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EWY

Korean pumptardednessEWY posted the same pattern as it did before the last 2 big drops. Entered into some puts today for next week. There's still room for it to go hit resistance and ATH, the 2 lines I've drawn. If it goes up from here, look for a similar pattern before shorting. I'm bearish for Monday, but who knows, they can do another vaccine pump, 3 weeks in a row, lol. Note, if it tanks on Monday, wait until Tuesday to short, it usually does a 2 step drop with an up day in teh middle.
AMEX:EWY
by hungry_hippo
KRW/USD Korean CurrencyCUrrency looks like it got rejected by resistance, should whipsaw here.... hopefully down next week. When trading foreign index ETFs like EWW, EWY, EWZ, or TUR, you gotta pay attention to the currency trade as well. The funds are NOT hedged against currency which means you're playing both the index and the currency. You can trade these ETFs to take advantage of currency trades, take a look at TUR. Between Biden being elected, vaccine, and the issue in Armenia being resolved, TUR went up like crazy this month.... (I missed the boat on it though I made a killing a couple of years ago when the Turkish Lira crashed)
by hungry_hippo
Canary in the coal mine $EWYWhile there are folks that may disagree, i've always looked at the $EWY as an early indicator of possible downside pressure, globally. If you look at this chart, the EWY has been step laddering against the SPX, diverging much more so at the beginning of 2019. While the SPX was making new highs and posed to break out to new levels, the EWY steadily continued its downward move. We are tied globally much more than any other time in history. What affects one market shouldn't be shrugged off as not having an effect on another, especially a country like Korea. As an expat who lives and works in Korea, you can see the economic pressure and slowing down on the ground. Having this spat with Japan in the recent weeks (a spat that goes back to the early 1900's on a much more personal level than economic) is going to accelerate the downturn even further.
AMEX:EWY
by grenadetrade
TWO EWY (S. KOREA ETF) TRADE IDEASI haven't traded this particular instrument before. For obvious reasons, now seems like a perfect time. The first of the two trades is a short strangle, with the shorts set up at the ~30 delta strike: JUNE 16TH 60/65 SHORT STRANGLE POP%: 59% Max Profit: $140/contract Max Loss: Undefined Break Evens: 58.60/65.82 Theta: 3.01 Delta: .78 The second's a defined risk trade using the same strikes for the short options as used in the short strangle: June 16th 57/60/65/68 Iron Condor POP%: 52% Max Profit: $93/contract Max Loss/Buying Power Effect: $209/contract Break Evens: 59.09/65.91 Theta: 1.19 Delta: -4.16 Notes: I would look to manage either of these at 50% max. I considered one additional setup: a Reverse Jade Lizard: June 16th 59/60/64, where the 59/60 is a short put vertical and the 64, a naked short call. This yields a setup with a 70% pop, a max profit of 1.14/contract, a break even at 65.14, and no downside risk (since the credit received for the short call is > the max loss of the short put vert).
AMEX:EWY
by NaughtyPines
THE WEEK AHEAD: EWY, FEZ, FXE, AND OIH/XOP/XLEWith VIX in another ebb and a paucity of high quality premium selling earnings plays in the making for next week with both high implied volatility rank and high implied volatility, I'm looking at exchange traded funds instead for potential plays. For instance, EWY, the South Korea exchange traded fund, makes sense in the current geopolitical environment, and its implied volatility rank and implied volatility reflect this, coming in at 55/22. It doesn't meet my usually standards of >70 and >35, but sometimes the market doesn't allow you to be picky. The June 16th 56/59/65/68 iron condor brings in .81 at the mid (not quite up to my usual 1/3rd the width of the wings snuff); alternatively, the June 16th 57/62/62/67 iron fly brings in 2.76. A drawback is that this instrument only has monthlies, a situation I'm not fond of ... . With French election finals on the horizon on May 7th, another play that makes sense against the backdrop of "news," is FEZ (Euro Stoxx 50) (49/21). However, I previously attempted to get a fill of an iron fly before the primaries, and it was quite pesky, particularly on the call side. Currently, I'm unable to get a mid price quote for the June 9th 34.5/37.5/37.5/40.5 iron fly or a similar setup in the June 16th expiry due to the fact that the long calls where I want to set up are no bid. With FXE (the Euro proxy), which I tend to play as I would play EURUSD, I would go directionally short. The background implied volatility is so low that it just doesn't make sense as a straightforward premium selling play since the contraction that's usually a feature of these plays is likely to be minor; moreover, I have a directional assumption in a tightening Fed environment versus a loose to easing ECB environment (bearish). There are a couple of ways to play it: (a) ATM short call verts where the break even is around 106 (e.g., the June 16th 105/108 short call vert; 1.20 cr; BPE 1.80; BE at 106.20), legging in small in the event it rips higher on a Macron win (currently, the likely outcome); (b) a call diagonal that gives you some flexibility on the short call side of things (e.g., a June 16th 107 short call; Sept 15th 110 long call; .07 cr; 2.93 BPE) without exposing you to downside risk in the event that the Euro caves in at some point on dollar strength or Euro weakness. Lastly, I've got eyeballs on oil. It's dipped somewhat dramatically off highs, so I'm looking at various bullish plays in OIH, XOP, and/or XLE, all of which track oil prices somewhat religiously. Currently, I'm still working an XOP put diagonal, but am amenable to getting into another XOP play. (Put diagonal: XOP June 16th 33 short put; Dec 15th 27 long put; .10 credit at the mid; 5.90/contract BPE; PMCC: XOP June 16th 37 short call/Dec 15th 24 long call; 10.82 db).
AMEX:EWY
by NaughtyPines