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$TSLA The High-Stakes Bet on Future Growth "Tesla isn’t just an automaker—it’s a revolution in motion, blending cutting-edge technology with daring ambition. But is its sky-high valuation the cost of innovation or the price of perfection?" Introduction Tesla has evolved from a disruptor in electric vehicles (EVs) to a global powerhouse in energy storage, solar technology, and autonomous driving. With 2023 revenue soaring to $96.77 billion, the company is growing at a breakneck pace. Yet, with a forward P/E of 139.93, Tesla's valuation raises questions for investors: does the potential outweigh the risks? This analysis unpacks Tesla’s financials, market position, growth opportunities, and the challenges it faces as an industry leader. Financial Analysis 1. Revenue Growth Tesla's $96.77 billion in revenue for 2023 reflects an impressive 18.8% YoY growth, driven by: EV Sales: Bolstered by demand for the Model Y and Model 3. Energy Storage: Expansion of Tesla’s Megapack installations for grid-scale projects. Services: Growth in software and maintenance revenues. 💡 "Tesla’s revenue streams are diversifying, but EVs remain its lifeblood." 2. Profitability Metrics Net Income: $15 billion, with margins improving despite supply chain challenges. Earnings Per Share (EPS): $3.65 TTM, highlighting strong profitability. Tesla's margin growth reflects its operational efficiency and cost control in an inflationary environment. 3. Cash Flow and Liquidity Operating Cash Flow: $14.48 billion—a clear indicator of Tesla’s ability to generate cash from core operations. Free Cash Flow: $3.61 billion after substantial capital expenditures of $10.87 billion. 💡 "Tesla’s aggressive spending on R&D and manufacturing is a double-edged sword: it fuels growth but pressures free cash flow." 4. Valuation Metrics Tesla’s valuation is a hot topic: Forward P/E: 139.93—a sign of immense market optimism but also a cautionary signal. EV/EBITDA: 104.16, reflecting high expectations for future profitability. PEG Ratio: 17.04, showing Tesla’s growth is priced at a premium. Market Position and Competitive Advantage Innovation at the Core Tesla leads in: Battery Technology: Pioneering advances in energy density and lifecycle. Autonomous Driving: A front-runner in full self-driving (FSD) software development. Infrastructure: The Supercharger network provides an unparalleled ecosystem for Tesla owners. Brand Strength Tesla has redefined itself as both a luxury and a technology brand, attracting loyal customers who value innovation and sustainability. Growth Opportunities 1. Autonomous Vehicles (AVs): Tesla’s Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology represents a massive untapped revenue stream. If approved and scaled, the potential for: Licensing the tech to other automakers. Launching a robotaxi network. 💡 "FSD is the golden goose, but regulatory hurdles keep it caged—for now." 2. Energy Storage and Solar: Tesla’s Megapack and Powerwall systems are gaining traction in commercial and residential markets, while its solar division capitalizes on the global push for renewable energy. 3. Global Expansion: Tesla continues to scale its manufacturing capacity with Gigafactories worldwide, including new projects in Mexico and expanded operations in China. Risks and Challenges 1. Regulatory and Legal Risks: Autonomous driving faces scrutiny due to safety concerns, while data privacy regulations could impact Tesla’s software-driven business model. 2. Intensifying Competition: The EV market is growing crowded, with legacy automakers like Ford and GM ramping up EV production alongside newcomers like Rivian and Lucid Motors. 3. Execution Risks: Elon Musk’s ambitious roadmap often hinges on breakthroughs that may not materialize on schedule, adding volatility to Tesla’s stock performance. 💡 "Innovation is Tesla’s greatest asset, but execution risks loom large when aiming for the stars." Stock Performance and Institutional Sentiment 1. Price Trends: Tesla’s stock remains volatile, reflecting high sensitivity to news, product announcements, and quarterly earnings. 2. Institutional Ownership: With hedge funds and mutual funds maintaining significant stakes, Tesla continues to attract institutional interest despite its lofty valuation. Conclusion Tesla remains a leader in innovation, with growth prospects spanning EVs, energy storage, and autonomous driving. However, its high valuation demands flawless execution and belief in its long-term vision. For investors, Tesla represents both an opportunity and a challenge—a high-risk, high-reward play that requires conviction in its disruptive potential. Recommendations: Long-Term Investors: Hold or accumulate on dips if you believe in Tesla’s future vision. Short-Term Traders: Consider rebalancing given the current valuation unless a clear catalyst for further upside emerges. 🚀 Want deeper insights into Tesla and other top stocks? Visit DCAlpha.net.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by DCAChampion
