EUR/USD Long to Short idea (1.08500 up to 1.10500)EUR/USD (EU) Analysis – This Week
This week, EUR/USD looks promising, similar to GBP/USD, with multiple key points of interest (POIs) in close proximity.
A clean, unmitigated 2-hour demand zone sits nearby, which could trigger a bullish rally if price reacts from this level. At the same time, price has been bearish over the past few days, forming a valid 9-hour supply zone from the recent downward push. I’ll be watching to see where price slows down and which liquidity level it targets first.
Confluences for EU Buys:
EU has been bullish for weeks, and this move could be a healthy correction before further upside.
The U.S. dollar remains bearish, aligning with this bullish bias.
A clean 2-hour demand zone has formed, which previously caused a break of structure to the upside.
Imbalances and untapped Asia session highs still need to be taken.
Note: If price breaks below this structural low, I will shift my focus toward sell opportunities. However, if that happens, we’ll know exactly where the ideal entry points for shorts will be.
Eurusdtradeidea
EUR USD Weekly Timeframe Outlook EUR USD Trade Setup weekly timeframe
On the weekly timeframe EUR USD has tapped on a strong supply level.
this level has also acted as a strong resistance level in the past.
So we will be looking for selling opportunities from the lower timeframe.
Patterns to watch out for.
1. Double Top
2. Head and shoulders pattern
3. Bearish break and retest + it must align with the 0.50 - 0.618 Fib Retracement level for stronger confirmation.
4. Lower timeframe supply levels.
Check next post to see the pattern i found.
EUR/USD Ready to Soar? Bullish Setup Unfolding!Hi traders! Analyzing EUR/USD on the 1H timeframe, spotting a potential entry:
🔹 Entry: 1.0831 USD
🔹 TP: 1.0983 USD
🔹 SL: 1.0672 USD
EUR/USD is respecting a key trendline support, suggesting a potential bullish continuation. RSI is holding above 60, and MACD shows signs of bullish momentum. If the price remains above the support line, we could see a push toward 1.0983 USD. Keep an eye on price action!
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Trade responsibly.
#EURUSD: Two Opportunities In One Chart, What do you see? Price has shown bullish behaviour exhaustion, and it's at a point where we see a total meltdown in prices. This is an excellent scenario for traders who trade on what the chart shows us rather than selling or buying only. We can utilise both these entries when prices do show a strong indication at either of our levels.
If you like our work, then do like and comment on the idea, which will boost us to post more such ideas. ❤️🚀
EURUSD Breakout ?Hi Traders, coming up EURUSD German Prelim CPI may make this pair volatile. As with the increased volatility we could see EURUSD moving back to the upside. Expecting EURUSD to give us significant opportunity with market opens.4H has formed a doji that may give high probability trade setup
EUR/USD Long setup from the 3hr demand zoneSimilar to GBP/USD, I’m looking for long opportunities on EU. My key area of interest is the 3-hour demand zone, where I will wait for price to mitigate and accumulate before entering a position.
Price has also changed character to the upside, further validating this demand zone as a strong point of interest. Additionally, there is a significant amount of liquidity to the upside that needs to be taken.
The next major supply zone I have marked out is the 23-hour supply zone, which is further away. For now, my focus remains on the demand zone—unless price breaks below, creating a new supply level.
Confluences for EU Buys:
- Bullish market structure shift, with a clean demand zone left behind.
- Unmitigated 3-hour demand zone, making it a strong area of interest.
- Liquidity resting above, which price is likely to target.
- DXY has been bearish, aligning with a bullish outlook for EU.
Note: If price breaks structure to the upside without tapping my nearby demand zone, I will either wait for a new demand zone to form or look for a sell-to-buy opportunity from supply.
EURUSD:Analysis of the Profit-making Strategies for Next WeekThe euro against the US dollar once retraced to around 1.0765. Subsequently, it stabilized slightly after the release of the US core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data for February. Since the year-on-year growth rate of this data exceeded expectations, the market's expectation that the Federal Reserve will maintain the current interest rate range of 4.25%-4.50% for a longer time has intensified. Moreover, the United States is set to impose an additional 25% tariff on imported automobiles starting from April 2nd, which adds more uncertainties to the outlook of the euro.
