EV
Bearish Channel Breakout, Setting Stage for a Return Above $300?Hi Realistic Traders. Here's my price action analysis on NASDAQ:TSLA !
On May 23, 2023, Tesla (TSLA) exhibited a breakout from the bearish trendline, sustaining its upward trajectory with consecutive higher highs and lows. Following this, TSLA's bullish momentum moderated, leading to the formation of a bearish channel. Notably, there has been a recent breakthrough above the upper trendline of this bearish channel, signaling a robust bullish indication. Adding to the bullish narrative, the momentum indicator (MACD) has executed a golden cross, further affirming the potential for continued upside movement toward the specified target area.
it is essential to note that the analysis will no longer hold validity once the target/support area is reached.
Disclaimer:
"Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on TSLA."
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$WKHS - Bottomed Chart - 93M Marketcap - 80% CTB, 0 short sharesIt's going to be an interesting start of the year. WKHS has resolved their HVIP issues according to their latest earnings. 93M marketcap for something that will do 10-15M in revenue in 2023. With the HVIP issues resolved, this should pick up in 2024. 80% cost to borrow rate currently and 0 short shares available. An excellent squeeze candidate. I have a position here. Make your own financial decisions.
RIVIAN Channel Up targeting $35.50Rivian (RIVN) gave us a great break-out buy entry on our previous November 29 analysis (see chart below) as it broke above the Inner Lower Highs and hit our $21.00 target:
The pattern that is now dominating the 1D log chart is a Channel Up. The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) is about to negate the recently made Death Cross and cross back again above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) to form a Golden Cross. This will be a strong bullish continuation signal for the current bullish leg of the Channel Up. We are bullish again on this stock, targeting $35.50, which is the 1.382 Fibonacci extension, the Feb level where the previous Higher High was made.
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MBLY - Building flag on weekly
Seemed like this name lagged the market last year, but now basing on weekly timeframe for nice run.
EMA 5D is working good. Constructive volume in the supply.
44-47 is a chop zone. if it can build here, next upward move is likely to be violent.
20% short float can add fuel to the fire.
Targets: 47, 49, 53 and 58
Disclosure: I am long via commons at 39.
$FSR - RSI Bottomed - Bottom of Channel - Ready to POP!!!Cars are being produced and delivered. 550M inventory and 520M cash on hand as of their last Q financial report. 522M marketcap. 2024 will be a big year for Fisker in my opinion. Produced by $MGA. Can't wait for the Alska EV pickup! Own your own trades. Do not take this as any financial advice. I have a long position.
NIO STOCK BULLISHNIO stock is forming a bullish divergence on the weekly & daily RSI chart. This stock has been absolutely hammered the last couple years due to inconsistent supply issues as well as getting out of unprofitably that most new companies struggle with. However I do believe with projected earnings being over 2B the company should be getting over its hardest time & hopefully moving upward again soon. This stock has an average price target of 12, and while I believe that is quite low - it’s still a 70% INCREASE FROM CURRENT LEVELS. I do think it will run to 21-22 area for a 200% RETURN.
Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) Next Major ResistanceKey Takeaway
1. Tesla’s stock price climbed higher from the $195.00 support.
2. A major bearish trend line is forming with resistance near $245 on the 4-hour chart.
3. The bulls might struggle to clear the $245 and $250 resistance levels.
Tesla Stock Technical Analysis
After a steady decline, Tesla stock price (NASDAQ: TSLA) found support near the $195.00 zone. A base was formed, and the price started a fresh increase above $220.
The price started a decent increase above the $225 level. There was a move above the 50% Fib retracement level of the last main decline from the $278 swing high to the $194 low. The bulls were able to pump the price above the $235 level. However, they are now facing a major hurdle near the $245 and $250 levels. There is also a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near $245 on the same chart.
The trend line is near the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the last main decline from the $278 swing high to the $194 low. A clear move above the trend line and then a break above the $250 resistance might spark bullish moves.
The next major resistance is near the $275 level. A clear move above $275 could open the doors for a move toward the $288 level. In the stated case, the bulls could even attempt a move toward $300.
Conversely, Tesla’s stock price might face rejection near $245 or $250. If there is a fresh decline, the price might find support near $225.
