EUR USD Entry Setup 30M Timeframe🔹 Pattern: Double Bottom
🔹 Entry Condition: Wait for a clean break and retest of the neckline before entering.
No confirmation = No trade.
🔹 Higher Timeframe Context: Overall trend is bearish: this is just a pullback to the Lower High before a potential continuation of the downtrend.
⚠️ Patience is key let’s see how it plays out!
Eurusdweekly
EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market Bank Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 4H timeframe (1.04000) swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
Primary Target - 1.06700 (or) Escape Before the Target
Secondary Target - 1.08000 (or) Escape Before the Target
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📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook:
EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.
⭐🌟⭐Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis evaluates the economic indicators of the Eurozone and the United States, which directly influence the EUR/USD pair.
🌟Eurozone Economic Indicators:
GDP growth is reported at 0.5% for Q4 2024, with recent data suggesting an expected increase to 0.8% for Q1 2025, indicating a potential recovery Euro Area Indicators.
Inflation rate is at 3.0% for February 2025, expected to decrease to 2.2% by year-end, reflecting easing price pressures Euro Area Inflation Rate.
Interest rates are at 2.5%, with the European Central Bank (ECB) likely to hold steady, given mixed inflation signals Euro Area Interest Rate.
Trade balance shows a surplus of €10 billion in January 2025, driven by exports, though not sufficient to offset economic challenges Euro Area Balance of Trade.
🌟United States Economic Indicators:
GDP growth is strong at 2.5% for Q4 2024, though recent projections suggest a slowdown to 2.0% for Q1 2025 United States Indicators.
Inflation is stable at 2.0% for February 2025, within target ranges, but recent data shows slight upward pressure United States Inflation Rate.
Interest rates are at 4.5%, with expectations of a 0.25% rate cut in September 2025, reflecting a dovish shift United States Interest Rate.
Trade balance shows a deficit of $50 billion in January 2025, a persistent challenge but manageable with strong economic growth United States Balance of Trade.
The narrowing interest rate differential, with potential Fed rate cuts and stable ECB policy, could support EUR strength, though US economic resilience remains a counterforce.
⭐🌟⭐Macroeconomics
Macroeconomics encompasses broader economic factors influencing the pair:
Global GDP growth is projected at 3.0% for 2025, according to recent forecasts, with mixed regional performances World Economic Outlook.
Commodity prices are stable, with oil at $80 per barrel, impacting EUR due to the Eurozone's energy import reliance Commodity Markets Outlook.
Stock markets show positive performance, with the S&P 500 up 5% YTD and Euro Stoxx 50 up 3% YTD, supporting risk-sensitive currencies like the EUR Global Stock Market Performance.
Bond yields are declining, with the US 10-year yield at 3.5%, down from 4.0% earlier, suggesting lower USD appeal Global Economic Outlook.
⭐🌟⭐Global Market Analysis
Global economic conditions play a significant role in currency movements:
Geopolitical events, such as potential tensions, could boost USD as a safe-haven currency, though no major events are currently noted.
Central bank policies are diverging, with the Fed expected to cut rates and the ECB holding steady, narrowing the interest rate differential Central Bank Policies.
Commodity trends, with stable oil prices, have a muted direct impact, though energy costs affect Eurozone inflation.
Stock market performance, with global indices up, suggests risk-on sentiment, potentially supporting EUR over USD Market Performance Analysis.
⭐🌟⭐COT Data and Positioning
COT data provides insights into large trader positions, with recent reports showing:
For euro futures, large speculators are net short, but recent data indicates a reduction in short positions, suggesting emerging bullish sentiment CFTC COT Report.
Positioning shows that institutional traders are cautiously optimistic, with some covering shorts as the price approaches support levels.
Key Insight: Reducing short positions in euro futures align with potential bullish momentum, supporting an upward move.
⭐🌟⭐Intermarket Analysis
Intermarket relationships influence currency valuation:
EUR/USD is positively correlated with stock markets; with global indices performing well, the EUR could benefit from risk-on sentiment Intermarket Correlations.
Gold, trading at $1900 per ounce, slightly up, suggests a weaker USD, supporting EUR strength Gold Price Trends.
Bond yields, with declining US yields, indicate lower USD appeal, potentially boosting EUR/USD Bond Market Insights.
Key Insight: Positive correlations with stocks and gold suggest EUR could strengthen, while declining US yields support this trend.
⭐🌟⭐Quantitative Analysis
Technical analysis provides insights into price trends:
At 1.05000, EUR/USD is approaching key support at 1.0450, with resistance at 1.0600, based on recent charts EUR/USD Technical Analysis.
Moving averages show the 50-day MA at 1.0550 and the 200-day MA at 1.0700, with the price below both, indicating a downtrend TradingView Analysis.
RSI (Relative Strength Index) is at 45, neutral, suggesting potential for a bounce if support holds Technical Indicators Guide.
Key Insight: The pair is at a crucial support level, with technicals suggesting a possible upward reversal.
⭐🌟⭐Market Sentimental Analysis
Market sentiment reflects trader positioning and expectations:
Recent data shows mixed sentiment, with some traders expecting USD strength to continue, while others see potential for EUR recovery due to improving fundamentals Forex Sentiment EURUSD.
Bank forecasts predict EUR/USD rising to 1.08 by year-end, citing Eurozone recovery and expected Fed rate cuts Currency Forecasts.
Key Insight: Emerging optimism about the euro supports a bullish outlook, though caution remains due to recent USD strength.
⭐🌟⭐Next Trend Move
Combining all factors, the next trend move for EUR/USD is likely upward:
The pair is at a key support level (1.0450), and if it holds, could bounce back to test resistance at 1.0800.
Potential catalysts include better-than-expected Eurozone data and Fed rate cut expectations, supporting EUR strength.
Key Insight: The next move favors an upward continuation, with risks of further downside if support breaks.
⭐🌟⭐Overall Summary Outlook
The EUR/USD pair, at 1.05000 on March 4, 2025, exhibits a cautiously bullish outlook. Key drivers include improving Eurozone fundamentals, with GDP growth expected to rise to 0.8% in Q1 2025 and declining inflation, narrowing the interest rate differential as the Fed is expected to cut rates by 0.25% in September 2025. Technical indicators suggest the pair is at a crucial support level, with potential for a bounce, supported by reducing short positions in euro futures and positive intermarket correlations with stocks and gold. Risks include persistent USD strength if US data remains robust or global risk-off sentiment boosts the USD. However, the prevailing trend points to a potential EUR appreciation in the near term.
⭐🌟⭐Future Prediction
Trend: Bullish
Details: The pair is likely to see an upward move, testing resistance at 1.0800 in the near term, driven by Eurozone recovery and expected Fed rate cuts. Risks include stronger-than-expected US data maintaining USD dominance, but current indicators suggest a reversal is imminent.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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EURUSD -Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading Ideas💡 Daily Timeframe:
EURUSD has been in a Range Bound recently. It touched and reject from 1.0528 major resistance today.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 1.05285 on 02/26/2025, so more losses to support(s) 1.03570, 1.02920 and minimum to Major Support (1.01779) is expected.
💡 Four-hour Timeframe:
The uptrend is broken, and price is in an impulse wave.
The bearish wave is expected to continue as long as the price is below the strong resistance at 1.0528
A strong bearish divergence has also formed in the RSI.
💡 One-hour Timeframe:
1.0457 support is broken now. It will act as a Resistance now!
Forecast:
1- Correction wave toward the Sell Zone
2- Another Downward Impulse wave toward Lower TPs
SL: Above 1.0528
__________________________________________________________________
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Now, it's your turn!
Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Have a successful week,
ForecastCity Support Team
EURUSD - Swing Buy on MidWeek Reversal & USD News (CPI)Reasons for this setup being higher probability:
HTF is bullish because of the doji on Monthly and momentum on Weekly chart.
We've created a protected low, confirmed by Divergence with GBPUSD.
Market created momentum higher.
We're now in a retracement phase.
Looking for the market to flip up with a reversal pattern on the LTF before entering.
Continuing in the bullish HTF idea.
Possible EURUSD movement last week of July 2024Following the concept of the penultimate weekly candle of indecision and considering that the previous candle was bearish, we will look for bearish options. However, it is important to be careful of possible attempts to liquidate and manipulate the market, which may influence purchases before following the natural downward trend.
Trading Rules
Never trade too long - Risk management is essential.
Never trade without confirmation - Wait for clear signals.
Never trust signals blindly - Do your own analysis and research.
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PORTUGUESE-BR
Seguindo o conceito da penúltima vela semanal de indecisão e considerando que a vela anterior apresentou queda, buscaremos opções de baixa. No entanto, é importante ter cuidado com possíveis tentativas de liquidação e manipulação do mercado, que podem influenciar compras antes de seguir a tendência natural de baixa.
Regras de Negociação
Nunca negocie muito - A gestão de risco é essencial.
Nunca negocie sem uma confirmação - Espere por sinais claros.
Nunca confie cegamente em sinais - Faça sua própria análise e pesquisa.
Se você achou esta ideia útil, por favor, apoie curtindo e compartilhando. 👍🙂
✅ Clique no botão curtir, inscreva-se e compartilhe em outros fóruns de negociação.
✅ Siga-me para ideias futuras, configurações de negociação e atualizações sobre esta análise.
✅ Não hesite em compartilhar suas ideias, comentários, opiniões e perguntas.
Tome cuidado e negocie bem!
EUR/USD Shorts to Longs ideaMy EU analysis this week focuses on shorting opportunities. I will look for sells either from the 6-hour supply zone near the current price or, ideally, from the 11-hour supply zone if the price breaches the Asian high and continues upward.
If the price opens lower, I will look for buying opportunities at the 4-hour or 3-hour demand zones. Once the price reaches these demand zones, I plan to buy up toward the supply zone, as we are still in a short-term bullish trend indicated by the recent break of structure to the upside.
Confluences for EU Sells are as follows:
- 11hr supply zone has caused a break of structure to the downside and nearby 6hr supply.
- The overall trend on the higher time frame is bearish and the dollar is also overall bullish.
- Price has already mitigated 4hr supply might be a start of a bearish trend.
- Bullish pressure is getting exhausted after the bullish rallies we saw last week.
- Clean 11hr supply that has an imbalance that we could see a clean reaction from
P.S. Since the price is between liquidity zones, I will approach these nearby areas with caution and may lower my risk until the price reaches more favourable extreme zones where trades will be more worthwhile.
Have a great trading week!
EURUSD WEEKLY BIASEURUSD is bearish till my golden and final zone.
The EUR/USD pair is one of the most widely traded currency pairs in the world. It represents the exchange rate between the euro, the official currency of the Eurozone, and the US dollar, the currency of the United States. Traders and investors closely monitor this pair because it reflects the relative strength of these two major global economies and can be influenced by a wide range of factors, including economic indicators, central bank policies, geopolitical events, and market sentiment
EUR USD PRICE - NEED TO BALANCE THE LIQUIDITY AT RESISTANCE ZONEHELLO TRADERS have a look of EUR USD price need to BALANCE the
LIQUIDITY which is IMBALANCED ZONE in the up ward direction,we can see that at 4h time frame from the past price in the up ward direction all the LIQUIDITY got FILLED, now its time to break the DOWN TREND LINE after that wait for the pullback then 1st target is 1.09134 nd 2nd target is 1.09952 nd 3rd target is 1.10882 , FOLLOW FORE LIVE CONTENTS
eurusd long EUR/USD managed to erase a portion of its daily losses after falling below 1.0800 with the immediate reaction to the US jobs report, which showed an increase of 303,000 in Nonfarm Payrolls in March.
EUR/USD erased its daily gains and closed flat on Thursday after climbing to its highest level since March 21 above 1.0870. The pair fluctuates in a tight channel below 1.0850 in the early European session on Friday as investors gear up for the US labor market data.
Hawkish comments from Federal Reserve (Fed) officials and the negative shift seen in risk mood helped the US Dollar (USD) stage a rebound in the American session on Thursday.
EUR/USD is the forex ticker that tells traders how many US Dollars are needed to buy a Euro. The Euro-Dollar pair is popular with traders because its constituents represent the two largest and most influential economies in the world. Follow real-time EUR/USD rates and improve your technical analysis with the interactive chart. Discover the factors that can influence the EUR/USD forecast and stay up to date with the latest EUR/USD news and analysis articles. confirm signal eurusd
Long EUR/USD is the forex ticker that tells traders how many US Dollars are needed to buy a Euro. The Euro-Dollar pair is popular with traders because its constituents represent the two largest and most influential economies in the world. Follow real-time EUR/USD rates and improve your technical analysis with the interactive chart. Discover the factors that can influence the EUR/USD forecast and stay up to date with the latest EUR/USD news and analysis articles.
The Euro's recent move higher against the US dollar has stalled today with further progress being kept in check by the 200-day simple moving average. While this technical indicator was broken yesterday, the pair closed below the longer-dated moving average. A confirmed break higher – a close and open above the 200-dsma – would see the 50-dsma and a cluster of recent highs on either side of 1.0900 come into focus. Support is seen at 1.0787 down to 1.0760
Confirm long
EURUSD Shorts from 1.09700 or 1.11000EURUSD presents an intriguing scenario as it recently responded to a 10-hour demand zone, potentially signaling another upward rally. Since clear buying opportunities are currently lacking, I'll be patient and wait for the price to enter a supply zone, providing a chance to catch a potential pullback. However, it's worth noting that these zones are not the most optimal due to the substantial liquidity present.
My preferred zone is the 8-hour supply at 1.11000, coinciding with the 0.78 Fibonacci range on a higher timeframe. Here, I anticipate a robust bearish reaction. At present, I will monitor the price for the completion of a Wyckoff distribution before considering sell positions. Alternatively, I'll await the establishment of a new demand level, providing a new buying opportunity in which we can take towards the marked supply (POIs).
Confluences for EURUSD shorts are as follows:
- Overall trend of the market is bearish on the higher time frames.
- Price approaching a very good key level of supply, anticipating a distribution to play out.
- Lots of liquidity below to target in the form of asian lows, equal lows and imbalances.
- DXY is also overall bullish long term despite the short term bearish trend.
- In order for price to push higher it needs to retrace from a level of supply.
P.S. won't dismiss the chance of this demand zone failing, considering that the price has mitigated the second time it has now created relative equal lows. Moreover, there's a direct imbalance below that price may seek to fill before initiating another decisive upward move. However, given the current state of the EU market, adaptability is crucial, given the presence of numerous liquidity areas and zones of lower quality.
EURUSD Longs from 1.06400 to 1.07400 (possibly higher)This week's analysis for the EURUSD is similar to GU however it has some slight differences (at the end of the day they are different pairs with different characteristics.) In terms of current price I see the market consolidating just before the CPI event before making its decision.
So I would wait for price to either sweep liquidity below and tap in the (18hr) demand or, sweep the liquidity above and mitigate the (8hr) supply. But as we can use the dollar as a confluence I would be expecting it to rise a little then drop, so for the EURUSD I'm expecting it to tap in the demand first to buy back up to the supply zone above.
Confluences for EURUSD Longs are as follows:
- Price has formed higher highs and higher lows which is the clean structure of an uptrend.
- Price has left a clean unmitigated demand zone on the 18hr that I can buy from.
- Price has slowed down momentum and is ranging which is building liquidity for my potential buys this week.
- The dollar index also matches up with the bias as the DXY is expected to rise a little more, to then continue another bearish move to the downside.
- Demand zone has also broken structure to the upside and price has filled in the imbalances from the previous weeks.
P.S. I am more leading towards longs similar to GU so won't be surprised if it doesn't go as low as the demand zone marked, but keeps rising in order to mitigate the supply and sweep that liquidity below it. So for me, I would ideally wait and see as I don't see an imminent trading opportunity for Monday hence, why I would wait after CPI Tuesday to give me a better understanding of what direction this market wants to go in.
EURUSD Where to next?Looking at the charts on the weekly TF, price is attempting a retest on the previous support already broken. If it holds as a new found resistance we just might see price push lower on $EURUSD. For now, I'd rather wait to see the way price will choose to move. Key area in focus is 1.06964
Happy trading. Follow and like for more. Thanks
Disclaimer:
All trade ideas are given for educational purposes and should not be treated as an investment advice, hence do your due diligence. Past results does not guarantee future results
EURUSD - AnalysisEURUSD
W1 - The price has been in an upward channel since March.
There was a breakdown of the lower border of the channel, after which you can count on a return to the upper border and consider long positions to the level of 1.13820
Cancellation of this movement may be in the case of fixing the price of the lower level of the channel and retest for further fall. in this scenario, it will be possible to wait for the price to fall to the levels of 1.01995
What can be expected now?
If fixing behind the level does not happen, the nearest target is 1.11180 and further movement to 1.13828
If the level fixes, the nearest target is 1.04689 and the movement continues until 1.01995
Long
Targets 1.11180 - 1.13828
Medium term - targets 1.08271 - 1.09911 - 1.11424
Short
Targets 1.04689 - 1.01995
Medium term - targets 1.05598 - 1.03903 - 1.01161
Top Down Analysis for EURUSD - Q4The multi time frame analysis is in the updates below the main Idea.
Since we have flipped bullish on the higher time frames, I'll give my big picture view on EU. I look at the timeframes like a gearbox or transmission. The H4 is a gear that, on one revolution will turn the H1 gear four times and the H1, in turn will turn the M15 four times and so on all the way down to the micro time frames. I think that having a grip on all of the relevant time frames is good for forecasting. I believe that once we smesh this H4 supply zone we will have a bullish monthly internal trend, a bullish weekly internal trend, a bullish major daily trend and bullish major H4 trend aswell as the H1 and M15 also being bullish. September and Q4 are looking, well... ching ching!
The last time I did a thorough analysis like this it was flagged by Tradingview, sadly due to my shameless plugging! So I will behave!
How To Use Time Frame Combination For Swing Trading OANDA:NZDUSD
OANDA:EURUSD
Hello Traders,
This video will show you how to use time frames and combine them for swing trading from a higher time frame to a lower time frame.
I use recent NZDUSD and EURUSD move to frame swing trade opportunities from a higher time frame to a lower time frame.
I hope this video helps you.
Don't forget to give me a like and a follow for future updates.
If there is anything you want me to cover, drop a comment on it.
The European Central Bank continues to raise interest rates
Although the eurozone economy is not satisfactory, the European Central Bank's interest rate hike expectations are expected to give the euro some support.
HSBC expects the European Central Bank to raise interest rates in June, July and September
The eurozone PMI data showed a good pace of expansion, but perhaps the most interesting aspect of the data was the increase in the service sector output price index while the input price index fell.
That is, companies have greatly increased prices when the growth of input costs has slowed.Nevertheless, the historically high input prices mean that core inflation will remain on trend, which has prompted the European Central Bank to now expect to raise interest rates in June, July and September.
EURUSD is currently at 1.0774, and the important short-term resistance is 1.0845-1.0850
Trading strategy:
EURUSD:buy@1.07610-1.07640 tp:1.07710-1.07740
Next, I will continue to provide more trading signals, and the weekly profit can reach more than 5K-10Kusd. If you need signals, join me as soon as possible!