EUR/USD Hits Lowest Level Since Early JulyEUR/USD Hits Lowest Level Since Early July
As the EUR/USD chart indicates today, the euro has fallen below the 1.1550 mark against the US dollar, reaching the lows of June 2025. As a result, July may become the first month in 2025 to record a decline in the currency pair.
Why Is EUR/USD Declining?
There are two key factors driving the euro’s weakness relative to the US dollar:
→ Anticipation of the Federal Reserve Meeting. At 21:00 GMT+3 today, the Fed’s interest rate decision will be released. According to Forex Factory, analysts expect the Federal Funds Rate to remain unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%.
→ Market Reaction to the US-EU Trade Agreement. The trade deal signed last weekend between the United States and Europe is being critically assessed by market participants.
As noted in our Monday analysis, signs of a bearish takeover emerged on the chart following the agreement’s signing. Since then, EUR/USD has declined by approximately 1.3%. The question now is whether the downtrend will continue.
Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart
The upward channel that had remained valid since mid-May was decisively broken by bears this week. The nature of the breakout (highlighted by the red arrow) was particularly aggressive, with the price dropping from the 1.1710 level to the D point low without any meaningful interim recoveries.
Key observations include:
→ The drop has resulted in a classic bearish A-B-C-D market structure, characterised by lower highs and lower lows.
→ On the 4-hour timeframe, the RSI indicator has fallen into oversold territory, reaching its lowest point of 2025 so far.
→ Notably (as highlighted by the blue arrow), there was a strong rebound from the 1.1455 support level earlier. Bulls demonstrated significant strength at that time, breaking through the R resistance line.
Given these factors, we could assume that after this week’s sharp decline, EUR/USD may attempt a short-term recovery from the support zone (highlighted in purple). Should this scenario unfold, potential resistance may emerge near the 1.1630 level, as this area aligns with:
→ The 50% Fibonacci retracement of the C→D decline;
→ The breakout point of the lower boundary of the previous ascending channel, indicating a shift in market balance in favour of the bears.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
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Market Analysis: EUR/USD Dips FurtherMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Dips Further
EUR/USD extended losses and traded below the 1.1600 support.
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today
- The Euro struggled to clear the 1.1800 resistance and declined against the US Dollar.
- There is a key downward channel forming with resistance at 1.1575 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair failed to clear the 1.1800 resistance. The Euro started a fresh decline below the 1.1720 support against the US Dollar.
The pair declined below the 1.1660 support and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it tested the 1.1520 level. A low was formed at 1.1519 and the pair is now consolidating losses. The market is showing bearish signs, and the upsides might remain capped.
There was a minor increase toward the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1770 swing high to the 1.1519 low. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the 1.1575 level.
There is also a key downward channel forming with resistance at 1.1575. The next major resistance is near the 1.1665 zone and the 50-hour simple moving average or the 50% Fib retracement level.
The main resistance sits near the 1.1770 level. An upside break above the 1.1770 level might send the pair towards 1.1800. Any more gains might open the doors for a move towards 1.1850.
On the downside, immediate support on the EUR/USD chart is seen near 1.1520. The next major support is near the 1.1465 level. A downside break below 1.1465 could send the pair towards 1.1350.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EURUSD analysis - 1H FVG and OB setupsOn the 1H timeframe, price has entered the green demand zone (1H FVG) around 1.1480 – 1.1520 after a strong bearish leg.
We're expecting a bullish retracement from this zone, aiming toward the upper red FVG/OB zone around 1.1690 – 1.1715.
📌 There are two key scenarios:
1️⃣ Scenario 1: Price starts moving up from the green FVG → reaches red FVG zone → short setup after lower timeframe confirmation
2️⃣ Scenario 2: Price makes an initial move to ~1.1620 → pulls back to the green zone → pushes back up into the red OB → short setup on confirmation
🎯 Final target for both scenarios: a break below the green FVG zone and continuation down
✅ Entry only after confirmation from lower timeframes (3M–15M)
❌ No trades without confirmation
EUR/USD: The Last Bear Standing...As indicated on my previous EUR/USD idea ( that's still currently open ), I remain short EUR/USD given the technical aspect of things are still valid.
Divergences are still in play along with a rising broadening pattern and the fact that we're trading at the yearly R3 level ( which is rare ).
I suspect we will have some volatility with the ECB press conference tomorrow, so that should get things moving hopefully in the bearish direction. If we begin trading aggressively above 1.1800+, that will invalidate the short idea overall.
If we roll over, I'm still looking for 1.13000 - 1.12000 as the target range for Q3 going into Q4.
We'll see how this all develops.
As always, Good Luck & Trade Safe!
Hold off on EURUSD for nowYesterday, EURUSD dropped over 150 pips following the trade agreement between the US and the European Union.
