Euro Rises Above $1.09 Despite Tariff ThreatsThe euro climbed above $1.09, showing unexpected strength after President Trump announced 20% tariffs on all EU imports.
◉ Fundamental Rationale
● The currency got a boost because the U.S. dollar weakened. Trump’s tariffs made trade tensions worse and worried people about slower economic growth.
● Also, new numbers showed Eurozone inflation fell to 2.2% in March, the lowest since November 2024.
● This lower inflation means the European Central Bank doesn’t need to raise interest rates, making the euro more appealing to investors.
◉ Technical Observation
● From a technical perspective, an inverse head and shoulders pattern has formed, hinting at a possible trend reversal.
● A breakout above $1.095 could pave the way for stronger bullish momentum.
Eurusdtrendanalysis
EUR/USD Long setup from the 3hr demand zoneSimilar to GBP/USD, I’m looking for long opportunities on EU. My key area of interest is the 3-hour demand zone, where I will wait for price to mitigate and accumulate before entering a position.
Price has also changed character to the upside, further validating this demand zone as a strong point of interest. Additionally, there is a significant amount of liquidity to the upside that needs to be taken.
The next major supply zone I have marked out is the 23-hour supply zone, which is further away. For now, my focus remains on the demand zone—unless price breaks below, creating a new supply level.
Confluences for EU Buys:
- Bullish market structure shift, with a clean demand zone left behind.
- Unmitigated 3-hour demand zone, making it a strong area of interest.
- Liquidity resting above, which price is likely to target.
- DXY has been bearish, aligning with a bullish outlook for EU.
Note: If price breaks structure to the upside without tapping my nearby demand zone, I will either wait for a new demand zone to form or look for a sell-to-buy opportunity from supply.
EURUSD:Analysis of the Profit-making Strategies for Next WeekThe euro against the US dollar once retraced to around 1.0765. Subsequently, it stabilized slightly after the release of the US core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data for February. Since the year-on-year growth rate of this data exceeded expectations, the market's expectation that the Federal Reserve will maintain the current interest rate range of 4.25%-4.50% for a longer time has intensified. Moreover, the United States is set to impose an additional 25% tariff on imported automobiles starting from April 2nd, which adds more uncertainties to the outlook of the euro.
We can focus on the initial resistance level of 1.0850 above. If this level is not breached, one can attempt to short at high levels.
Trading strategy:
Sell@1.0850
TP:1.0750
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EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Entry 📈 :
"The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
🏁Buy entry above 1.09400
🏁Sell Entry below 1.08000
📌However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side.
Stop Loss 🛑:
🚩Thief SL placed at 1.08700 (swing Trade Basis) for Bullish Trade
🚩Thief SL placed at 1.08700 (swing Trade Basis) for Bearish Trade
Using the 2H period, the recent / swing low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
🏴☠️Bullish Robbers TP 1.10800 (or) Escape Before the Target
🏴☠️Bearish Robbers TP 1.06800 (or) Escape Before the Target
EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market Heist Plan is currently experiencing a neutral trend,., driven by several key factors.
📰🗞️Read the Fundamental analysis, Macro Economics, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Positioning and future trend..👉👉👉
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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EURUSD: Trading Strategy for Next WeekEURUSD has reached the key resistance area. It is expected that an effective decline will begin once it reaches the resistance level.
EURUSD Trading Strategy for Next Week:
EURUSD sell@1.0900-1.0950
tp:1.0800-1.0700
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EUR/USD Analysis: Next Week's Downward - Swing ProspectsDuring this week, the exchange rate once dipped to 1.0820 and then rebounded. Technically speaking, 1.0880 is a key resistance level. If this level cannot be broken through, the downward risk will intensify. In the short term, the euro-dollar pair is under downward pressure and may fall below 1.0820. The options market shows that the ranges of 1.0745 - 1.0755 and 1.0900 - 1.0910 will be the focus next week. Overall, the euro-dollar pair is likely to show a downward trend with fluctuations next week.
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Are EUR/USD Bulls burnt out yet?...After last week’s monstrous bull move on the EUR/USD, I had short positions at 1.0740 and 1.0795 which I ended up closing because I wanted to wait and see how much momentum this thing had.
I got back in short at an average price of 1.0827 with a modest target at 1.0600. Although it looks like bullish momentum is stalling, I remain cautious.
Resistance at the upper trend-line and Fibonacci (Tesla Number 63.69%) looks to be setting a ceiling so hopefully we begin retracing.
Trading convincingly above 1.0900 would invalidate this EUR/USD trade.
Also, the stock market is currently getting hammered so my put options on TQQQ are looking good thus far as well.
For more in depth analysis on the current positions, refer to my previous video posted.
We’ll see how this one progresses.
