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EUR/USD "The Dollar Crusher" Forex Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the EUR/USD "The Dollar Crusher" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (1.04500) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" however I advise placing Buy Stop Orders above the breakout MA or Place Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 1.03500(swing Trade) Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 1.07000 (or) Escape Before the Target Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: EUR/USD "The Dollar Crusher" Forex Market market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors. 🔴Fundamental Analysis - The Eurozone's economic growth is expected to slow down, while the US economy is expected to grow at a moderate pace. - The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to keep interest rates steady, while the Federal Reserve is expected to maintain its accommodative monetary policy. 🟤Macro Analysis - The Eurozone's inflation rate is expected to remain low, while the US inflation rate is expected to remain above the Federal Reserve's target. - The Eurozone's trade balance is expected to remain in surplus, while the US trade balance is expected to remain in deficit. 🟠Sentimental Analysis - Institutional investors have a bullish sentiment towards the EUR/USD pair, with 55% of investors being bullish. - Hedge funds have increased their long positions in the EUR/USD pair, with a net long exposure of 12%. 🟣COT Analysis - The Commitments of Traders (COT) report shows that commercial traders have increased their long positions in the EUR/USD pair, with a net long exposure of 10%. - Non-commercial traders have also increased their long positions, with a net long exposure of 15%. 🟡Trader Sentiment - Retail traders have a bullish sentiment towards the EUR/USD pair, with 52% of traders being bullish. - Commercial banks have increased their EUR/USD holdings, with a growth rate of 5%. 🔵Bullish and Bearish Data: - Bullish Sentiment: Institutional investors have a bullish sentiment towards the EUR/USD pair, with 55% being bullish. Hedge funds have increased their long positions, with a net long exposure of 12% - Bearish Sentiment: Asset managers are trimming their long exposure, and gross shorts are trending higher for large specs and asset managers since Q4 🟢Based on this analysis, the EUR/USD pair is expected to move in a bullish trend, with a 55% chance of an uptrend and a 35% chance of a downtrend. However, please note that market predictions can be unpredictable and influenced by various factors ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Long
by Thief_Trader
Scenario on EURUSD 12.2.2025On the EURUSD market, I would see the following scenarios. I think that if a floor were to be established, then the sfp at the price of 1.02424 should follow, from here the price could rebound upwards. If the market does not react to this level, then we have the last option and that is the sfp at the price of 1.01958. Then we only have the monthly level, which if it does not hold, I would look for an entry into the long until somewhere below this level, otherwise I see short positions first around the price 1.04650 and then around the monthly level at the price of 1.05795.
by Sony97
BEARISH SWING SETUP ON EU The last setup I posted was bullish and did give a good reaction that I took as confirmation however the trade did not play out. This then caused a bearish choch on the daily and price has since pulled back and is now showing bearish structure. Both swing and internal structure on the 4H timeframe and above are bearish so that is the direction I'm following right now. Fractal structure on the 4H is currently bearish and I will continue trading in that direction targeting January's low.
Short
by Keyserfx
EURUSD Selling OpportunitiesDaily swing Structure = Bearish Daily Internal Structure = Bearish Narrative We are pro-trend which means sell EURUSD. All structures are in alignment. 4Hrs Swing structure = Bullish Internal Structure = Bearish What we can observe is that daily swing, daily internal and 4hrs internal are all in alignment. We now know that the demand zones created as the market was in the pullback phase are reaction points and that the supply zones should hold if the bearish internal trend is to hold. Given the 2 facts, we should continue selling Targeting the internal weak low as the low hanging fruit. Also, it is important to note that we are creating some sorta supply chain, which further cements idea of a strong selling pressure coming into the market. So any pullback into the marked supply orderblock should give us a chance for entry.
Short
by DagemFxStudio
''EUR/USD 4H | Elliott Wave Playbook" The pair appears to be carving out a textbook 5-wave Elliott structure. Here’s the breakdown: - **Wave 1, 2, and 3** are in the books, and Wave 4 is now developing, testing the **38.2%-50% retracement zone** (highlighted in orange). - **Wave 5 Target**: Eyeing **1.0100-1.0090** as the likely destination for the final push lower. **Trade Plan:** - Monitoring the sell zone at **1.0373-1.0466**, which aligns with the Wave 4 retracement. - Any rejection here provides a short setup, with stops above **1.0466** and targets down to **1.0100**. - R:R is solid, making this a high-probability play for the disciplined trader. **Market Context:** - Structural resistance and Fibonacci confluence strengthen the case for shorts. - Patience is key—waiting for confirmation of Wave 4 completion before entry is paramount. **Reminder:** This is an analytical outlook, not financial advice. Manage risk diligently. --- Would this work for your audience, or shall I refine it further?