We can focus on the initial resistance level of 1.0850 above. If this level is not breached, one can attempt to short at high levels.
Trading strategy:
Sell@1.0850
TP:1.0750
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EURUSD:Today's trading strategyThe EUR/USD is fluctuating and consolidating around 1.0790, having weakened for six consecutive trading days previously. US President Trump's announcement of imposing a 25% tariff on imported automobiles and their components starting from April 2nd has made the market worried that the economic and trade relations between the US and major economies are facing more uncertainties.
As can be seen from the chart, the EUR/USD has continuously declined. After hitting a low of 1.0732 at the lowest, it stabilized and rebounded. Currently, it is trading within the range of 1.0780-1.0790. If the exchange rate can break through the resistance level of 1.0830 above, it is expected to test the 1.09 mark. If it is blocked and pulls back, one should be vigilant about retesting the support area of 1.0732 again. In the short term, the EUR/USD may continue to have a wide range of fluctuations within the range of 1.0700-1.0830.
Trading strategy:
Sell@1.0830
TP:1.0730
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EURUSD:Beware of the retest of the daily chart resistanceYesterday, the price of EUR/USD generally declined as expected. The intraday price dropped to a minimum of 1.0776, rose to a maximum of 1.0829, and closed at 1.0789.
Currently, the overall EUR/USD remains below the daily chart resistance level of 1.0860. Therefore, for the time being, a bearish stance is still appropriate for the medium-term trend. From the perspective of the four-hour chart, the price is in a fluctuating decline and is supported at the 1.0770 area, while the resistance of the four-hour chart is at the 1.0805 area. For now, it is advisable to be cautious about chasing short positions, and beware of an upward price correction. In terms of price levels, pay attention to the daily chart resistance to observe further performance of downward pressure.
Trading strategy:
Sell@1.0850-1.0860
TP:1.0810-1.0770
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The trend of the EURUSD fluctuates and declines downwardOn Monday, as expected, the EUR/USD pair generally trended downwards. The price dropped to a low of 1.0781 and climbed to a high of 1.0857 on that day, closing at 1.0800.
Looking back at Monday's market performance, the price made a short - term upward correction right after the morning opening. Then, as anticipated, it reached the resistance levels on the four - hour chart and within the daily resistance range before halting its ascent. The price came under renewed pressure and declined during the pre - US session and the US trading session, ultimately closing with a large bearish candlestick on the daily chart.
Currently, on the daily chart, special attention should be paid to the resistance area around 1.0860. As long as the price stays below this level, a downward - pressured trend can be expected for the swing trading. Meanwhile, from the perspective of the four - hour chart in the short term, the area around 1.0770 needs to be closely watched. Once it is broken below, the focus should shift to the area around 1.0720.
Trading strategy:
Sell@1.0820-1.0830
TP:1.0770-1.0720
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EURUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Matador the EUR/USD Bull? - Bears about to jump in?After the previous 3 weeks of bullish havoc, the bears may have finally decided to pump the breaks on EUR/USD buyers.
As price continued to push higher, I held on to short positions that I began building up at 1.0851 & 1.0909 as I wanted to wait and see if the Pivot level R1 area (1.0935) was going to provide the wall to begin declining back down.
Once I saw the lack of advancement, I opened another strong short position at 1.0912 and now sitting at an overall average price of 1.0891.
I like this trade, however I am still staying cautious on that 1.0800 level. I want to see this price point clearly broken and trading below it, otherwise I will keep my stop at a close break-even point for risk protection. Overall, so far so good but we need to break through 1.0800.
From a purely technical analysis point of view, I see a small scale rising broadening pattern and this usually indicates a drop to the starting point of the pattern will take place however, If we drop aggressively, I may eye that 1.0600 level again which will lock in almost 300 pips but as I just said, these patterns usually return to their starting point so 1.0300 or below is not out of the question. I guess it depends on how the price action is looking whether I'd close or hold.
