Eurusdtradeidea
EUR/USD Continued strength or FOMC Fallout?In this analysis I go over the EUR/USD and it's potential for further gains or a weakening bull and drop.
I expect a volatile week considering it's FOMC on Wednesday and ECB speaking on Friday.
Additionally, I share my outlook on ETF's I'm involved in. Currently in QQQE Put Option and closed my TQQQ Put for 30% gains last week.
As always, Good Luck and Trade Safe.
EURUSD analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market Bank Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 4H timeframe (1.04000) swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
Primary Target - 1.06700 (or) Escape Before the Target
Secondary Target - 1.08000 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook:
EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.
⭐🌟⭐Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis evaluates the economic indicators of the Eurozone and the United States, which directly influence the EUR/USD pair.
🌟Eurozone Economic Indicators:
GDP growth is reported at 0.5% for Q4 2024, with recent data suggesting an expected increase to 0.8% for Q1 2025, indicating a potential recovery Euro Area Indicators.
Inflation rate is at 3.0% for February 2025, expected to decrease to 2.2% by year-end, reflecting easing price pressures Euro Area Inflation Rate.
Interest rates are at 2.5%, with the European Central Bank (ECB) likely to hold steady, given mixed inflation signals Euro Area Interest Rate.
Trade balance shows a surplus of €10 billion in January 2025, driven by exports, though not sufficient to offset economic challenges Euro Area Balance of Trade.
🌟United States Economic Indicators:
GDP growth is strong at 2.5% for Q4 2024, though recent projections suggest a slowdown to 2.0% for Q1 2025 United States Indicators.
Inflation is stable at 2.0% for February 2025, within target ranges, but recent data shows slight upward pressure United States Inflation Rate.
Interest rates are at 4.5%, with expectations of a 0.25% rate cut in September 2025, reflecting a dovish shift United States Interest Rate.
Trade balance shows a deficit of $50 billion in January 2025, a persistent challenge but manageable with strong economic growth United States Balance of Trade.
The narrowing interest rate differential, with potential Fed rate cuts and stable ECB policy, could support EUR strength, though US economic resilience remains a counterforce.
⭐🌟⭐Macroeconomics
Macroeconomics encompasses broader economic factors influencing the pair:
Global GDP growth is projected at 3.0% for 2025, according to recent forecasts, with mixed regional performances World Economic Outlook.
Commodity prices are stable, with oil at $80 per barrel, impacting EUR due to the Eurozone's energy import reliance Commodity Markets Outlook.
Stock markets show positive performance, with the S&P 500 up 5% YTD and Euro Stoxx 50 up 3% YTD, supporting risk-sensitive currencies like the EUR Global Stock Market Performance.
Bond yields are declining, with the US 10-year yield at 3.5%, down from 4.0% earlier, suggesting lower USD appeal Global Economic Outlook.
⭐🌟⭐Global Market Analysis
Global economic conditions play a significant role in currency movements:
Geopolitical events, such as potential tensions, could boost USD as a safe-haven currency, though no major events are currently noted.
Central bank policies are diverging, with the Fed expected to cut rates and the ECB holding steady, narrowing the interest rate differential Central Bank Policies.
Commodity trends, with stable oil prices, have a muted direct impact, though energy costs affect Eurozone inflation.
Stock market performance, with global indices up, suggests risk-on sentiment, potentially supporting EUR over USD Market Performance Analysis.
⭐🌟⭐COT Data and Positioning
COT data provides insights into large trader positions, with recent reports showing:
For euro futures, large speculators are net short, but recent data indicates a reduction in short positions, suggesting emerging bullish sentiment CFTC COT Report.
Positioning shows that institutional traders are cautiously optimistic, with some covering shorts as the price approaches support levels.
Key Insight: Reducing short positions in euro futures align with potential bullish momentum, supporting an upward move.
⭐🌟⭐Intermarket Analysis
Intermarket relationships influence currency valuation:
EUR/USD is positively correlated with stock markets; with global indices performing well, the EUR could benefit from risk-on sentiment Intermarket Correlations.
Gold, trading at $1900 per ounce, slightly up, suggests a weaker USD, supporting EUR strength Gold Price Trends.
Bond yields, with declining US yields, indicate lower USD appeal, potentially boosting EUR/USD Bond Market Insights.
Key Insight: Positive correlations with stocks and gold suggest EUR could strengthen, while declining US yields support this trend.
⭐🌟⭐Quantitative Analysis
Technical analysis provides insights into price trends:
At 1.05000, EUR/USD is approaching key support at 1.0450, with resistance at 1.0600, based on recent charts EUR/USD Technical Analysis.
