ECB Cuts Rates. EUR/USD Spikes to 1.5-Month HighECB Cuts Rates. EUR/USD Spikes to 1.5-Month High
Yesterday, as widely expected, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut interest rates for the eighth time since May 2024. According to ForexFactory, the main refinancing rate was lowered from 2.40% to 2.15% (having stood at 4.50% in May 2024).
According to Reuters:
→ ECB President Christine Lagarde stated that interest rates are now at a “good level”, despite the extremely high uncertainty caused by tariff threats from President Donald Trump.
→ Following the press conference, markets interpreted the message as a sign that the ECB is unlikely to cut rates again at its next meeting in July.
In response to the ECB's decision, the EUR/USD rate jumped to its highest level in a month and a half, but later retreated (as indicated by the arrow) back to previous levels.
Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart
Four days ago, while analysing the EUR/USD chart, we:
→ drew an ascending channel;
→ suggested that bullish momentum could push the EUR/USD rate up to the psychological level of 1.1500 during the current week.
In fact, at yesterday’s peak, the rate came very close to 1.1500. However, a candlestick with a long upper shadow had formed on the EUR/USD chart, by the end of the day. Additionally, this morning, the 1.1450 level has acted as a resistance zone.
This suggests bearish activity, which could pull the rate down towards the lower boundary of the local channel (outlined in black), and possibly even attempt a breakout below it.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Eurusdtrendanalysis
EURUSD - Look for Short (SWING) 1:2.5!Price has formed an ascending channel on the higher time frame, currently consolidating before potentially entering a distribution phase. A breakout could occur in either direction, but if the chart pattern plays out as expected, we may see a break below the key support level. Let’s aim for at least TP1.
Disclaimer:
This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
Can it stabilize above 1.14?The euro against the US dollar traded in a narrow range during the North American session, with the current exchange rate consolidating near the 1.14 level as the market awaits the European Central Bank's (ECB) interest rate decision this Thursday.
In the US, the ADP employment data far missed expectations, with private sector employment increasing by only 37,000 in May—significantly below the market forecast of 115,000. This weak data triggered a decline in the US dollar, pushing the EUR/USD exchange rate to rebound to the 1.1400 zone. While the exchange rate is expected to continue its rebound momentum, its upside potential remains limited. If the key resistance level of 1.1418 is effectively broken, it could open the door for further upward movement to the 1.1450-1.1480 range.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Trims GainsMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Trims Gains
EUR/USD started a downside correction from the 1.1450 resistance.
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today
- The Euro struggled to clear the 1.1450 resistance and declined against the US Dollar.
- There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at 1.1395 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair gained pace for a move above the 1.1300 zone, as mentioned in the previous analysis. The Euro tested the 1.1450 resistance and recently corrected gains against the US Dollar.
The pair dipped below 1.1400. There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at 1.1395. It even traded below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1209 swing low to the 1.1454 high.
The pair is showing some bearish signs, and upside potential might remain limited. Immediate resistance is near the 50-hour simple moving average at 1.1395.
The next major resistance is near the 1.1450 zone. An upside break above the 1.1450 level might send the pair toward the 1.1500 resistance. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 1.1550 level.
On the downside, immediate support on the EUR/USD chart is seen near the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1209 swing low to the 1.1454 high at 1.1330. The next major support is near the 1.1300 level. A downside break below the 1.1300 support could send the pair toward the 1.1210 level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Elliott Wave Insight Into EUR/USD’s Recent MovesThe EUR/USD chart has delivered a clean Elliott Wave sequence, which helps us forecast what may come next.
Wave Count Overview
The structure leading up to the high shows a clear five-wave impulsive rally, ending at Wave 3 in yellow.
This was followed by a corrective A-B-C zigzag, with:
A sharp Wave A down
A shallow Wave B bounce
A clean Wave C drop, matching Wave A in length, bottoming at the 100% Fibonacci projection around 1.10711.
Why This Matters
Elliott Wave theory tells us that a completed zigzag correction—especially when followed by a consolidation like a triangle—often leads to a continuation in the direction of the larger trend. If this consolidation is indeed a Wave 4 triangle, Wave 5 may soon emerge with strength.
