC) has consistently been at the beginning of the session, indicating significant volume gaps in the daily candles. The overall POC for the channel is at the 1.08 level, which could act as a support if the price declines. If the price continues to rise, there are many upper areas left to fill from the highs of the previous year.
Sentiment Analysis:
Current retail sentiment shows a 91% short position against 9% long, with short volumes at a four-year high. However, institutional positions as of the 2024-07-09 COT report indicate 393,029 long contracts against 160,108 short. Dealers, on the other hand, are 275,000 short against 9,478 long. This discrepancy suggests that institutional players are aligned with the market, discouraging short positions.
Personal Analysis:
In my opinion, the euro's recent rise seems exaggerated given the negative IPC, a rate cut by the ECB, a favorable PPI for the dollar, and Powell's statements indicating it is not yet time to cut rates. I expect a retracement from this level or slightly higher to fill some of the gaps left during the rise, after which the market will decide on the next direction. Powell's speech on Monday will be crucial. However, I wouldn't be surprised by a continued rise, as summer markets can be very unpredictable. If you don't have any open positions, it's wise to wait for the market to establish a clear direction before entering.
I hope this analysis has been helpful. If you found it useful, please leave a boost to show your appreciation for the work done.
EURUSD ( UNDER BULLISH PRESSURE ) ( 1H )EURUSD
HELLO TRADERS
TENDENCY : generally the price stabilizing above turning level , indicates is under bullish pressure .
TURNING LEVEL : the price around 1.088 , as long as the price trading above this level reach a resistance level , breaking this level trying to touch a support level .
PRICE MOVEMENT : the price in previously , rising until reach a resistance level , currently price 1.090 , as long as the price trading above turning level reach a resistance level my goal 1.093 , but small retest inside FVG area before rising .
PRICE ACTION :
LONG CONDITION : the price trying to retest a FVG area , then rising a resistance level at 1.093 , breaking this level reach a next level at 1.096 .
SHORT CONDITION : if the price breaking turning level at 1.088 by open 4h candle below this level reach a support level at 1.086 , then stabilizing below this level reach a 1.082.
TARGET LEVEL :
LONG CONDITION / RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.093 , 1.096 .
SHORT CONDITION / SUPPORT LEVEL : 1.086 , 1.082 .