Moving averages show the 50-day MA at 1.0550 and the 200-day MA at 1.0700, with the price below both, indicating a downtrend TradingView Analysis.
RSI (Relative Strength Index) is at 45, neutral, suggesting potential for a bounce if support holds Technical Indicators Guide.
Key Insight: The pair is at a crucial support level, with technicals suggesting a possible upward reversal.
⭐🌟⭐Market Sentimental Analysis
Market sentiment reflects trader positioning and expectations:
Recent data shows mixed sentiment, with some traders expecting USD strength to continue, while others see potential for EUR recovery due to improving fundamentals Forex Sentiment EURUSD.
Bank forecasts predict EUR/USD rising to 1.08 by year-end, citing Eurozone recovery and expected Fed rate cuts Currency Forecasts.
Key Insight: Emerging optimism about the euro supports a bullish outlook, though caution remains due to recent USD strength.
⭐🌟⭐Next Trend Move
Combining all factors, the next trend move for EUR/USD is likely upward:
The pair is at a key support level (1.0450), and if it holds, could bounce back to test resistance at 1.0800.
Potential catalysts include better-than-expected Eurozone data and Fed rate cut expectations, supporting EUR strength.
Key Insight: The next move favors an upward continuation, with risks of further downside if support breaks.
⭐🌟⭐Overall Summary Outlook
The EUR/USD pair, at 1.05000 on March 4, 2025, exhibits a cautiously bullish outlook. Key drivers include improving Eurozone fundamentals, with GDP growth expected to rise to 0.8% in Q1 2025 and declining inflation, narrowing the interest rate differential as the Fed is expected to cut rates by 0.25% in September 2025. Technical indicators suggest the pair is at a crucial support level, with potential for a bounce, supported by reducing short positions in euro futures and positive intermarket correlations with stocks and gold. Risks include persistent USD strength if US data remains robust or global risk-off sentiment boosts the USD. However, the prevailing trend points to a potential EUR appreciation in the near term.
⭐🌟⭐Future Prediction
Trend: Bullish
Details: The pair is likely to see an upward move, testing resistance at 1.0800 in the near term, driven by Eurozone recovery and expected Fed rate cuts. Risks include stronger-than-expected US data maintaining USD dominance, but current indicators suggest a reversal is imminent.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
EUR/USD "The Dollar Crusher" Forex Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱👤
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the EUR/USD "The Dollar Crusher" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (1.04500) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise placing Buy Stop Orders above the breakout MA or Place Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 1.03500(swing Trade) Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 1.07000 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
EUR/USD "The Dollar Crusher" Forex Market market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.
🔴Fundamental Analysis
- The Eurozone's economic growth is expected to slow down, while the US economy is expected to grow at a moderate pace.
- The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to keep interest rates steady, while the Federal Reserve is expected to maintain its accommodative monetary policy.
🟤Macro Analysis
- The Eurozone's inflation rate is expected to remain low, while the US inflation rate is expected to remain above the Federal Reserve's target.
- The Eurozone's trade balance is expected to remain in surplus, while the US trade balance is expected to remain in deficit.
🟠Sentimental Analysis
- Institutional investors have a bullish sentiment towards the EUR/USD pair, with 55% of investors being bullish.
- Hedge funds have increased their long positions in the EUR/USD pair, with a net long exposure of 12%.
🟣COT Analysis
- The Commitments of Traders (COT) report shows that commercial traders have increased their long positions in the EUR/USD pair, with a net long exposure of 10%.
- Non-commercial traders have also increased their long positions, with a net long exposure of 15%.
🟡Trader Sentiment
- Retail traders have a bullish sentiment towards the EUR/USD pair, with 52% of traders being bullish.
- Commercial banks have increased their EUR/USD holdings, with a growth rate of 5%.
🔵Bullish and Bearish Data:
- Bullish Sentiment: Institutional investors have a bullish sentiment towards the EUR/USD pair, with 55% being bullish. Hedge funds have increased their long positions, with a net long exposure of 12%
- Bearish Sentiment: Asset managers are trimming their long exposure, and gross shorts are trending higher for large specs and asset managers since Q4
🟢Based on this analysis, the EUR/USD pair is expected to move in a bullish trend, with a 55% chance of an uptrend and a 35% chance of a downtrend. However, please note that market predictions can be unpredictable and influenced by various factors
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
EURUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EURUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EurUsd ShortEUR/USD Short Idea
The EUR/USD pair is approaching the 1.09700--1.09940--1.10204 resistance level, which aligns with a significant supply zone and a potential area for bearish reversal.
