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Eurusdtrend

EUR/USD: Bearish Momentum Builds Ahead of Key Data📆 Market Analysis (March 3, 2025) – European and US Trading Session At the time of writing, OANDA:EURUSD is trading around 1.04040, facing bearish pressure after failing to sustain recent rebounds. Traders are closely monitoring upcoming economic releases and geopolitical developments, which may significantly impact market sentiment. 📊 Technical Analysis: Price Action & Indicators 1. Daily Chart (D1) – Macro Trend Perspective 📉 Bearish Bias: The daily timeframe shows a clear downtrend, with a lower-high structure intact. 🔥 Key Resistance: 1.0500 – 1.0550 (strong supply zone where sellers have previously stepped in). 🏆 Key Support: 1.0350 – 1.0300 (psychological level and recent demand zone). 📊 Indicators: RSI (Relative Strength Index): At 47.97, showing weak bullish momentum, but still below the neutral 50 level, suggesting continued downside risk. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Bearish crossover confirmed, with histogram showing increasing selling pressure. Volume Analysis: Recent price drops were accompanied by increasing bearish volume, indicating strong seller participation. 2. 4H Chart (H4) – Medium-Term Trend 📉 Bearish Momentum: Price is forming a descending structure, with lower highs and lower lows. 🔄 RSI: Currently at 38.34, approaching oversold levels, indicating a possible short-term bounce before further decline. 📈 MACD: Bearish cross has occurred, but the histogram is starting to flatten, suggesting selling pressure might be slowing. 3. 1H Chart (H1) – Short-Term Outlook ⏳ Rebound or Further Drop? Price recently bounced from 1.0380, but rejection at 1.0420 suggests weak buying momentum. 📌 Support Levels to Watch: 1.0380 – 1.0350 🚀 Resistance Levels: 1.0420 – 1.0450 ⚡ RSI Divergence? Short-term RSI is rising while price remains stagnant, indicating a potential short-term reversal before further decline. 🌍 Fundamental Analysis: Key Market Drivers Eurozone Inflation Data (CPI) 🏦: Expected this week, which will shape ECB’s next policy move. US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) 📊: A strong report could further strengthen the USD. Geopolitical Uncertainty 🌎: Global risk sentiment favors the USD as a safe haven. 📈 Trading Strategy: Fuinvest’s Trade Setup 🔹 Scenario 1: Short Position (Bearish Bias) Entry: Sell at 1.0420 – 1.0450 Stop Loss (SL): 1.0480 (Above recent highs) Take Profit (TP): 1.0350 – 1.0320 (Key support zone) Risk-Reward Ratio: 📉 1:3 (High probability trade setup) 🔹 Scenario 2: Reversal Trade (Short-Term Bullish Bounce) Entry: Buy at 1.0350 – 1.0380 Stop Loss (SL): 1.0320 (Below major support) Take Profit (TP): 1.0450 (Near-term resistance) Risk-Reward Ratio: 📈 1:2 (Short-term retracement play) 🎯 Conclusion & Final Thoughts 📉 Bearish sentiment dominates, but a short-term rebound could occur before further declines. 🔥 Key economic data this week will be crucial in determining the next major move. 📌 Fuinvest recommends a cautious trading approach, with tight risk management. 💡 Follow Fuinvest for daily market insights & trade setups! 🚀📈
by fuinvest
EUR/USD at a Crossroads: Will Trade Tensions Push It Lower? EUR/USD has been struggling to maintain momentum above the 1.0500 mark, facing renewed selling pressure as macroeconomic and geopolitical factors influence sentiment. With the US Dollar regaining strength and concerns about European economic stagnation growing, the pair remains vulnerable to further downside. Technical Analysis: Resistance Levels: 1.0532 (January 27 high), 1.0629 (December peak), 1.0744 (200-day SMA). Support Levels: 1.0405 (55-day SMA), 1.0282 (February 10 low), 1.0209 (February 3 low), and 1.0176 (January 13 YTD low). Indicators: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is near 55, indicating modest momentum, while the Average Directional Index (ADX) remains around 15, suggesting a weakening trend. Moving Averages: The 200-day SMA at 1.0744 serves as a key dynamic resistance, while the 55-day SMA at 1.0405 acts as interim support. Fundamental Analysis: Several key fundamental factors are exerting downward pressure on EUR/USD: Trade Policy Uncertainty: While US tariff tensions have temporarily eased, lingering trade disputes, including a 10% duty on Chinese imports and potential EU-targeted tariffs, keep investors cautious. Diverging Central Bank Policies: The Federal Reserve remains firm on keeping interest rates elevated, while the European Central Bank has begun rate cuts, signaling weaker economic confidence in the Eurozone. Economic Growth Divergence: The US economy continues to show resilience with robust labor markets and stable inflation, while the Eurozone faces stagnation and potential contraction, particularly in Germany. European Political Risks: Uncertainty in Germany and wider Eurozone economic struggles add to the Euro’s bearish outlook, making it less attractive compared to the US Dollar. The EUR/USD pair is at a critical juncture, with key support levels in focus. Trade policies, central bank divergence, and economic growth disparities continue to drive market sentiment. This week is pivotal for the Eurozone, with key economic data releases culminating in Friday’s PMI figures, which could determine the pair’s next major move. Traders should remain cautious and closely monitor both technical and fundamental developments. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Short
by AR33_
EURUSD: holds steady above 1.0400 amid US tariff threatsEUR/USD holds steady above 1.0450 in the European trading hours on Thursday. Broad US Dollar underperformance supports the pair. However, tariff threats from US President Donald Trump and geopolitical tension might cap its upside. US data and Fedspeak remains in focus. EUR/USD Technical Overview Technically, the bullish outlook of EUR/USD remains intact as the major pair holds above the key 100-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) on the 4-hour chart. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is located below the midline, near 42.85, suggesting that further downside cannot be ruled out. The first upside barrier for EUR/USD emerges near 1.0461, the high of February 19. The key resistance level to watch is the 1.0500-1.0505 zone, representing the psychological level and the upper boundary of the Bollinger Band. A decisive break above this level will see a rally to 1.0533, the high of January 27.
Long
by xauusd_rr
EURUSD bearish below 1.0400 levelThe EURUSD currency pair price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend. The key trading level is at 1.0400, which is 25th Feb swing high. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 1.0400 level could target the downside support at 1.0260 followed by the 1.0210 and 1.0180 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above the 1.0400 resistance and a daily close above that level could trigger further rallies higher and a retest of the 1.0440 resistance level followed by 1.0500 and 1.0560. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EURUSD Selling OpportunitiesDaily swing Structure = Bearish Daily Internal Structure = Bearish Narrative We are pro-trend which means sell EURUSD. All structures are in alignment. 4Hrs Swing structure = Bullish Internal Structure = Bearish What we can observe is that daily swing, daily internal and 4hrs internal are all in alignment. We now know that the demand zones created as the market was in the pullback phase are reaction points and that the supply zones should hold if the bearish internal trend is to hold. Given the 2 facts, we should continue selling Targeting the internal weak low as the low hanging fruit. Also, it is important to note that we are creating some sorta supply chain, which further cements idea of a strong selling pressure coming into the market. So any pullback into the marked supply orderblock should give us a chance for entry.
Short
by DagemFxStudio
EURUSD H4 | FOREX BEEEUR/USD H4 Chart Analysis The H4 chart for EUR/USD shows a critical decision zone, with two possible outcomes based on price action: --- Bullish Scenario: Breakout Above Resistance (1.04500 - 1.04600 zone): If price breaks and holds above the green resistance area, we can expect an upward move. Target:The next major resistance is 1.06947 (Fibonacci 0.5 level). Confluence: The ascending trendline (blue) suggests buyers are still in control unless broken. --- Bearish Scenario: Break Below Trendline & Support (1.04242 - 1.04000): If price fails to break above resistance and drops below the trendline, we could see a reversal. Target: A breakdown could lead price towards the 1.02500 demand zone (red). Confluence: Trendline breakdown + retest would confirm further downside. --- Key Levels to Watch: Resistance Zone: 1.04500 - 1.04600 (Breakout confirmation required for bullish continuation). Support Zone:1.04242 - 1.04000 (Potential breakdown zone). Major Downside Target:1.02500 (Demand zone from previous price action). --- Trading Strategy: Bullish Entry: Wait for a break and retest above 1.04600 before entering long. Bearish Entry: If price breaks below trendline and retests 1.04242, shorting towards 1.02500 is a possibility. Conclusion: - The trend is bullish as long as the price holds above the trendline and 1.04242 support. - If price fails to break resistance, a reversal is likely. - Watch for confirmations before entering trades.
by forexbeesignals