EUR/USD Rallies on Broad Dollar WeaknessEUR/USD Rallies on Broad Dollar Weakness
EUR/USD started a fresh increase above the 1.1750 resistance.
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today
- The Euro started a decent increase from the 1.1600 zone against the US Dollar.
- There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support near 1.1770 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 1.1600 zone. The Euro cleared the 1.1650 resistance to move into a bullish zone against the US Dollar.
The bulls pushed the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.1750. Finally, the pair tested the 1.1830 resistance. A high was formed near 1.1829 and the pair is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 1.1590 swing low to the 1.1830 high.
Immediate support on the downside is near a connecting bullish trend line at 1.1770. The next major support is the 1.1710 level. A downside break below the 1.1710 support could send the pair toward the 1.1680 level and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 1.1590 swing low to the 1.1830 high.
Any more losses might send the pair into a bearish zone toward 1.1645. Immediate resistance on the EUR/USD chart is near the 1.1830 zone. The first major resistance is near the 1.1850 level. An upside break above the 1.1850 level might send the pair toward the 1.1920 resistance.
The next major resistance is near the 1.1950 level. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 1.2000 level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Eurusdtradeidea
EURUSD before the NFPEURUSD remains in an uptrend, holding steady around the 1,1800 level.
Today, the U.S. Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data will be released.
The news is scheduled for 1:30 PM London time and tends to have a significant market impact.
It's advisable to reduce risk on all open positions and avoid rushing into new trades.
Keep an eye on how the price reacts around key levels and whether it has the strength to continue the trend.
EUR/USD Analysis: Rally May Be Under ThreatEUR/USD Analysis: Rally May Be Under Threat
The euro has appreciated by approximately 15% against the US dollar this year, as confidence in the United States continues to wane. As ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane noted in an interview at CNBC: “There is a degree of reorientation by global investors towards the euro.”
At the same time, officials at the European Central Bank have expressed concern that the rapid strengthening of the euro could undermine efforts to stabilise inflation at 2%. They warn that a move above $1.20 may pose risks for inflation and the competitiveness of export-oriented firms — an issue raised during the ECB’s ongoing ECB Forum on Central Banking in Portugal.
Could EUR/USD Reach the $1.20 Level?
From a technical analysis perspective, EUR/USD is showing bearish signals:
→ If the early April rally (coinciding with Trump’s announcement of new tariffs) is taken as the initial impulse wave A→B, and the May low is interpreted as the end of the B→C corrective move, then, according to Fibonacci Extensions, the pair has now risen to a key resistance zone around 1.1850 (as indicated by the arrow on the chart).
→ In addition, the RSI indicator signals strong overbought conditions, while the price is hovering near the upper boundary of the ascending channel — a level that typically acts as resistance.
Given these factors, we could assume that EUR/USD may be in a vulnerable position, potentially facing a short-term correction — possibly towards the lower boundary of the channel, reinforced by support at the 1.1620 level. However, this does not negate the longer-term bullish outlook for the euro amid prevailing fundamental conditions.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Be careful with EURUSDEURUSD is holding its bullish trend and hovering around 1,1800.
Tomorrow, U.S. employment data is due.
It will be released on Thursday instead of Friday, as Friday is a holiday.
At the current levels, there’s no favorable risk-reward for new entries.
Watch for a pullback and wait for the right moment.
New rise in EURUSDYesterday, EURUSD continued its bullish movement, reaching 1,1807.
At current levels, all open buy positions should have their risk removed (e.g. stop loss at breakeven).
New buy entries are recommended only after a pullback with a favorable risk-reward setup.
Important news is expected later this week, which may lead to misleading price moves.
Reduce your risk and stay patient!
EUR/USD Extends Rally – Watching Resistance at 1.18000Hi Everyone,
We anticipated a retest of the 1.17400 level coming into this week, setting the stage for further upside toward our highlighted targets at 1.17600 and 1.18000. Monday delivered, with a sharp move higher that saw EUR/USD break cleanly above 1.17400 and extend to 1.17600, bringing the 1.18000 level into focus.
