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Excavo

Bitcoin cycles + logistic curve = New bull run 2023-2025 I want to take a closer look at Bitcoin's price weekly logarithmic chart. Firstly, the chart examines growth and fall cycles, sometimes referred to as economic cycles or trade cycles. As you can see in my analysis, the growth cycle usually lasts approximately 150 weeks and is always longer than the fall cycle that spans out over the course of approximately 51-60 weeks. 150 bars on Bitcoin's weekly price chart, mark the beginning of the next pulse of the growth cycle that we are currently in. Everything in our life is based on cyclical patterns, especially when it comes to financial markets. If we analyze the rise and fall, we can conclude that the fall occurs faster than the growth of about three times. About logistic curve The logistic curve describes the speed of information dissemination among people. This graph describes the distribution of information in an environment. At first, an instrument is of little interest to anyone, investors are afraid of buying it, and its price fluctuates around r °. At this time, the initiated ("elite"), solely owning important information, begin to buy it, and the price slightly grows. Then the information is shared with a small circle of insiders, individual purchases grow into active buying, and the price of the instrument abruptly takes off. The general public is perplexed and can not understand what is the reason. In the third stage, news comes out and investors fearing not having time to "jump into the last car" buy up this tool that the "elite" and "proxies" are happy to sell to them at the maximum price (with joy, because at that time the "elite" there is already new information that the "elite" has taken into account, a new logistic curve in another instrument begins, or in the same, but with another sign, sales begin). The third stage is completed, when the whole society is aware of what happened, discuss everywhere, in the metro, all who could have already made There is no one to sell. The only thing that changes is the slope of the logistic curve - the information dissemination rate As a rule, 90% of bulls in high. And then the market unfolds and vice versa If you are constantly being told the same thing, then everybody knows it already. It is necessary to look not at the news If everyone around you screams the same thing, then you are in the upper zone The task of stepping back from the noise (this time it's useless overpriced NFT pictures) "WE WILL BE GOLD BEFORE THE PORN, WHILE GOLDEN IDEOLOGISTS WILL EXIST" Rothschild's "The same situation with cryptocurrencies, but this is only the beginning" Mr.EXCAVO Best regards EXCAVO
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by EXCAVO
130
Bitcoin - Fractals and PerspectivesThe willingness to learn, however, changes everything. Active traders treat market analysis with an open attitude and they are interested in learning how to analyze the market structure. They combine concepts such as trends, patterns, and support and resistance to actively improve their analysis and trading skills. These traders are real manual traders. This article is intended for those in the latter group, the learners and active traders. We will explain how you can understand the market with more clarity. The Market is Fractal of Nature Does the market move erratically? Or is there an order behind the chaos? According to the Chaos Theory, the apparent randomness of chaotic complex systems depend on their initial conditions. The concept is not that complicated as it seems: basically the ‘chaotic’ behavior is really not as chaotic as it seems. Simply said, there are underlying patterns that repeat in a similar way on all scales. This phenomenon can be seen in both natural systems, like weather and climate, and artificial elements like road traffic and economics. And yes, this includes the financial markets in general. The market is Fractal in nature, which means that similar price patterns repeat on all time frames. So I started researching fractals a few years ago. Many fractals have worked out, in some cases partially worked out, the study is a process of learning and growth. I want to share it with you today. Why it works I have already said in previous posts - because all the same asset managers all the same algorithms all the same emotions and all the same actions people make in this or that situation. The nature of human behavior cannot be deceived. that's why fractals repeat themselves. I have selected all the structures of reversal and further perspectives of charts The main indicators : 1. this is the formation of the bottom 2. Holding levels 3. Formation of a horizontal strong level and its breakdown That's all bitcoin has done in the last year. What's next? Statistics I found only one fractal after which we update the bottom. No rolling growth 4 fractals And most of them are 20-40 sideways and up. All fractals are below. These are all the fractals I want to share with you. Best Regards EXCAVO
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by EXCAVO
43
$Portal researchPORTAL Portal is a pioneering cross-chain gaming ecosystem designed to connect games from different blockchain networks. It aims to create a seamless experience for gamers by connecting them to a huge number of games through its cross-chain token platform. Portal is built on the Ethereum blockchain, which is known for its reliability and extensive developer community. Portal's technology is designed to enable gamer access and game distribution, allowing Web2 gamers to seamlessly transition into the Web3 universe. The company is partnering with LayerZero to provide gamers with a seamless multi-chain experience, connecting disparate Web3 games to new players through a user-friendly user interface. The PORTAL token is used for network fees, payments, management, staking, and node purchases in the Portal ecosystem. The token's maximum supply is capped at 1 billion tokens, which supports value growth over time. Portal was introduced at the Binance Launchpool, allowing users to bet on BNB and FDUSD to mine PORTAL tokens. Tokenomics Portal has a maximum token