TESLA starting an aggressive bullish reversal to $380.Since July and the bullish break-out above the ATH Lower Highs trend-line, Tesla (TSLA) confirmed the transition to a new long-term bullish pattern. For the time being, that is a Channel Up. The recent pull-back is part of the wider market correction of the past 3 weeks but last week's green 1W candle, is evidence that the price has found a bottom. In fact this is a Higher Low on the new Bullish Leg similar to the previous one on the week of April 24 2023. That was the first Bullish Leg since the 2022 Inflation Crisis bottom and the symmetry is evident even on the 1W MACD, which is showing a squeeze, similar to April - May 2023. As long as this doesn't cross, we expect the market to stabilize in August and start rallying aggressively as early as September. An earlier break above the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) again, would confirm that, as it is acting as a long-term Pivot. Since the previous Bullish Leg peaked at +194.87%, we see no reason to expect otherwise, thus keeping our long-term Target on Tesla at $380.00, which would not only be a +194.87% rise but also reach just below the April 05 2022 High. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by TradingShot
6
TSLA basing on its volume profile for a trade LONGTSLA on the highly reliable weekly chart is at the bottom of its volume profile in the lower part of the high volume area. The TTM Squeeze Indicator ( TTM = Trade the Market John Carter) has printed a signal for four weeks. The RSI faster and slower lines are near to the 50 level. The mean relative volatility has steadily decreased and this is in an increasing squeeze state. This is a setup for a patient trader to take a position in a swing trade. I am looking for a trade into the upper part of the high volume area and so to the 240-280 range. I will get some shares as well as a few call options for November (ITM). TSLA will be subjected to a number of variables making the trade a bit risky including the Musk compensation battle, the China economy, competition with Chinese EVs in Europe, federal rate actions and the presidential elections as well as the evolution of self-driving. It is TSLA's volatility that makes it a great trade. My entry signal here is a TTM indicator going black to white.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by AwesomeAvani
WKHS will it rally 50% or fall below its ATL WKHS has been sideways or down since the bullrun in late February. Another EV small cap is nearing bankruptcy unless it finds a suitor ( FSR trying to attract Nissan) WKHS has a niche with its delivery trucks ( like for Amazon Prime and USPS). Is the concept to production hangups and slow downs going to cause its demise? Trader confidence is lacking or are traders simply waiting for the best possible price? Price is now about to match the all-imte lows of mid February. Will there be support or will it fall.? Dould WKHS dead cat bounce to rise to recent high pivots? This may be interesting and potentially profitable.
NASDAQ:WKHS
by AwesomeAvani
Rivian Makes the Right Moves & the Stock Rebounds to Key TechRivian had a tough couple of years, as unprofitable startups are more vulnerable to the adverse external environment from high interest rates and lingering inflation. This has softened EV demand and deliveries have been disappointing in recent quarters. Highlighting the challenges, executives believe 2024 production will not surpass that the last year. But the large output-delivery gap of Q2 shows that Rivian is offloading its inventory. Rivian is making the right moves to turn things around and it will be launching two smaller EVs, starting in 2026. These are crucial for its future, as they will help it increase its customer base, stop the cash burn and eventually make money. The recently announced cash injection from auto giant Volkswagen can help it whether the storm and accelerate its progress. These developments have helped the stock to relief rally from the April record lows, bringing it to a critical technical juncture. RIVN tries to take out the 38.2% Fibonacci of the slump for the end of 2023 and the EM200 (black line). Surpassing them would shift momentum to the upside and facilitate further gains. Despite the turnaround plan and promising developments recently, the off-road EV maker is not out of the woods yet. On the technical front, a rejection of the aforementioned critical resistance cluster would reaffirm the bearish bias and enhance risk of lower lows. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
NASDAQ:RIVNLong
by FXCM
75: Identifying Support around €13.36 Amidst Selling PressureCurrently, we are witnessing selling pressure on the Fastned stock without significant buying interest. However, by examining historical data, we can identify a point of interest around the €13.36 level. This area has previously acted as a support zone, making it a potential accumulation point. Recent developments support this analysis. Fastned recently raised €32.9 million through the issuance of new bonds, with €12.3 million coming from existing investors extending their bond maturities. This successful fundraising indicates a growing interest and confidence from private investors in Fastned’s long-term potential. Given this backdrop, we anticipate that the €13.36 level could attract accumulation as investors recognize the company's ongoing investments in the fast-charging infrastructure for electric vehicles. As more motorists transition to electric vehicles, the demand for Fastned's services is expected to increase, potentially driving the stock's recovery. Monitor the €13.36 level closely for signs of accumulation and potential buying opportunities, considering the growing interest and financial backing Fastned is receiving.
