EURUSD breakdown?Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Eurusdtrendanalysis
EURUSD TechnicalsFalling wedge pattern on the EUR/USD 4-hour timeframe.
# Typically a bullish reversal or continuation pattern.
# Both support and resistance lines are sloping downward and converging.
# Often declines during the formation, which aligns with what’s visible here.
📈 Implications:
Bullish Bias: A breakout above the upper resistance trendline usually signals a reversal to the upside.
Confirmation: Wait for a breakout with volume to confirm the pattern. False breakouts can happen.
Target: The initial target after a breakout is often the height of the wedge projected upward from the breakout point.
RSI: Currently near oversold levels (~36), suggesting potential upward momentum.
✅ What to Watch For:
Breakout above the upper trendline with a bullish candle and increased volume.
A retest of the broken trendline (now support) for a more conservative entry.
EUR/USD bearish outlookEUR/USD Weekly Outlook – Bearish Scenario in Play
This week’s outlook for EUR/USD is leaning towards a bearish continuation.
Price recently respected the 3H demand zone and gave a clean bullish reaction following the expected Asia low sweep. I didn’t manage to catch an entry as it happened quite late in the day. However, that same demand zone now looks to be weakening, potentially leading to another break of structure to the downside.
Alternatively, we could see price push higher from this demand zone and mitigate the 8H supply zone I’ve marked out — which is the origin of the last break of structure. It’s also a strong POI given its location away from liquidity and at an extreme structural point.
Confluences for EUR/USD Sells:
- Multiple breaks of structure to the downside (pro-trend setup)
- Failing 3H demand zone already mitigated
- Liquidity resting below current price
- Strong 8H supply zone sitting above the Asia highs
- DXY is showing short-term bullish momentum, aligning with EUR/USD bearish movement
P.S. If price doesn’t push higher into the 8H supply zone, I’ll be watching for a new supply zone to form mid-week for a more immediate short opportunity.
Will keep this updated — have a great trading week everyone!
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Trims GainsMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Trims Gains
EUR/USD extended losses and traded below the 1.1250 support.
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today
- The Euro struggled to clear the 1.1380 resistance and declined against the US Dollar.
- There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.1240 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair failed to clear the 1.1380 resistance. The Euro started a fresh decline below the 1.1300 support against the US Dollar.
The pair declined below the 1.1250 support and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the pair tested the 1.1200 level. A low was formed at 1.1196 and the pair is now consolidating losses. The pair is showing bearish signs, and the upsides might remain capped.
There was a minor increase toward the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1381 swing high to the 1.1196 low. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the 1.1240 level.
There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.1240. The next major resistance is near the 1.1290 zone and the 50-hour simple moving average or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1381 swing high to the 1.1196 low.
The main resistance sits near the 1.1335 level. An upside break above the 1.1335 level might send the pair toward the 1.1380 resistance. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 1.1420 level.
On the downside, immediate support on the EUR/USD chart is seen near 1.1200. The next major support is near the 1.1165 level. A downside break below the 1.1165 support could send the pair toward the 1.1120 level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
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Entry 📈 :
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🏁Buy entry above 1.09400
🏁Sell Entry below 1.08000
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Stop Loss 🛑:
🚩Thief SL placed at 1.08700 (swing Trade Basis) for Bullish Trade
🚩Thief SL placed at 1.08700 (swing Trade Basis) for Bearish Trade
Using the 2H period, the recent / swing low or high level.
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Target 🎯:
🏴☠️Bullish Robbers TP 1.10800 (or) Escape Before the Target
🏴☠️Bearish Robbers TP 1.06800 (or) Escape Before the Target
EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market Heist Plan is currently experiencing a neutral trend,., driven by several key factors.
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EUR/USD remains capped below 1.1400, bullish bias prevailsEUR/USD's near-term outlook is neutral. The pair oscillates below a flat 20 SMA, while longer-term (100/200) SMAs maintain upward slopes. Momentum is flat around 100, and the RSI is only slightly higher near 45, suggesting limited upward potential.