What to Watch For:
Breakout from the current flag/triangle pattern.
Confirmation via price closing above the Wave B high.
Strong bullish momentum and rising volume as signs Wave 5 is kicking off.
Conclusion
EUR/USD may be gearing up for a Wave 5 breakout, following a classic zigzag correction and potential triangle consolidation. If this pattern breaks to the upside, it could offer a great trend continuation trade opportunity.
Has EUR/USD entered a medium-term correction?The EUR/USD has experienced a corrective pullback in a range-bound manner, touching the 1.14 level during the European session, approaching the Bollinger Band Midline support at 1.129. Earlier, the exchange rate retreated after encountering resistance near the 1.1450 key resistance level. Influenced by Euro-U.S. economic data divergences, the broader European market weakened, exerting downward pressure on the euro. Ahead of this week's ECB monetary policy meeting, the pair is likely to remain range-bound between the 1.1350 support and 1.1500 resistance levels.
If the ECB signals further monetary easing, the exchange rate may decline to test the 1.1350 support zone, with a potential extension of the downward move targeting the Bollinger Band Midline at 1.1292. Conversely, if the market deems the rate-cut expectations to be fully priced in and the ECB delivers a neutral policy stance, this could prompt the EUR/USD to retest the 1.1500 resistance level.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
buy@1.13500-1.13600
TP:1.13800-1.13900
EURUSD - OPPORTUNITY HAS ARRIVEDTeam,
I hardly trade EURUSD but the last time, we went long EURUSD when it was 1.03-1.04 - properly 2 months ago.
Now we decide to short, please follow the strategy given out in the chart.
Today, we have successfully hit target on SHORTING GOLD, you can check it yourself yesterday post. We do LIVE trading SHORT UK hit both target, Yesterday we went LONG USDCHF- you can check my post, target hit today as well.
and 15 minutes ago, we do LIVE trading and our soft target for EURUSD hit again.\
Now, we are reshort the EURUSD, please make sure follow the chart accordingly.
Once it hits the 1st target, bring stop loss to BE.
REMEMBER always care about how much you are taking the risk on each of your trade.
EURUSD on 3rd May 2025By looking at EURUSD in 4h timeframe, it is trading on very strong zone as it became support now due to yesterday breakout. Also there is uptrend trendline which is acting as strong support, if it breaks our next target will be down to 1.12490 and 1.12930. if this support holds then price may surge in upward direction. Need to wait till breakout in downward.
Key point.
Support - 1.14190, 1.13600, 1.13152
Resistance - 1.14906, 1.15440
If you like it do follow and share.
Any Query Reach Us or comment down.
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Rudra Vasaikar Wishes You A Great And Very Amazing Trading Life. Trade Safe, Trade Right.
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There is high risk of loss in Trading Forex, Crypto, Indices, CFDs, Features and Stocks. Choose your trade wisely and confidently, please see if such trading is appropriate for you or not. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Highly recommended - Information provided by Pro Trading Point are for Educational purpose only. Do your investment according to your own risk. Any type of loss is not our responsibility.
HAPPY TRADING.
EUR/USD Eyes More Upside PotentialDuring the European session, the price showed a trend of first fluctuating and then rising sharply. Currently, the price is at 1.1433, higher than the intraday moving average of 1.1380, indicating that the bulls are in the dominant position. According to ING (International Netherlands Group), the EUR/USD has some intraday resistance at 1.1425, and above this level, it is expected to rise to 1.1500 in the short term. The euro has formed a bottom above 1.1200 and started a new round of upward movement against the US dollar. The EUR/USD has broken through the resistance level of 1.1280, with a bullish trend. The first major resistance level is at 1.1450. If the closing price is above the 1.1450 level, it may lay the foundation for another wave of upward movement. In this case, the currency pair may even break through the resistance level of 1.1500. The next major target for the bulls may be near the resistance level of 1.1580.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
buy@1.1300-1.1350
TP:1.1450-1.1500
EUR/USD Rises to 4-Week HighEUR/USD Rises to 4-Week High
As shown on the EUR/USD chart today, the euro rose to a 4-week high against the US dollar this morning.
