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Eurusdupdate

ECB Cuts Rates. EUR/USD Spikes to 1.5-Month HighECB Cuts Rates. EUR/USD Spikes to 1.5-Month High Yesterday, as widely expected, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut interest rates for the eighth time since May 2024. According to ForexFactory, the main refinancing rate was lowered from 2.40% to 2.15% (having stood at 4.50% in May 2024). According to Reuters: → ECB President Christine Lagarde stated that interest rates are now at a “good level”, despite the extremely high uncertainty caused by tariff threats from President Donald Trump. → Following the press conference, markets interpreted the message as a sign that the ECB is unlikely to cut rates again at its next meeting in July. In response to the ECB's decision, the EUR/USD rate jumped to its highest level in a month and a half, but later retreated (as indicated by the arrow) back to previous levels. Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart Four days ago, while analysing the EUR/USD chart, we: → drew an ascending channel; → suggested that bullish momentum could push the EUR/USD rate up to the psychological level of 1.1500 during the current week. In fact, at yesterday’s peak, the rate came very close to 1.1500. However, a candlestick with a long upper shadow had formed on the EUR/USD chart, by the end of the day. Additionally, this morning, the 1.1450 level has acted as a resistance zone. This suggests bearish activity, which could pull the rate down towards the lower boundary of the local channel (outlined in black), and possibly even attempt a breakout below it. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
EUR/USD Awaits ECB Decision Near 1.1400 Amid Rate Cut BetsCMCMARKETS:EURUSD FX:EURUSD EUR/USD is consolidating above the 1.1400 psychological level as markets brace for the European Central Bank’s monetary policy announcement. The ECB is widely expected to cut its Deposit Facility Rate by 25bps to 2.00%, marking its seventh consecutive rate cut since June 2024. Technically, the pair continues to trade within a well-defined ascending channel, reflecting a broader bullish structure. Current price action is facing a minor resistance near 1.1421, which is the top of the short-term range and also a key trendline rejection zone. A clean breakout above this area could expose the monthly resistance near 1.1557. However, if OANDA:EURUSD EUR/USD fails to breach this level initially, a pullback toward 1.1366 (channel base support) is possible before bulls regain control. The bullish setup remains valid as long as price holds above this support zone. Traders should monitor the ECB press conference for signals on whether the central bank may pause further easing later this year. Resistance : 1.1421 , 1.1557 Support : 1.1366 , 1.1250
Long
by ATFX_Global
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Trims GainsMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Trims Gains EUR/USD started a downside correction from the 1.1450 resistance. Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today - The Euro struggled to clear the 1.1450 resistance and declined against the US Dollar. - There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at 1.1395 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen. EUR/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair gained pace for a move above the 1.1300 zone, as mentioned in the previous analysis. The Euro tested the 1.1450 resistance and recently corrected gains against the US Dollar. The pair dipped below 1.1400. There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at 1.1395. It even traded below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1209 swing low to the 1.1454 high. The pair is showing some bearish signs, and upside potential might remain limited. Immediate resistance is near the 50-hour simple moving average at 1.1395. The next major resistance is near the 1.1450 zone. An upside break above the 1.1450 level might send the pair toward the 1.1500 resistance. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 1.1550 level. On the downside, immediate support on the EUR/USD chart is seen near the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1209 swing low to the 1.1454 high at 1.1330. The next major support is near the 1.1300 level. A downside break below the 1.1300 support could send the pair toward the 1.1210 level. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
