EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D18 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D18 Y25
Fun Coupon Friday.
Summary
- STILL with HTF Order block (weekly)
- All long positions invalid until weekly close above weekly order block
- Short positions charted
- The more breaks of 15' structure the more confluence for bearish pressure
- Lower time frame turn around in price action REQUIRED in all short positions.
FRGNT X
Eurusdupdate
EuroDollar : When Does the Dust Settle? Tariffs 25'Rather quiet to begin the week as the EuroDollar remains unchanged during the Initial 3 sessions of the week. A "Doji" Daily Candle printed, informing us those of us more technically minded to write off the day's price behavior and look to preceding candles for indication of future direction. It is important to note the longer top wick of 38.5 pips versus the 23.5 pips bottom wick. We can observe yet another daily candle wicking into the Weekly level 1.087. This Price remains very important in the short term because it may facilitate a pullback on EurUsd to the downside. This follows a historic Week of volatility for the EuroDollar as Trumps Tariffs shook the markets to say the least.
If we are considering Bullish targets for the week, Daily Level 1.093 , or even Daily Level 1.098 which would be the most generous for buyers. When fundamentals are this strong, it's more difficult to discount those larger, irrational moves that you see in the markets sometimes. So although one could argue how over-extended the EuroDollar is, we must remember the game we are playing.
In Considering Bearish targets, a retest of Daily Support level 1.0786 seems reasonable. A Deeper retracement could see price around 1.0694 , the beginning of Last Tuesdays very clean bullish NY session. A pullback seems technically sound, considering the outlier and extent of last weeks upside move.
Job Openings on Tuesday is the appetizer to the
Inflation CPI data on Wednesday which will surely see some volatility rock these already rattled markets.
CPI/Inflation is forecasted to Cool for the Dollar which technically supports more strength for the Euro and a further upside push for this pair.
Please Leave a rocket or comment if you enjoyed this Analysis. Have a good trading week !
WHY EURUSD IS BULLISH ?? DETAILED ANALYSISEURUSD has officially broken out of a clean bullish pennant pattern on the 4H chart, confirming the bullish momentum that has been building over the past week. After a sharp rally, price consolidated within a contracting range, forming the classic pennant shape. With the breakout now confirmed and price currently trading at 1.106, I’m anticipating a continuation toward the projected target at 1.143 — offering a potential 300+ pip gain in this move.
Technically, the breakout is supported by increasing bullish volume, strong impulse candles, and a clear structure of higher lows. The pennant served as a healthy consolidation zone, allowing buyers to regain control before the next leg up. Price has respected support at 1.096 and is now printing bullish continuation signals with momentum indicators pointing north.
Fundamentally, today’s market sentiment favors EUR strength, especially as the US dollar comes under pressure due to rising expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts later in the year. Inflation data in the eurozone remains sticky, supporting the ECB’s cautious stance on monetary easing. Meanwhile, weaker US labor market data and softening retail figures are weighing on dollar demand.
With both technicals and fundamentals aligned, I’m expecting further upside on EURUSD. The structure is solid, the breakout is clean, and sentiment supports continued bullish flow. I’ll be holding my bias firmly bullish unless the price falls back below 1.096, which would invalidate the setup. For now, all eyes are on 1.120 short term and eventually 1.143 as the full pennant projection completes.
EUR/USD Long to Short idea (1.08500 up to 1.10500)EUR/USD (EU) Analysis – This Week
This week, EUR/USD looks promising, similar to GBP/USD, with multiple key points of interest (POIs) in close proximity.
A clean, unmitigated 2-hour demand zone sits nearby, which could trigger a bullish rally if price reacts from this level. At the same time, price has been bearish over the past few days, forming a valid 9-hour supply zone from the recent downward push. I’ll be watching to see where price slows down and which liquidity level it targets first.
Confluences for EU Buys:
EU has been bullish for weeks, and this move could be a healthy correction before further upside.
The U.S. dollar remains bearish, aligning with this bullish bias.
A clean 2-hour demand zone has formed, which previously caused a break of structure to the upside.
Imbalances and untapped Asia session highs still need to be taken.
Note: If price breaks below this structural low, I will shift my focus toward sell opportunities. However, if that happens, we’ll know exactly where the ideal entry points for shorts will be.
#EURUSD: Two Opportunities In One Chart, What do you see? Price has shown bullish behaviour exhaustion, and it's at a point where we see a total meltdown in prices. This is an excellent scenario for traders who trade on what the chart shows us rather than selling or buying only. We can utilise both these entries when prices do show a strong indication at either of our levels.
If you like our work, then do like and comment on the idea, which will boost us to post more such ideas. ❤️🚀
Euro at Critical Demand – Is the Trend About to Flip?Euro reached an important zone for my setup, triggering a long position. Although it’s still trending below the fibcloud on the 4H timeframe, we’ve seen a solid 0.5% recovery from the recent low. I’m looking for this area to hold as support, with defined risk in case the setup invalidates.
Technicals:
• Price tapped into a major 4H support level where liquidity historically steps in.