As previously noted, we expect dynamic resistance around the 1.18000 area and will provide further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD should price test or breach this level.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend towards the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649.
We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
EURUSD pullbackEURUSD remains above 1,1700 on the final day of the quarter.
This week, all eyes are on the upcoming U.S. jobs data, set to be released on Thursday due to the market holiday on Friday.
Watch for a potential pullback, which could offer a new buying opportunity.
Key support levels are at 1,1635 and 1,1562.
The goal: continuation of the trend and a new high.
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#EURUSD: +770 Pips Swing Move, DXY to Plumment! EURUSD is extremely bullish and is on track to cross the 1.21 area in our long-term swing plan. Based on recent price action, we have set two targets. As DXY continues to drop, the price is likely to remain bullish in the coming days or weeks. Please use accurate risk management while trading and consider this analysis.
Good luck and trade safely!
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Team Setupsfx_
#EURUSD:Expecting A Strong Bull Move, Two Entries | Two TargetsIn our previous analysis, we clearly stated that the price would remain bullish as the DXY had to plummet, and it did exactly that, rising by 450 pips from our last entry. Currently, we have two areas from which we can see the price reversing. The first one is nearby and has a higher risk compared to our second entry, which may be safer for some traders. We need a strong confirmation before making any significant decisions.
Good luck and trade safely. We wish you the best in your trading journey.
Team Setupsfx_
EURUSD heads towards resistance, short-term reversal expectedEURUSD has been in a strong uptrend, and we’re currently observing price action is reaching a notable resistance zone. I am watching for a reversal here as marked on my chart, not expecting a major move, but rather a short-term rejection with a downside target at around 1.13670 , which also aligns with the POC.
This is where it can become a decision point, either price finds support and bounces, or it breaks below, and that’s when we might see the move start to extend lower.
If we get a decisive breakdown through that ascending trendline, my next area of interest is marked as TP2. From there we can expect either potential accumulation or another reaction, depending on broader market sentiment at the time.
That said, we're navigating a complex backdrop currently:
The EU macro environment is under pressure, as weak economic data from Europe is contributing to cautious sentiment around the euro.
Meanwhile, a sustained USD bid continues, supported by stronger U.S. growth expectations, favorable yields, and persistent global demand. This further weighs on EURUSD.
Adding to the uncertainty, escalating tensions between Israel and Iran have rattled markets this week. This geopolitical risk could be pushing oil prices higher:
It’s important to note that if price convincingly rejects here and loses structure, especially with high volume and obvious bullish structure, this setup would become invalid. In that case, I would reassess and adapt
EUR/USD Holds Above Support – Watching 1.17400 and BeyondHi Everyone,
As highlighted, a successful bounce from the near-term support at 1.16680 provided a retest of the 1.17400 zone. Looking ahead, we expect price action to revisit this level in the coming week.
A confirmed break above this resistance could open the path toward 1.18000, where we anticipate encountering dynamic resistance.
As outlined in our analysis last week, we anticipated a continued move higher toward the 1.16564 and 1.18325 levels, provided price held above 1.14483.
Price respected this level, and EUR/USD extended its rally, reaching our first key target at 1.16564 and pushing above 1.17400 — marking the highest level since February 2022.
We will provide further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD should price reach this level.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend toward the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649.
We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
EUR/USD Rally Continues – 1.18000 in SightHi Everyone,
As outlined in our analysis last week, we anticipated a continued move higher toward the 1.16564 and 1.18325 levels, provided price held above 1.14483.
Price respected this level, and EUR/USD extended its rally, reaching our first key target at 1.16564 and pushing above 1.17400 — marking the highest level since February 2022.
A successful bounce from above 1.16680 or slightly lower at 1.15998 would offer near-term support for a potential retest of the 1.17400 zone. A confirmed break above this resistance could pave the way for a move toward 1.18000, where we anticipate encountering dynamic resistance.
We will provide further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD should price reach this level.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend toward the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649.
We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
Overextended Rally into Resistance ZoneEUR/USD has pushed into the upper boundary of the Keltner Channel on the 4H timeframe, indicating a potential exhaustion of bullish momentum. Price is showing signs of overextension with Heikin Ashi candles losing strength near a key resistance zone.
