Get started

Eurusdtrade

EURUSD is likely to fall, touching supportThe euro EURUSD inched 0.07% lower to $1.0757, its lowest point since Nov. 14. The single currency is down 1% this week and is on course for the steepest weekly decline since May. Traders are betting that there is about an 85% chance that the ECB cuts interest rates at the March meeting, with almost 150 basis points' worth of easing priced by the end of next year. The question of a rate cut could emerge in 2024, ECB member and Bank of France head Francois Villeroy de Galhau told a French paper in an interview published on Wednesday. Villeroy said that "disinflation is happening more quickly than we thought". The ECB will set interest rates on Thursday next week and is all but certain to leave them at the current record high of 4%, although the focus will be on comments from officials about rates outlook. A slim majority of economists in a Reuters poll expect the ECB to cut rates in the second quarter of next year, earlier than previously thought, with a new tug of war on the exact timing of the first cut emerging. The dollar has found its footing this month after a 3% drop in November as traders ramp up rate cut bets for other central banks.
Short
by TinaTradingGold
💡 EURUSD: Forecast ADP-Nonfarm EURUSD is approaching the support zone on the daily frame around 1.0755, and you can see that the current price trend is bearish and the current structure on the H4 frame is bearish because the previous bottom is clearly broken. However, the price action is not moving very well, the price forms quite weak and unclear price pushes as well as pullbacks. More importantly, there is no really strong peak to be seen. Strong latch to hold the price. In market moving conditions like this, as long as the most recent small peak in that price decline is broken, the possibility of the market reversing is quite high or at least forming a deep pullback.
Short
by Stone_Haven
EURUSD Technical Analysis And Trade IdeaExploring the EURUSD currency pair's current dynamics, our analysis unveils a prevailing bullish trend across higher time frames, particularly evident on the monthly and weekly charts. Our focus shifts to the daily time frame, strategically aiming for an optimal entry point. At this juncture, the price has undergone a significant swing and is now undergoing a retracement phase. Our keen attention is directed towards pinpointing a retracement within the 50% to 61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone – an area we favor for entry. We look at both a 1D and 4H timeframe scenario. This video meticulously breaks down price action, market structure, and overarching trends, shedding light on critical facets of technical analysis. Throughout this presentation, we delve deeply into pivotal aspects such as market structure, nuances of price action, trend dynamics, and other indispensable technical analysis components. It's crucial to emphasize that this content is for educational purposes. However, it's imperative to avoid construing it as financial advice.
by fxtraderanthony
EUR/ USD!! 5/12/2023 supporting the DOWN trend⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️ EUR/USD INFORMATION: The US Census Bureau released data on Monday revealing a 3.6% month-on-month decrease in US factory orders in October, following a 2.3% increase in the previous report. In addition, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) reported that the US ISM Manufacturing PMI remained unchanged at 46.7 in November, falling short of expectations. According to Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell, the US monetary policy has been successful in slowing down the economy, as predicted, with the overnight interest rate now in restrictive territory. Although Powell emphasized the Fed's readiness to further tighten policy if necessary, market sentiment suggests that the rate-hike cycle has reached its conclusion. Consequently, this has put downward pressure on the US dollar across all markets. ⭐️ Personal comments NOVA: The price area touches the downtrend line, Scalping during the day is a SELL signal ⭐️ SET UP EURUSD PRICE: 🔥SELL EUR/USD zone: 1.08500 - 1.08650 SL 1.09100 TP1: 1.08000 TP2: 1.07700 TP3: 1.07400 ⭐️ Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️ NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Short
by Nova-Scalper
2
💡 EURUSD : Forecast December 5The European Central Bank policymaker and President of the Bank of France said the ECB is not yet ready to consider reducing borrowing costs but will do so after 2024. Slowing inflation has allowed the ECB to clarifying the 2% inflation target from summer 2021, which could herald an adjustment in monetary policy. In addition, dovish comments from the FED pulled the dollar down, partly supporting the view that the Fed has ended its interest rate hike cycle and will shift to an easing stance in 2024. We can see EUR/USD recovering and the MACD double line and bar chart shrinking below the zero axis on the H4 chart. When the price once fell below the 1.0880 support level, a short-term top emerged as a bear market.
