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EUR/USD 8H SwingTrade: Institutions in Control Amid Deep RetraceThis long position on EUR/USD continues to develop as the trade approaches a critical zone near 1.09600, where partial profits will be taken if the market starts to move in the anticipated direction. The setup shows a potential for a reversal following a controlled decline, which may indicate institutional players hedging their positions. Despite the lack of a significant pullback, the steady decline suggests deeper market manipulation by larger participants, as they may be positioning themselves for a move upward. This swing trade is grounded in both technical and fundamental factors. While the euro has faced challenges due to economic slowdown in the Eurozone, the technicals are showing signs of alignment for a potential bullish reversal. If the market sentiment shifts, the euro could gain momentum, supported by upcoming key economic data and central bank statements. Technicals: • The price action shows a controlled decline with minimal volatility, indicating institutional hedging and the possibility of a corrective move. • Price is trading within the momentum cloud, signaling a neutral-to-bullish shift in sentiment. The next key level to watch is the 1.09600 area, where partial profit-taking is planned. • A full break above 1.10280 (next significant resistance) could fuel further bullish momentum, targeting higher levels at 1.1070 and beyond. • Stop loss is placed below 1.0740 to account for market volatility while keeping the risk-to-reward ratio balanced. Fundamentals: • Eurozone Outlook: With inflation persisting in the Eurozone, the European Central Bank (ECB) continues its cautious approach, maintaining tight monetary policy. However, the euro remains under pressure due to underwhelming growth figures, geopolitical risks from the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and high inflation. • USD Strength: The USD remains strong amid solid US economic data, including robust housing starts and job growth. This strength has limited the euro’s ability to recover, but any weakening in the US data could help fuel a euro recovery. • Macro Events: Key macro events, including ECB President Lagarde’s upcoming speeches and US economic data releases, are likely to have an impact on this pair. Lagarde’s recent dovish tone, combined with any signs of weakening in the US economy, could catalyze a EUR/USD reversal. Risk Management: • Taking partial profits near the 1.09600 level minimizes downside risk while locking in gains if the trade moves favorably. • The stop loss remains tight to protect against any sudden reversals, placed below the recent low at 1.0740 to maintain an optimal risk-reward ratio. • By maintaining flexibility in managing the position, this setup aims to capture gains while protecting capital in volatile market conditions. This trade setup offers a promising opportunity as we monitor both the technical and fundamental aspects closely. Let’s stay focused and continue to manage the position based on market developments! Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Long
by AR33_
EURUSD: Will It Retrace to POI?Our philosophy focuses on simplicity and precision, avoiding cognitive overload. On the daily chart, EURUSD is trading within Range Zone. If another daily candle closes bullish above $1.086 (the Daily Range Bottom), it could push the price up to the Range Top at $1.1, which is our Daily Point of Interest (Daily POI). The Mid Daily Range may act as minor resistance on this move. If EURUSD falls below the Daily Range Bottom, it enters a bearish zone, with the next target around Key Daily Level 1↓ at $1.066. Alternatively, a bullish breakout above the Daily Range Top could extend gains to the Minor Daily Level at $1.112. Though, this scenario is secondary as long as EURUSD remains within the Daily Range Zone.
by Trade-Lean
EURUSD 7 Dimension Sell Trade Idea Top-Down View (H4 Analysis): The H4 timeframe shows that the price has recently formed a Change of Character (CHoCH) and appears to be making a retracement. Despite this pullback, it hasn’t mitigated the higher-timeframe Points of Interest (POI), particularly the unmitigated Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG). Observing H1, we see considerable volatility and uncertainty, possibly indicating attempts to shake out weak-handed traders before a deeper corrective move toward the H1 internal extreme POI for mitigation. 😇 7 Dimension Analysis 🟢Time Frame: H4 🟢Swing Structure: Bullish with CHoCH: The swing structure is bullish on the H4, with a recent CHoCH indicating a potential shift. An inducement has been observed, and price has just entered the discounted zone, which aligns with the 61% Fibonacci retracement level. POI and Liquidity Levels: The area of interest includes the 61% & 88% Fibonacci level, liquidity sweeps, and support at the demand zone. Waiting for price to reach this zone and observing its reaction will be critical. Pattern: 🟢 Chart Patterns: Double Bottom: Forming as a potential reversal pattern at the discounted zone. 🟢 Candle Patterns: Long Wick & Momentum Candles: Recent candles show long wicks and momentum on the downside, indicating that bears are still in control of the current session, albeit with limited momentum strength for long-term sustainability. Volume: Moderate volume suggests that while sellers are currently dominant, the bearish momentum may not hold for an extended period, reinforcing the expectation of a retracement. Momentum (RSI): 🟢 Range Shift: Momentum has shifted from bearish to sideways with multiple bullish divergences, suggesting a loss of bearish strength and a potential for reversal or retracement. Volatility (Bollinger Bands): 🟢 Middle Band Breach: The price has dropped below the middle band, indicating a slight bearish bias. Expansion Cool-Down: Following a period of expansion, price appears to be consolidating and "cooling down" before the next directional move. 🟢Strength (ROC and Consolidation): Consolidation Phase: ROC reflects consolidation, supporting the idea that the bearish momentum may pause or weaken, aligning with the expectation of a retracement or sideways movement. 🟢Rating: ⭐⭐⭐ Probability: 65% This setup has a moderate confidence level for a short-term sell entry, considering the confluence of factors on both the H4 and refined lower time frames. 🟢Trade Setup: Entry Details: Entry Time Frame: 15-Minute (15M) Entry TF Structure: Bearish (for counter-trend entry in a corrective move) Point of Interest (POI): Extreme Fair Value Gap (FVG) Trade Execution: 💡 Decision: Sell Limit 🚀 Entry: 1.8747 ✋ Stop Loss: 1.0888 🎯 Take Profit: 1.07927 😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 6.94 RR 🕛 Expected Duration: 1 Day SUMMARY: This H4-based top-down analysis with entry refinement on the 15M timeframe provides a short-term sell opportunity within a bullish higher timeframe structure. Price action, volume, and momentum indicators suggest a potential bearish pullback toward the 15M POI, aligning with the 61% Fibonacci level and significant liquidity areas. The setup targets a short-term retracement with a high reward-to-risk ratio, with the expectation that price may retrace to mitigate lower timeframe liquidity levels before resuming the bullish trend.