The next main support on the downside is near the $215 level. Any more losses could resend the price toward $205 support. The major breakdown support reclines at $195.
Tesla entered the Golden ZoneTesla is ready for another leg up: - NASDAQ:TSLA
Technical Reasons:
Tesla has entered the golden zone - between the 0.5 and 0.18 Fib retracement
Money Flow Divergence on the daily
Commodity channel index divergence on the weekly
Stochastic Momentum switch on the daily
Already +- 5% off the lows which shows buyer are stepping in
RSI is exiting oversold territory
Fundamental Reasons:
Tesla had a +- 35% correction after missing expectations - This has now been priced in
Tesla Cyber Truck rollout commencing this quarter
Growing EV penetration vs Ice vehicles
Growing demand and margins in the energy storage side of the business
Continued expansion of production capacity (Mexico factory has the go-ahead
Continued investment and breakthroughs in real-world AI
Overall robust financial performance and cashflows
Obviously the potential for infinite returns due to Tesla's Optimum humanoid robot**
Trade setup
Pending a confirmed breakout
Entry between $204 to $209
Take Profit 1 - $230 - which will start filling the gap
Take Profit 2 - $242 - which will complete the gap fill
Take Profit 3 - $267 - previous swing high
Once TP1 hits - move stop-loss to break even for a risk free trade
Good Luck
$ON: The EV downside is already priced in.$ON:1D
With the earnings forecast providing downside price pressure on the longterm trend, NASDAQ:ON hits the lowest level on its1D RSI in over two years.
Needless to say, our trend has been weakened from a Pearson’s R^2 of 0.91 down to a Pearson’s R^2 of 0.88 while losing a little more than 3% of the longterm trend strength in the process.
While there are significant headwinds facing the EV market at current, from supply constraint’s on graphite to scaling EV’s across our shaky electrical grid system, it seems as though NASDAQ:ON has those concerns ‘overly priced in’ and could be poised for a rebound along with the broader semi-conductor market.
I would expect NASDAQ:ON to make an attempt at coming ‘back in line’ with its long term trend and to make a move up to the lower 3rd standard deviation line at 76.49 and possibly higher before year’s end.
Not financial advice. All stocks can go to zero.
Don't Talk To Me About... LUCID UNTIL..I only want to hear about LCID once it breaks this trenline... this company keeps getting MILKED and anyone who invested ever after IPO is under water... what a shame. Once this trendline break then I will consider a long and yes 100% with a stop-loss.
Calculate Your Risk/Reward so you don't lose more than 1% of your account per trade.
Every day the charts provide new information. You have to adjust or get REKT.
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This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
TESLA Can it reach $345 in January based on this Channel Up?Tesla (TSLA) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern ever since the January 03 2023 market bottom. Since last week, it is staging a rebound sequence as it hit and held (closed 1W candle above it) the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) which happens to be on top of the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). Technically that is the bullish leg towards a new Higher High.
However, the last Higher High of the Channel Up was rejected on the Lower Highs trend-line that remains in effect since the November 01 2021 All Time High (ATH), which is essentially the major Resistance of the 2022 Bear Cycle. If it breaks above it, we can expect a Higher High bullish sequence towards $345 at least, since it would represent a +75% rise from last week's bottom (Higher Low), assuming the Higher Highs are on a -$20 decline rate.
Notice also the fair flipped symmetry of the 1W RSI after the January 2023 bottom and the price action before it. If it holds the Support as it held it during the Bear Cycle, we can even see $400 early in Q3 2024.
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$TSLA Winning Play // Solid PatternOver the last few months I've really come to appreciate the consistency of trading large tickers in the EV space. With TSLA dominating the charging market, there really is not reason for this to not demonstrate significant gains in both the short and long term. This definately has to be balanced with the prospect of a comming recession / housing bubble.
Check out the analysis, with the 30-minute chart. Based on 16 trades, we're seeing a 87.5% win rate with regular candles and a profit factor of 2.082.