Tomorrow, the Fed is expected to announce interest rates, which could bring further volatility.
Avoid entering new positions at the moment and don’t overdo it with your lot sizes.
Once the news is out, there will be clearer and more confirmed trade opportunities.
EUR/USD Robbery Blueprint Bear Strike Activated!💣🎯Operation Fiber Down: EUR/USD Robbery Blueprint (Day Trade Edition) 💰🔫
🚨 Thieves, Hustlers & Chart Bandits Assemble! 🚨
🌍 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌍
Welcome back to another Thief Trading Operation, where the money never sleeps—and neither do we. Let’s break into the vault of EUR/USD “The Fiber” with surgical precision. 🧠💼🕶️
🧨 THE MASTER ROBBERY PLAN: EUR/USD SHORT STRIKE 🔍💸
💀 Market Bias: Bearish – Trend Reversal + Supply Trap Setup
🎯 Target: 1.14600
🛑 Stop-Loss: Near Swing High (around 1.16700 – 4H chart view)
🕓 Timeframe Focus: 15m / 30m / 3H
🧭 ENTRY ZONE:
👣 Plan your entry from recent high retests—that’s where the big money bulls get trapped.
🎯 Use Sell Limit Orders (DCA style / Layered Limit Orders) like a true thief setting up tripwires.
💼 RISK STRATEGY:
💡 SL should match your lot size and order count—not one-size-fits-all!
📌 Place above key structure or swing level (e.g. 1.16700) based on timeframe.
🔍 BEHIND THE SCENES – THE WHY:
The EUR/USD "Fiber" pair is showing all the classic signs of a trend shift and bear raid setup, including:
📰 Fundamentals weakening the Euro
💣 COT Report reveals institutional exits
🍂 Seasonal Bias points to downward trend
📉 Intermarket Pressure from bond yields & USD strength
📊 Sentiment turning overly bullish = trap zone
⛽ Storage & Inventory imbalances adding fuel
📌 Reminder: Before any robbery, study the layout—Macro, Fundamentals, Sentiment, and Intermarket are your blueprint.
🚨 HEIST ALERT – PROTECT THE LOOT:
🕰️ High-Impact News Events? Tighten up!
💼 Don’t take fresh entries during releases.
🔐 Use Trailing SLs to lock in profits.
🎯 Exit with grace before the sirens start.
⚡🔥JOIN THE CREW, BOOST THE LOOT🔥⚡
💥 Smash the Boost Button 💥 if you're vibing with the Thief Trading Movement.
We ain’t just trading—we’re executing strategic robberies on the market’s weaknesses.
🧠💪 Every like = more power to the crew. Every comment = a new map to a vault.
We rob, retreat, and repeat. Let’s make money with skill, not luck. 🕶️💰🚁
⚠️ LEGAL COVER (For the Lawyers 😏):
This plan is not investment advice, just an organized heist blueprint by chart robbers.
Always manage your own risk and update your plan as the market evolves.
🕶️ Stay ready for the next master plan... Until then, keep your charts clean and your stops tight. 🕶️💣📉
– Thief Trader Out 🐱👤🚀
EUR/USD – Short from Channel TopHi Traders , Took a short on EUR/USD after price rejected the top of the ascending channel.
Entry: 1.17545
Stop Loss: 1.18015
Take Profit: 1.17098
📌 Why I took this trade:
Price is showing rejection at the upper trendline + near resistance (R1). RSI is cooling off, so I’m expecting a move back to the demand zone around 1.1710.
Clean structure, low risk, good reward.
Just my take, not financial advice.
What do you think — continuation or rejection?
EURUSD analysis - 1H FVG and OB setupsOn the 1H timeframe, price is moving strongly towards the 1H supply zone (around 1.1780), and it is likely to reach this area first before pulling back.
During the pullback, the blue FVG and green OB zones below are key areas for potential long entries:
🔹 FVG 1H around 1.1660
🔹 OB 1H around 1.1620
🔹 OB 1H around 1.1580
📌 Plan:
1️⃣ If the price reaches the upper supply zone, we will look for short scalps with confirmation on the lower timeframe (5M/3M).
2️⃣ After the pullback to lower zones, we will look for long opportunities with PA confirmation.
🎯 Long targets after pullback: 1.1700 – 1.1720, potentially 1.1750.
❌ No entry without confirmation.
Important week for EURUSDOn Friday, EURUSD reached a support level and bounced off it.
This week, all eyes are on the Fed's interest rate decision on Wednesday and the U.S. jobs data on Friday.
The trend remains bullish for now, and the upcoming news will likely determine the next move.
Today and tomorrow, the market may stay in a range as traders wait for the key events.
Don't rush into new trades and avoid using large position sizes!