Short
by Optimum369
fib at 1.1034fibonnaci at 1.1034, it is my 1st target and first real ressistance, appart of not beeing there the price for long in my pov, but dxy has a resistance on the 16th of august at that level wht can invade the long posistion making a bigger resistance, but imo it will might go to 1.12 to 1.14 but only the markets can say, and be careful on election day. keep ur trading safe, do your own analysis, you can take value in others persons analysis but do ur own, and keep ur risk safe, take care at elections day, it can change everything,.
Long
by Carlosdrcunha
EURUSD Analysis==>>Ascending Broadening Wedge Reversal Pattern!EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD )has managed to form an Ascending Broadening Wedge Reversal Pattern near the Resistance zone($1.0980-$1.0912) and Yearly Pivot Point . Also, Regular Divergence (RD-) between Consecutive Peaks . I expect the EURUSD to attack the Support zone($1.0816-$1.0775) again in the coming hours. Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour Time frame ⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
2
EUR/USD shows potential (READ DESCRIPTION)Pivot Point: 1.0860 EUR/USD shows potential for an upward move, with projected gains of 27 - 42 pips, supported by a pivot level at 1.0860. Our Preference: Long Positions Consider long positions above 1.0860 with the following target levels: Primary Target: 1.0900 — this level may serve as the first resistance, where some consolidation or minor retracement could occur. Secondary Target: 1.0915 — if this level is reached, it may indicate stronger bullish momentum, potentially supporting further advances. Alternative Scenario: Downside Potential If EUR/USD dips below 1.0860, consider a move lower with targets: First Target: 1.0845 — an intermediate support level that could act as a buffer for downward momentum. Second Target: 1.0830 — a more substantial support level that may result in either a consolidation or a sustained bearish push if breached. Technical Indicators & Analysis Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI indicates consolidation but remains above its neutrality area at 50, suggesting moderate upward momentum. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): The MACD may be nearing or above its signal line, reinforcing a slight bullish trend; however, a potential cross below could indicate a return to consolidation or slight bearish pressure. Moving Averages: EUR/USD is positioned above its 20-period and 50-period moving averages, signaling a short-term bullish trend with support for the upside move. Key Levels & Price Action Outlook Above 1.0860: A sustained move above this level can support gains toward 1.0900 initially. Consolidation may occur at this level, but continued strength would open up 1.0915, which is a more substantial resistance level and an extended target for long positions. Below 1.0860: Dropping below this pivot could lead to further declines. 1.0845 may serve as an initial support, and a break here could lead to a test of 1.0830. This deeper level may offer stronger support and could signal either a bottoming for a potential rebound or a continuation of bearish movement.
by CharivapaAlgo
EURUSD Set For Possible Bullish Breakout? Key Price Action Signa👀👉 EURUSD is demonstrating bullish momentum across the monthly, weekly, daily, and 4H charts. I'm closely watching for a potential buying opportunity, aligning with the key criteria covered in the video. In this analysis, we’ll pinpoint essential price action signals to track and outline strategic positioning for the next potential move. *Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. 📊✅
Long
by fxtraderanthony
3
EUR/USD ! 10/29/24 ! move in trend, recoveryEUR/ USD trend forecast October 29, 2024 EUR/USD pulls back from recent gains, trading near 1.0810 in early Asian hours on Tuesday. The pair retests the upper edge of the descending channel, potentially signaling a bearish trend. The 14-day RSI hovers just above 30; a dip below would indicate oversold conditions, hinting at a possible upward correction soon. Gold price moves within 2 H1 downtrend bands - waiting to touch the lower trend and recover /// BUY USDJPY : zone 1.07950 - 1.07750 SL: 1.07450 TP: 60 - 100 - 250 pips (1.10250) Safe and profitable trading
Long
by Moon-ForexAcademy
5
EURUSD Analysis==>>Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern!!!EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is moving near the Upper line of the Descending Channel , Support zone($1.0816-$1.0775) , and Support lines . Regarding Classic Technical Analysis , EURUSD has already broken the Neckline of the Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern ( Bullish Reversal Pattern ). Also, Regular Divergence (RD+) between Consecutive Valleys . I expect EURUSD to rise to at least the width of the descending channel after breaking the upper line of the descending channel and SMA(100) and then attacking the Resistance lines . ⚠️Note: If EURUSD goes below $1.075, we must wait for more dumps to at least $1.069⚠️ Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour Time frame ⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
10
30/10/2024 - EUR/USD - Short Trade Plan30/10/2024 - EUR/USD - Short Trade Plan Trade Details: Entry: 1.08200 (15min Order Block with 4H OB Confluence) Stop Loss: 1.08407 Take Profit 1: Based on 1:1 Risk-Reward Ratio Take Profit 2: 1.07733 Reason for Trade: Short entry is based on a 15-minute Order Block (OB) aligned with a higher timeframe (4H) OB, adding confluence to the setup. Aiming for an initial 1:1 Risk-Reward (RR) on TP1, with TP2 set at a lower target. Disclaimer: This trade plan is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Please conduct your own analysis before trading.
Short
by Unknown_Trader007