by Greenfireforex
EUR/USD Trading Outlook: Mixed Signals Amid Inflation, Jobs DataFrom a technical perspective, the EUR/USD pair shows mixed signals across different timeframes, creating an interesting setup for traders. On the 4-hour chart, the broader trend remains bearish, with clear break-of-structure (BOS) events marking lower lows, reinforcing downside momentum. However, the 15-minute chart shows a sign of recovery as the price forms higher lows, though it's still confined within a range. Indicators reflect this indecision. MACD is flat across all timeframes, suggesting a lack of momentum, while ADX values between 17 and 22 confirm weak trend strength with no clear directional bias. ATR remains low, signalling reduced volatility. Volume analysis shows spikes at key support and resistance levels, but tapering volume during consolidations hints at market hesitation. From a macro perspective, while sentiment may be moderately volatile outside of Trump's tariff talks, the Eurozone continues to experience sticky inflation figures, as seen in Monday's CPI print. The JOLTS and ADP reports would likely be distorted against the current backdrop of uncertainty that would develop from tariffs the U.S. imposes on others. Trade Idea. Bull Case (scalping) Entry Trigger: 1.0340 breakout above weak high Stop Loss: 1.0330 Target: 1.0355 (which is the scalping resistance) Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:2 Bull Case (Swing) Entry Trigger: Enter long near 1.0300 Stop Loss: 1.0280 Target: 1.0370 (4H High) Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:3 Bearish Case (scalping) Entry Trigger: 1.0335 (Enter short) Stop Loss: 1.0355 Target: 1.0310 Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:2 Bearish Case (Swing) Entry Trigger: 1.0300 Stop Loss: 1.0315 Target: 1.0260 Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:3 In conclusion, the Eurozone's CPI print will be a key factor driving short-term momentum. A higher CPI print would significantly impact the market. Alternatively, weaker job figures could continue the EUR's short-term momentum. Conversely, stronger JOLTS and ADP figures keep the Fed on the current rate trajectory, spurring a price reversal in the EUR's momentum. Due to the volatility, scalping might not pose the most favourable strategy this week.
Short
by Shiven_80eight
EURUSD - gap is filled, what’s next? Buys? Sells?Here is our in-depth view and update on EURUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a long-term overview on the pair sharing possible entries and important Key Levels . Alright first, let’s take a step back and take a look at EURUSD from a bigger perspective. For this we will be looking at the H4 time-frame . Now the main focus everyone has is the “ GAP ”. Yes the gap has been filled but sellers who tried to take advantage of it, have experienced drawdown today. EURUSD still has a chance to dig deeper into that gap potentially giving us better entries OR breaking to the upside. So here are the possible scenarios on EURUSD we have pre-planned for the following days . Scenario 1: BUYS at the break of 1.04334 - We broke above 1.04334. With the break of this level we can expect a possible move towards the upside. Even though we are extremely bearish on EURUSD for quite some time, short-term TVC:DXY weakness can cause the pair to see possible higher levels. Scenario 2: SELLS - We dug deeper into the “gap price” or we stayed below roughly 1.03462. With sells we have several possible entries. We can expect a deeper dig to the upside potentially giving us better entries. On the other hand, if we don’t experience that, and stay below 1.03462 we can expect more sells to come. KEY NOTES - EURUSD is overall still bearish. - DXY (USD) experiencing short-term bears. - Breaking above 1.04334 would result in more upside. - Staying below the gap fill, would result in sells. - Possible deeper digs to the upside before the sell off. Happy trading! FxPocket
by FxPocket
1
Mastering EUR/USD TradingMastering EUR/USD Trading EUR/USD is the most traded forex pair, offering unparalleled liquidity and potential opportunities for traders of all levels. The exchange rate between the euro and the US dollar reflects the economic relationship between the two global powerhouses. In this article, we’ll explore what makes the EUR/USD pair so popular, the factors influencing its price, and how to approach the pair. What Is the EUR/USD Forex Pair? Although you definitely know what the EUR/USD pair is, we can’t start this article without a short overview. The EUR/USD pair represents the exchange rate between the euro (EUR) and the US dollar (USD), showing how many US dollars are needed to buy one euro. It's the most traded currency pair in the world, thanks to its significant role in the global economy. For traders, this often means tight spreads, high trading volumes, and potential opportunities in various market conditions. Introduced in 1999 with the euro's creation, the EUR/USD pair reflects the economic relationship between the Eurozone—comprising 20 European countries—and the United States. It’s more than just a number on a chart; it’s a barometer for the performance of two of the largest economic regions. Movements in this pair are influenced by factors like interest rates set by the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Federal Reserve (Fed), economic indicators such as GDP growth, and geopolitical events impacting either region. One standout feature of EUR/USD is its responsiveness to economic news. For example, a strong US jobs report might drive demand for the dollar, causing the pair to fall. Similarly, announcements