EUR/USD Short from the nearby 1hrI’m currently more confident in EU’s bearish setup compared to GU, as price is nearing a clear point of interest (POI) that aligns well with the developing downtrend. The 2hr supply zone has already caused a CHoCH (Change of Character), and price has been approaching it slowly and with reduced momentum — often a strong indication of an upcoming reaction.
While price isn’t near a demand zone yet, I’ll be keeping an eye on the 7hr demand zone below. If price reaches that area, I’ll be looking for a high-probability buy setup in line with the broader market context.
Confluences for EU Sells:
Price has tapped into a 2hr supply zone that caused a CHoCH to the downside
Bearish pressure remains strong, supported by DXY strength
Clean liquidity to the downside that needs to be swept
Slowing momentum and signs of distribution as price approaches supply
P.S. If price continues lower from this point, I anticipate another break of structure, which could form a new supply zone to work with later this week.
Let’s stay patient, follow the flow, and execute smart. 🔥📉💼
EUR/USD Robbery Blueprint Bear Strike Activated!💣🎯Operation Fiber Down: EUR/USD Robbery Blueprint (Day Trade Edition) 💰🔫
🚨 Thieves, Hustlers & Chart Bandits Assemble! 🚨
🌍 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌍
Welcome back to another Thief Trading Operation, where the money never sleeps—and neither do we. Let’s break into the vault of EUR/USD “The Fiber” with surgical precision. 🧠💼🕶️
🧨 THE MASTER ROBBERY PLAN: EUR/USD SHORT STRIKE 🔍💸
💀 Market Bias: Bearish – Trend Reversal + Supply Trap Setup
🎯 Target: 1.15800
🛑 Stop-Loss: Near Swing High (around 1.17400 – 3H chart view)
🕓 Timeframe Focus: 15m / 30m / 3H
🧭 ENTRY ZONE:
👣 Plan your entry from recent high retests—that’s where the big money bulls get trapped.
🎯 Use Sell Limit Orders (DCA style / Layered Limit Orders) like a true thief setting up tripwires.
💼 RISK STRATEGY:
💡 SL should match your lot size and order count—not one-size-fits-all!
📌 Place above key structure or swing level (e.g. 1.17400) based on timeframe.
🔍 BEHIND THE SCENES – THE WHY:
The EUR/USD "Fiber" pair is showing all the classic signs of a trend shift and bear raid setup, including:
📰 Fundamentals weakening the Euro
💣 COT Report reveals institutional exits
🍂 Seasonal Bias points to downward trend
📉 Intermarket Pressure from bond yields & USD strength
📊 Sentiment turning overly bullish = trap zone
⛽ Storage & Inventory imbalances adding fuel
📌 Reminder: Before any robbery, study the layout—Macro, Fundamentals, Sentiment, and Intermarket are your blueprint.
🚨 HEIST ALERT – PROTECT THE LOOT:
🕰️ High-Impact News Events? Tighten up!
💼 Don’t take fresh entries during releases.
🔐 Use Trailing SLs to lock in profits.
🎯 Exit with grace before the sirens start.
⚡🔥JOIN THE CREW, BOOST THE LOOT🔥⚡
💥 Smash the Boost Button 💥 if you're vibing with the Thief Trading Movement.
We ain’t just trading—we’re executing strategic robberies on the market’s weaknesses.
🧠💪 Every like = more power to the crew. Every comment = a new map to a vault.
We rob, retreat, and repeat. Let’s make money with skill, not luck. 🕶️💰🚁
⚠️ LEGAL COVER (For the Lawyers 😏):
This plan is not investment advice, just an organized heist blueprint by chart robbers.
Always manage your own risk and update your plan as the market evolves.
🕶️ Stay ready for the next master plan... Until then, keep your charts clean and your stops tight. 🕶️💣📉
– Thief Trader Out 🐱👤🚀
EURUSD Massive Bullish Breakout!
HI,Traders !
#EURUSD is trading in a strong
Uptrend and the price just
Made a massive bullish
Breakout of the falling
Resistance line and the
Breakout is confirmed
So after a potential pullback
We will be expecting a
Further bullish continuation !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
EURUSDHello traders,
I've been closely monitoring the **EURUSD** pair for a while, and it’s now offering an ideal entry opportunity. It has presented several great setups for swing trading, and I’d like to share one of them with you today.
🔍 **Trade Details**
✔️ **Timeframe**: H4/D
✔️ **Risk-to-Reward Ratio**: 1:4.22
✔️ **Trade Direction**: Buy
✔️ **Entry Price**: 1.17281
✔️ **Take Profit**: 1.18997
✔️ **Stop Loss**: 1.16874
🔔 **Disclaimer**: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
EURUSD on the riseYesterday, EURUSD broke through the 1,1720 resistance level with strong momentum.