Key Analysis:
Resistance Zone:
The 1.09700--1.09940--1.10204 levels marks a critical resistance where selling pressure has previously emerged.
Technical Indicators:
RSI is approaching overbought conditions, indicating limited upside potential.
Bearish divergence may form if momentum weakens near this level.
Fundamental Context:
A stronger USD due to hawkish Fed sentiment or economic data could pressure EUR/USD downward.
Eurozone economic uncertainties may add to bearish bias.
Entry: Short positions around 1.09700--1.09940--1.10204
This setup offers a favorable risk-reward opportunity in a high-probability reversal zone.
EUR/USD at Key Resistance: Is a Major Retrace Coming? 💹📉
In this video, we dive deep into the EUR/USD currency pair and analyze the current market conditions. 📊 At the moment, the pair is overextended and trading into a critical weekly resistance level. 🚨 There's a high probability that the buy orders driving the price higher will interact with the buy stops resting at this zone, potentially triggering a significant retracement. 🔄 Join me as we break down the trend, price action, and market structure, and explore a potential trade idea based on these insights. 🧠💡 Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting out, this analysis will give you valuable perspectives on how to approach key levels in the market. ⚠️ This is not financial advice—always trade responsibly! ⚠️
Don't forget to like, comment, and subscribe for more market insights! 👍📈✨
Are EUR/USD Bulls burnt out yet?...After last week’s monstrous bull move on the EUR/USD, I had short positions at 1.0740 and 1.0795 which I ended up closing because I wanted to wait and see how much momentum this thing had.
I got back in short at an average price of 1.0827 with a modest target at 1.0600. Although it looks like bullish momentum is stalling, I remain cautious.
Resistance at the upper trend-line and Fibonacci (Tesla Number 63.69%) looks to be setting a ceiling so hopefully we begin retracing.
Trading convincingly above 1.0900 would invalidate this EUR/USD trade.
Also, the stock market is currently getting hammered so my put options on TQQQ are looking good thus far as well.
For more in depth analysis on the current positions, refer to my previous video posted.
We’ll see how this one progresses.
Good Luck and Trade Safe.
FX Pre Market Analysis - Is the EUR/USD explosion slowing down?In this week's pre market analysis video, I go over the completed EUR/USD trade and what I'm looking for moving forward. The EUR/USD had an explosive bullish move last week however, there could be indications of momentum slow down.
Currently holding short at 1.0815 and would like to see us stay below 1.0900 - 1.9500 max for a pullback towards 1.06000.
The long term perspective could indicate a pullback out of a large triangle formation, followed by equal or new lows below 1.0000.
Good Luck and Trade Safe.
EUR/USD Ready to DROP? | Monthly FVG Sell Zone in Focus! 💰 Smart Money Preparing for a Bearish Move on EUR/USD!
The EUR/USD is reacting from a key Monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG) and is currently in a Monthly Corrective Phase (CRT). This signals that institutions might be positioning for a larger bearish move.
EUR/USD – Bullish Outlook for Next Week🔹 Higher Timeframe Structure:
The daily timeframe structure remains bullish, with clear signs of institutional order flow supporting further upside. Last week's price action confirmed a shift in momentum, respecting key bullish levels.
🔹 Key Technical Levels:
✅ Daily FVG (Fair Value Gap) Support: Acting as a strong demand zone, buyers are expected to step in from this area.
✅ Next Bullish Target: 1.06600 – This level aligns with previous liquidity pools and imbalance fill zones.
✅ Market Structure: Higher highs (HH) & higher lows (HL) indicate continued bullish pressure.
🔹 Institutional Confluence:
🔸 Liquidity has been built below recent lows, creating a potential liquidity grab before a strong bullish expansion.
🔸 SMC Concepts: Price is trading within an unmitigated Order Block (OB), adding confirmation for a bullish reaction.
🔸 Volume Profile: Increasing institutional volume suggests accumulation in the current zone.
📌 Plan for Next Week:
As long as price holds within the Daily FVG, we anticipate bullish continuation towards 1.06600. If we get confirmation from the lower timeframes (H4/M15), we will look for long entries with high R:R setups.
💡 Follow for more high-accuracy analysis & real-time trade updates! 🚀
#EURUSD #Forex #SmartMoney #ICT #SMC #Liquidity #ForexTrading
EUR/USD: Breakdown Amidst Euro Surge on German Fiscal StimulusThe EUR/USD currency pair has recently experienced significant movements influenced by both technical patterns and fundamental developments.
Technical Analysis:
The EUR/USD pair has been trading within a well-defined ascending channel, characterized by higher highs and higher lows. However, recent price action indicates a breach below the channel’s lower boundary, suggesting potential bearish momentum. This breakdown could signal a trend reversal or a corrective phase, with the next support level identified around 1.06339. Traders should monitor this level closely, as a sustained move below it may confirm further downside potential.