from the ECB about monetary policy can send ripples through the market. This responsiveness makes EUR/USD a popular choice for traders who thrive on analysis of market dynamics. Why Traders Choose EUR/USD The EUR/USD pair’s unique characteristics make it stand out in the market, offering potential opportunities and strategic flexibility. - Unmatched Liquidity: EUR/USD is the most liquid forex pair, meaning there’s strong trading activity. This high liquidity often translates to tighter spreads, which reduce transaction costs for traders and makes it popular among scalpers and day traders. - 24/5 Accessibility: The pair can be traded almost anytime during the week, with peak activity during the overlap of London and New York trading sessions. This accessibility makes it popular as traders can capitalise on this pair regardless of their schedule. - Macro Sensitivity: The pair responds sharply to macroeconomic developments, such as interest rate decisions, inflation data, and employment figures. This sensitivity may make it appealing to traders who thrive on analysis of major economic events. - Relatively Lower Volatility: While the pair offers ample price movement for potential trading opportunities, it’s often less volatile than emerging market pairs, making it a more measured option for risk-conscious traders. - Diverse Strategies: Its price action accommodates a variety of trading styles, from trend-following and range trading to news-based strategies. Whether you’re a short-term scalper or a long-term position trader, there’s flexibility to tailor your approach. Key Factors Influencing EUR/USD Movements The EUR/USD pair’s price movements are driven by a mix of economic, political, and market dynamics. Understanding these influences can help traders better analyse its behaviour. Economic Indicators Economic releases from the eurozone and the United States are key drivers of the pair's movements. Key reports include GDP growth, inflation rates, employment figures, and manufacturing activity. For instance, a strong US non-farm payroll report might boost the dollar, causing EUR/USD to drop. Similarly, weak eurozone inflation data could pressure the euro lower. Regularly monitoring economic calendars is crucial, as even small deviations from expectations can cause noticeable shifts. Central Bank Policies The European Central Bank (ECB) and the Federal Reserve (Fed) wield significant influence. Interest rate decisions, monetary policy announcements, and commentary from central bank officials often trigger immediate reactions. A hawkish Fed, signalling higher interest rates, can strengthen the dollar, while dovish ECB policies might weaken the euro. Traders often focus on speeches from figures like the Fed Chair or ECB President for clues about future policy changes. Geopolitical Events Political developments can create volatility. For example, elections, trade negotiations, or economic sanctions affecting the US or eurozone can shift sentiment. Historical events like Brexit significantly impacted the euro, while US-China trade tensions affected the dollar’s performance. Market Sentiment and Risk Appetite The EUR/USD pair is influenced by global market sentiment. During periods of risk aversion, the dollar often strengthens as a so-called safe-haven currency. Conversely, a risk-on environment, where investors seek higher-yielding assets, may support the euro. For example, during times of financial instability, traders may gravitate toward the relative security of the dollar, impacting the pair’s direction. Commodity Prices and Trade Balances While less direct, trade balances and commodity price changes also play a role. Higher commodity prices can weaken the euro due to increased import costs for the Eurozone, while benefiting the US as a commodity producer. Similarly, the Eurozone's trade surplus tends to support the euro, whereas the US trade deficit can pressure the dollar. Shifts in these factors often lead to fluctuations in the exchange rate. How to Trade EUR/USD A well-rounded EUR/USD trading strategy involves several key steps that help traders build a structured approach adaptable to market dynamics. 1. Finding a Broker Offering EUR/USD Trading To start trading EUR/USD, a broker providing forex trading services is essential. Many brokers offer the pair, but traders often prioritise competitive spreads, low fees, and reliable execution. For example, FXOpen provides EUR/USD trading with access to 4 advanced platforms, tight spreads from 0.0 pips, low commissions from $1.50 per lot, and fast execution speeds based on a wide range of liquidity providers. 2. Choosing a Trading Style The high liquidity of the EUR/USD pair allows traders to choose different strategies based on their objectives and market involvement: - Scalping: High liquidity and volatility during market events of EUR/USD allow traders to take advantage of scalping. - Day Trading: Day traders may also capitalise on significant market liquidity and volatility of the euro to US dollar pair. - Swing Trading: As the pair movements depend on macroeconomic analysis, trades may focus on price swings over days or weeks. - Position Trading: EUR/USD moves in solid market trends. So, those who prefer a longer-term strategy could apply it to this market. 3. Understanding and Analysing the Market Environment EUR/USD moves between trending and ranging phases. Identifying these conditions helps traders adapt their strategies. Tools like moving averages, trendlines, and oscillators such as Stochastic or Awesome Oscillator are commonly used to gauge market momentum. For ranging markets, traders may focus on support and resistance levels to anticipate price reversals. A clear technical strategy often includes identifying entry and exit points. This could involve analysing chart patterns, candlestick formations, or tools like Fibonacci retracements. Consistency in applying these methods helps traders build confidence in their analysis. 