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EURUSD TA: Fibonacci, Bull Flags, and Data-Driven Entry StrategyTechnical Analysis: EURUSD (Euro/US Dollar) 📈 The EURUSD pair is demonstrating strong bullish momentum on the 4-hour timeframe, with price action currently trading at 1.13638, well above the key 50% Fibonacci retracement level drawn from the previous range low to high. 🔍 The chart reveals a series of bull flags forming during the recent uptrend, suggesting continued buying pressure despite the pair trading at premium levels. This pattern typically indicates brief consolidation before further upside movement. 💹 From a Fibonacci perspective, the current price position above the 50% retracement level indicates strength in the Euro against the Dollar. However, this elevated position also creates potential for a healthy pullback to retest support before continuing higher. ⏱️ Today's upcoming US Retail Sales data release represents a significant market catalyst. Interestingly, this high-impact event could trigger a pullback regardless of the outcome: If actual figures come in below forecast: Dollar weakness could prompt profit-taking after the recent rally If actual figures exceed forecast: Dollar strength could naturally push EURUSD lower 🎯 Trade Idea: Monitor for a potential retracement toward the 50% Fibonacci level, followed by a bullish break of market structure on the 30-minute timeframe. This would provide a higher-probability entry point for long positions with a more favorable risk-to-reward ratio. 🔄 The presence of multiple bull flags suggests that any pullback may be temporary, potentially offering an excellent opportunity to enter with the prevailing trend at a better price point. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This analysis is provided solely for informational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
"EUR/USD Bearish Setup – Supply Zone Sniper Entry🔵 Supply Zone (Resistance Area): 📍 Between 1.13755 – 1.14258 🚫 Expecting sellers to dominate here 🧱 Acts like a ceiling that price struggles to break 🔽 Sell Setup: 🎯 Entry Point: 1.13755 🔥 Stop Loss: 1.14258 (above zone — protection!) 💰 Target Point: 1.11611 📉 Expecting price to drop after entering this zone 📏 Risk vs Reward: ⚠️ Risk: ~50 pips 🏆 Reward: ~210 pips ✅ RR Ratio: ~1:4.2 (very favorable) 📊 EMA (7, close): 🟠 Current price is hovering around EMA ⏳ Suggests consolidation or a potential reversal soon 🔁 Scenario Plan: 1. 📈 Price moves into supply zone 2. 🚨 Triggers entry (Sell) at 1.13755 3. 🚀 If wrong, hits Stop Loss at 1.14258 4. ✅ If correct, drops to Take Profit at 1.11611 Summary: ✍️ Bearish outlook 🛑 Strong supply/resistance expected 📉 Good setup for a short position with low risk and high reward
Short
by Jameshead007
EURUSD TECHNICALS & FUNDAMENTALS🧱 Wave Structure & Pattern Wave (1)–(5) structure is complete with strong impulse. Wave (5) looks extended with a steep angle — could mean temporary exhaustion before a pullback or sideways correction. Volume surged heavily during Wave (5), suggesting high participation and buying climax potential. ✏️ Key Levels: Current Price: ~1.1394 Support Zone: Around 1.1300–1.1250 (previous resistance = now support) Next Resistance Levels: Minor: 1.1450 Major: 1.1600 (psychological and historical) 📈 Trendlines: Clear rising trendline support from late January — keep an eye on any break below for early reversal signs. A healthy retest of the 1.1300 zone could offer a long re-entry if bullish structure holds. ⚠️ Risk Watch: After a 5-wave move, expect either an ABC corrective phase or a consolidation range. Don’t get faked out by small pullbacks — corrections are normal after strong impulses. 