1.0600 is around the yearly pivot point so that is a good marker to shoot for IMO. Interestingly, the MACD and RSI show a rising broadening pattern as well so that gives me a little bit more conviction in this trade.
I see some other markers for this trade as well but I will share that in my next upcoming market preview video since it'd be too much to type.
As always, Good Luck & Trade Safe
EUR/USD Bullish Continuation Setup📈 Trend Analysis:
The price is trading within a rising channel, suggesting an overall bullish trend.
The market recently pulled back to a key support level, presenting a potential buy opportunity.
🔍 Key Levels:
Buy Zone: Around 1.08680 - 1.08966, marking strong support.
Target: 1.10140, aligning with the upper trendline resistance.
📌 Trade Plan:
Look for buy entries near the lower boundary of the ascending channel.
Confirmation through bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing, pin bar) strengthens the setup.
⚠ Risk Management:
Stop loss: Below the 1.08680 support level.
Take profit: Gradually scale out at 1.10140 resistance.
EURUSD Sell and Buy Trading PlanH4 - We had a strong bullish move with the price creating a series of higher highs, higher lows structure
This strong bullish move ended with a bearish Divergence
While measuring this strong bullish move using the Fibonacci retracement tool we have two key support zones that has formed (marked in green)
So based on this I expect potential short term bearish moves now towards the key support zones and then potential continuation higher.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.-
EUR/USD Continued strength or FOMC Fallout?In this analysis I go over the EUR/USD and it's potential for further gains or a weakening bull and drop.
I expect a volatile week considering it's FOMC on Wednesday and ECB speaking on Friday.
Additionally, I share my outlook on ETF's I'm involved in. Currently in QQQE Put Option and closed my TQQQ Put for 30% gains last week.
As always, Good Luck and Trade Safe.
EURUSD analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market Bank Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Primary Target - 1.06700 (or) Escape Before the Target
Secondary Target - 1.08000 (or) Escape Before the Target
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📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook:
EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.
⭐🌟⭐Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis evaluates the economic indicators of the Eurozone and the United States, which directly influence the EUR/USD pair.
🌟Eurozone Economic Indicators:
GDP growth is reported at 0.5% for Q4 2024, with recent data suggesting an expected increase to 0.8% for Q1 2025, indicating a potential recovery Euro Area Indicators.
Inflation rate is at 3.0% for February 2025, expected to decrease to 2.2% by year-end, reflecting easing price pressures Euro Area Inflation Rate.
Interest rates are at 2.5%, with the European Central Bank (ECB) likely to hold steady, given mixed inflation signals Euro Area Interest Rate.
Trade balance shows a surplus of €10 billion in January 2025, driven by exports, though not sufficient to offset economic challenges Euro Area Balance of Trade.
🌟United States Economic Indicators:
GDP growth is strong at 2.5% for Q4 2024, though recent projections suggest a slowdown to 2.0% for Q1 2025 United States Indicators.
Inflation is stable at 2.0% for February 2025, within target ranges, but recent data shows slight upward pressure United States Inflation Rate.
Interest rates are at 4.5%, with expectations of a 0.25% rate cut in September 2025, reflecting a dovish shift United States Interest Rate.
Trade balance shows a deficit of $50 billion in January 2025, a persistent challenge but manageable with strong economic growth United States Balance of Trade.
The narrowing interest rate differential, with potential Fed rate cuts and stable ECB policy, could support EUR strength, though US economic resilience remains a counterforce.
⭐🌟⭐Macroeconomics
Macroeconomics encompasses broader economic factors influencing the pair:
Global GDP growth is projected at 3.0% for 2025, according to recent forecasts, with mixed regional performances World Economic Outlook.
Commodity prices are stable, with oil at $80 per barrel, impacting EUR due to the Eurozone's energy import reliance Commodity Markets Outlook.
Stock markets show positive performance, with the S&P 500 up 5% YTD and Euro Stoxx 50 up 3% YTD, supporting risk-sensitive currencies like the EUR Global Stock Market Performance.
Bond yields are declining, with the US 10-year yield at 3.5%, down from 4.0% earlier, suggesting lower USD appeal Global Economic Outlook.