EURONEXT:FAST
by SeventyFive-Invest
MBLY manufactures autonomous driving components LONGMobileye Global Inc. (MBLY) operates in the Automotive - Original Equipment sector1. The company specializes in developing and deploying advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving technologies and solutions worldwide They offer a range of products, including safety features for real-time detection of road users, cloud-enhanced driver assist solutions, and self-driving systems for various road types MBLY on a 180 minute chart shows up and down trending in the past 3-4 months. A support level is identified in the $24-25 range. Price is currently rising above support with an increase in relative volume similar to that of late February and Early March. The Awesome oscillator is green and positive at this time. The volume profile shows a low volume overhead demonstrating little volume resistance to an overhead move higher. I will take a long trade here seeking those targets in the upcoming 1-2 months. I have identified targets of 41 and 45 based on pivots in 2023. I will take a long trade here
NASDAQ:MBLY
by AwesomeAvani
2
NIO ? Are traders ready to love it again LONGNIO on the daily is 95% below its ATH Winter of 2021 and 50% lower YTD. In China NIO is competing well with XPEV, LI , BYD and TSLA while it makes further penetrative into the EU market. Its unique concept in action is battery leasing and battery swapping making charging time no longer relevant. Apparently, the battery swapping time from a depleted battery to one carrying a charge is 15-20 minutes. Being a bottom-seeking bargain hunter quite often, I will take a long trade here with a planned duration of two earnings periods.
NYSE:NIOLong
by AwesomeAvani
Is FFIE running to earnings early ? Maybe yes. LONGFFIE is a penny stock of interest as it is also in the EV sector. Earnings are coming. In the past two days it jumped 82%. The stock is trading 99.9% ( no exaggeration ) down from its all-time high. On the 15-minute chart, price has jumped above its EMA cloud which inflected upward. A massive volume inflow peaked the price action in keeping with Wychoff's theory. 42 million shares traded yesterday morning. The EMA cloud settings are periods are 14/56/140 ( long story multiples of 7). The slow and fast RSI lines had a golden cross of fast over slow and both over the 50 are quite demonstrative of bullish momentum. ( settings 3 hrs and 1 week). I will play this long until earnings- adding 100 to 1000 shares per day at the low of the day on a 5-15 minute chart. I will also look at the options chain for March 15th. Given that WKHS did the same thing and reports the same time, something behind the stage curtains is underway. Penny stocks are always risky. My analysis has the risk diminished here.
NASDAQ:FFIELong
by AwesomeAvani
LCID has another falling wedge breakout LONGLCID is making its move while Fisker got halted and will be delisted. LCID has a rich uncle, a Saudi billionaire running the national wealth fund there. Fisker lost its suitor in Nissan and tried to raise cash by selling cars under cost. I would be afraid to buy a car from a company about to head into bankruptcy. Anyway, time to buy LCID for now, it has a vaccine against the contagion. I happen to be very fond of falling wedges especially when they repeat. My skills in Elliott Wave analysis are nil but this is one to analysis. In the meanwhile, it's a buy ( no I am not a fan of Jim Cramer.)
NASDAQ:LCIDLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
LCID's vwap bounced after pullback LONGLCID trended up 40% from late June and then over 2-3 days completed a standard Fib 0.5 retracement before bouncing off a longterm anchored mean VWAP and reversing. The reversal is supported by the two time frame RSI indicator showing the lower TF RSI crossing above the higher TF RSI and both of them approaching the 50 level. The zero lag MACD shows the lines crossed under the histogram and are now approaching the horizontal zero line. The relative rigor indicator shows a line cross while the values were negative and now approach to the horizontal zero line in parallel. Overall I conclude that LCID is set up for a long entry.