Euro Pulls Back – Eyes on ECB and Tariff TurmoilCMCMARKETS:EURUSD FX:EURUSD EUR/USD pulled back from a six-week high of 1.1454 to trade near 1.1379, down 0.52% on Tuesday, as strong U.S. labor market data and revived trade tensions lifted the dollar. April JOLTS job openings rose to 7.39M, beating expectations, signaling a resilient U.S. economy despite a 3.7% drop in factory orders. In parallel, Trump’s announcement to double tariffs on steel and aluminum has reignited trade war concerns. Markets are also watching for a potential Trump–Xi call later this week. Meanwhile, the Euro lost ground after May HICP inflation in the Eurozone fell to 1.9%, below the ECB’s 2% target. With core inflation slowing as well, markets have priced in a 25 bps rate cut at Thursday’s ECB meeting. Technically, OANDA:EURUSD EUR/USD is still trading within a rising channel but rejected key minor resistance zone just below the descending trendline. A confirmed breakout above this area could open the path toward monthly resistance near 1.1559. On the downside, Support Zone 1 (around 1.1375) must hold to maintain the bullish bias; further weakness may expose Support Zone 2 (around 1.1338) Resistance : 1.1445 , 1.1559 Support ： 1.1375 , 1.1338
Long
by ATFX_Global
EUR/USD 4H Chart Analysis – May 29, 2025🔍 Market Structure Overview Current Price: 1.12753 Key Zone: Price is hovering at a critical resistance-turned-support area. 🧱 Key Levels Resistance Zone: 1.15639 (🔝 Main Target) Support Zone: 1.10736 (🔻 Main Target) Intermediate Zones: Target One (Bullish): 1.14139 📈 Target One (Bearish): 1.11687 📉 🔄 Scenario Outlook 📈 Bullish Scenario: If price holds above the 1.1275 zone, we could see a climb towards: 1.14139 (minor target) 1.15639 (major resistance & final target) 🚀 Breakout above could indicate continuation of higher highs. 📉 Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold above 1.1275 could push price lower: First support at 1.11687 Final drop towards 1.10736 support zone 🪓 Breakdown could confirm lower low structure. 🧠 Conclusion This is a decision point zone. Wait for confirmation before jumping in. A strong bullish or bearish candle at this level will dictate the next move. Risk management is key here! 🎯
by VikingFx-Community
EUR/USD Rises to 4-Week HighEUR/USD Rises to 4-Week High As shown on the EUR/USD chart today, the euro rose to a 4-week high against the US dollar this morning. The euro's strength relative to the US dollar is supported by traders’ expectations ahead of the ECB's interest rate decision, scheduled for Thursday at 15:15 GMT+3. This upcoming event is notable not only because the ECB is expected to cut rates from 2.40% to 2.15% (for the seventh consecutive time), but also due to the broader context shaped by ECB President Christine Lagarde’s recent remarks on the euro’s status as a reserve currency. At the same time, the US dollar is weakening amid growing trade concerns—on Friday, the US President Donald Trump announced plans to double tariffs on steel and aluminum to 50%. He also accused China of breaching the recent trade truce. Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart Seven days ago, when analysing the EUR/USD chart, we: → observed bullish sentiment; → highlighted the importance of the 1.1400 resistance level; → suggested that bears might attempt to strike back. Since then, the price has pulled back from the mentioned level (as indicated by the arrow), but found support at the lower boundary of the ascending channel. The current bullish momentum could push EUR/USD towards the psychological level of 1.1500 during the week ahead. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
EURUSD Reaches Key Resistance – Reversal or BreakoutEURUSD has rallied back to the 1.1382 resistance level, a zone where price previously rejected multiple times. Current structure suggests price is approaching a decision point, where it may either: Form a double top or head-and-shoulders reversal Or break out toward 1.1573, the next major resistance Key Levels: Resistance: 1.13825 → Critical decision zone Support: 1.11442 → First major downside target Deep Support: 1.10846 → Recent low Scenarios to Watch: 🔹 Bearish Case (Primary Setup) Price fails to break above 1.1382 Reversal candlestick forms below resistance Breakdown may target: 1.1144 (first support) 1.1084 (continuation target) 🔹 Bullish Case (Less Likely Unless Confirmed) Break and close above 1.1382 Bullish continuation to 1.1573 Would signal shift in medium-term trend bias Chart Pattern Notes: Price has made multiple lower highs, but also held structure A triple top or reversal setup is forming unless bulls break decisively Bearish wedge and neckline structures from past price action support downside risk Fundamental Watch: USD volatility from Fed speakers, PMI data Eurozone risk sentiment and ECB inflation comments Correlation with DXY (which is near support) Conclusion: 📌 Rejection at 1.1382 likely leads to downside toward 1.1144 📌 Break above 1.1382 invalidates bearish setup and targets 1.1573 Wait for confirmation candle or momentum before execution.
