Eurusdtradeidea
EURUSD Bullish divergence and OversoldEURUSD trades above Tenken-sen (1.09019) and below Kijun-Sen (1.09638).
Technical-
Any breach below 1.1080 confirms intraday bearishness. A dip to 1.0720/1.060 is possible.
The immediate resistance to be watched is 1.09225 (Kumo cloud); any close above will take the pair to 1.09680/1.1150/1.1180.
Indicators 41-hour)
Directional movement index –Bearish
CCI (50) – Bearish
EURUSD top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EUR USD 100 pips short position By looking for the looming news, at this point, speculative interest has priced in that the US Federal Reserve will likely announce a doubling of its bond-buying program tapering. The Fed decided in November that the economy was strong enough to trim financial support, particularly as inflationary pressures remain high. The central bank announced it would reduce the pace by $15 billion a month, $10 billion in Treasuries, and $5 billion in mortgage-backed securities.
On the other hand, the European Central Bank has maintained a wait-and-see stance, with President Christine Lagarde noting that a rate hike would be unlikely in 2022.
I expect to see the price continuing to fall for the month of December,
we can sell EURUSD now
EUR-USD position
1.12877- 1.12915 sell order
Targeting 100 pips
1.11960 - 1.12000
-------------
1.13380 - 1.13400 sell limit just in case the pairs made some reversal moves in the coming news
EUR/USD Technical and Fundamental Analysis: It's all about ECB..Fundamental View
This week has scheduled to see three central banks (Australian Reserve - European Central Bank - Bank of England) publish their monetary policy, regarded as literally a game-changer for the global economy. In addition to the January US NFP statistics, the first week of February begins tomorrow, Tuesday.
Last week's Federal Reserve Bank of the United States provided a map and some scattered statistics, but FED didn't make any public pronouncements.
However, although keeping its monetary policy unaltered at its January meeting, the US Federal Reserve turned out to be more hawkish than the market expected. As a result, there has been no change in monetary policy (why has the dollar increased).
Last Friday, the US dollar's general index closed at 97.20 levels but tested 97.43, its highest level since June of last year, and it is currently trading at 97.00 levels on Monday when I am writing this analysis, the start of the week.
The European Central Bank and its president, Christine Lagarde, will meet Thursday to discuss monetary policy, in contrast to other central banks that have met in the past.
There is no urgent need to change the direction of monetary policy at the European Central Bank, as Lagarde has repeatedly stated that she does not expect a hike in interest rates until at least the first half of 2023 despite rising inflation in the euro region.
According to preliminary estimates, inflation in the eurozone fell to 4.4% in January from 5%. In addition, the core index fell from 2.6% to 1.8%. These numbers are scheduled to be released one session before the meeting in the European session on Wednesday.
This week, the euro will suffer the most against the dollar and the pound sterling due to the widening gap between the ECB and the rest of the world's central banks.
EUR/USD Technical View
EUR/USD is below its previous support level of the 1.1200 price zone. And from the present rate, minor trend line resistance is at 1.1200/1.1230 price zone.
Suppose ECB is unable to deliver any optimistic or hawkish statement. In that case, it will be a common scenario that EUR/USD will drop again, testing its minor trendline resistance zone of 1.1200/1.1230 price zone.
Strong trendline support is at the 1.1050/1.1000 price zone from the present scenario. And strong trendline resistance is at 1.1350/1.1400 price zone.
It is challenging for EUR/USD to test again 1.1350/1.1400 in the current circumstance. If so, technically, it will be an excellent chance to sell EUR/USD from the strong trendline resistance zone of 1.1350/1.1400 price zone.
But if the ECB doesn't convince the optimistic statement as expected, EUR/USD may break below its strong trendline support of 1.1050.1.1000 price zone.
Though I am not expecting it will be accessible to break below the 1.1050/1.1000 price zone without some correction to the upside.
But, if ECB delivers a too dovish statement, EUR/USD will drop below the 1.1050/1.1000 price zone and test the 1.0850/1.0800 price zone in February.
Note: Both technically and fundamentally, EUR is under pressure, there is no doubt. But monetary policy is always a game-changing fact in the forex market. So unless ECB tries to convince investors, EUR/USD is not too far to test 1.1050 this week.
Caution: This is not financial advice or signals. This is just my personal view and education purpose only. I am not responsible to follow me blindly.
If you love this analysis, please like, comments and share.
EUR/USD breaks above trendline resistance, Buy opportunity?
After ten months of declining, at last, EUR/USD breaks above the trendline resistance.
After breaking above 1.1425, it confirms breaking out the downtrend. The last time EUR/USD attempted to break the trendline resistance, it failed. Instead, it created triple top resistance at 1.1380/1.1400 price. Now the triple becomes strong support.
Though fundamentally EUR is also under pressure for various reasons, technically, it started its uptrend. As EUR is fundamentally under pressure, I have little doubt whether EUR/USD will continue its uptrend.
This is true, and we can't ignore fundamental and technical both. However, the market and investors respect both analyses. As EUR/USD breaks and is stable above the long-term trendline resistance, it has created some room to go upside.
Our first target is 1.1530, and the final target to the upside is the 1.1670 price zone, and the stop-out should be below the 1.1260 area.
EURUSD in possible sell zone!!Hello Traders, EURUSD is in a possible sell area as it is approaching weekly resistance with a big ATR, it is likely to bounce from weekly resistance and likely to continue towards the direction of a global downtrend.
A sell entry could be justified.
Smash like button if you enjoy this idea.
EURUSD where to sell ?Hi Guys, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis video. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover my next analysis.
Also let me know your thought in the comment section what you think about this pair.