The euro's strength relative to the US dollar is supported by traders’ expectations ahead of the ECB's interest rate decision, scheduled for Thursday at 15:15 GMT+3.
This upcoming event is notable not only because the ECB is expected to cut rates from 2.40% to 2.15% (for the seventh consecutive time), but also due to the broader context shaped by ECB President Christine Lagarde’s recent remarks on the euro’s status as a reserve currency.
At the same time, the US dollar is weakening amid growing trade concerns—on Friday, the US President Donald Trump announced plans to double tariffs on steel and aluminum to 50%. He also accused China of breaching the recent trade truce.
Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart
Seven days ago, when analysing the EUR/USD chart, we:
→ observed bullish sentiment;
→ highlighted the importance of the 1.1400 resistance level;
→ suggested that bears might attempt to strike back.
Since then, the price has pulled back from the mentioned level (as indicated by the arrow), but found support at the lower boundary of the ascending channel. The current bullish momentum could push EUR/USD towards the psychological level of 1.1500 during the week ahead.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
The range of 1.12-1.14 becomes an "arena"!The EUR/USD exhibited a narrow trading range on the last trading day of this week, with market focus in the evening centered on the upcoming release of the U.S. April core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index data, one of the Federal Reserve's most closely watched inflation indicators. Recently, the U.S. dollar has remained strong amid the Fed's hawkish stance and risk aversion triggered by tariff rhetoric, while the euro has shown some resilience but lacks a clear direction amid a mix of fundamental and technical factors.
Looking ahead, the trajectory of EUR/USD will largely depend on the upcoming U.S. core PCE data and market repricing of Fed policy. If the PCE data meets expectations (month-on-month 0.1%, year-on-year 2.5%), the euro is likely to continue oscillating within the range of 1.1270 to 1.1435, with limited short-term potential to break above the upper Bollinger Band at 1.1435. If the data surprises on the upside, the U.S. dollar could strengthen further, and the euro may test support levels at 1.1200 or even 1.1108. Conversely, if the data is weak, market expectations for a July rate cut by the Fed may intensify, and the euro could challenge resistance at 1.1400 and higher levels.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
EURUSD:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Fundamental Analysis:
A Reuters survey projects the eurozone economy to grow by 0.9% in 2025 and 1.1% in 2026, indicating improved economic expectations.
Meanwhile, a surge in U.S. initial jobless claims and weak economic data have weighed on the U.S. dollar. However, the U.S. Department of Commerce’s upward revision of Q1 GDP contraction estimates introduces some uncertainty.
Technical Analysis:
The 4-hour chart shows a stable "stepped" upward structure. A valid break above the 1.1420 zone could drive prices toward 1.1460–1.1500, while a drop below 1.1330 may extend the pullback to near 1.1200.
Trading Recommendations:
If price fails to break above 1.1420, consider initiating a light short position with a stop-loss set above 1.1450.
Trading Strategy:
Sell@1.14200-1.14000
TP:1.13000-1.12600
Share accurate trading signals daily—transform your life starting now!
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EUR/USD Hits Key Resistance LevelEUR/USD Hits Key Resistance Level
Although financial markets in both the US and the UK are closed for a public holiday today, Donald Trump is keeping traders on their toes. According to a fresh Reuters report, the US President has backed down from his threat to impose 50% tariffs on EU goods from 1 June, following a phone call from European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, who urged him to allow time to “reach a mutually beneficial deal”.
This development has boosted the euro while weighing on the US dollar.
As today's EUR/USD chart shows, the euro has risen to its highest level against the dollar since early May. But can the upward trend continue?
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
The ascending trend channel (highlighted in blue) confirms that bullish sentiment currently dominates. However, the EUR/USD chart also presents two bearish arguments worth noting:
→ The price has reached the upper boundary of the channel, which may act as resistance.
→ The 1.1400 level could also serve as resistance. Note how aggressively bears resisted upward movement in April: even when it appeared that the level had been clearly broken from below, the price failed to hold above it for long.
