EURUSD Shorts from 1.09400 down towards 1.08000EU is currently exhibiting a similar pattern to other pairs, and my current stance for this currency pair is bearish. I'm patiently waiting for the 12hr supply zone to be mitigated, considering it as the nearest opportunity of interest for me. This aligns with the overall higher time frame trend, which is bearish.
Upon the mitigation of this zone, my plan involves waiting for a Wyckoff distribution to unfold within the specified area. Ideally, I will be looking for the Asian high within the zone to be swept. Following this occurrence, I will then be looking for selling opportunities back down to address the imbalances left below.
Confluences for EU sells are as follows:
- 12hr Supply zone caused a BOS to the downside on the higher time frame
- Imbalances and liquidity below that needs to get taken as well as a demand zone that needs mitigating.
- Overall trend of the market is bearish on the higher time frame.
- We are currently witnessing a pullback and I'm looking for my POI to continue this trend.
P.S. While I maintain a bearish outlook, I acknowledge the presence of equal highs above my zone, which could potentially lead to a break beyond my supply. In such a scenario, I recognize that price might aim for higher levels to enter a more premium area.
HAVE A GREAT TRADING WEEK AHEAD!
Eurusdupdate
EURUSD Seasonal & Technical Analysis: In this comprehensive video analysis, we delve into the technical indicators and historical patterns of the EURUSD currency pair, aiming to provide valuable insights for traders and investors. Our analysis strongly suggests the continuation of bearish momentum for EURUSD.
Starting with the weekly and daily time frames, we identify prominent head and shoulder patterns that are indicative of a potential downturn in the market. These patterns often serve as reliable signals for trend reversals, and their presence across multiple time frames enhances their significance.
Furthermore, our analysis extends to the seasonal aspect, where a decade-long examination reveals a compelling trend. Over the past 10 years, a remarkable 80% of the time between January 17th and March 1st has seen bearish movements in the EURUSD. This historical trend strengthens the argument for a continued bearish trajectory in the upcoming weeks.
Whether you're a seasoned trader or someone looking to understand the dynamics of the currency markets, this video analysis provides a comprehensive overview of the technical factors and historical trends supporting the belief that EURUSD is poised for a sustained bearish phase. Stay informed and make well-informed decisions by tuning in to this in-depth analysis.
EURUSD Lokking BearishExpanding upon our prior analysis, the Euro has reached the predetermined target at 1.08991 and is currently exhibiting a strong positive response within this specific zone. This observed market behavior instills confidence, and we foresee a prolonged upward trajectory in the Euro-Dollar chart in the hours ahead. This ongoing positive trend reinforces our conviction in the potential for sustained Euro strength against the Dollar.
EURUSD: The USD is quiet with low trading volumeThe dollar was weak in early European trading on Monday as traders weighed the possibility of an early interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve and a U.S. holiday slowed trading volume.
At 4:35 p.m. ET (9:35 p.m. Japan time), the dollar index, which tracks the U.S. dollar against a basket of six other currencies, was trading 0.1% higher at 102.242 as the holiday began. Martin Luther King Jr.
Data released on Friday showed the U.S. producer price index unexpectedly fell in December, increasing traders' expectations that the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates as early as this year.
According to the CME FedWatch tool, the market now has a 78% chance that the Fed will start cutting interest rates in March, compared to a 68% chance a week ago.
This week's US statistical calendar is quiet, with the focus on retail sales figures scheduled to be released on Wednesday. Investors will be closely watched for signs that consumer spending, a key driver of economic growth, remains resilient despite rising interest rates.
Retail sales are expected to increase by 0.4% in December, following a 0.3% increase in November.
Investors will also have the opportunity to hear from several Fed officials, including Fed President Christoper Waller, Atlanta Fed President Rafael Bostic, and San Francisco Fed President Mary Daley.