Fundamental Analysis:
The euro has surged, marking its most substantial weekly gain against the dollar since 2009. This appreciation is largely attributed to Germany’s announcement of a historic fiscal stimulus package aimed at bolstering the Eurozone’s economic recovery. In contrast, the U.S. dollar has weakened due to escalating trade tensions and concerns over the economic implications of aggressive trade policies under President Trump. Investors are increasingly favoring the euro, reflecting optimism about the Eurozone’s growth prospects compared to the uncertain U.S. economic outlook.
EURUSD - FOMC Prep - These 2 scenarios to anticipateMarket is overall uptrend after previous low showed the reversal point to head higher.
Bias is for the Buy
However, FOMC can produce volatility so we can have spikes in both direction.
There's a Sell scenario off an H4 gap.
But the preferred idea is to head lower, getting a better price on the HTF, then continue to the Equal Highs / Double top, taking out the liquidity target eventually.
Be aware, if it's not clear this week, we may have a clearer picture on next week's news and the move could also happen then if there's a delay/ranging market.
The D1 timeframe usually provides the smoother outlook. I mostly base my ideas on that.
Leave your comments below if you have any questions. Thanks
EURUSD: Last idea hit 286+ pips, now sell for sometime? Price is approaching a key selling zone where we expect price to reverse and make a small or major correction in price. This can be a good entry for intraday traders who are looking for a sell entry. Wait for price to show bearish sign before entering. Good luck and trade safe.
Show some support by liking and commenting our ideas, if you want regular updates from us then do follow us. Thank you for the love in advance. ❤️
EUR/USD: The Overbought Illusion – A Reality CheckWell, well, well… look who's pumped up like a gym bro on pre-workout. EUR/USD just went full send 🚀, and the RSI is screaming, “Somebody stop me!”
Here’s the thing: when the market runs this hot, it’s usually not long before reality hits harder than a margin call on NFP day. 💀
🔹 RSI? Overbought.
🔹 Momentum? Euphoric.
🔹 Smart money? Probably sharpening their shorts.
Let me guess, retail traders are FOMO-ing into longs at the top, dreaming of 1.10 while the big boys are quietly setting up their bear traps 🐻. Seen this movie before. Spoiler alert: it doesn’t end well for the moon boys. 🌕➡️🌎
Medium term? This thing looks ready to roll over harder than a leveraged trader’s account in a flash crash. Watch for a nasty pullback once liquidity dries up and the buyers realize they’re partying at the wrong house. 🎉➡️🚪
Might want to secure those profits before the EUR/USD hype train derails. Don’t say I didn’t warn ya. 😏
EUR/USD 1.0600 target hit and cleared. Possible Danger Ahead...Mid week update on the EUR/USD trade: The target has been hit out of the descending broadening pattern and a 343 pip gain at 1.06220 has been locked in.
The EUR/USD made a very strong bullish move today which enabled an exit in the trade however, I am now keeping a very close eye on the possible bearish opportunity coming up if price begins trading around 1.07000 at that upper trend-line.
Both the MACD and the RSI are displaying a continuation divergence (otherwise known as a "Hidden" divergence") and that could spell very bad news for the bulls.
I have done some analysis on the weekly and monthly chart and it further gives me a reason that the bears could be lurking around the corner. I will include that analysis in my next weekly pre market preview video.
For the previous analysis on the EUR/USD and Stock Market down move, refer to my previous video posted.
Update you all soon.
Good Luck & Trade Safe.
EURUSD Will Keep Growing!
HI,Traders !
EURUSD broke the key
Horizontal level of 1.05153
While trading in an uptrend
And the breakout is confirmed
So we are bullish biased and
After a potential correction
And a retest of the new support
We will be expecting a
Further bullish move up !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
Will the EUR/USD recover? - Is the Stock Market on the verge...In this market preview, I go over the EUR/USD, GBP/USD & USD/JPY with the primary focus on the EUR/USD. Will it recover or give out and test lower lows...
Also, ETF's that I am watching and keeping an eye on a potential bearish tone for the stock market.
I also share a small update on Crypto trade MATIC.
As always, good luck and trade safe.
EURUSD Poised for a Pullback—Possible Sell Opportunity Incoming!Watching EURUSD, a potential retrace into the imbalance today and into Monday could present a selling opportunity between Monday and Tuesday. I’ll aim to follow up with a video over the weekend or on Monday. For now, be cautious—avoid selling at this level, as price is trading into a key support zone.