Short
by ultreosforex
2
EUR/USD Hits Key Resistance LevelEUR/USD Hits Key Resistance Level Although financial markets in both the US and the UK are closed for a public holiday today, Donald Trump is keeping traders on their toes. According to a fresh Reuters report, the US President has backed down from his threat to impose 50% tariffs on EU goods from 1 June, following a phone call from European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, who urged him to allow time to “reach a mutually beneficial deal”. This development has boosted the euro while weighing on the US dollar. As today's EUR/USD chart shows, the euro has risen to its highest level against the dollar since early May. But can the upward trend continue? EUR/USD Technical Analysis The ascending trend channel (highlighted in blue) confirms that bullish sentiment currently dominates. However, the EUR/USD chart also presents two bearish arguments worth noting: → The price has reached the upper boundary of the channel, which may act as resistance. → The 1.1400 level could also serve as resistance. Note how aggressively bears resisted upward movement in April: even when it appeared that the level had been clearly broken from below, the price failed to hold above it for long. Given this, it is reasonable to suggest that EUR/USD bears may once again become active — particularly if the fundamental backdrop supports them. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
EUR/USD pro trend idea from 1.13000EUR/USD Weekly Outlook – Pro Trend Setup in Focus My outlook for EUR/USD this week aligns closely with my GBP/USD analysis, as both pairs tend to move in a similar direction. For EU specifically, price is currently much closer to a valid demand zone, making the pro-trend continuation idea more likely in the short term. After the recent break of structure to the upside, price left behind a well-defined 16H demand zone, which could serve as the base for another bullish rally. There’s also a significant buildup of liquidity above and no major nearby supply zone, so for now, I’ll be focusing solely on pro-trend long setups. If price doesn’t retrace as deep as the 16H demand zone and continues pushing higher, I’ll be on the lookout for a new demand zone to form that we can then trade from. Confluences for EU Buys: - Price is nearing the 16H demand zone that caused the most recent break of structure - Strong bullish momentum on the higher timeframes - Clean liquidity above that remains untapped - DXY continues to move bearish, aligning with a bullish EU outlook P.S. I’ll be watching for an initial pullback during the Asia session to see how price interacts with the 16H demand. Stay alert and trade smart — let the market come to your zones. Have a great trading week, everyone! 🔍📈
Long
by Hassan_fx
2
EUR/USD Regains PaceEUR/USD Regains Pace EUR/USD started a decent upward move above the 1.1225 resistance. Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today - The Euro found support and started a recovery wave above the 1.1250 resistance zone. - There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 1.1280 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen. EUR/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 1.1135 zone. The Euro climbed above the 1.1200 resistance zone against the US Dollar. The pair even settled above the 1.1225 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it tested the 1.1340 resistance. A high is formed near 1.1339 and the pair is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1223 swing low to the 1.1339 high. Immediate support is near the 1.1310 level. The next major support is at 1.1280. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 1.1280 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1223 swing low to the 1.1339 high. If there is a downside break below 1.1280, the pair could drop toward the 1.1225 support. The main support on the EUR/USD chart is near 1.1135, below which the pair could start a major decline. On the upside, the pair is now facing resistance near 1.1340. The next major resistance is near the 1.1420 level. An upside break above 1.1420 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might rise toward 1.1550. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
EURUSD Trade Setup.The chart is a technical analysis setup for EUR/USD on the 1-hour timeframe, suggesting a potential short (sell) trade. Here's a breakdown of the chart and what it's indicating: Chart Overview Pair: EUR/USD Timeframe: 1 Hour (1H) Price at time of capture: ~1.13464 Market Direction Forecast: Bearish (expecting a drop) Trade Plan Breakdown Entry Zone: Between ~1.13708 and 1.13800 The price is expected to enter this zone before reversing. This is marked in the chart "Entry Zone". Stop Loss (SL): Above 1.14006 If the price goes above this level, the trade idea is invalidated. Target 1: 1.13219 This is a potential take-profit zone for partial profit or trailing the stop. Final Target: 1.12595 This is the ultimate profit target if the bearish move fully plays out. Price Action & Projection The current bullish movement is anticipated to hit the "Entry Zone". After hitting this resistance area, a reversal is expected. Two legs of a bearish move are projected down to the final target. Trade Type Sell Setup / Short Position Based on the anticipation of a price rejection from resistance and a reversal downward.
Short
by m_zeeshan3644
EUR/USD Shorts to LongsMy outlook for EU mirrors GU: we may see a sell‑off develop. There’s a nearby 1‑hour supply zone I’m watching, but upside liquidity could invalidate it. A clean demand zone also awaits mitigation; once touched, it could fuel the next bullish leg. I’ll wait to see which direction price chooses first to determine which POI is hit. Confluences for EU sells are as follows: A clean 1‑hour supply that triggered a minor change of character to the downside. Asian session low and other liquidity pools sit below, inviting a sweep. Price has been in a multi‑week bearish trend. DXY structure aligns with this bearish scenario. P.S. If price pierces the supply, sweeps the upside liquidity, and breaks structure higher, I’ll look for the new demand zone that forms and reassess for potential longs.
Short
by Hassan_fx
1
EUR/USD Playbook: Precision Day Trading from Range to BreakoutEUR/USD is in a bullish correction on the daily chart, holding above the 21-EMA with compressed moving averages signaling consolidation. The pair trades in a 1.1170–1.1230 range on the 1-hour chart, presenting ideal day-trading opportunities. Volume spikes at support (1.1170) and weakness near resistance (1.1230) reinforce this range. Use this structure to your advantage: Long near 1.1170–1.1185, backed by EMA ribbon support and RSI recovery from oversold levels. Short near 1.1225–1.1235, where RSI typically overextends and price stalls on weak volume. Use tight stops (5–10 pips) and take profits near range edges. If price breaks and holds above 1.1235, target 1.1265–1.1300 on a bullish continuation. Below 1.1170, expect deeper downside toward 1.1120. Stick with the range until a breakout is confirmed by volume and candle closes.