Good Luck and Trade Safe.
EUR/USD 1.0600 target hit and cleared. Possible Danger Ahead...Mid week update on the EUR/USD trade: The target has been hit out of the descending broadening pattern and a 343 pip gain at 1.06220 has been locked in.
The EUR/USD made a very strong bullish move today which enabled an exit in the trade however, I am now keeping a very close eye on the possible bearish opportunity coming up if price begins trading around 1.07000 at that upper trend-line.
Both the MACD and the RSI are displaying a continuation divergence (otherwise known as a "Hidden" divergence") and that could spell very bad news for the bulls.
I have done some analysis on the weekly and monthly chart and it further gives me a reason that the bears could be lurking around the corner. I will include that analysis in my next weekly pre market preview video.
For the previous analysis on the EUR/USD and Stock Market down move, refer to my previous video posted.
Update you all soon.
Good Luck & Trade Safe.
Mastering EUR/USD TradingMastering EUR/USD Trading
EUR/USD is the most traded forex pair, offering unparalleled liquidity and potential opportunities for traders of all levels. The exchange rate between the euro and the US dollar reflects the economic relationship between the two global powerhouses. In this article, we’ll explore what makes the EUR/USD pair so popular, the factors influencing its price, and how to approach the pair.
What Is the EUR/USD Forex Pair?
Although you definitely know what the EUR/USD pair is, we can’t start this article without a short overview.
The EUR/USD pair represents the exchange rate between the euro (EUR) and the US dollar (USD), showing how many US dollars are needed to buy one euro. It's the most traded currency pair in the world, thanks to its significant role in the global economy. For traders, this often means tight spreads, high trading volumes, and potential opportunities in various market conditions.
Introduced in 1999 with the euro's creation, the EUR/USD pair reflects the economic relationship between the Eurozone—comprising 20 European countries—and the United States. It’s more than just a number on a chart; it’s a barometer for the performance of two of the largest economic regions. Movements in this pair are influenced by factors like interest rates set by the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Federal Reserve (Fed), economic indicators such as GDP growth, and geopolitical events impacting either region.
One standout feature of EUR/USD is its responsiveness to economic news. For example, a strong US jobs report might drive demand for the dollar, causing the pair to fall. Similarly, announcements from the ECB about monetary policy can send ripples through the market. This responsiveness makes EUR/USD a popular choice for traders who thrive on analysis of market dynamics.
Why Traders Choose EUR/USD
The EUR/USD pair’s unique characteristics make it stand out in the market, offering potential opportunities and strategic flexibility.
- Unmatched Liquidity: EUR/USD is the most liquid forex pair, meaning there’s strong trading activity. This high liquidity often translates to tighter spreads, which reduce transaction costs for traders and makes it popular among scalpers and day traders.
- 24/5 Accessibility: The pair can be traded almost anytime during the week, with peak activity during the overlap of London and New York trading sessions. This accessibility makes it popular as traders can capitalise on this pair regardless of their schedule.
- Macro Sensitivity: The pair responds sharply to macroeconomic developments, such as interest rate decisions, inflation data, and employment figures. This sensitivity may make it appealing to traders who thrive on analysis of major economic events.
- Relatively Lower Volatility: While the pair offers ample price movement for potential trading opportunities, it’s often less volatile than emerging market pairs, making it a more measured option for risk-conscious traders.
- Diverse Strategies: Its price action accommodates a variety of trading styles, from trend-following and range trading to news-based strategies. Whether you’re a short-term scalper or a long-term position trader, there’s flexibility to tailor your approach.
Key Factors Influencing EUR/USD Movements
The EUR/USD pair’s price movements are driven by a mix of economic, political, and market dynamics. Understanding these influences can help traders better analyse its behaviour.
Economic Indicators
Economic releases from the eurozone and the United States are key drivers of the pair's movements. Key reports include GDP growth, inflation rates, employment figures, and manufacturing activity. For instance, a strong US non-farm payroll report might boost the dollar, causing EUR/USD to drop. Similarly, weak eurozone inflation data could pressure the euro lower. Regularly monitoring economic calendars is crucial, as even small deviations from expectations can cause noticeable shifts.
Central Bank Policies
The European Central Bank (ECB) and the Federal Reserve (Fed) wield significant influence. Interest rate decisions, monetary policy announcements, and commentary from central bank officials often trigger immediate reactions. A hawkish Fed, signalling higher interest rates, can strengthen the dollar, while dovish ECB policies might weaken the euro. Traders often focus on speeches from figures like the Fed Chair or ECB President for clues about future policy changes.
Geopolitical Events
Political developments can create volatility. For example, elections, trade negotiations, or economic sanctions affecting the US or eurozone can shift sentiment. Historical events like Brexit significantly impacted the euro, while US-China trade tensions affected the dollar’s performance.