📉 Short Position Setup:
Entry: 1.17220 (near upper Keltner resistance)
SL: 1.17581 (above recent highs and volatility buffer)
TP: 1.15220 (targeting mid-channel and previous structure support)
🔻 Bearish Confluence:
Price rejecting upper Keltner band
Potential for mean reversion after strong rally
Weakening bullish momentum in candle structure
Confirmation with further bearish price action or divergence signals would strengthen the case for downside continuation.
Shorting Optimism: EUR/USD Rally vs RealityAfter the spike to 1.1640 driven by temporary ceasefire news and USD weakness, I’ve taken a short position on EUR/USD. The market priced in too much optimism too fast, and I see limited upside beyond this zone in the current macro landscape. I’m positioned for a controlled retracement back toward the 1.1460–1.1520 region.
The play? Fade the overextension, follow structure, and manage from strength.
Technicals:
• The pair ran into a strong supply zone near 1.1640, which aligns with a previous liquidity sweep.
• Momentum has slowed visibly on lower timeframes, with candles rejecting highs and wicks printing upper tails.
• Daily and 4H SMAs are overstretched. The 20 SMA on H4 is accelerating upward, but RSI is near overbought and flattening.
• My short entry was taken with a stop above 1.1745 and first target at 1.1540, second at 1.1500.
• A potential retest of the 1.1660 zone could offer additional entries if invalidation remains intact.
Fundamentals:
• ECB vs Fed Divergence: The Fed holds firm on rates amid sticky inflation, while the ECB is under pressure to ease further due to weak growth.
• EU Struggles: PMI data remains in contraction territory; HICP cooling to 1.7% YoY suggests little reason for tightening.
• Political Instability: Germany and France both facing internal political crises — risk premia rising.
• Ceasefire Priced In: EUR rally on Middle East headlines lacks depth — conflict paused, not resolved.
• USD Resilience: Weak recent data aside, the USD remains a safe haven. Fed’s Powell reiterated that cuts aren’t imminent.
⚠️ Bias: Bearish as long as price trades below 1.1640. Watching how the market reacts to Fed testimony and ECB rhetoric this week.
🧠 Reminder: Don’t get emotional after vertical rallies. When everyone gets excited, I look for exhaustion. That’s where trades begin.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
EURUSD Trade Plan: Retracement Into Key Fibo Zone POI.I’m currently watching EURUSD closely 👀. On the daily timeframe, it’s clearly broken structure and is now in a bullish trend 📈. Dropping down to the lower timeframes 🕒, price appears overextended and is now trading into a previous resistance level 🚧.
I’m anticipating a retracement into equilibrium — specifically the 50% level of the current swing, and ideally into the 50–61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone 🔁. If price pulls back into that range, I’ll be watching for a bullish market structure shift 🔄. I don’t want to see it push below the bullish imbalance 📉—I want that zone to hold as support so price can continue north 🔼.
If this plays out, my ideal entry would be around the imbalance and the 50% Fib level, with a stop loss just below the imbalance, and targets set at the current swing high and previous swing high, as detailed in the video 🎯.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is not financial advice. Trading involves risk and you should only trade with capital you can afford to lose. Please do your own analysis or consult a licensed financial advisor.
EURUSD Breaks Structure: Bullish Continuation Opportunity💶 EUR/USD Analysis – Bullish Momentum Builds 📈
Taking a look at the EUR/USD on the daily chart, it’s clear the pair is currently in a strong bullish trend 🚀. Momentum has been building consistently, reflecting underlying euro strength and continued USD weakness.
🕓 On the 4H timeframe, we’ve now seen a clear shift in market structure to the upside, confirming bullish intent. Look for a continuation entry after a retracement back into equilibrium — ideally around the 50% level of the current price swing 🔄📐.
🎯 Trade Plan Idea:
Wait for price to pull back into equilibrium 🌀
Entry: Long from the discounted zone 🟩
Stop loss: Just below the recent swing low 🔻
Target: Previous high as a logical take-profit zone 🎯📊
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This content is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📚💼