This confirms the uptrend and opens up opportunities for buying.
The ECB is set to announce interest rates tomorrow, which could trigger increased market volatility.
Keep an eye out for higher lows and signs of the uptrend continuing.
Key resistance for EURUSDYesterday, EURUSD moved higher and reached a key resistance level at 1,1720.
Watch closely to see if there’s enough momentum for a breakout and further upside.
If the price gets rejected, we could see a deeper correction.
Increased volatility is likely on Thursday following the ECB decision.
At the current levels, there’s no clear reason to enter a trade.
EURUSD Breaks Bullish Structure – Here’s My Trade Plan📍 Watching EURUSD closely—it's recently broken bullish (market structure) on the daily timeframe 📈.
I’m now waiting for a retrace into a fair value gap, watching for the rebalance and a possible support zone touch before the next leg up 🔄🟢.
🎥 In this idea, I walk you through:
🔍 Price action
🧱 Market structure
📊 Trend direction
📋 And my personal trade plan for this setup
Not financial advice ❌💼
EURUSD Trading Price Channel, SELL Strategy✏️ OANDA:EURUSD H4 Timeframe EURUSD is trading in a bearish channel. This bearish channel may extend to the important support at 1.145. A break of this important support will form a Downtrend. Further upside recovery will remain limited by the channel, with the notable upper boundary at 1.16800.
📉 Key Levels
Sell trigger: rejection from 1.168 with bearish confirmation
Sell DCA: Break 1.155
Target: 1.145
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
EURUSD Is Weaker vs USD. Look For Sells!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of July 21-25th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market:
EURUSD
Expecting the USD to continue to push higher, which would further drag the EURO down. Look to take advantage of this dynamic and wait for sell setups!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
EURUSD Holding Support — Bullish Move in ProgressHello everybody!
There is a strong higher timeframe resistance now acting as support.
Price is respecting this area and starting to form a strong move to the upside.
We are looking to enter a buy position here, as the overall bullish trend is likely to continue.
EURUSD Buy Trade Idea: Reversal Rocket Ready to Launch!Hey Fellow Traders! 👋
The EURUSD (EU) is setting up for a massive reversal that’s got me hyped! 🚀 After nailing the lows of that descending channel like a pro, price has retraced to our expected zone and is now bouncing hard. It’s time to gear up for a potential buy trade targeting the Buyside Liquidity! Let’s break down this fire setup and get ready to ride the wave! 🌊
📈 The Setup: Reversal in the Making!
EU hit the descending channel lows as predicted, and now it’s showing some serious bullish vibes with a strong bounce off a key weekly trendline support. This isn’t just a random move—price is reacting to a weekly demand zone and a trendline that’s holding like a fortress. 🏰 I’m expecting a reversal to kick in, aiming for that juicy Buyside Liquidity up top. But hold up—don’t just dive in blindly! Let’s talk strategy. 😎
🎯 Trade Details: How to Play It Smart
Entry Zone: Look for a calculated entry in this bounce area. Key setups to watch for:
FVG (Fair Value Gap) or IFVG (Imbalance Fair Value Gap) for precision entries.
Order Blocks (OB) for high-probability setups.
Trendlines/Support Zones: Use these for confluence, as EU is respecting that weekly trendline support.
Target: We’re gunning for the Buyside Liquidity—a high-probability target where price loves to gravitate.
Stop Loss: Place your stops below the recent lows or your chosen setup (FVG/OB) to keep risk tight.
👀 Keep an Eye on DXY for Confluence
The Dollar Index (DXY) is a key player here. A weakening DXY could supercharge this EU reversal, so monitor it closely for extra confirmation. If DXY starts to roll over, it’s like pouring rocket fuel on this trade! 🚀
🧠 Why This Reversal Makes Sense
Weekly Trendline Support: Price kissed this level and is bouncing like it means business.
Weekly Demand Zone: This area has historical strength, making it a prime reversal spot.
Channel Lows Conquered: EU smashed through the descending channel lows and is now retracing for the next leg up.
⚠️ Risk Management Reminder
Don’t YOLO this one! Use proper risk management—calculate your position size, set tight stops, and only enter when your setup aligns. Whether you’re using FVGs, OBs, trendlines, or classic support/resistance, make sure your entry is calculated to avoid getting caught in a fakeout. 💪
💬 Let’s Talk Trades!
What’s your take on this EU reversal? Are you jumping in with an FVG, OB, or something else? Drop your thoughts, setups, or questions in the comments below! 👇 If this idea gets you pumped, smash that LIKE button ❤️, follow for more banger trade ideas, and share your charts with the community! Let’s keep the vibes high and the profits higher! 💰
#EURUSD #ForexTrading #BuyTrade #Reversal #TradingView