#ev #tesla #musk
RIVIAN hit the long-term Buy Zone. Target $21.00.Rivian Automotive (RIVN) hit the Higher Lows Zone and the 1D MACD is close to forming a Bullish Cross. This is a strong bullish combo signal but attention is needed as the price is below both the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
The pattern since the July 27 top is a Bearish Megaphone and Tuesday's low isn't only a Higher Low on the Support Zone but also a technical Lower Low on the Megaphone's bottom. The previous Lower Low rebound formed a top on the 0.618 Fibonacci level. As a result our short-term bullish target is $21.00.
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TESLA Buy opportunity in disguise?Tesla (TSLA) had a massive opening drop yesterday and almost hit the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since May 31. With the 1D RSI oversold at 30.00 and Support 1 (212.50) formed by the August 18 Low just below, this sell-off may be a buy opportunity in disguise. If it holds, then the dominant medium-term pattern will emerge as a Descending Triangle and our target will be the Lower Highs of July 19 at 255.00 (just below the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, similar to the September 15 Lower High).
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GM - BULLISH SCENARIO General Motors (GM) made a counteroffer to the United Auto Workers (UAW) to resolve a three-week strike. UAW President Shawn Fain plans an update on talks with Detroit's automakers. The strike, including Ford and Stellantis, began on Sept. 15. GM's counteroffer is its sixth, but "significant gaps remain." Negotiations with Ford show progress on pay increases. Talks with Stellantis have been active. Ford offered a more than 20% wage increase over the contract's life. Other issues, like union representation at battery plants, remain unresolved. GM secured a $6 billion credit line due to the strike's estimated $200 million cost. UAW members at Mack Trucks will receive a 19% pay hike over five years in a tentative agreement.
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PSNY Polestar Forecast: 2nd Quarter 2023 Results & DevelopmentsPSNY Stock Forecast: Second Quarter 2023 Results and Recent Developments
Delivered 27,841 vehicles by June, aiming for 60–70k deliveries in 2023: Polestar delivered nearly 28,000 vehicles by June and has ambitious plans to deliver between 60,000 to 70,000 vehicles in the entire year of 2023.
Q2 saw 15,765 vehicle deliveries, a 36% YoY increase: In the second quarter (Q2), Polestar delivered 15,765 vehicles, which is 36% more than what they delivered during the same period the previous year, indicating growth.
Established a strategic joint venture with tech company Xingji Meizu Group: Polestar formed a significant partnership with Xingji Meizu Group, a technology company, to collaborate on their electric vehicle (EV) initiatives.
Focused on expanding in the Chinese EV market: Polestar is actively working to grow its presence in the Chinese market for electric vehicles (EVs) and is taking steps to strengthen its offerings there.
Upgraded Polestar 2 deliveries, achieving a production milestone of 150,000: Polestar improved its Polestar 2 model and has successfully produced 150,000 of these vehicles.
Enhanced Polestar 2 with better software, extended range (up to 650 km), and faster charging (up to 205 KW): The Polestar 2 received upgrades including improved software, a longer driving range of up to 650 kilometers, and faster charging capabilities up to 205 kilowatts.
Adopted the North American Charging Standard for new vehicles in North America starting in 2025: Starting in 2025, all new Polestar vehicles sold in North America will come equipped with charging ports that adhere to the North American Charging Standard.
Achieved $1.2 billion in revenue in the first half of 2023, driven by strong Polestar 2 sales: Polestar earned $1.2 billion in revenue during the first half of 2023, with a significant contribution coming from the successful sales of their Polestar 2 model.
Introduced Polestar 3 and Polestar 5 at Goodwood Festival of Speed with impressive power outputs: At the Goodwood Festival of Speed, Polestar unveiled the Polestar 3 and Polestar 5 models, both of which have powerful engines.
Reduced carbon footprint by 3 tons per car since the start of Polestar 2 deliveries in 2020: Polestar has made significant environmental progress by reducing the carbon emissions associated with the production of each Polestar 2 car by 3 tons since they began delivering these vehicles in 2020.
Collaborating with Mobileye on autonomous driving technology for Polestar 4: Polestar is working in partnership with Mobileye to incorporate autonomous driving technology into their upcoming Polestar 4 model.
Anticipate initial Polestar 4 deliveries in China before the end of 2023: Polestar expects to start delivering the Polestar 4 in China by the conclusion of 2023.