#EURUSD Sell Short In H4 #EURUSD Sell Short In H4 , Market in very bullish but we see in daily or weekly TF we see clearcut in market is already formation AMD and we are in continues trend its not happen but going to happen in few weeks , But But But we are looking to H4 demand we see H4 demand is fully liquidity pool either market is going to lower trend either market is fully reversal because see the H4 with Daily TF we see full of Liquidity run , market is already Accumulate then market downside Manipulate then upside Distributed and then market is going to continuation process , we just check the probability of market we don't predict the market just analysis the trend and entry with valid demand and supply with proper Liquidity , without Liquidity swap never entry on a single trade, Liquidity is simple *IRL* *ERL* if you don't find the liquidity then Congratulations 🎊 you are the Liquidity for market ,
KGB Priyabrat Behera
ICT and Advance Mapping SMC Trader.
EURUSD: The range is compressing in the sideway zone. Waiting foThe Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator on the 4-hour chart stays below 50 and EUR/USD failed to make a 4-hour close above the 20-period and 50-period Simple Moving Averages (SMA), reflecting a lack of buyer interest.
On the downside, 1.1300 (static level) aligns as interim support before 1.1270-1.1260 (Fibonacci 238.2% retracement of the latest uptrend, 100-period SMA) and 1.1180 (Fibonacci 50% retracement).
EUR/USD could face strong resistance at 1.1380, where the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level converge with the 20-period and 50-period SMAs. In case EUR/USD manages to stabilize above this resistance, 1.1450 (static level) and 1.1500 (static level, round level) could be seen as next hurdles.
EUR/USD trades with sizeable gains above 1.1500, at over three-yThe Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator on the 4-hour chart rose above 70, reflecting overbought conditions for EUR/USD. On the downside, 1.1500 (mid-point of the ascending channel) aligns as first support before 1.1450 (static level) and 1.1400 (20-period Simple Moving Average).
Looking north, first resistance could be spotted at 1.1600 (static level, round level) ahead of 1.1670 (upper limit of the ascending channel).
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D18 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D18 Y25
Fun Coupon Friday.
Summary
- STILL with HTF Order block (weekly)
- All long positions invalid until weekly close above weekly order block
- Short positions charted
- The more breaks of 15' structure the more confluence for bearish pressure
- Lower time frame turn around in price action REQUIRED in all short positions.
FRGNT X
EUR/USD Long to Short idea (1.08500 up to 1.10500)EUR/USD (EU) Analysis – This Week
This week, EUR/USD looks promising, similar to GBP/USD, with multiple key points of interest (POIs) in close proximity.
A clean, unmitigated 2-hour demand zone sits nearby, which could trigger a bullish rally if price reacts from this level. At the same time, price has been bearish over the past few days, forming a valid 9-hour supply zone from the recent downward push. I’ll be watching to see where price slows down and which liquidity level it targets first.
Confluences for EU Buys:
EU has been bullish for weeks, and this move could be a healthy correction before further upside.
The U.S. dollar remains bearish, aligning with this bullish bias.
A clean 2-hour demand zone has formed, which previously caused a break of structure to the upside.
Imbalances and untapped Asia session highs still need to be taken.
Note: If price breaks below this structural low, I will shift my focus toward sell opportunities. However, if that happens, we’ll know exactly where the ideal entry points for shorts will be.
Euro Rises Above $1.09 Despite Tariff ThreatsThe euro climbed above $1.09, showing unexpected strength after President Trump announced 20% tariffs on all EU imports.
◉ Fundamental Rationale
● The currency got a boost because the U.S. dollar weakened. Trump’s tariffs made trade tensions worse and worried people about slower economic growth.
● Also, new numbers showed Eurozone inflation fell to 2.2% in March, the lowest since November 2024.
● This lower inflation means the European Central Bank doesn’t need to raise interest rates, making the euro more appealing to investors.