🧠 Fundamental Analysis 📰 Key Drivers Today: 🇺🇸 U.S. Data / Sentiment: Retail Sales (March) — stronger data could push the USD higher, putting pressure on EUR/USD. Fed’s rate outlook: any hawkish hints from FOMC speakers or stronger data can boost USD. 🇪🇺 Eurozone Factors: ECB’s recent dovish pivot is in focus. German ZEW Economic Sentiment release is coming — a major sentiment mover. Slower EU inflation data may keep ECB from tightening further, limiting euro upside unless the dollar weakens. 💸 Bond Yields & Dollar Index (DXY): Rising U.S. yields or a DXY bounce could be a headwind. DXY is hovering at key support — a rebound could stall EUR/USD's rally. 📊 Sentiment Overview: Short-term: Bullish, but approaching overbought. Medium-term: Cautious bullish — possible retest of support before continuation. Macro: Dependent on U.S. data surprises and ECB tone. 🔍 Summary & Strategy Thoughts: Bias Levels to Watch Trigger Idea ⚡ Bullish Break above 1.1450 Target 1.1600 if dollar weakens further ⚠️ Neutral / Pullback Retest of 1.1300–1.1250 support Buy-the-dip zone if trendline holds 🐻 Bearish (Short-Term) Break below 1.1250 Possible deeper correction toward 1.1100–1.1050
by xxChartWhizxx
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25 - Weekly Order Block rejection Setup 1 -15' break of structure - Tokyo low range remains - Pull back into 15' order block - Lower time frame shift in price action from bullish to bearish Setup 2 - Lower time frame break of structure - Lower time frame bearish candle formation Let's see how EURUSD short set up plays. Certainly short potential but as always. We await price action to present itself to us. It is far too easy to find a position once we have noticed potential. Sit back and await the play! EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25 FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
EUR/AUD 4H Trade Setup: Demand Zone Bounce to 1.87500🔵 Key Zones and Levels 🟦 Demand Zone: Strong support area where price has bounced multiple times. ✅ Confluence with the trendline gives extra strength. 🎯 Entry Point: 1.78990 Perfect spot for a potential buy setup. 🛑 Stop Loss: 1.76962 Below the demand zone to protect against false breakouts. 🚀 Target Point: 1.87500 Profit goal with an impressive +4.85% potential (867.4 pips)! 📊 Price Action 📍Current price: 1.80528 (hovering near EMA and close to entry) 🔁 Price has tested the support zone several times — showing signs of accumulation. ⬆️ Potential bullish breakout from this zone. 🔍 Indicators & Patterns 📏 EMA (7): Price is near it, waiting for a clear move above for momentum. 📈 Trendline: Holding well as dynamic support. 🔶 Channel pattern: Higher highs and higher lows indicate uptrend structure. 📌 Summary 🟢 Buy Setup: 🛒 Entry: 1.78990 🛑 Stop Loss: 1.76962 🎯 Target: 1.87500 ⚖️ Risk-Reward: Great R:R setup with strong technical backing!
Long
by Jameshead007
EURUSD:Obtain the profit-making strategy for next weekWith the weakening of the US dollar and the rise of risk aversion sentiment, the bullish momentum of the euro against the US dollar remains strong. The expectation of financial stability in the eurozone provides solid support for the euro. In the short term, the euro is likely to continue its upward trend, and it may rise towards 1.15000. In terms of operation, wait for the appropriate price level and then continue to take long positions. The signals last week resulted in continuous profits, and accurate signals were shared daily.