NASDAQ:LCIDLong
by AwesomeAvani
WKHS a risky penny EV StockWorkhorse could start working again as the 50 minute chart is showing a suggestion of a reversal after a long trend down. Price has passed over the longest moving average which is a SMA20. The EMA cloud ( 100, 200, 300) is starting to turn up and price has crossed over it. All in all, there are some golden crosses here. Blue buying volume spikes are seen on the relative volume indicator and they are about six times the running mean. In a bit of divergence the price volume trend has oscillated up. Overall, this is a penny stock with a price under $ 1.00 It appears to be starting a trend up. I will zoom into a lower time frame and find a optimal entry. I amy get call options as well. The risk in the trade should be limited by a stop loss wide enough to allow for a true range or even twice that. My target is about 1.15 the price level at the time of the last good earnings report. This is about 300% upside. It will probably never get there but hay you never know. Stranger things have happened.
NASDAQ:WKHSLong
by AwesomeAvani
8
TSLA continues its downtrend toward Apirl earnings SHORTOn a TSLA chart, TSLA has been trending cown since last May. On the anchored VWAP lines, it topped out crossing above the second upper VWAP about the first week of January '23 then crossing under the same line on January 20, 23 Between August and October price tested and consolidated about the first upper VWAP line. It then fell to the mean VWAP line and returned in a retracement to the first upper VWAP line by December. paradoxically, price rose after an earnings miss in October. From December through early February price fell through the mean VWAP and received support with the first lower VWAP band. The faster EMA in black crossed under the slower green EMA in early January. TSLA is last significant uptrend or correction was a month before that. At present a continued trend direction of down is predicted by the optimized EMA20/65 lines now diverging from a compression with the EMA 20 in black under the green EMA 65 line. A predictive modeling indicator by Lux-Algo forecasts the persistent downtrend. TLSA could pick up support at the level of the pivot during the April '23 earnings report or lower still at the second lower VWAP line at about 141. Fundamentals can trump technicals but things out there are not looking great for TSLA
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by AwesomeAvani
3
RIVN reverses to upside LONGIn my previous idea, RIVN was short from the highs. That position was closed today as RIVN fell below the target. I now based on this idea have a long position. RIVN's move the second half of today's session was supported by a strong bullish move in the general market from the federal financial data principally the jobs report. On the 15-minute chart, RIVN formed a head and shoulders from January 29-31. The previous trade was from the top of the right shoulder until this morning when RIVN was progressing through a double bottom which intraday formed a " W" or " reverse cowgirl " pattern. The bearish ( selling only ) volume profile shows high-volume nodes at 15.8 and 16.0 so these are my targets. Price is above the POC line of the volume profile which is a bullish bias. Price is currently near to the level of a standard Fibonacci retracement of the previous downtrend I will take a long trade with targets as mentioned. The ideal entry is at 15.62 above a bearish high-volume node. Additionally, I will take a call option striking 16 for February 9th. As an aside, FSR is presenting a similar chart pattern and set up at a much lower price point . However, as a penny stock FSR has higher volatilities and may represent a lower probability overall. A trader may want to take a small position in each and see how they do.
NASDAQ:RIVNLong
by AwesomeAvani
9
RIVN rises with LCID while FSR fails LONGRIVN popped today while FSR got halted and will be delisted. The 4H chart with BB and a predictive algo added suggest it has room to 13.25. The indicators are supportive of that forecast. I will take a long position here with a stop loss under the lower BB line. As to my FSR put options I will watch them rise until expiration time. No hurry. No worry there. RIVN's new models and FSR's demise should help for some bullish momentum until RIVN catches a bit of FSR''s issues.
NASDAQ:RIVNLong
by AwesomeAvani
NKLA can move higher from a support level LONGNKLA had news this week with the litigation over the Badger brand. The news is over and the real trend is hydrogen stations in California and perhaps Western Canada impacting the buildout of infrastructure with the help of Biden administration handouts. NKLA has corrected and fallen into the support of the Fib retracement. Zig and zag I look to enter a long trade here and target the recent pivot high with an initial target of half way there as a retrace of a retrace. This would be about 1.02 but I will round it down to 0.99 to be below the psychological level. This is a risky penny stock trade. With FSR falling off the exchange, NKLA is getting some extra trader interest which may help carry it higher. This is a 30 minute chart and meant to be appropriate for intraday or short duration swing traders.