The value of the euro rose even though Germany's GDP fell
In Europe, the euro/USD pair edged up to 1.0953, even as data showed the eurozone's largest German economy contracted by 0.3% in the final quarter of the year. Last year and he will decrease by the same amount throughout 2023. But despite this weakness, recent inflation data largely confirms the European Central Bank's current thinking, meaning rate cuts are not on the table in the short term, said ECB chief economist Philippe. Lane said Friday.
Eurozone inflation rose to 2.9% in December from 2.4% in November.
EURUSD Longs from 1.08000 back upCurrently, EURUSD has been in a prolonged range, gathering significant liquidity. Given the current state of equilibrium, I am not actively seeking trades at this moment. However, I anticipate a potential move to unfold, continuing the bullish trend. For now, I will be patiently waiting for a breakout before considering any trading opportunities.
There is another plausible scenario where price breaks above to mitigate the 10-hour supply zone, leading to a bearish reaction. This possibility is valid, considering the imbalances just below that need filling and liquidity that requires sweeping.
My confluences for EURUSD buys are as follows:
- A 10-hour demand zone below triggered a new CHOCH to the upside.
- The overall short-term trend is bullish, aligning with this idea.
- Imbalance above the demand signals a favourable reaction at my POI.
- Abundant liquidity above, including trend lines and untouched Asian highs.
- Price needs to dip to a significant demand level for an upward rally to persist.
- I also expect the dollar to keep dropping indicating that EU will keep going up.
P.S. As price is still considerably distant from any nearby Points of Interest (POI), I am content to wait patiently and refrain from taking any immediate action until price triggers one of the levels I am monitoring.
Have a great trading week ahead!
EURUSD END-WEEK ANALYSIS 2 UPDATE 08/10/2023 Market Update: A Shift in EUR/USD Sentiment
As anticipated, we witnessed a small pullback in EUR/USD, hinting at a bearish trend resumption. However, the market structure has taken an unexpected turn. Heading into next week, I'll be shifting my focus towards long positions. Stay flexible, adapt to changing conditions, and, as always, manage risk diligently. 🚀💹 #EURUSD #Forex #TradingView #TradingStrategy
THIS IS THE SAME FOR ALL THE OTHER MAJOR PAIRS
EURUSD 11/01Pair : EURUSD ( Euro / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves at Previous Strong Resistance and making its " A - wxy " Corrective Wave. Bullish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Long Time Frame and Consolidation Phase in Short Time Frame , Wait for the Breakout and Retracement
EURUSD Longs from 1.09200 or @1.08000 Back upEURUSD shares a similar bias with GU, but the price exhibits more imbalances and liquidity at greater distances. While there is a 50-minute demand zone near the current price, I anticipate only a minor reaction from it. My primary buying opportunities are within the 10-hour demand zone, which offers a more discounted price.
Alternatively, there's a possibility that price continues its upward movement, reaching the 10-hour supply zone above. This represents a promising Point of Interest (POI) for me, where I expect price to undergo distribution before a potential sell-off. However, at the moment, I'm patiently waiting for price to accumulate within either of my demand zones to capture buying opportunities along this temporary bullish trajectory.
Confluences for EURUSD buys are as follows:
- Bullish pressure weakens, evident in a CHOCH and confirmed by a BOS
- A 11hr demand zone below triggered a break of structure to the upside.
- The market trend is bullish, aligning with this idea.
- Imbalance above the demand signals favourable reaction at my POI.
- Abundant liquidity above, including trend lines and untouched Asian highs.
- Price needs to dip to a significant demand level for an upward rally to persist.
- Lots of imbalances lying below that need filling before price continues to ascend.
P.S. Although my long-term outlook for this market remains bearish, I will be actively seeking buying opportunities for EURUSD as the dollar continues to exhibit a bearish trend.
EURUSD SELLHello, According to my analysis of the EURUSD pair, the pair seems to be in a very negative state. With the break of the ascending channel with a large red candle indicating the strength of sellers. The strong support at 1.10000 level was broken. All of these factors confirm that we will witness further declines in the coming days. Good luck everyone.