• The current move marks a 0.5% bounce from the low, showing early signs of demand.
• Still trading below the fibcloud, but a reclaim of that zone would open the path toward 1.0850.
• Setup includes a stop-loss below the most recent wick low, with a clear structure to build a higher low.
Fundamentals:
EUR-side strength:
• ECB maintains a slower pace of rate cuts compared to the Fed.
• Growth and inflation in the Eurozone are still challenges, but the ECB’s hawkish stance continues to support medium-term EUR strength.
• The ECB may hike another 150 bps to reach a 4% terminal rate, which favors EUR upside.
USD-side risks:
• Trump announced plans to impose a 25% tariff on all car imports, including from the EU-adding geopolitical and trade uncertainty.
• Traders remain cautious around further escalation in US-EU trade tensions.
• US Initial Jobless Claims later today could bring weakness to the dollar if the data disappoints.
In short, while the USD remains resilient, the EUR fundamentals and the current technical zone make this a compelling spot for a bounce.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
EUR/USD Long setup from the 3hr demand zoneSimilar to GBP/USD, I’m looking for long opportunities on EU. My key area of interest is the 3-hour demand zone, where I will wait for price to mitigate and accumulate before entering a position.
Price has also changed character to the upside, further validating this demand zone as a strong point of interest. Additionally, there is a significant amount of liquidity to the upside that needs to be taken.
The next major supply zone I have marked out is the 23-hour supply zone, which is further away. For now, my focus remains on the demand zone—unless price breaks below, creating a new supply level.
Confluences for EU Buys:
- Bullish market structure shift, with a clean demand zone left behind.
- Unmitigated 3-hour demand zone, making it a strong area of interest.
- Liquidity resting above, which price is likely to target.
- DXY has been bearish, aligning with a bullish outlook for EU.
Note: If price breaks structure to the upside without tapping my nearby demand zone, I will either wait for a new demand zone to form or look for a sell-to-buy opportunity from supply.
EURUSD Weekly Candle RangeTrading is hard but it's simple.
On the 1W, EURUSD traded into a key zone and ended with a long wick, indicating a strong rejection. I'm looking to find entries in the wick area and targeting CRH for the rest of the week. Do have a lovely weekend. For me, I'd be looking at ETHUSDT 😅
EURUSD:Today's trading strategyThe EUR/USD is fluctuating and consolidating around 1.0790, having weakened for six consecutive trading days previously. US President Trump's announcement of imposing a 25% tariff on imported automobiles and their components starting from April 2nd has made the market worried that the economic and trade relations between the US and major economies are facing more uncertainties.
As can be seen from the chart, the EUR/USD has continuously declined. After hitting a low of 1.0732 at the lowest, it stabilized and rebounded. Currently, it is trading within the range of 1.0780-1.0790. If the exchange rate can break through the resistance level of 1.0830 above, it is expected to test the 1.09 mark. If it is blocked and pulls back, one should be vigilant about retesting the support area of 1.0732 again. In the short term, the EUR/USD may continue to have a wide range of fluctuations within the range of 1.0700-1.0830.
Trading strategy:
Sell@1.0830
TP:1.0730
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Break or Bounce? EUR/USD OpportunityHi Traders! The price is in a descending channel and is testing the lower boundary.
🔹 Scenarios:
Buy if it breaks above 1.0845, with a stop loss at 1.0790 and targets at 1.0870, 1.0900, and 1.0950.
Sell if it breaks below 1.0780, with a stop loss at 1.0830 and targets at 1.0750, 1.0720, and 1.0700.
📊 RSI is in the oversold zone—a potential bounce is possible! Watch the price action closely.
📢 Stay updated with live market movements!
🔥 Smash that like button and show some energy! Let’s trade like pros!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
EURUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Matador the EUR/USD Bull? - Bears about to jump in?After the previous 3 weeks of bullish havoc, the bears may have finally decided to pump the breaks on EUR/USD buyers.
As price continued to push higher, I held on to short positions that I began building up at 1.0851 & 1.0909 as I wanted to wait and see if the Pivot level R1 area (1.0935) was going to provide the wall to begin declining back down.
Once I saw the lack of advancement, I opened another strong short position at 1.0912 and now sitting at an overall average price of 1.0891.
I like this trade, however I am still staying cautious on that 1.0800 level. I want to see this price point clearly broken and trading below it, otherwise I will keep my stop at a close break-even point for risk protection. Overall, so far so good but we need to break through 1.0800.
From a purely technical analysis point of view, I see a small scale rising broadening pattern and this usually indicates a drop to the starting point of the pattern will take place however, If we drop aggressively, I may eye that 1.0600 level again which will lock in almost 300 pips but as I just said, these patterns usually return to their starting point so 1.0300 or below is not out of the question. I guess it depends on how the price action is looking whether I'd close or hold.
1.0600 is around the yearly pivot point so that is a good marker to shoot for IMO. Interestingly, the MACD and RSI show a rising broadening pattern as well so that gives me a little bit more conviction in this trade.