Given this, it is reasonable to suggest that EUR/USD bears may once again become active — particularly if the fundamental backdrop supports them.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 :
🏴☠️Bullish Entry - "The heist is on! Wait for the MA Pullback at Institutional Hidden Buy Zone (1.11000) & Big Players Verified Trade Zone (1.09000) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
🏴☠️Bearish Entry - "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price.
Stop Loss 🛑:
🚩Thief SL placed at for Bullish Trade (Big Players Verified Trade Zone SL at 1.07000) & (Institutional Hidden Buy Zone SL at 1.09500)
🚩Thief SL placed at 1.13800 for Bearish Trade
Using the 30mins period, the recent / swing low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
🏴☠️Bullish Robbers TP 1.17000 (or) Escape Before the Target
🏴☠️Bearish Robbers TP 1.10500 (or) Escape Before the Target
💰💵💸EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market Heist Plan is currently experiencing a Bearish trend 🐻,., driven by several key factors.
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Detailed Point-by-Point Recap 📋✨
Fundamentals 📊: USD leads due to Fed policy, US growth, and tariffs; EUR limited by Eurozone risks 💵📉.
Macroeconomics 🌐: US resilience contrasts with Eurozone weakness, favoring USD 🚀📉.
Global Markets 🌍: US equities and yields drive USD strength; Eurozone trade woes hurt EUR 📈📉.
COT Data 📉: Bearish speculative positioning supports USD 🐻.
Seasonality 📅: May historically favors USD, aligning with current trends 📉.
Intermarket 🔗: USD benefits from equity/yield correlations; EUR hit by energy costs 📈📉.
Quantitative 📉: Technicals (RSI, Fibonacci, channels) confirm bearish momentum 🐻.
Sentiment 😣: Bearish institutional bias, with retail shorts suggesting short-term EUR bounce 📉📈.
Trend Prediction 🚀📉: Bearish across timeframes, with downside targets at 1.1080, 1.0445, and 1.00 🐻.
Outlook ⭐: Bearish (7/10), with USD dominance likely to persist 💪📉.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Bank Money Heist Plan (Bearish)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk GREEN Zone. It's a Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the Neutral Level breakout then make your move at (1.12600) - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise to Place sell stop orders above the Moving average (or) after the Support level Place sell limit orders within a 15 (or) 30 minute timeframe most NEAREST (or) SWING low or high level for Pullback entries.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
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📌Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 3H timeframe (1.14200) Day/Scalping trade basis.
📌SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 1.10800
💰💵💸EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market Heist Plan (Day Trade) is currently experiencing a Bearish trend.., driven by several key factors.👇👇👇
📰🗞️Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Seasonal Factors, Intermarket Analysis, Inventory and Storage Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Future trend predict.
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⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
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Can EUR/USD hold above the 1.13 threshold?The EUR/USD exchange rate faced selling pressure during the European trading session, falling to around 1.13. The price movement was dragged down by the significantly lower-than-expected Eurozone preliminary PMI data for May, with the composite PMI dropping from 49.5 in April to 50.4, indicating signs of contraction in overall business activity.
From a technical perspective on the daily chart, EUR/USD is currently near the 1.13 level, showing signs of technical adjustment pressure. After forming a high at 1.1572, the price pulled back. The upper band of the Bollinger Bands is at 1.1494, the middle band at 1.13, and the lower band at 1.1110. The current exchange rate is trading precisely near the middle Bollinger Band, a level that typically carries significant support or resistance significance.
In the market, there are no absolutes, and neither upward nor downward trends are set in stone. Therefore, the ability to judge the balance between market gains and losses is your key to success. Let money become our loyal servant.
From a short-term perspective, the bullish trend is expected to The EUR/USD exchange rate continued its upward momentum during the European session and is currently trading near 1.1320. As the US Dollar Index remains under pressure, the EUR/USD rate has gradually climbed. Market sentiment tends to seek alternatives to the US dollar and optimistic expectations of a potential peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine. The euro has performed strongly recently, mainly benefiting from two factors: the market's search for US dollar alternatives and optimistic expectations that the Russia-Ukraine conflict may reach a ceasefire agreement. According to Francesco Pesole, a foreign exchange analyst at ING, the overall European currencies have shown good momentum, with the Swiss franc and Swedish krona ranking among the top in the G10 currency list this week. This reflects that the market is (on one hand) seeking alternatives to the US dollar (Swiss franc), and (on the other hand) may be optimistic about the Russia-Ukraine peace agreement (Swedish krona, Norwegian krona). EUR/USD may continue to test the resistance range of 1.1410-1.1460. If US political uncertainty intensifies or economic data weakens, a breakthrough cannot be ruled out. However, positive US dollar news that may emerge at the G7 summit in Canada may limit the upside of EUR/USD before the end of this week.