supply limited to 1 billion tokens. The initial circulating supply after listing amounted to 167.13 million PORTAL, representing approximately 16.71% of the total token supply. The project's token distribution is as follows: Binance Launchpool: 50 million tokens, representing 5% of the total token supply. Team & Advisors: 230 million tokens, or 23% of the total token supply. Treasury: 230 million tokens, or 23% of the total token supply. Private Sale Investors: 220 million tokens, or 22% of the total token supply. Public Sale Investors: 110 million tokens, or 11% of the total token supply. Community Incentives - 1: 100 million tokens, or 10% of the total token supply. Community Incentives - 2: 40 million tokens, or 4% of the total token supply. Liquidity Reserve: 20 million tokens, or 2% of the total token supply. The token vesting schedule is critical to maintaining the stability and value of the PORTAL token. It involves the gradual release of tokens to different stakeholders over a period of time, which helps prevent large-scale token resets that could negatively impact their price. This approach aligns the incentives of all stakeholders, ensuring that everyone is working towards the long-term success of the project. Roadmap Portal has a comprehensive roadmap that outlines plans for its development and growth. The roadmap is divided into several phases, each focusing on different aspects of the project's development. Phase 1 (Q3 2023): Launch of the Portal ecosystem with more than 250 games online. Launch of the Portal version 1 gaming platform. Announcement of partnerships with various blockchain networks such as Solana, Avalanche, Klaytn and Polygon. Announcing the Portal game wallet and launching CrystalDash, a platform to increase awareness and demand for Portal. Publishing a technical description for Portal and bringing in high-profile advisors to the project, including the CEO of Team Secret and the founder of Rockstar Games. Partnering with WME, the world's leading talent agency, to help attract mainstream games and streamers to the platform. Phase 2 (Q4 2023): Integrate with other blockchain networks and expand cross-chain gaming capabilities. Launch Portal Gaming Wallet and develop a gaming SDK for easy integration.- Announce partnerships with leading esports teams and IPs.- Launch Portal Discovery Platform to showcase the best Web3 games in the Portal ecosystem.- Launch Portal Staking platform and Portal Nodes network.- Launch Nexus DEX for seamless transactions between assets. Future milestones (2024 and beyond): Expanding the Portal ecosystem to include new games and blockchain networks. Developing new features and tools to improve gameplay and facilitate cross-chain interactions. Continued efforts to decentralize the Portal platform and ecosystem. Continued focus on building a strong community and fostering meaningful connections between players, developers, and content creators. Audit Cryptoproject Portal has undergone a comprehensive audit to ensure the safety and reliability of its smart contracts and the entire platform. The audit was conducted by Cyberscope, a leading and recognized authority in the cryptocurrency space for auditing smart contracts. Cyberscope's auditing services are recognized by various startups such as PinkSale, Unicrypt and DxSale, allowing the project to receive a badge signifying trust and recognition. The audit from Cyberscope ensures that the Portal project is trusted and recognized. It enhances the security of the smart contract and serves as a basic building block for all marketing efforts. Upon successful completion of the audit, Portal receives an audit certificate to share with its investors and community, as well as a full audit report. Cyberscope's audit process includes extensive background checks and identity verification of project team members. This ensures data confidentiality and a state-of-the-art algorithm to verify team members. Cyberscope has successfully completed over 1,800 smart contract audits across various networks and has KYC'd over 800 teams without any reports from investors till date. Staking rewards The main function of the PORTAL token is a vote-betting feature that signals support for games on the Portal network. Essentially, gamers and games can place bets to earn rewards, but they can also signal their support for games by assigning a vote to their bet. In practice, signaling support for a game means that it becomes more visible on the Portal platform through ratings, relative betting levels (and other metrics), and greater visibility in the app. This, in turn, allows the game to acquire Portal platform users to grow its player base and launch new game assets with less hassle. A game joining the Portal ecosystem will have a good incentive to post Portal tokens, and it follows that gamers will want to show their support by doing the same. This leads to an effective “bet to scale” that decentralizes the distribution of games. Recycled Fees This occurs in real time as transactions are paid into PORTAL. The rate coefficient at that time is used to calculate how much of the purchased PORTAL burns up before distribution. Where S is defined as above, the burn amount B is calculated as follows: B = 1 - S The balance is distributed in the form of a platform rewards. Conclusion Portal certainly has a promising concept and is attracting significant attention and support from the gaming and blockchain community. Portal is a leading GameFi project and has made significant strides in connecting gaming networks and there are no analogs. I've been following this project for quite some time now and at the moment investors have about 10x returns. I have noticed that GameFi is low right now, but I believe that once the excitement starts to grow after the first successful game releases, this infrastructure project will be very relevant. I follow this sector closely, which is why I have included this project in my portfolio. If you are interested in reading my portfolio, you can read the text below the chart. From a chart perspective, it looks like this is one of the good formations to exit. The only downside I see is the huge capitalization with unlocked funds. If there are 40 likes I will publish a new research Best regards EXCAVO