I see some other markers for this trade as well but I will share that in my next upcoming market preview video since it'd be too much to type.
As always, Good Luck & Trade Safe
EUR/USD – Bullish Breakout Setup 🔹 Overview:
EUR/USD remains in an ascending channel and is currently near the support zone. A bullish move is anticipated toward the 1.12150 - 1.12382 resistance zone, aligning with the overall trend.
🔹 Technical Analysis:
✅ Support Zone: Holding at 1.07916, acting as a key demand area.
✅ Ascending Channel: Price structure remains bullish, with higher highs and higher lows.
✅ Target: Resistance around 1.12382 aligns with a possible breakout.
🔹 Trade Idea:
📌 Long Entry: Around the support zone if bullish confirmation appears.
📌 Target: 1.12150 - 1.12382 resistance zone.
📌 Invalidation: Break below 1.07916 could shift momentum bearish.
📊 Sentiment: Bullish bias, waiting for confirmation.
📢 Will EUR/USD hit the target? Let’s discuss! 👇
EUR/USD Continued strength or FOMC Fallout?In this analysis I go over the EUR/USD and it's potential for further gains or a weakening bull and drop.
I expect a volatile week considering it's FOMC on Wednesday and ECB speaking on Friday.
Additionally, I share my outlook on ETF's I'm involved in. Currently in QQQE Put Option and closed my TQQQ Put for 30% gains last week.
As always, Good Luck and Trade Safe.
Why EURUSD is still Bullish? Detailed Fundaments and technicals EURUSD is showing strong bullish momentum, currently trading around 1.087 and bouncing as predicted. The pair has respected key support levels, confirming the continuation of the **uptrend**. With increasing buying pressure, we anticipate further upside movement toward the main target of 1.1200. The **bullish structure remains intact**, and if this momentum sustains, eurusd could soon hit the projected target.
From a technical perspective, the pair has formed a solid base near recent support, aligning with key **fibonacci retracement levels** and previous demand zones. A break above **1.0900 psychological resistance** will add further confirmation to the bullish bias, leading to a potential rally toward **1.1000 and beyond**. Traders should look for volume confirmation and price action signals for additional entry opportunities.
On the fundamental side, the **us dollar is facing slight weakness**, primarily due to shifting Federal Reserve expectations and lower bond yields. Meanwhile, **eurozone economic data** has shown resilience, supporting the euro’s strength. If risk sentiment remains positive and economic conditions continue improving, eurusd could maintain its bullish trajectory and test higher resistance levels.
Overall, eurusd is still in a bullish phase, and with strong buying momentum, the price is on track to reach the **1.1200 target**. Traders should monitor key levels and market sentiment for potential breakout confirmations.
EUR/USD at Key Resistance: Is a Major Retrace Coming? 💹📉
In this video, we dive deep into the EUR/USD currency pair and analyze the current market conditions. 📊 At the moment, the pair is overextended and trading into a critical weekly resistance level. 🚨 There's a high probability that the buy orders driving the price higher will interact with the buy stops resting at this zone, potentially triggering a significant retracement. 🔄 Join me as we break down the trend, price action, and market structure, and explore a potential trade idea based on these insights. 🧠💡 Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting out, this analysis will give you valuable perspectives on how to approach key levels in the market. ⚠️ This is not financial advice—always trade responsibly! ⚠️
Don't forget to like, comment, and subscribe for more market insights! 👍📈✨
Are EUR/USD Bulls burnt out yet?...After last week’s monstrous bull move on the EUR/USD, I had short positions at 1.0740 and 1.0795 which I ended up closing because I wanted to wait and see how much momentum this thing had.
I got back in short at an average price of 1.0827 with a modest target at 1.0600. Although it looks like bullish momentum is stalling, I remain cautious.
Resistance at the upper trend-line and Fibonacci (Tesla Number 63.69%) looks to be setting a ceiling so hopefully we begin retracing.
Trading convincingly above 1.0900 would invalidate this EUR/USD trade.
Also, the stock market is currently getting hammered so my put options on TQQQ are looking good thus far as well.
For more in depth analysis on the current positions, refer to my previous video posted.
We’ll see how this one progresses.
Good Luck and Trade Safe.
FX Pre Market Analysis - Is the EUR/USD explosion slowing down?In this week's pre market analysis video, I go over the completed EUR/USD trade and what I'm looking for moving forward. The EUR/USD had an explosive bullish move last week however, there could be indications of momentum slow down.
Currently holding short at 1.0815 and would like to see us stay below 1.0900 - 1.9500 max for a pullback towards 1.06000.
The long term perspective could indicate a pullback out of a large triangle formation, followed by equal or new lows below 1.0000.
Good Luck and Trade Safe.
EUR/USD Ready to DROP? | Monthly FVG Sell Zone in Focus! 💰 Smart Money Preparing for a Bearish Move on EUR/USD!
The EUR/USD is reacting from a key Monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG) and is currently in a Monthly Corrective Phase (CRT). This signals that institutions might be positioning for a larger bearish move.