4. Understanding the Macroeconomic Environment EUR/USD reacts strongly to macroeconomic developments. Traders often assess economic indicators like interest rate changes or inflation reports, alongside sentiment-driven events such as central bank statements. Combining macroeconomic understanding with technical tools can provide a well-rounded view of the pair’s dynamics. 5. Considering Timeframes and Trading Sessions EUR/USD is most active during the overlap between the London and New York sessions. Short-term traders often focus on these times for potentially higher liquidity, usually using the 1-minute to 1-hour charts, while longer-term traders may not be as session-dependent, typically relying on 4-hour to 1-week charts. 6. Using Risk Management Traders typically integrate risk management into their approach. This includes using stop losses, understanding the impact of leverage, and sizing positions appropriately to manage risk exposure. By balancing risk and reward, traders aim to protect their capital while seeking returns. Challenges of EUR/USD Trading EUR/USD trading comes with its own set of challenges, despite its popularity, including: Volatility During Key Events EUR/USD is highly sensitive to economic data releases and central bank announcements. For example, higher-than-expected inflation data from the US can trigger a sharp rally in the dollar, pushing the pair lower. These movements can create potential opportunities but also increase the risk of losses if trades aren’t carefully managed. Overlapping Influences EUR/USD is driven by two major economies, meaning traders monitor a broad range of factors. For example, strong US economic data may boost the dollar, while strong eurozone growth could simultaneously support the euro, creating a mixed market reaction. Keeping track of both regions’ data releases and news can feel overwhelming, particularly since the euro sees releases for several key economies, like France and Germany, as well as the broader eurozone. Interest Rate Differentials Interest rate expectations between the ECB and the Fed significantly impact the pair. A surprise divergence in monetary policy may lead to rapid shifts in the EUR/USD, catching traders off-guard. Likewise, ignoring fundamentals, especially differentials in monetary policy, can lead a trader to rely too heavily on technical analysis, which may mean they trade against a strong trend driven by macroeconomics. Session Volatility The pair’s most active periods occur during the London and New York trading sessions. While this high liquidity can offer opportunities, it also means sharp intraday moves are more likely. Traders unprepared for this session-specific volatility may find themselves exposed to quick losses. The Bottom Line Trading EUR/USD offers potential opportunities thanks to its liquidity, accessibility, and responsiveness to market dynamics. This major forex pair may suit traders of all styles. Ready to start? Open an FXOpen account today and access EUR/USD trading with competitive spreads from 0.0 pips, low commissions from $1.50 per lot, and advanced tools. FAQ Why Is EUR/USD Most Traded? EUR/USD is the most traded forex pair due to its deep liquidity and accessibility. As the currencies of two of the world’s largest economies—the eurozone and the United States—it attracts traders globally. When to Trade EUR/USD? According to theory, the best time to trade EUR/USD is usually during the London and New York trading sessions overlap, roughly between 1:00 PM and 5:00 PM GMT (winter time) and 12:00 PM and 4:00 PM GMT (summer time). This period usually offers higher liquidity and more significant price movements, which appeal to traders using intraday strategies. Which Pair Correlates with EUR/USD? EUR/USD often positively correlates with GBP/USD. These relationships stem from economic ties and shared market influences. Is Gold and EUR/USD Correlated? Gold and EUR/USD occasionally move together because both are inversely linked to the US dollar. When the dollar weakens, both gold and the euro may gain value, creating periods of positive correlation. How Many Pips Does EUR/USD Move Daily? According to statistics, the EUR/USD pair typically moves between 50 and 100 pips daily, depending on market conditions and news events. How Do You Trade the EUR/USD Forex Pair? Traders often combine technical analysis with macroeconomic insights to navigate EUR/USD. Potential high liquidity and tight spreads support strategies ranging from scalping to position trading. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
1
EURUSD Hits Support Zone—Is a Bullish Reversal Coming!!!As I expected , the EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) fell to the target I set yesterday. EURUSD is moving near Support zone($1.039-$1.033) and 100_SMA(4-hour) . According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that the EURUSD has succeeded in completing the corrective Zigzag(ABC/5-3-5) , and we should wait for the EURUSD to rise again. One of the signs of completion can be a Bullish Engulfing Candlestick Pattern with a suitable volume . I expect EURUSD to rise to Resistance zone($1.0534-$1.0448) after breaking the Resistance lines . Note: If EURUSD goes below $1.0333, we can expect more dumps . Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
15