⭐🌟⭐Global Market Analysis
Global economic conditions play a significant role in currency movements:
Geopolitical events, such as potential tensions, could boost USD as a safe-haven currency, though no major events are currently noted.
Central bank policies are diverging, with the Fed expected to cut rates and the ECB holding steady, narrowing the interest rate differential Central Bank Policies.
Commodity trends, with stable oil prices, have a muted direct impact, though energy costs affect Eurozone inflation.
Stock market performance, with global indices up, suggests risk-on sentiment, potentially supporting EUR over USD Market Performance Analysis.
⭐🌟⭐COT Data and Positioning
COT data provides insights into large trader positions, with recent reports showing:
For euro futures, large speculators are net short, but recent data indicates a reduction in short positions, suggesting emerging bullish sentiment CFTC COT Report.
Positioning shows that institutional traders are cautiously optimistic, with some covering shorts as the price approaches support levels.
Key Insight: Reducing short positions in euro futures align with potential bullish momentum, supporting an upward move.
⭐🌟⭐Intermarket Analysis
Intermarket relationships influence currency valuation:
EUR/USD is positively correlated with stock markets; with global indices performing well, the EUR could benefit from risk-on sentiment Intermarket Correlations.
Gold, trading at $1900 per ounce, slightly up, suggests a weaker USD, supporting EUR strength Gold Price Trends.
Bond yields, with declining US yields, indicate lower USD appeal, potentially boosting EUR/USD Bond Market Insights.
Key Insight: Positive correlations with stocks and gold suggest EUR could strengthen, while declining US yields support this trend.
⭐🌟⭐Quantitative Analysis
Technical analysis provides insights into price trends:
At 1.05000, EUR/USD is approaching key support at 1.0450, with resistance at 1.0600, based on recent charts EUR/USD Technical Analysis.
Moving averages show the 50-day MA at 1.0550 and the 200-day MA at 1.0700, with the price below both, indicating a downtrend TradingView Analysis.
RSI (Relative Strength Index) is at 45, neutral, suggesting potential for a bounce if support holds Technical Indicators Guide.
Key Insight: The pair is at a crucial support level, with technicals suggesting a possible upward reversal.
⭐🌟⭐Market Sentimental Analysis
Market sentiment reflects trader positioning and expectations:
Recent data shows mixed sentiment, with some traders expecting USD strength to continue, while others see potential for EUR recovery due to improving fundamentals Forex Sentiment EURUSD.
Bank forecasts predict EUR/USD rising to 1.08 by year-end, citing Eurozone recovery and expected Fed rate cuts Currency Forecasts.
Key Insight: Emerging optimism about the euro supports a bullish outlook, though caution remains due to recent USD strength.
⭐🌟⭐Next Trend Move
Combining all factors, the next trend move for EUR/USD is likely upward:
The pair is at a key support level (1.0450), and if it holds, could bounce back to test resistance at 1.0800.
Potential catalysts include better-than-expected Eurozone data and Fed rate cut expectations, supporting EUR strength.
Key Insight: The next move favors an upward continuation, with risks of further downside if support breaks.
⭐🌟⭐Overall Summary Outlook
The EUR/USD pair, at 1.05000 on March 4, 2025, exhibits a cautiously bullish outlook. Key drivers include improving Eurozone fundamentals, with GDP growth expected to rise to 0.8% in Q1 2025 and declining inflation, narrowing the interest rate differential as the Fed is expected to cut rates by 0.25% in September 2025. Technical indicators suggest the pair is at a crucial support level, with potential for a bounce, supported by reducing short positions in euro futures and positive intermarket correlations with stocks and gold. Risks include persistent USD strength if US data remains robust or global risk-off sentiment boosts the USD. However, the prevailing trend points to a potential EUR appreciation in the near term.
⭐🌟⭐Future Prediction
Trend: Bullish
Details: The pair is likely to see an upward move, testing resistance at 1.0800 in the near term, driven by Eurozone recovery and expected Fed rate cuts. Risks include stronger-than-expected US data maintaining USD dominance, but current indicators suggest a reversal is imminent.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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