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Eurusdtrend

EURUSD: holds steady above 1.0400 amid US tariff threatsEUR/USD holds steady above 1.0450 in the European trading hours on Thursday. Broad US Dollar underperformance supports the pair. However, tariff threats from US President Donald Trump and geopolitical tension might cap its upside. US data and Fedspeak remains in focus. EUR/USD Technical Overview Technically, the bullish outlook of EUR/USD remains intact as the major pair holds above the key 100-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) on the 4-hour chart. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is located below the midline, near 42.85, suggesting that further downside cannot be ruled out. The first upside barrier for EUR/USD emerges near 1.0461, the high of February 19. The key resistance level to watch is the 1.0500-1.0505 zone, representing the psychological level and the upper boundary of the Bollinger Band. A decisive break above this level will see a rally to 1.0533, the high of January 27.
Long
by xauusd_rr
EUR/USD at a Crossroads: Will Trade Tensions Push It Lower? EUR/USD has been struggling to maintain momentum above the 1.0500 mark, facing renewed selling pressure as macroeconomic and geopolitical factors influence sentiment. With the US Dollar regaining strength and concerns about European economic stagnation growing, the pair remains vulnerable to further downside. Technical Analysis: Resistance Levels: 1.0532 (January 27 high), 1.0629 (December peak), 1.0744 (200-day SMA). Support Levels: 1.0405 (55-day SMA), 1.0282 (February 10 low), 1.0209 (February 3 low), and 1.0176 (January 13 YTD low). Indicators: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is near 55, indicating modest momentum, while the Average Directional Index (ADX) remains around 15, suggesting a weakening trend. Moving Averages: The 200-day SMA at 1.0744 serves as a key dynamic resistance, while the 55-day SMA at 1.0405 acts as interim support. Fundamental Analysis: Several key fundamental factors are exerting downward pressure on EUR/USD: Trade Policy Uncertainty: While US tariff tensions have temporarily eased, lingering trade disputes, including a 10% duty on Chinese imports and potential EU-targeted tariffs, keep investors cautious. Diverging Central Bank Policies: The Federal Reserve remains firm on keeping interest rates elevated, while the European Central Bank has begun rate cuts, signaling weaker economic confidence in the Eurozone. Economic Growth Divergence: The US economy continues to show resilience with robust labor markets and stable inflation, while the Eurozone faces stagnation and potential contraction, particularly in Germany. European Political Risks: Uncertainty in Germany and wider Eurozone economic struggles add to the Euro’s bearish outlook, making it less attractive compared to the US Dollar. The EUR/USD pair is at a critical juncture, with key support levels in focus. Trade policies, central bank divergence, and economic growth disparities continue to drive market sentiment. This week is pivotal for the Eurozone, with key economic data releases culminating in Friday’s PMI figures, which could determine the pair’s next major move. Traders should remain cautious and closely monitor both technical and fundamental developments. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Short
by AR33_
EURUSD bearish below 1.0400 levelThe EURUSD currency pair price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend. The key trading level is at 1.0400, which is 25th Feb swing high. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 1.0400 level could target the downside support at 1.0260 followed by the 1.0210 and 1.0180 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above the 1.0400 resistance and a daily close above that level could trigger further rallies higher and a retest of the 1.0440 resistance level followed by 1.0500 and 1.0560. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EURUSD Selling OpportunitiesDaily swing Structure = Bearish Daily Internal Structure = Bearish Narrative We are pro-trend which means sell EURUSD. All structures are in alignment. 4Hrs Swing structure = Bullish Internal Structure = Bearish What we can observe is that daily swing, daily internal and 4hrs internal are all in alignment. We now know that the demand zones created as the market was in the pullback phase are reaction points and that the supply zones should hold if the bearish internal trend is to hold. Given the 2 facts, we should continue selling Targeting the internal weak low as the low hanging fruit. Also, it is important to note that we are creating some sorta supply chain, which further cements idea of a strong selling pressure coming into the market. So any pullback into the marked supply orderblock should give us a chance for entry.