In the market, there are no absolutes, and neither upward nor downward trends are set in stone. Therefore, the ability to judge the balance between market gains and losses is your key to success. Let money become our loyal servant.
EUR/USD Regains PaceEUR/USD Regains Pace
EUR/USD started a decent upward move above the 1.1225 resistance.
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today
- The Euro found support and started a recovery wave above the 1.1250 resistance zone.
- There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 1.1280 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 1.1135 zone. The Euro climbed above the 1.1200 resistance zone against the US Dollar.
The pair even settled above the 1.1225 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it tested the 1.1340 resistance. A high is formed near 1.1339 and the pair is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1223 swing low to the 1.1339 high.
Immediate support is near the 1.1310 level. The next major support is at 1.1280. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 1.1280 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1223 swing low to the 1.1339 high.
If there is a downside break below 1.1280, the pair could drop toward the 1.1225 support. The main support on the EUR/USD chart is near 1.1135, below which the pair could start a major decline.
On the upside, the pair is now facing resistance near 1.1340. The next major resistance is near the 1.1420 level. An upside break above 1.1420 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might rise toward 1.1550.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
May it continue to rise!During the European session, EUR/USD broke above 1.1250, extending its second consecutive daily gain amid U.S. dollar weakness following Moody’s rating downgrade. UOB Group FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia noted that after days of range-bound trading, EUR rose to 1.1288 yesterday. However, the increase in momentum is insufficient to signal sustained progress. The euro must first decisively break above 1.1290 to have a chance of rising to 1.1330. Currently, the likelihood of a clear break above 1.1290 remains low, but as long as the pair holds above 1.1165, an upward move in the coming days is plausible.
In the market, there are no absolutes, and neither upward nor downward trends are set in stone. Therefore, the ability to judge the balance between market gains and losses is your key to success. Let money become our loyal servant.
EUR/USD Set for Bullish Continuation: Key Levels to WatchEUR/USD shows strong bullish momentum across all timeframes, signaling a potential continuation rally. On the daily chart, the pair remains above key EMAs (55, 89, 200), with support near 1.1100 and resistance at 1.1228 and 1.1400. The RSI suggests consolidation, but overall structure favors the bulls.
The hourly chart confirms a fresh bullish breakout above the 200 EMA at 1.1215, supported by increased volume and a rising RSI. Price action suggests a retest of the 1.1190–1.1215 zone as a buying opportunity.
On the 15-minute chart, EUR/USD is overbought short-term, but momentum remains strong. A pullback into the 1.1190–1.1200 zone could offer low-risk scalping entries targeting 1.1225–1.1240.
The week-ahead plan favors dip-buying strategies. Initial targets are 1.1250 and 1.1300, with stops below 1.1180. A close above 1.1228 on the daily chart would confirm room for broader upside. Manage risk with staggered entries and hard stops.
EUR/USD Shorts to LongsMy outlook for EU mirrors GU: we may see a sell‑off develop. There’s a nearby 1‑hour supply zone I’m watching, but upside liquidity could invalidate it.
A clean demand zone also awaits mitigation; once touched, it could fuel the next bullish leg. I’ll wait to see which direction price chooses first to determine which POI is hit.
Confluences for EU sells are as follows:
A clean 1‑hour supply that triggered a minor change of character to the downside.
Asian session low and other liquidity pools sit below, inviting a sweep.
Price has been in a multi‑week bearish trend.
DXY structure aligns with this bearish scenario.
P.S. If price pierces the supply, sweeps the upside liquidity, and breaks structure higher, I’ll look for the new demand zone that forms and reassess for potential longs.