Eurusdupdate
Post-Election and FOMC Impact— EURUSDEURUSD Breakdown Analysis
Date : November 7, 2024
Current Level : 1.0740
Forecasted Targets : 1.0800 (Resistance) and 1.0660 (Downside Target)
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Overview:
EURUSD saw a significant drop yesterday, largely due to market reactions to the U.S. election uncertainty. Investors flocked to the dollar as a safe haven, strengthening it and putting EURUSD under downward pressure. The next focal point for the market is today’s FOMC decision, which could set the tone for the pair in the days ahead.
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Election Impact on EURUSD:
The initial dip in EURUSD following the election highlights its sensitivity to U.S. political events. Market sentiment was cautious as investors digested updates, pushing the dollar up and sending EURUSD lower. This movement suggests continued dollar strength unless political clarity reduces the appeal of safe-haven assets.
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Focus on Today’s FOMC Decision:
With the FOMC’s interest rate announcement imminent, we may see additional volatility. While rates are likely to remain unchanged, hawkish commentary or projections for future hikes could support further dollar gains, pushing EURUSD lower. Conversely, a dovish statement could trigger a dollar pullback, allowing EURUSD to approach the anticipated resistance level at 1.0800.
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Technical Analysis and Forecast:
Currently trading at 1.0740, EURUSD is positioned near a key support zone. Short-term technical indicators point to potential resistance around 1.0800, which aligns with critical Fibonacci levels and a prior trendline. The pair may briefly reach this level before a likely reversal due to strengthening dollar fundamentals. Once EURUSD tests 1.0800, we anticipate a decline toward our downside target of 1.0660, a support level with historical significance.
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Conclusion:
Today’s FOMC statement, paired with the ongoing effects of the U.S. election, positions EURUSD for a brief rally toward 1.0800, followed by a downturn targeting 1.0660. This range provides both resistance and support benchmarks, offering potential entry and exit points.
EURUSD 7 Dimension Sell Trade Idea Top-Down View (H4 Analysis):
The H4 timeframe shows that the price has recently formed a Change of Character (CHoCH) and appears to be making a retracement. Despite this pullback, it hasn’t mitigated the higher-timeframe Points of Interest (POI), particularly the unmitigated Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG). Observing H1, we see considerable volatility and uncertainty, possibly indicating attempts to shake out weak-handed traders before a deeper corrective move toward the H1 internal extreme POI for mitigation.
😇 7 Dimension Analysis
🟢Time Frame: H4
🟢Swing Structure:
Bullish with CHoCH: The swing structure is bullish on the H4, with a recent CHoCH indicating a potential shift. An inducement has been observed, and price has just entered the discounted zone, which aligns with the 61% Fibonacci retracement level.
POI and Liquidity Levels: The area of interest includes the 61% & 88% Fibonacci level, liquidity sweeps, and support at the demand zone. Waiting for price to reach this zone and observing its reaction will be critical.
Pattern:
🟢 Chart Patterns:
Double Bottom: Forming as a potential reversal pattern at the discounted zone.
🟢 Candle Patterns:
Long Wick & Momentum Candles: Recent candles show long wicks and momentum on the downside, indicating that bears are still in control of the current session, albeit with limited momentum strength for long-term sustainability.
Volume:
Moderate volume suggests that while sellers are currently dominant, the bearish momentum may not hold for an extended period, reinforcing the expectation of a retracement.
Momentum (RSI):
🟢 Range Shift: Momentum has shifted from bearish to sideways with multiple bullish divergences, suggesting a loss of bearish strength and a potential for reversal or retracement.
Volatility (Bollinger Bands):
🟢 Middle Band Breach: The price has dropped below the middle band, indicating a slight bearish bias.
Expansion Cool-Down: Following a period of expansion, price appears to be consolidating and "cooling down" before the next directional move.
🟢Strength (ROC and Consolidation):
Consolidation Phase: ROC reflects consolidation, supporting the idea that the bearish momentum may pause or weaken, aligning with the expectation of a retracement or sideways movement.
🟢Rating: ⭐⭐⭐
Probability: 65%
This setup has a moderate confidence level for a short-term sell entry, considering the confluence of factors on both the H4 and refined lower time frames.