Short
by DagemFxStudio
EURUSD H4 | FOREX BEEEUR/USD H4 Chart Analysis The H4 chart for EUR/USD shows a critical decision zone, with two possible outcomes based on price action: --- Bullish Scenario: Breakout Above Resistance (1.04500 - 1.04600 zone): If price breaks and holds above the green resistance area, we can expect an upward move. Target:The next major resistance is 1.06947 (Fibonacci 0.5 level). Confluence: The ascending trendline (blue) suggests buyers are still in control unless broken. --- Bearish Scenario: Break Below Trendline & Support (1.04242 - 1.04000): If price fails to break above resistance and drops below the trendline, we could see a reversal. Target: A breakdown could lead price towards the 1.02500 demand zone (red). Confluence: Trendline breakdown + retest would confirm further downside. --- Key Levels to Watch: Resistance Zone: 1.04500 - 1.04600 (Breakout confirmation required for bullish continuation). Support Zone:1.04242 - 1.04000 (Potential breakdown zone). Major Downside Target:1.02500 (Demand zone from previous price action). --- Trading Strategy: Bullish Entry: Wait for a break and retest above 1.04600 before entering long. Bearish Entry: If price breaks below trendline and retests 1.04242, shorting towards 1.02500 is a possibility. Conclusion: - The trend is bullish as long as the price holds above the trendline and 1.04242 support. - If price fails to break resistance, a reversal is likely. - Watch for confirmations before entering trades.
by forexbeesignals
EURUSD Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀 👉 In this video, we analyze the EURUSD, focusing on its overall uptrend and the recent bearish pullback. We’ll examine key support and resistance levels, market structure, and how liquidity is influencing price action. With the pair approaching a major support zone, we’ll discuss potential buy opportunities if the uptrend resumes. All the details are covered here. Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only—not financial advice.
by fxtraderanthony
Thesis Analysis: Trade Ideas for EUR/USD - 21 Jan A bearish medium-term structure yet showing the potential for a short-term reversal. Key levels at 1.0420–1.0450 (resistance) and 1.0300 (support) will determine the next leg of movement. Bull Case (Reversal/Upward Scenario) - low probability A break above the 1.0450 resistance zone would indicate bullish strength, potentially driven by USD weakness or Eurozone resilience. Triggers: Economic catalysts favoring the Eurozone USD weakening due to dovish Federal Reserve comments or deteriorating U.S. economic data. Trade Idea (Short-Term): Entry: Buy EUR/USD on a breakout above 1.0450. Stop-Loss: 1.0420 (below breakout zone). Target: 1.0500. Risk/Reward: ~1:2. Rationale: A breakout invalidates bearish resistance, triggering short-covering and attracting fresh buyers. Trade Idea (Medium-Term): Entry: Buy dips into 1.0420–1.0430 post-breakout. Stop-Loss: 1.0400. Target: 1.0550. Risk/Reward: ~1:3. Rationale: Sustained breakout signals potential for an extended upward move, aligning with reversal momentum. Bear Case (Continuation/Downward Scenario) The prevailing medium-term downtrend is likely to persist, especially if resistance at 1.0420–1.0450 holds or a breakdown below 1.0300 materialises. Triggers: Persistent Eurozone economic weakness (e.g., weak PMI or growth data). USD strength driven by rising U.S. Treasury yields or hawkish Federal Reserve actions. Trade Idea (Short-Term): Entry: Sell EUR/USD on resistance rejection at 1.0420. Stop-Loss: 1.0460 (above resistance). Target: 1.0350. Risk/Reward: ~1:3. Rationale: Resistance rejection indicates bearish control, presenting a low-risk shorting opportunity. Trade Idea (Medium-Term): Entry: Sell a breakout below 1.0300. Stop-Loss: 1.0330. Target: 1.0200. Risk/Reward: ~1:3. Rationale: A clear breakdown below key support aligns with the prevailing bearish trend, targeting the next significant support zone.
Short
by Shiven_80eight