Market Sentiment and Risk Appetite
The EUR/USD pair is influenced by global market sentiment. During periods of risk aversion, the dollar often strengthens as a so-called safe-haven currency. Conversely, a risk-on environment, where investors seek higher-yielding assets, may support the euro. For example, during times of financial instability, traders may gravitate toward the relative security of the dollar, impacting the pair’s direction.
Commodity Prices and Trade Balances
While less direct, trade balances and commodity price changes also play a role. Higher commodity prices can weaken the euro due to increased import costs for the Eurozone, while benefiting the US as a commodity producer. Similarly, the Eurozone's trade surplus tends to support the euro, whereas the US trade deficit can pressure the dollar. Shifts in these factors often lead to fluctuations in the exchange rate.
How to Trade EUR/USD
A well-rounded EUR/USD trading strategy involves several key steps that help traders build a structured approach adaptable to market dynamics.
1. Finding a Broker Offering EUR/USD Trading
To start trading EUR/USD, a broker providing forex trading services is essential. Many brokers offer the pair, but traders often prioritise competitive spreads, low fees, and reliable execution. For example, FXOpen provides EUR/USD trading with access to 4 advanced platforms, tight spreads from 0.0 pips, low commissions from $1.50 per lot, and fast execution speeds based on a wide range of liquidity providers.
2. Choosing a Trading Style
The high liquidity of the EUR/USD pair allows traders to choose different strategies based on their objectives and market involvement:
- Scalping: High liquidity and volatility during market events of EUR/USD allow traders to take advantage of scalping.
- Day Trading: Day traders may also capitalise on significant market liquidity and volatility of the euro to US dollar pair.
- Swing Trading: As the pair movements depend on macroeconomic analysis, trades may focus on price swings over days or weeks.
- Position Trading: EUR/USD moves in solid market trends. So, those who prefer a longer-term strategy could apply it to this market.
3. Understanding and Analysing the Market Environment
EUR/USD moves between trending and ranging phases. Identifying these conditions helps traders adapt their strategies. Tools like moving averages, trendlines, and oscillators such as Stochastic or Awesome Oscillator are commonly used to gauge market momentum. For ranging markets, traders may focus on support and resistance levels to anticipate price reversals.
A clear technical strategy often includes identifying entry and exit points. This could involve analysing chart patterns, candlestick formations, or tools like Fibonacci retracements. Consistency in applying these methods helps traders build confidence in their analysis.
4. Understanding the Macroeconomic Environment
EUR/USD reacts strongly to macroeconomic developments. Traders often assess economic indicators like interest rate changes or inflation reports, alongside sentiment-driven events such as central bank statements. Combining macroeconomic understanding with technical tools can provide a well-rounded view of the pair’s dynamics.
5. Considering Timeframes and Trading Sessions
EUR/USD is most active during the overlap between the London and New York sessions. Short-term traders often focus on these times for potentially higher liquidity, usually using the 1-minute to 1-hour charts, while longer-term traders may not be as session-dependent, typically relying on 4-hour to 1-week charts.
6. Using Risk Management
Traders typically integrate risk management into their approach. This includes using stop losses, understanding the impact of leverage, and sizing positions appropriately to manage risk exposure. By balancing risk and reward, traders aim to protect their capital while seeking returns.
Challenges of EUR/USD Trading
EUR/USD trading comes with its own set of challenges, despite its popularity, including:
Volatility During Key Events
EUR/USD is highly sensitive to economic data releases and central bank announcements. For example, higher-than-expected inflation data from the US can trigger a sharp rally in the dollar, pushing the pair lower. These movements can create potential opportunities but also increase the risk of losses if trades aren’t carefully managed.
Overlapping Influences
EUR/USD is driven by two major economies, meaning traders monitor a broad range of factors. For example, strong US economic data may boost the dollar, while strong eurozone growth could simultaneously support the euro, creating a mixed market reaction. Keeping track of both regions’ data releases and news can feel overwhelming, particularly since the euro sees releases for several key economies, like France and Germany, as well as the broader eurozone.
Interest Rate Differentials
Interest rate expectations between the ECB and the Fed significantly impact the pair. A surprise divergence in monetary policy may lead to rapid shifts in the EUR/USD, catching traders off-guard. Likewise, ignoring fundamentals, especially differentials in monetary policy, can lead a trader to rely too heavily on technical analysis, which may mean they trade against a strong trend driven by macroeconomics.
Session Volatility
The pair’s most active periods occur during the London and New York trading sessions. While this high liquidity can offer opportunities, it also means sharp intraday moves are more likely. Traders unprepared for this session-specific volatility may find themselves exposed to quick losses.