◉ Technical Observation
● From a technical perspective, an inverse head and shoulders pattern has formed, hinting at a possible trend reversal.
● A breakout above $1.095 could pave the way for stronger bullish momentum.
EUR/USD Long setup from the 3hr demand zoneSimilar to GBP/USD, I’m looking for long opportunities on EU. My key area of interest is the 3-hour demand zone, where I will wait for price to mitigate and accumulate before entering a position.
Price has also changed character to the upside, further validating this demand zone as a strong point of interest. Additionally, there is a significant amount of liquidity to the upside that needs to be taken.
The next major supply zone I have marked out is the 23-hour supply zone, which is further away. For now, my focus remains on the demand zone—unless price breaks below, creating a new supply level.
Confluences for EU Buys:
- Bullish market structure shift, with a clean demand zone left behind.
- Unmitigated 3-hour demand zone, making it a strong area of interest.
- Liquidity resting above, which price is likely to target.
- DXY has been bearish, aligning with a bullish outlook for EU.
Note: If price breaks structure to the upside without tapping my nearby demand zone, I will either wait for a new demand zone to form or look for a sell-to-buy opportunity from supply.
EURUSD:Analysis of the Profit-making Strategies for Next WeekThe euro against the US dollar once retraced to around 1.0765. Subsequently, it stabilized slightly after the release of the US core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data for February. Since the year-on-year growth rate of this data exceeded expectations, the market's expectation that the Federal Reserve will maintain the current interest rate range of 4.25%-4.50% for a longer time has intensified. Moreover, the United States is set to impose an additional 25% tariff on imported automobiles starting from April 2nd, which adds more uncertainties to the outlook of the euro.
We can focus on the initial resistance level of 1.0850 above. If this level is not breached, one can attempt to short at high levels.
Trading strategy:
Sell@1.0850
TP:1.0750
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EUR/USD Analysis: Next Week's Downward - Swing ProspectsDuring this week, the exchange rate once dipped to 1.0820 and then rebounded. Technically speaking, 1.0880 is a key resistance level. If this level cannot be broken through, the downward risk will intensify. In the short term, the euro-dollar pair is under downward pressure and may fall below 1.0820. The options market shows that the ranges of 1.0745 - 1.0755 and 1.0900 - 1.0910 will be the focus next week. Overall, the euro-dollar pair is likely to show a downward trend with fluctuations next week.
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Are EUR/USD Bulls burnt out yet?...After last week’s monstrous bull move on the EUR/USD, I had short positions at 1.0740 and 1.0795 which I ended up closing because I wanted to wait and see how much momentum this thing had.
I got back in short at an average price of 1.0827 with a modest target at 1.0600. Although it looks like bullish momentum is stalling, I remain cautious.
Resistance at the upper trend-line and Fibonacci (Tesla Number 63.69%) looks to be setting a ceiling so hopefully we begin retracing.
Trading convincingly above 1.0900 would invalidate this EUR/USD trade.
Also, the stock market is currently getting hammered so my put options on TQQQ are looking good thus far as well.
For more in depth analysis on the current positions, refer to my previous video posted.
We’ll see how this one progresses.
Good Luck and Trade Safe.
EUR/USD 1.0600 target hit and cleared. Possible Danger Ahead...Mid week update on the EUR/USD trade: The target has been hit out of the descending broadening pattern and a 343 pip gain at 1.06220 has been locked in.
The EUR/USD made a very strong bullish move today which enabled an exit in the trade however, I am now keeping a very close eye on the possible bearish opportunity coming up if price begins trading around 1.07000 at that upper trend-line.
Both the MACD and the RSI are displaying a continuation divergence (otherwise known as a "Hidden" divergence") and that could spell very bad news for the bulls.
I have done some analysis on the weekly and monthly chart and it further gives me a reason that the bears could be lurking around the corner. I will include that analysis in my next weekly pre market preview video.
For the previous analysis on the EUR/USD and Stock Market down move, refer to my previous video posted.
Update you all soon.
Good Luck & Trade Safe.