💡 EURUSD: Forecast January 3The buyers were unable to hold the 1.10 resistance zone as the selling pressure rapidly increased, penetrating this resistance with a very strong force. It is likely that the price will continue to go down with these developments, the target is The next step will be around the lower border of the rising price channel. Trend followers patiently wait. If there is a notable price increase signal in this area, then they should consider entering new buying positions.
EURUSD: The fate of the USD depends on the Fed's 2024 movesThe US dollar has been relatively stable this year, having strengthened significantly following the Fed's rate hike in 2022, but could face downward pressure in 2024 if the Fed cuts rates as expected. . The dollar has fallen only 2% against other major currencies this year, its first annual decline since 2020, supported by strong U.S. economic growth and the Federal Reserve's efforts to keep borrowing costs high. Ta.
The Fed's surprising shift in stance came at its December meeting, when Chairman Jerome Powell suggested a sharp rate hike cycle that would send interest rates soaring to multi-decade highs was likely. It ended due to falling inflation. This has led to expectations for a 75 basis point (bp) rate cut next year, with the dollar weakening as lower interest rates generally make U.S. assets less attractive to profit-seeking investors. There is a possibility that Strategists are expecting a weaker dollar next year, but the possibility of an earlier rate cut could accelerate the dollar's weakness. But the strong U.S. economy could pose a challenge for those betting on the dollar. Kit Jacks, chief currency strategist at Société Générale (OTC:SCGLY), said aggressive monetary policy and growth stimulus in the US led to strong dollar strength. La, just like in the 1980s. Impending policy changes could eliminate some of these gains. The development of the dollar is particularly important given its central role in global finance. A weaker dollar could benefit the United States by making exports more competitive and increasing multinational corporations' profits when converting foreign earnings into dollars. According to FactSet, about a quarter of S&P 500 companies (INDEXSP: INX companies) derive more than half of their revenue from international markets.
A December survey of 71 foreign exchange strategists predicted the dollar would weaken against G10 currencies in 2024, with most of the decline occurring in the second half of this year. The outcome will likely depend on the relative performance of the US economy and the speed with which central banks around the world adjust their policies. The European Central Bank is resisting pressure to cut interest rates to fight inflation as the euro zone struggles with a deepening economic downturn. The euro has appreciated more than 3% against the dollar this year. In contrast, Neuberger Berman's Thanos Baldas remains bullish on the dollar over the next 12 months, citing continued weakness in economies outside the United States.
EURUSD Longs from 1.09600 up towards 1.11000My forecast for this week aligns with my plan for GU as anticipated, with some minor adjustments. The concepts remain consistent, but the positioning is extended due to the trend line liquidity near the current price. I expect this liquidity and the Asian low to be taken out, leading price down towards the 5hr demand zone.
Upon the formation of a Wyckoff accumulation pattern, I plan to initiate buy positions, targeting a move back up towards the 10hr supply zone located at the psychological level of 1.11000. This pair is currently favourable for me, exhibiting ideal price structure and aligning with a pro-trend perspective.
Confluences for EURUSD Buys are as follows:
- Unmitigated 5hr Demand zone has been left which caused a major BOS to the upside.
- Temporary trend is also bullish as price has broken structure once again.
- DXY is still looking bearish meaning that EURUSD is expected to rise.
- Trend line on top of demand is a good sign as price will sweep liquidity before entering.
- In order for price to continue in its bullish course, it must ideally react off a demand level.
P.S. While I anticipate an initial drop to mitigate the demand, I acknowledge the possibility of remaining upside. This could lead price to react off the 10hr supply, subsequently eliminating the trendline liquidity below.
HAPPY NEW YEARS TO ALL OF YOU AND HOPE THIS YEAR BRING EVERYONE PROFITABILITY AND CONSISTENCY. LETS CATCH THESE PIPS!
BULLISH TRENDS (closing 2023) EUR/USD currency pair is exhibiting a bullish trend Presently 1.10560 and we are aiming the bullish trend however the dx is still on declind at 101.390 and expected to reach 100.90 the lower high supply zone area.
if 1.1075-1.1085 lower high resistances are broken next target will be 1.1220.personally i expect Eurusd will be on long run.
EURUSD Longs from 1.09550 or 1.09200I anticipate EURUSD to wait for a decline in selling pressure and for the price to enter a demand zone, providing an opportunity for an upward buy. Currently, my focus lies on the two 5-hour demand zones that triggered the recent CHOCH.
This bias is more favorable as it aligns with the existing bullish trend in the EURUSD market. Despite my overall bearish outlook on this market, the ongoing bullish rallies remain robust. Furthermore, I anticipate further upside in the market to eventually reach a more premium supply zone.
Confluence for EURUSD Buys are as follows:
- Lots of liquidity left above in the form or trend lines and asian highs.
- Two demand zones on the 5hr time frame that has caused a CHOCH to the upside.
- This idea aligns with the temporary bullish trend that EURUSD has generated.
- Selling pressure is slowly getting exhausted and is pending an accumulation.
- For price to continue going higher and create a new leg it must react off a near demand.
P.S. The price has responded to a 50-minute supply zone, initiating bearish momentum. Now, I am anticipating the price to descend and undergo accumulation within the specified zones I have identified.
Comment your thoughts below and let me know what you guys think of EURUSD's current price
#EURUSD: DXY will be dominate! this weekEURUSD will likely to drop due to strong sellers presence price bounced up on after FED decision led DXY to drop heavily. Due to a sudden price increase due to economic data, price left massive gaps in the market. It is very likely that before any further big move we can pick this intraday trade idea.
EURUSD Longs from 1.08000 up towards 1.10500The bias for the EUR/USD this week remains bullish, given the recent downward break in the DXY (Dollar) structure. Currently, the price has responded to a supply zone, leading to a partial retracement. My anticipation is for the price to continue its descent towards a demand level, creating an opportunity for me to consider buys within the ongoing bullish trend.
The demand zones identified on the 10-hour and 2-hour charts triggered an impulsive upward movement, leaving an imbalance. Recognising this pattern suggests that the price is likely to revisit these levels and react in a bullish manner.
Confluences for EURUSD Buys are as follows:
- DXY (dollar) continues to break structure to the downside indicating that EU will rise.
- Lots of liquidity to the upside that hasn't been taken in the form of asian highs and trend lines.
- Demand zones haven been left on the 10hr and 2hr below the levels of imbalances.
- The price also responded to a near by 23-hour supply zone last week, and this event could serve as the catalyst for a retracement, paving the way for a new upward movement.
P.S. Additionally, I acknowledge the possibility of the price ascending and reaching the Asian high, which is in close proximity to the current price. Should this occur, my expectation is for the price to respond to the refined supply on the 50-minute chart above it, or potentially rise further to establish a more favourable sell opportunity.
I would also love to hear you guys thoughts on this pair so be sure to leave a comment!
#EURUSD: Waiting for the breakthrough! Dear Traders,
After the NFP data, it came out to be mixed new while number of jobless claimed released higher than expected and previous month data. We are expecting price to breakthrough the trend line and we can maximize 200 pips or more.
thanks for your support throughout it means a lot ;)
#EURUSD: Possible short term selling opportunity! Hey Everyone,
DXY will be volatile this week due to NFP and other strong data coming out from Wednesday to Friday market will be too volatile and keeping that fact in mind we think EURUSD may be bearish. Wait for price to come to red designated area so that we can enter short there. Once entered keep stop loss small and to you risk management. Target will be divided into two, close half of the position at target one and keep the rest of the position running for price to reach our target two.
If you like our work and analysis, please like the idea.