by BlackCandleTrader
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D16 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D16 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block rejection ✅4H 50 EMA ✅Intraday 15' order blocks ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
EURUSD long.The trading setup on the 1-hour timeframe, and it includes the following key components: Entry Zone: The area is marked as the Entry Zone. Traders are expected to enter a buy position when the price dips into this zone. Approximate entry range: 1.10871 – 1.10567 🔴 Stop Loss (SL): Marked below the Entry Zone. The Stop Loss is placed at around 1.10256. This protects against further downside if the trade setup fails. 🟢 Final Target: The area marks the take profit zone, or Final Target. Target price: 1.12477 This is where the trade is expected to reach if the price moves favorably. 📈 Projection: Two potential upward price paths are shown, indicating: One quick bounce from the Entry Zone. Another scenario where price dips slightly deeper into the Entry Zone before reversing upward. 💬 Summary: This is a long (buy) trade setup where the trader aims to buy near the 1.10500–1.10871 area, sets a stop loss around 1.10256, and targets a profit at 1.12477. The analysis assumes a bullish reversal after the recent downtrend.
Long
by m_zeeshan3644
EUR/USD consolidates ahead of US CPICMCMARKETS:EURUSD EUR/USD holds above the 1.1110 area ahead of key US inflation data. The pair rebounded modestly after finding support near the breakout zone (1.1046-1.1100), but upward momentum is capped by minor resistance at 1.1127. A failure to break above this level may expose the 1.1046 support. Technically, the broader trend remains under pressure, as the pair trades below trendline resistance and recent breakdown levels. The upcoming US CPI release could trigger volatility and provide directional confirmation. Resistance: 1.1127, 1.1212 Support: 1.1046, 1.0960
by ATFX_Global
EURUSD BEARISH PRESSURE .?Technical Analysis: Current Price Movement: The EUR/USD pair has recently dipped below the 1.1200 level, indicating a bearish trend. Resistance and Support Levels: The resistance at 1.14600 remains a significant barrier, while the pair is approaching the support target of 1.09500. Fundamental Factors: US Dollar Strength: The US dollar has gained strength due to positive trade developments and robust employment data. Eurozone Economic Outlook: The Euro faces challenges amid expectations of further rate cuts by the European Central Bank, contributing to its weakness against the dollar. Conclusion: Given the current technical indicators and fundamental factors, the EUR/USD pair is under bearish pressure. Traders should monitor key levels, with a focus on the support at 1.09500 and resistance at 1.14600, to inform their trading strategies
Short
by Zickey_11
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D12 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D12 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block rejection ✅Weekly imbalance ✅Intraday 15' order blocks ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
#EURUSD: At Perfect Area to Swing Sell Worth 1300+ Pips! The FX:EURUSD price is currently showing strong sell momentum, indicating a potential strong bearish trend in the coming time. We’ve already taken two swing sell positions on EURUSD. There are three targets you can set according to your own plan and strategy. The DXY index suggests further price growth in the coming weeks. Please ensure you manage your risk while trading. This is our concept only and does not guarantee the movements we’ve shown in our analysis. Therefore, please conduct your own analysis before taking any swing entry. Good luck and trade safely! Wishing you good luck and safe trading! Thank you for your support! 😊 If you’d like to contribute, here are a few ways you can help us: - Like our ideas - Comment on our ideas - Share our ideas Team Setupsfx_ ❤️🚀
Short
by Setupsfx_
40
EUR/USD bearish outlookEUR/USD Weekly Outlook – Bearish Scenario in Play This week’s outlook for EUR/USD is leaning towards a bearish continuation. Price recently respected the 3H demand zone and gave a clean bullish reaction following the expected Asia low sweep. I didn’t manage to catch an entry as it happened quite late in the day. However, that same demand zone now looks to be weakening, potentially leading to another break of structure to the downside. Alternatively, we could see price push higher from this demand zone and mitigate the 8H supply zone I’ve marked out — which is the origin of the last break of structure. It’s also a strong POI given its location away from liquidity and at an extreme structural point. Confluences for EUR/USD Sells: - Multiple breaks of structure to the downside (pro-trend setup) - Failing 3H demand zone already mitigated - Liquidity resting below current price - Strong 8H supply zone sitting above the Asia highs - DXY is showing short-term bullish momentum, aligning with EUR/USD bearish movement P.S. If price doesn’t push higher into the 8H supply zone, I’ll be watching for a new supply zone to form mid-week for a more immediate short opportunity. Will keep this updated — have a great trading week everyone!
Short
by Hassan_fx
3