🟢Trade Setup:
Entry Details:
Entry Time Frame: 15-Minute (15M)
Entry TF Structure: Bearish (for counter-trend entry in a corrective move)
Point of Interest (POI): Extreme Fair Value Gap (FVG)
Trade Execution:
💡 Decision: Sell Limit
🚀 Entry: 1.8747
✋ Stop Loss: 1.0888
🎯 Take Profit: 1.07927
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 6.94 RR
🕛 Expected Duration: 1 Day
SUMMARY:
This H4-based top-down analysis with entry refinement on the 15M timeframe provides a short-term sell opportunity within a bullish higher timeframe structure. Price action, volume, and momentum indicators suggest a potential bearish pullback toward the 15M POI, aligning with the 61% Fibonacci level and significant liquidity areas. The setup targets a short-term retracement with a high reward-to-risk ratio, with the expectation that price may retrace to mitigate lower timeframe liquidity levels before resuming the bullish trend.
EURUSD Set For Possible Bullish Breakout? Key Price Action Signa👀👉 EURUSD is demonstrating bullish momentum across the monthly, weekly, daily, and 4H charts. I'm closely watching for a potential buying opportunity, aligning with the key criteria covered in the video. In this analysis, we’ll pinpoint essential price action signals to track and outline strategic positioning for the next potential move. *Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. 📊✅
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EURUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Long Opportunity on EUR USD 4H timeframe On Weekly and Daily We have a Clear downtrend, At the Moment we expect a possible correction to up 1.09300 Level.
According to Breakout downtrend line
After retest of the broken Trend line.
According to Convergence on CCI.
Level up of Zero on CCI.
According to Positive Price Action
Using Fibonacci Retracement to detecting our Target.
That Analysis will be canceled if Price hit SL @ 1.07800.
Eurusd might go up from hereHello everyone, there’s a strong possibility that the EUR/USD could move higher from its current level.
As always, it's essential to apply proper money management and never trade without setting an appropriate stop-loss. Remember, trading is a game of probabilities, so your success should be evaluated over a series of trades, not just one.
Thanks!
EURUSD Technical Analysis and Managing Your Trade👀👉 EURUSD has faced recent selling pressure, creating a potential opportunity for short-term day traders. In this video, we will break down the price action, assess the current trend and market structure, and look at how we can manage this trade. Risk Disclaimer: Forex trading carries substantial risks, and market conditions can shift unexpectedly. This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. 📉✅
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
#EURUSD: 500+ Pips With Four Targets! Comment Your View! The EURUSD currency pair experienced a decline due to the robust bullish reversal of the DXY index, which ended a prolonged period of bearish dominance. Notably, the price exhibited an impulse pattern characterised by the absence of corrective movements. This pattern is generally viewed positively by traders seeking swing buy opportunities in the EURUSD market. It is important to recognise that such patterns are often influenced by fundamental factors rather than the volume of sell entries. Consequently, when these fundamental influences subside, the price tends to retrace and resume its original price trajectory.
Regarding take profits, a strategy involving four distinct take profit levels is employed. This approach entails taking profits sequentially, with each successful take profit resulting in the closure of 25% of open positions and the subsequent setting of the next take profit level. It is crucial to emphasise that this analysis does not constitute financial advice, and individuals should conduct their own research and make informed decisions. The purpose of this educational chart is to provide insights into price movements and the underlying processes.
Wishing you the best of luck and safe trading. Please feel free to express your appreciation by liking and commenting on this idea. Additionally, consider following for access to more valuable content.
Team Setupsfx_
EURUSD Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀👉 EURUSD has faced recent selling pressure, creating a potential opportunity for short-term day traders. In this video, we will break down the price action, assess the current trend and market structure, and highlight a possible trade setup. Risk Disclaimer: Forex trading carries substantial risks, and market conditions can shift unexpectedly. This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. 📉✅
Double Top Pattern on EURUSD - Trendline BreakdownHello,
EURUSD broke down the rising trendline from the previous analytics. This was to be expected because rising trendlines usually break down over time. The double top pattern on the chart, along with a weak second top on the MACD, casts a bearish shadow onto the chart. Right now isn't optimal to enter shorts, but for educational purposes, you can see the two shorts I opened on the chart.
Regards,
Ely
#EURUSD 1DAYEUR/USD 1-Day Chart Analysis:
Pattern: The EUR/USD currency pair is forming a channel pattern on the 1-day chart. This indicates that the price has been moving between two parallel trendlines, where the upper trendline acts as resistance and the lower trendline acts as support. The pattern suggests that the market is in a consolidation phase with no clear breakout direction yet.
Forecast: Sell. Given the current market structure, the EUR/USD appears to be closer to the resistance of the channel, which often provides opportunities for short-selling. A bearish reversal at the top of the channel could lead to a downside move towards the lower trendline. Traders might look for bearish signals such as a rejection of the upper trendline, decreasing momentum, or bearish candlestick patterns before entering a short position.
Risks: A breakout above the upper trendline could invalidate the sell signal and suggest potential upside. Therefore, it is crucial to monitor the price action closely around key levels.
EURUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.