Short
by Stone_Haven
2
EURUSD is trending downEUR/USD rallied vigorously in November, but has started to retrace some of that advance in recent days, with bearish pressure easing as prices tested the 200-day simple moving average. It is important for bulls to defend this technical indicator, which currently symbolizes support; a failure to do so could result in a decline toward 1.0765, followed by 1.0650. On the flip side, if the common currency regains the upper hand against the greenback and stages a meaningful comeback, technical resistance looms at 1.0960 – the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the July/October decline. Sustained strength could lead to revisiting November's peak, followed by a move towards horizontal resistance at 1.1080 upon a breakout.
Short
by TinaTradingGold
💡 EURUSD: Prediction for December 1After being blocked around the 1.1000 resistance zone, the price fell sharply in the past session as expected. Currently, a three-candle bearish reversal pattern has appeared on the daily and it has also violated the uptrend line, the signals show. This signal shows the possibility that the price will continue to adjust. Temporarily suspend trading for now, you should wait for the opportunity to return with buy orders around the price range of 1,075.
Short
by Stone_Haven
10
EURUSD → Rejected!? Will the Price Fall to 1.06 or Rush to 1.12?EURUSD made contact with the resistance zone, as predicted from last week's analysis. We're now faced with a decision to short or wait on the sidelines for more price action. How do we trade this? 🤔 The conditions at this moment make it reasonable to short , but there is a caveat! It's very possible the price pulls back a bit to the resistance zone for another test before dropping. If you didn't short at the resistance zone, it's reasonable to wait for the price to crawl back up to the 1.09600 area to enter. Enter after another sell signal, then 1:2 risk ratio down to the bottom of the trading range around 1.05900. If the price breaks resistance, wait for it to confirm support on the resistance zone then look for a long entry off of a bull signal and confirmation bar. 💡 Trade Idea 💡 Short Entry: 1.09600 🟥 Stop Loss: 1.11450 ✅ Take Profit: 1.05900 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Trading Range after Bull Run, Bias to Long. 2. Rejection at the Resistance Zone, Reasonable to Short. 3. If Shorting, Watch EMAs for Support. 4. Look for a pullback to resistance before the price falls. 5. RSI at 57.00 below Moving Average, Bias to Short. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
Short
by TraderEngineering
Factors Contributing to the EUR's Decline Against the USDDear Esteemed TradingView Members, Environment In recent months, the Euro (EUR) has experienced a notable depreciation against the US Dollar (USD), reaching parity for the first time in two decades. This decline can be attributed to a confluence of factors, including: Economic Disparities: The ongoing economic challenges in Europe, particularly the energy crisis and the escalating war in Ukraine, have dampened investor confidence in the region's economic outlook. This has led to increased demand for the USD as a safe haven asset. Monetary Policy Divergence: The European Central Bank (ECB) has been cautious in raising interest rates to combat inflation, in contrast to the US Federal Reserve's more aggressive tightening cycle. This divergence in monetary policies has made the USD more attractive to yield-seeking investors. Technical Breakdown : The EURUSD pair has broken through significant technical support levels, signaling a potential shift in market sentiment. This technical breakdown has accelerated the EUR's downward trajectory. Political Uncertainties: Ongoing political uncertainties in Europe, such as the upcoming Italian elections and the potential for renewed tensions between Russia and the West, have further weighed on the EUR. These factors have collectively contributed to the EUR's recent decline against the USD. While the EUR's depreciation may pose challenges for European exporters, it could also benefit European tourism and make European goods more competitive in international markets. The future direction of the EURUSD pair will depend on the evolving economic landscape and monetary policy decisions in both the eurozone and the United States. Technicals The bottom chart shows strong bullish candle on DXY today. Furthermore, the EUR price was overbought compared to EMAs see the top chart, where price has been highly above all the visible EMAs, and the RSI printed a bearish cross on the middle pane. EUR could fall to at least an EMA20 retest, which is around the upper blue line. Persisting bearishness could find the next support at the bottom blue line. These blue lines are historic supports, which could stop or reverse bearish progress. Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. Conduct your own research. This publication explains only one aspect of my approach, not my comprehensive strategy. The idea focuses on observations around the price action; reading the indicator descriptions is recommended for understanding of the calculations. Kind regards, Ely
Short
by Elysian_Mind
2