NASDAQ:NKLALong
by AwesomeAvani
LITM a lithium penny stock gets momentum LONGLITM is a lithium mining company with operations is Western USA and Canada now getting a lift as lithium prices are rising. It popped 16% today and hit a screener on volume yesterday. This is a junior miner compared with LAC and SGML. As such it is more reactive to price. All indicators confirm the move including the extent of the trend, relative volume spiking and the RS lines. This is a low float low volume stock. Accumulation of a low float could precipitate more price action upward quite easily. As a volatile penny stock LITM is risky. Right now, I see a long trade in a small position ( < 0.001 of account balance) for the potential gain despite the obvious risk SL at 10% Targets at 10% 20% (red line pivots to the left-1.2o December to Feb) then 70% ( pivot low March 23) and finally 250% for the runners ( January and July 23 high pivots). Time will tell. I expect great profit in this swing trade with stratified partial profits and less time effort in the trend using alerts and notifications. A trailing loss will be employed at 10% once the trade is over 20% profit.
NASDAQ:LITMLong
by AwesomeAvani
NKLA can this EV penny stock stop the cash burn/ News LONGNKLA on the 120 minute chart has been in a falling wedge pattern and had the news of hydrogen stations ready to go in the all important California market and now printed a countertrend breakout over the wedge. Can Nikola stop the cash burn? Can it prevent further shareholder dilution? Is the board protecting the interests of shareholders ? While this gets figured out can price rise to the anchored mean VWAP and put in a 10% jump in the short term? I intend to find out.
NASDAQ:NKLALong
by AwesomeAvani
GM may be pivoting down SHORTGM on the weekly chart has ascended to the top of the high volume area of the long term volume profile. The predictive algorithm forecasts a bounce down from that level. The MACD indicator shows lines crossing over the histogram while the RSI lines are in the 60s about the same level as the market pivot in 2022. The Supply / Demand indicator has the lines with zero slopes ( flat) and ready for a reversal. Fundamentally, GM is challenged by the dynamic between EVs and hybrids moving foward and federal mandates on fleet production efficiency quota. I will take a short trade here along with Ford.
NYSE:GMShort
by AwesomeAvani
NKLA Stock Patterns Suggest a Bullish Bias LONGNKLA on the one hour chart shows several stock patterns which may suggest a trader to sefely deploy a small portion of available risk captial here to have a good chance to make a profit. In the first instance, a "W" or " reverse cowgirl" pattern is seen as handrawn iin blue line. This is bullish like the "M" pattern is bearish. The second pattern is an assymetrical head and shoulders pattern with a rising to the right neckline suggesting a diagnonal rising resistance over future time. Lastly a high tight flat pattern is seen with the flag of consolidation. The flag pole is about 0.08 in height. Bullish continuation is forecasted by the pattern. The RSI indicator shows the fast green line cycling up and down and holding in the lows above 50. All in all this is decidedly bullish. Fundamentally, NKLA burns cash and raises more diluting its shareholders. OF particular interest to this traders, call options for a strike of 0.50 for Fri Feb 16 went from 0.60 to 0.26 or 4.5X of the course of the day. Stock shares or call options IMO NKLA is a buy - I am doubling my position and will watch it on Friday using indicator alerts on the 15 minute chart. while my screen is showing other action.
NASDAQ:NKLA
by AwesomeAvani
NIO Long on Disappointing EarningsNIO's disappointing earnings were not a surprise. Given the context of China's recession, NIO did better than many expected. TSLA is down as well. NIO is doing as well as most of its peers. On the 120 minute chart, NIO is down 60% from the end of the year highs. The RSI indicator confirms that NIO is in oversold undervalued territory. NIO is at the bottom of the high volume area of the profile and has been trending down with the first lower VWAP line as resistance. I see NIO as likely to trend up as the China economy improves and for that to be reflected in the next earnings report. NIO's innovative battery swapping program where the car owner buys a car without a battery and is able to swap out an energy depleted battery for a freshly charged one in 3 minutes at any of the NIO owned battery stations as a way for NIO to excel no matter competition from the others in China including TSLA. NIO is now selling cars in Scandinavia which should serve as steeping stone to further expansion in Europe.
NYSE:NIOLong
by AwesomeAvani
TSLA to NIO market cap comparisonOn a down market day I decided to look at the comparision of market cap between TSLA and NIO by a share price ratio basis. On the daily chart, albeit with fluctuations, TSLA is continuously gaining market cap compared with NIO. This ratio allows for a tool to help decide whether to buy TSLA or NIO. In short, TSLA is a buy at the low pivots of the ratio, while NIO is the buy at the high pivots which is right now. Conversely, TSLA is a sell or short at the high pivots while NIO is a sell at the low pivots. The trade right now is sell TSLA to decrease the position and use the proceeds to buy NIO either in bulk or in increments to average in.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by AwesomeAvani