The Bottom Line
Trading EUR/USD offers potential opportunities thanks to its liquidity, accessibility, and responsiveness to market dynamics. This major forex pair may suit traders of all styles. Ready to start? Open an FXOpen account today and access EUR/USD trading with competitive spreads from 0.0 pips, low commissions from $1.50 per lot, and advanced tools.
FAQ
Why Is EUR/USD Most Traded?
EUR/USD is the most traded forex pair due to its deep liquidity and accessibility. As the currencies of two of the world’s largest economies—the eurozone and the United States—it attracts traders globally.
When to Trade EUR/USD?
According to theory, the best time to trade EUR/USD is usually during the London and New York trading sessions overlap, roughly between 1:00 PM and 5:00 PM GMT (winter time) and 12:00 PM and 4:00 PM GMT (summer time). This period usually offers higher liquidity and more significant price movements, which appeal to traders using intraday strategies.
Which Pair Correlates with EUR/USD?
EUR/USD often positively correlates with GBP/USD. These relationships stem from economic ties and shared market influences.
Is Gold and EUR/USD Correlated?
Gold and EUR/USD occasionally move together because both are inversely linked to the US dollar. When the dollar weakens, both gold and the euro may gain value, creating periods of positive correlation.
How Many Pips Does EUR/USD Move Daily?
According to statistics, the EUR/USD pair typically moves between 50 and 100 pips daily, depending on market conditions and news events.
How Do You Trade the EUR/USD Forex Pair?
Traders often combine technical analysis with macroeconomic insights to navigate EUR/USD. Potential high liquidity and tight spreads support strategies ranging from scalping to position trading.
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EUR/USD Short from 1.03000 (Supply Zone 6hr)My analysis for EUR/USD (EU) this week aligns with my view on other pairs, as the Dollar continues to strengthen. The bearish trend remains strong, and I plan to stay aligned with this pro-trend movement.
The price has broken structure to the downside and left a clean 6-hour supply zone that is yet to be mitigated. Once the price retraces to this supply zone, I’ll be looking for potential sell opportunities. I’ll wait for a redistribution pattern to confirm my entry before taking shorts. If the price continues to drop without retracing, I’ll monitor for a closer supply zone to form and adjust my setup accordingly.
Confluences for EU Sells:
- The price remains strongly bearish on higher time frames.
- The DXY is bullish, supporting the bearish trend for EU.
- A clean supply zone caused a Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside.
- The market is consistently forming lower lows and lower highs.
- A significant imbalance below still needs to be filled.
Note: If the price reaches the 7-hour demand zone below or the imbalance, I anticipate a potential bullish reaction, possibly leading to a retracement.
EURUSD and GBPUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Will EUR/JPY Clear the 166 Resistance Zone? EUR/JPY daily chart shows a bullish breakout above a descending trendline, with the price now approaching the key resistance zone at 165.500–166.000.
A successful breakout above this level could push the pair higher, targeting 168.000 or beyond. However, if the resistance holds, a pullback toward the support zone at 161.500–162.000 is likely, offering potential re-entry opportunities.
EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 👀 So Be Careful, wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📉 : You can enter a short trade at any point,
however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high/low level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest high level.
Goal 🎯: 1.02500 (or) Escape before the goal
Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan.
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#EURUSD 4HEURUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Pattern Identified:
Trendline Resistance: Price is respecting a descending trendline, indicating selling pressure and a bearish outlook in the short term.
Forecast:
Sell Now: The price is currently near the trendline resistance, providing an opportunity for a short position as the trend remains bearish.
Buy Opportunity: If the price drops and touches the identified support level, a potential buying opportunity may arise, expecting a bounce from support.
Key Levels:
Sell Entry: Near trendline resistance.
Stop Loss (Sell): Above the trendline resistance to limit risk.
Take Profit (Sell): At the next support level.
Buy Entry: At the support zone, once a bullish confirmation is observed.
Stop Loss (Buy): Below the support level in case of a breakout.
Take Profit (Buy): Towards the trendline resistance or next resistance level.
Market Sentiment:*
Short-Term Bearish: Dominated by sellers under trendline resistance.
Reversal Potential: Watch for support zone reactions to switch to a buy setup.
EUR/USD (aka) "FIBER" Bank Money Heist Plan on Bullish Side.Hola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
This is our master plan to Heist EUR/USD (aka) "FIBER" Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 1h timeframe
Attention for Scalpers : If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰.
Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
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Scenario EURUSDAt the beginning of the whole movement there was a double peak from which the price fell sharply down to the level of 0.7688 where the price stopped on the trend line where at the same time there is support, I assume according to the last formation that a correction wave could start from this level which could end somewhere around the price of 1.10388 which is 0.618 fibo