Long
by Leo_TraderO
EUR/USD Hits Highest Level in Over Three YearsEUR/USD Hits Highest Level in Over Three Years This morning, the euro surged above the 1.1300 mark against the US dollar for the first time since February 2022. Throughout this week, the EUR/USD pair has broken through the highs of both 2023 and 2024. Why Is EUR/USD Rising? Amid the whirlwind of news surrounding the imposition and suspension of tariffs in US–EU trade, one dominant factor stands out — the sell-off of US bonds. According to Reuters, long-term US Treasury bonds are being heavily sold this week. The yield on 10-year notes has jumped from 3.9% to around 4.4%, marking the steepest increase in yields since 2001. This may reflect a reaction by foreign holders of US debt to sanctions imposed by the White House, combined with growing uncertainty about the US economy — especially as recession fears gain more media attention. As a result, the US dollar is showing weakness against a range of currencies, including the Japanese yen, Swiss franc, and the euro. Technical Analysis of EUR/USD The chart reveals a clear ascending channel (marked in blue), with the price repeatedly interacting with its upper, lower, and median boundaries — highlighted with markers and arrows. Current bullish sentiment has pushed the pair towards the upper boundary of this channel. It’s possible this resistance line could halt further gains, potentially leading to a correction — perhaps down to the 1.11 level, which previously acted as a strong resistance point. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
EUR/USD Bullish Breakout & Retest Setup – Targeting 1.10955Instrument: EUR/USD Timeframe: 30-Minute Indicators Used: EMA 30 (Red): 1.09821 EMA 200 (Blue): 1.09698 Key Levels Identified: Entry Point: 1.09695 Stop Loss: Around 1.09067 Resistance Zone: ~1.09911 Target Zone: ~1.10918 to 1.10955 Projected Gain: ~147.3 pips (1.35%) Price Action Analysis: Bullish Breakout: The price broke out from a consolidation zone (marked in purple). A bullish trend is forming as price moves above the 200 EMA. EMAs Alignment: The 30 EMA is currently above the 200 EMA, indicating a potential bullish trend continuation. However, price is slightly below the 30 EMA now, suggesting some short-term pullback or resistance. Retest at Entry Zone: Price retested the entry zone at 1.09695 after the breakout and is now hovering near it. This retest is healthy for confirming support before another move up. Trade Setup Insight: Entry Strategy: A long (buy) entry at or around 1.09695. Stop Loss Placement: Below the previous support zone near 1.09067 to manage risk. Target Strategy: Aiming for the resistance zone around 1.10918–1.10955 for profit booking. Conclusion: This looks like a bullish continuation setup with a favorable risk-reward ratio. The confluence of: EMA support, Price structure (breakout & retest), and defined resistance/target zone
Long
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
3
EUR/USD Short Setup – Entry at Resistance, Targeting 1.08942"Entry Point: Around 1.10456 Stop Loss: Around 1.10833 Take Profit (EA Target Point): Around 1.08942 Risk-Reward Ratio: Appears favorable (approximately 1:2) 🔍 Key Observations: Resistance Zone (Supply Area): Price hit a strong resistance (marked with a purple zone) and showed signs of rejection with wicks. The resistance aligns with the entry zone, suggesting a potential reversal area. Moving Averages: EMA 30 (Red) ≈ 1.09966 and EMA 200 (Blue) ≈ 1.09607 Price is currently above both EMAs, which is typically bullish, but the setup anticipates a pullback or correction. Bearish Engulfing Pattern: A possible bearish engulfing candlestick appears near the entry zone, indicating seller strength. Break of Minor Support (RESISTANCE POINT): If price breaks below this level, it would likely confirm the short setup toward the target. ✅ Confirmation Needed: A clean break and close below the support (resistance point) to confirm entry. Momentum indicators (RSI, MACD) could provide additional confidence if available. ⚠️ Risk Notes: Since the price is still above both EMAs, this trade counters the short-term trend, so proper stop management is key. Watch for news events, especially since this pair reacts strongly to economic data (note the calendar icon at the bottom right).
Short
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W15 Y25 TUESDAY 8TH APRIL 2025EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W15 Y25 TUESDAY 8TH APRIL 2025 Welcome back if you're returning, Welcome if you're new here! Let's take a long into a much unchanged EUERUSD short analysis. The weekly time frame in particular is setting the short scene here. The weekly order block created in September 2024 is providing the valid short point of interest and we have witnessed rejection from that area. It is also worth mentioning risk management. It does not really feel like a change in dynamic, the majority of us have seen similar price action movements during financial global shifts. My only take away is RISK MANAGEMENT during those/ these periods. One thing I have noticed being a trader is I can always find a position, the question is, BUT... "what position are you going to execute" This was the difference between FRGNT now and FRGNT then. Take EURUSD, we have alerts set just below our points of interest. Once that alert sounds, we are aware that our high probability set up is to be looked at closer. EURUSD short forecast in that case remains 100% unchanged at this time and I shall link the EURUSD short forecast from week 15 beginning. You may feel that there is no need to read but I hope this reenforces that at times there are trading periods in which there simply is no position to execute. Our job at professional risk managers is to ensure that when our set up does materialise, we are there ready with out account balance intact to bank the full rewards. FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT