Tesla (TSLA) AnalysisCompany Overview: Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA continues to lead the electric vehicle (EV) market, and its ambitious leap into humanoid robotics with the Optimus robot could open up massive new revenue streams. CEO Elon Musk projects this venture could unlock a $200 trillion opportunity, particularly in household and manufacturing applications.
Key Catalysts:
Optimus Robot: Visionary investors like Cathie Wood of ARK Invest estimate a $12 trillion market for humanoid robotics, where Tesla aims to be at the forefront, revolutionizing industries.
Full Self-Driving (FSD): Tesla's advanced FSD technology could be licensed to other automakers, creating new revenue channels. Musk’s long-term goal of launching an autonomous ride-hailing business or robotaxi fleet offers additional upside potential, which could reshape the automotive and transportation landscape.
Expanding Market Potential: Beyond EVs, Tesla's expansion into AI-driven robotics and autonomous vehicles places it at the intersection of multiple high-growth markets.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on Tesla above $193.00-$195.00, signaling strong confidence in its continued leadership in both the EV and emerging robotics sectors. Upside Potential: Our target for TSLA is $360.00-$370.00, driven by the potential commercialization of humanoid robots and further advancements in autonomous driving technology.
⚡️ TSLA—Driving the Future with Innovation in EVs, AI, and Robotics. #EVs #AI #AutonomousDriving
EV
BYD - What next post-earnings and the BoC's stimulus?HKEX:1211 has had a strong year in growth prospects, reporting solid earnings growth thanks to its robust EV sales and expanding footprint in international markets. The recent earnings beat highlighted an impressive increase in revenue, driven by the demand for both their electric and hybrid vehicles. But what we can notice is that the stock has only reflected this as a c.16% rise in price YTD. However, the question now is: where does BYD go from here?
- More recently, the BoC's latest stimulus measures, including rate cuts and support for the real estate sector, could indirectly benefit BYD. With increased liquidity and consumer confidence, domestic demand for EV's could rise, especially if coupled with additional green energy incentives.
- As for the earnings release, the markets reacted well, and with this new-found optimism in the markets, with both the SEE Composite Index SSE:000001 and the Hang Seng Index TVC:HSI up 5.78% and 9.28% in the past 5 days, is this the turn-around for China as a whole?
NIO (NIO): 55% Increase but Bearish Trends Still LoomA while back, we analyzed NIO, and recently, we’ve seen a considerable 55% increase in the stock price. However, despite this rise, nothing truly convinces us that this bearish trend has ended or that a sustainable upward movement is underway.
The critical factor here is that none of the key levels that need to be breached for a trend reversal have been crossed. Specifically, we’re looking at the current Wave ((iv)) level around $6.04. If this level isn’t breached, it’s likely that we could see further declines, possibly dipping into the $2.99 range—or even lower, potentially as far as $1. It may seem dramatic, but considering NIO has already dropped up to 62% since January, repeating such a decline isn’t out of the question.
In conclusion, the market remains quite weak, and we’re still cautious about the possibility of more significant setbacks. Always remember, it’s okay to stay on the sidelines and not invest in everything that catches your eye. 🤝
TESLA broke above the 2-month Resistance and is aiming for $300Last month (August 15, see chart below) we gave a pull-back buy signal on Tesla (TSLA) and the price action swiftly responded with a August 28 Low and then rebound:
The rebound was on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and today we see a strong bullish break-out above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). This alone is enough to confirm the start of the next phase of the Bullish Leg, since the long-term pattern is a Channel Up, as closing above 228.00 will constitute a Higher High.
Technically the structure is similar to the previous mid-Bullish Leg consolidation (April 30 - June 24), even the 1D MACD sequences between the two fractals are similar. In that sense we can't rule out some more ranged trading for September but on the long-term our Target remains unchanged.
We expect the $300 level to break before November.
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Should you be selling your #Bitcoin for #TSLA right now?These types of rotations and range trades offer investors fantastic opportunities
if these relationships continue.
We have seen this for Bitcoin and it's ratio's to stocks/metals & altcoins is not a one way trade as it ONCE used to be.
2009 - 2017 was the golden #crypto era when gains were the easiest to acquire.
However the low hanging fruit has been totally plucked, as #BTC's returns have crawled to not much more (or sometimes less) than the leading stocks of the day.
I still maintain a $140-145k price target for this cycle for bitcoin
But I also have a very aggressive long term price objective for #TESLA of $1000
(which is around 3 trillion dollars market cap)
LCID CHART INTO EARNINGS TRENDS AND TARGETSIF it's bullish, here are your upper price targets.
Sharp trends leading down into a STRONG area of support.
All of which is timing out into earnings.
I would say, if the stock is in the buy zone pre earnings, it's probably a pretty solid buy where a chance of a successful trade suddenly shifts heavily in your favor.
I tried to label everything best I could on the chart.
Be careful, as I think whatever bullish move is coming, will retrace.
Sell trend is likely your exit.
Risk increases as price targets increase.
Good luck!!
TESLA PULLBACK Then Moon Mission!After a rejection from the weekly and daily levels, a pull back to $235 (Daily Level) or $202 (Demand Zone) is likely before higher prices.
Calculate Your Risk/Reward so you don't lose more than 1% of your account per trade.
Every day the charts provide new information. You have to adjust or get REKT.
Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and share your thoughts below!
This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
Tesla TSLA Soars on Strong Q2 Deliveries
Tesla stock TSLA has surged remarkably by more than +10% near a six-month high Tuesday to close at $231.26, after reporting better-than-expected second-quarter delivery numbers.
Technically speaking, TSLA shows clear bulls' control, especially after confirming the breakout of the inverted H&S pattern and the downward medium-term trendline.
Targets: $256.00 - $276.00.
TESLA 300 BY DECEMBER ? NASDAQ:TSLA TESLA 300 BY DECEMBER
Tesla had a challenging first half of 2024, with its stock facing headwinds. However, there are signs that the electric vehicle (EV) maker could be on the path to recovery. Here’s what Wall Street analysts and experts are saying:
Q2 Deliveries: Tesla reported second-quarter deliveries of 443,956 vehicles, surpassing analysts’ estimates of 436,000. While this is a decline from previous quarters, it’s better than expected. Investors view this as a positive sign for the company’s future prospects.
Energy Storage Boost: Tesla increased its energy storage capacity to an all-time high during Q2. This development is particularly significant because it suggests that Tesla could benefit from increased energy demand driven by the AI boom. As artificial intelligence accelerates, energy demand and electricity generation are expected to rise, potentially benefiting Tesla Energy.
AI Developments: Investors are closely watching Tesla’s advancements in artificial intelligence. The company’s Robotaxi and other AI initiatives could be the next growth drivers. Morgan Stanley strategists have even speculated about Tesla getting its mojo back, with clients asking about positive catalysts for the future.
TESLA It has begun...Tesla (TSLA) is on almost a +5.00% rise today an aggressive reaction to the market news and technically extending an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern as we mentioned on our previous analysis (see chart below):
It is a good time to shift to the longer term time-frame of 1W, where this IH&S pattern is a bottom formation that Tesla has registered before all of its major long-term rallies. The one that looks from cyclical start to finish with today's pattern is the period of 2014 - 2016.
Once the price broke above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) on that pattern, Tesla started a rally that peaked on the 1.382 Fibonacci extension level. Observe similar the 1W RSI patterns are as well between the two Cycles.
If the stock repeats that Fibonacci target, we can get a price as high as $700.00. That is of course a very optimistic scenario but even the more pessimistic one, has a (dotted) Channel Up targeting its top on the 3.5 Time Fib at around $400, which is almost the All Time High (ATH) for Tesla.
As a result, we see $400 as a real posibility for the end of the year.
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RIVIAN Time to get bearish despite the VW $5 billion investment?Rivian Automotive (RIVN) reached today as high as $16.35 following Volkswagen's $5 Billion investment and got just shy of our $17.00 long-term target, as we called on our last analysis (May 17, see chart below):
Despite the excellent news, we have to call for caution this time as the technicals come in center stage. As you can see, the prevailing long-term pattern remains a Channel Down since the September 2022 High and unless the 1W MA100 (yellow trend-line) breaks and closes a 1W candle above it, we won't continue buying.
We change now our outlook to medium-term bearish and expect a rounded top to be formed below the 1W MA100 in the next 3 weeks, which we will sell and target the 0.618 Fibonacci Channel level at $13.50. Check also how the 1D RSI sequences between the current and the previous Lower High formation in July 2023 are similar.
Add to the bearish mix the fact that today's rise stopped exactly on the 1W MA50 (red trend-line). In any case, as mentioned, we are only willing to buy after a 1W MA100 break, in which case we will target $28.00 (just below Resistance 2).
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Tesla (TSLA): Trend Reversal or Just a Blip?Today, we are analyzing Tesla on the daily chart. After surviving the stronger sell-off at the 78.6% retracement level and avoiding the stop loss, we have witnessed a bullish divergence, which led to a significant upward push.
Starting from the end of Wave (1), Tesla left this wave with a breakout gap downward. This breakout gap has not been closed yet, and we continuously saw lower lows and lower highs, indicating a clear downtrend. Recently, the first higher high has formed, which is a strong indication of a trend reversal.
We believe Tesla might trade back towards the breakout gap, potentially testing it briefly before moving upwards towards the Point of Control. Between the levels of $190 and $230, trading volume has been low, and we don't expect this to change significantly. Therefore, a quick rise to around $260 is possible.
The key question now is whether the breakout gap will be tested. We maintain our view that Wave (2) concluded at approximately $139, and we should be on the way up. If the price falls below $139, a quick retrace to around $100 is likely.
TESLA Huge Inverse Head & Shoulders ahead of Musk's $56B vote!Tesla (TSLA) broke today above its 1D MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time in more than 5 months (since January 04) and ahead of Musk's $56 billion today, seems to be completing an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern.
Technically this is a pattern seen in major market bottom's. This time it is being formed within the broader pattern of the Bearish Megaphone. A standard 2.0 Fibonacci extension Target would test the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of that Megaphone, considerably above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
As a result, our medium-term Target is $225.00, marginally below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
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NIO (NIO): High Risk, High Reward - do-or-die!NIO, a stock we've previously analyzed and profited from, remains highly volatile and is currently trending downwards. From its all-time high of approximately $67, it has plummeted to $5.21. This drastic decline occurred over just a bit more than three years, which is relatively short in the stock market.
Several factors contribute to this volatility. Firstly, the automotive sector is inherently volatile. Additionally, the electric vehicle (EV) segment has faced political challenges over the past few years. NIO, being a Chinese company, has also been affected by EU subsidies for electric vehicles, adding to the stock's difficulties.
Despite these challenges, we consider NIO a compelling investment from both a fundamental and technical perspective. Currently, NIO is holding the High-Volume-Node Point-of-Control on the New York Stock Exchange, suggesting that a bottom may be forming. This level is critical to watch as it could indicate potential stabilization and a reversal point for the stock.
Short-Term Analysis
Examining the 4-hour chart for NIO, we observe a low-volume node between $6.32 and $7. Whenever the price entered this zone, it quickly moved through it, indicating the nearest possible resistance levels. Thus, the levels of $6.32 and $7.04 are particularly interesting.
Around $4.12, the Point-of-Control on the 3-day chart holds, but we could see a further decline towards the $3 mark. We are considering multiple entry points, employing a dollar-cost averaging strategy down towards the all-time low of $1.19.
Strategy
For NIO, this seems like a do-or-die situation. The potential upside is significant, with gains of nearly 400% if the price moves from $3 to Wave 4. We plan to place multiple entries and dollar-cost average downwards.
However, if the price falls below $1.20, it would become unsustainable for NIO. While the potential upside is vast, it's important to recognize the risk of the stock continuing to decline towards zero.
Given the current volatility, we find an entry before $3 too risky and volatile, so we are holding off on investment until the price stabilizes at more attractive levels.
NIO 8 AFTER EARNINGS !! NYSE:NIO
Record Delivery Expectations: NIO shares soared over 9%, hitting $5.40 on record delivery expectations. Analysts foresee surpassing last year's high due to discounts. This indicates a positive market response to NIO's potential performance, which could lead to a higher stock price.
Market Sentiment: The market's response to NIO's earnings reports has generally been positive, with the stock price rising after strong earnings reports. This suggests that if NIO continues to report strong earnings, the market could respond positively, potentially pushing the stock price towards $8.
Strong Quarterly Earnings: NIO has shown strong financial performance in the recent past, with its stock price rising after reporting strong earnings. This indicates a positive market response to its financial performance, which could lead to a higher stock price in the future.
Increased Price Targets by Analysts: Analysts have increased their price targets for NIO, with some predicting a potential rise to $8. These optimistic forecasts suggest that the market and analysts have confidence in the company's future growth and performance.
Positive Industry Outlook: The electric vehicle industry is expected to continue growing, driven by the increasing need for sustainable transportation solutions. As a leading player in this space, NIO is well-positioned to benefit from this industry growth, which could lead to a higher stock price.
Innovative Product Line: NIO is poised to add two sedans to its offerings this year. This expansion of its product line could drive sales and revenue growth, potentially leading to a higher stock price.
$TSLA Contrarian Bounce Against the Market Grain.$TSLA:1D
Price breaks out of downtrend at +3SD (190.79).
Potential ‘gap-fill’ up to 206.
Bullish price to RSI divergence. (yellow lines)
Pearson’s R^2 is extremely high and I don’t believe this level of trend strength can be maintained at these levels of elevation for a very extended period of time.
Significant inverse correlation to relevant index ETF ( NASDAQ:QQQ ) makes NASDAQ:TSLA a theoretically contrarian trade for me assuming I have a bearish sentiment on broader tech sector as represented by $QQQ. Given how beaten up the stock has been I believe it could rise against a falling tech sector, at some point over the next 90 days.
First target is 198 level, second target is filling the gap up to 206 and the third and final ‘reach target’ would be the 0.5 retrace at 222.60. I would be happy with 2/3 of these being completed.
If the trade went against me, I see the worst case, downside, scenario as a further spill to the 1.382 (147.56) with a drop to the mid 160’s as more likely in the event of a downturn. My thesis is long but outlining the downside scenario is an important part of managing risk for me.
Happy trading.
TSLA Up Trend started ?This up move is different, It started with GREEN UMVD and now Green TrapZone is also showing up. Current bars are Gray so we must wait for GREEN Bars to enter when up momentum resumes. If we break both angles going UP , down trend may resume so keep you Technical Tools handy :)
RIVIAN Accumulation before mega rally.Last month (April 18, see chart below), we called for a short-term buy on Rivian Automotive (RIVN) but expected one more pull-back before the absolute bottom:
Since however the price broke above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and closed a 1D candle above it too, we have to revise it and we consider April's low to be the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the 1.5 year Channel Down pattern.
As a result, we expect a short-term Accumulation Phase, similar to May - June 2023, before an aggressive rally towards the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the pattern. Our target is $17.00 (just below the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level).
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Tesla $TSLA #TSLA #TSLT $TSLTMy plan for Tesla over the next few sessions of ideas.
Its rather clear what I'm looking for here.
I'll use NASDAQ:TSLT (leverage) to average out the larger DCA issues should it start to get away from me while using regular NASDAQ:TSLA for the main idea.
I like doing this so that it is a lot easier IMO to catch back up with the in between moves as well as have a secondary way to TP while still holding the larger position for the bigger move etc.
Profits from one can be rotated into the other making it not only your hedge but also a bit of a self sustaining play.
Should we get some sort of flash crash I'll happily take that as an opportunity to build a larger long-term play in the $75-$125 ranges.
Once they get passed this next cycle of manipulation and back to the ones who control the media and analysts pushing it we will see it blow through most of these levels with ease and back to $200+
Once we get some news one of these months/years about bigger companies buying the A.I. tech etc. we will have a whole other narrative besides selling cars and hype.