EURUSD down EUR/USD is the forex ticker that tells traders how many US Dollars are needed to buy a Euro. The Euro-Dollar pair is popular with traders because its constituents represent the two largest and most influential economies in the world. Follow real-time EUR/USD rates and improve your technical analysis with the interactive chart. Discover the factors that can influence the EUR/USD forecast and stay up to date with the latest EUR/USD news and analysis articles.
EUR/USD continues to trade in a tight channel above 1.0800 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the improving risk mood makes if difficult for the USD to gather strength. The pair remains on track to snap a five-week losing streak.
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EURUSD: Triple rejection on 4H MA200, 1D MA200 and Channel Down.EURUSD turned neutral technically on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 49.576, MACD = -0.003, ADX = 24.613) for the first time since February 1st which was the previous LH of the two month Channel Down pattern. It hit today the 1D MA50 in the process and got just pips away from a 4H MA200 test, a trendline that has been intact as a Resistance for almost 1 month (since January 24th when it made a strong LH rejection).
This is a potential Triple Rejection (4H MA200, 1D MA200 and top of Channel Down). As long as the 1D technical outlook remains neutral, it favors the bearish trend. We are opening a short here, targeting the 1.236 Fibonacci extension (TP = 1.0661), which is a level that was hit on every LL inside this Channel Down.
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EURUSD: The trend continues. Sell again over the 4H MA50.EURUSD has been providing successive low risk signals inside the 2024 Channel Down, as every crossing over the 4H MA50 is a technical sell opportunity. The 1D technical outlook remains bearish (RSI = 36.769, MACD = -0.004, ADX = 25.401) which continues to justify selling inside the Channel Down pattern. We are waiting for yet another 4H MA50 breach in order to sell and target a new -1.33% decline (TP = 1.06600).
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EUR/USD SHORT "FOLLOWING THE STRUCTURE"we are marking structure on 4h tf. eur/usd is making lower lows and lower highs indicating a downtrend and marking resistance on 4h tf. when London opens at 3 am EST 30m and 1h close below resistance. we are taking a short entry there. we have CPI, PMI, retail sales and multiple fed member speaks. monitor economic events closely and manage your position.
EURUSD: Selling over the 4H MA50 is the best monthly signal.EURUSD is trading inside a Channel Down ever since it made a High on December 28th 2023 with the 1D technical outlook steadily bearish (RSI = 39.870, MACD = -0.004, ADX = 22.645). After the price crossed under the 4H MA50 on January 2nd 2024, every time it recovered over it, the most optimal sell opportunity emerged for the short term. As long as the 4H MA200 holds, being the current Resistance at the top of the Channel Down, we will sell again once the price breaks and closes over the 4H MA50. Our modest target is -1.40% from a +1.00% rebound extension (TP = 1.06900). Watch also for any rejections on the RSI's Sell or Buy Zone.
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EURUSD Looking BullishThe EURUSD is currently situated in the Daily Demand area, signaling a possible dominance of buyers. The existing upward trend remains intact unless there is a break below the critical Higher Low level at 1.07250.
Being within the Daily Demand zone, the EURUSD indicates a positive outlook for buyers, with the upward trend likely to persist as long as the crucial Higher Low support at 1.07250 remains unbroken.
EURUSD: Can We Expect a Pullback?! 🇪🇺🇺🇸
EURUSD may retrace from a key daily structure support.
After its test, the price broke and closed above a resistance line
of a falling wedge pattern on a 4H time frame.
It feels like the price may bounce ahead of FED rate decision tonight.
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EURUSD Looking BullishIn our examination of EURUSD, it's crucial to emphasize the existence of a double bottom pattern.
This pattern, combined with robust support observed within the Fibonacci levels ranging from 0.5 to 0.6, amplifies the importance of the current scenario. It indicates a compelling scenario for a potential upward trend, potentially leading to a substantial gain in pips.
Keep an eye out for further updates, and as customary, approach your trades with assurance.
EURUSD Trend Reversal ?Pair : EURUSD ( Euro / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Falling Wedge as an Corrective Pattern in Long Time Frame. Completed Impulsive Waves " 12345 " Bearish and " AB " Corrective Waves. Exp FIAT as an Correction in Short Time Frame need to wait until it Rejects from Upper Trend Line or Demand Zone
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EURUSD: Two sell signals for the medium term.EURUSD is bearish on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 35.647, MACD = -0.002, ADX = 40.063) as it maintains the declining trend since the December 28th High and the pattern that prevailed has been a Channel Down.
Ahead of a 4H Death Cross, the 4H RSI is rising after being oversold two days ago on a technical Bullish Divergence that looks very much like the one that started on the previous LL and the one on December 7th. If the price crosses under the Channel Down bottom, it will be a bearish signal and we will short aiming at a -2.24% decline (TP = 1.07550). If the Channel Down stays intact, the Bullish Divergence should push it higher towards its middle trendline (approximately +1.00% rise) where we will short more comfortably and aim for a -1.40% decline (TP = 1.08050).
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Outlook for EUR/USD: Davos Insights and Fed Speeches Outlook for EUR/USD: Davos Insights and Fed Speeches
Several ECB officials are expressing opposition to rate cuts, potentially helping to curb losses in the EUR/USD, which is currently testing the 61.8% Fibonacci level after a more than 0.7% drop.
Davos has prompted ECB officials to share their views on the Euro Area's prospects and their positions on the likelihood of interest rate cuts in 2024.
ECB Board Member Gediminas Šimkus, also Chairman of the Lithuanian Central Bank, suggests holding off on a central bank move, but sees the possibility of a cut in the summer. Similarly, ECB Board Member Madis Müller, the Governor of the Central Bank of Estonia, believes expectations for a rate cut are ahead of the current data reality.
However, the future direction of EUR/USD remains uncertain, as Fed officials are pushing back against interest rate hikes too, and their influence in the markets may be more significant.
Federal Reserve member Christopher Waller, whose November comments raised expectations of Fed rate cuts, today (not at Davos) expressed a more cautious outlook on the pace of rate cuts ("I see no reason to move as quickly or cut as rapidly as in the past").
Monitoring other Fed members' addresses this week will be crucial:
Wednesday, Jan 17
09:00: Fed's Bowman Speech
09:00: Fed's Barr Speech
15:00: Fed's Williams Speech
Thursday, Jan 18
07:30: Fed's Bostic Speech
Friday, Jan 19
16:15: Fed's Daly Speech
EURUSD Lokking BearishExpanding upon our prior analysis, the Euro has reached the predetermined target at 1.08991 and is currently exhibiting a strong positive response within this specific zone. This observed market behavior instills confidence, and we foresee a prolonged upward trajectory in the Euro-Dollar chart in the hours ahead. This ongoing positive trend reinforces our conviction in the potential for sustained Euro strength against the Dollar.
EUR/USD Analysis: Targeting a breakout to the downside? EUR/USD Analysis: Targeting a breakout to the downside?
The EUR/USD currency pair seems poised for a technical breakout.
Analysing the 8-hour chart reveals a consolidation phase since the start of the year, following a decline below 1.1000, with this mark acting as a resistance level on two occasions since then.
Currently, EUR/USD is resembling a triangle/flag pattern, suggesting a potential technical breakout. The looming question is: Which direction will the pair break out? There are arguments to be made for both sides of the equation, but perhaps the case for a break to the downside is more convincing?
Traders are pricing in an ~80% probability of a Fed rate cut in March. Simultaneously, an European Central Bank (ECB) rate cut for April is also on the horizon.
While both central banks might fail to meet these expectations, the likelihood that the Fed pushes back might be lower than that of the ECB.
According to Governing Council member Robert Holzmann, speaking at the World Economic in Davos, the prospect of ECB rate cuts in 2024 appears highly unlikely. At the same time, he emphasized the persistent threat of geopolitical conflicts, such as those in the Middle East, which pose a risk to Euro supply chains and energy markets. This ongoing uncertainty could exert pressure on consumer prices, creating a challenging environment that might interfere with any potential rate cuts from the ECB.
EURUSD: Multi year top has been formed. Be among first to sell.EURUSD is neutral on all high timeframes with our focus on this analysis in particular being on the 1M timeframe (RSI = 51.643, MACD = -0.007, ADX = 25.957). The reason is because we want to keep ourselves aware of what the underlying long term trend is. And based on the 1M RSI it is bearish, as the indicator shows a peak. It is the same peak that for the last 10 years is formed (this is the 4th time) over the RSI's MA trendline and causes the price to make a LH.
The long term pattern is a Channel Down after all and December has been the 2nd rejection on the 1M MA50 since July 2023. The minimum target is the 0.786 Fibonacci level (TP = 0.99185), which was the target after the February 2018 peak.
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EURUSD 11/01Pair : EURUSD ( Euro / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves at Previous Strong Resistance and making its " A - wxy " Corrective Wave. Bullish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Long Time Frame and Consolidation Phase in Short Time Frame , Wait for the Breakout and Retracement