Long
by EXCAVO
2
BlackRock and other funds in cryptoBlackRock has significantly increased its investment in Bitcoin over the past year. This is partly due to strategic partnerships with MicroStrategy and Coinbase. As of April 2024, BlackRock holds 274,462k BTC worth $17 billion in its spot Bitcoin ETF. This amount is more than MicroStrategy, which holds 193k BTC. It is important to note that MicroStrategy was previously the top institutional Bitcoin investor, but now the BlackRock ETF has surpassed it in terms of BTC. In light of the rapid development of financial markets and constant changes in the global economy, funds are attracting particular attention. These financial organizations are not only key players on the global investment scene but also become significant drivers of future narratives and trends. From venture capital to investment banks, funds are actively involved in shaping the direction of markets and industries. They are the ones who vote with their money, determining which ideas and projects will receive funding and in which sectors of the economy we will see the next round of innovation and growth. Therefore, studying the actions and decisions of funds becomes an exciting task for investors and analysts and an essential tool for anticipating future economic and social trends. Funds are legal organizations that raise money for specific developing projects. Their main goal is to profit from investment, which is achieved by receiving a certain percentage of coins with the help of financing rounds from the total number of coins to be issued. In addition, the financing determines the price at which the fund invests in the project and the time of partial or full unlocking of the received coins for the funding in the project. Let's consider the activity indicator of funds and the categories of projects they invested in last year. The activity rate of investment funds in projects is currently high compared to the average monthly activity over the last 12 months. The following categories were the most invested in over the six months: NFT, 25.86%; Data Service, 21.29%; Artificial Intelligence (AI), 20.53%; DEX, 18.25%; and Play to Earn (GameFi), 14.07%. The most active funds over the past year: Monthly investment of funds over the last year: Where the most active investors have invested over the past year: Portfolios of large investors as of 29.04.2024 Please note that these investor portfolios may not fully reflect their assets; they only reflect those that have been identified to date by researching the blockchain and aggregating their cold wallets. Some of the more prominent investors such as Amber Group, DWF Labs, Wintermute, Jump Trading, Cumberland, GSR have a large amount of stablecoins on their cold wallets, indicating their willingness to continue accumulating their own assets during market downturns to build their influence, as well as to continue investing in projects. Pay attention also to companies that have a large amount of Ethereum, they can start exchanging ETH for other currencies using platforms like Uniswap, PancakeSwap, SushiSwap, and so on. An altcoin index indicates that the market is still dominated by Bitcoin. It is worth accumulating altcoins along with large capitals before Bitcoin's dominance starts to fall and the altcoin market blooms in new colors. BlackRock and tokenization BlackRock, one of the world's largest asset managers, is showing significant interest in cryptocurrency, specifically Real World Assets (RWA) tokenization. They have launched the BlackRock USD Institutional Digital Liquidity Fund (BUIDL) to invest in cash, US Treasuries. This fund is represented by the BUIDL token, which is fully backed by these assets and provides returns paid daily via blockchain rails to token holders. As reported by Forbes, the move is part of BlackRock's broader strategy to tokenize $10 trillion of its assets. Ondo Finance, a tokenized real assets (RWA) platform, improved its offerings by using BlackRock's BUIDL fund. Ondo Finance transferred the reserve assets of its US Treasury-backed token OUSG to BlackRock's BUILD. This decision aimed to provide instant settlement of the OUSG token, which was previously backed by the BlackRock iShares Short Treasury Bond ETF, which only traded during traditional market hours. The move to BUIDL allowed for instant settlement on any day. This collaboration between Ondo Finance and BlackRock demonstrates the convergence of traditional finance and cryptocurrencies: institutional players such as BlackRock actively participate in the cryptocurrency and RWA markets. It also highlights the potential for tokenization to improve settlement times and increase accessibility for a wider range of investors. BlackRock is setting an example to some other large investors on how to tokenize their assets through cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology. BlackRock has also significantly increased its investment in Bitcoin over the past year. This is partly due to strategic partnerships with MicroStrategy and Coinbase. As of April 2024, BlackRock holds 274462 BTC worth $17 billion in its spot Bitcoin ETF. This amount is more than MicroStrategy, which holds 193k BTC. It is important to note that MicroStrategy was previously the top institutional Bitcoin investor, but now the BlackRock ETF has surpassed it in terms of BTC. BlackRock Strategy BlackRock's bitcoin investment strategy includes partnerships with major players in the cryptocurrency space. For example, in 2023, BlackRock and Coinbase announced a partnership that will give BlackRock's institutional clients direct access to cryptocurrency trading, custody, prime brokerage, and reporting capabilities. The move was a significant step towards institutional adoption of cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin. BlackRock also has many stablecoins, which shows that it is ready to continue investing in altcoins. We expect a further market decline soon. Using Wintermute as an example, we can see how they are already here and now, preparing for the market decline, transferring their stablecoins to acquire altcoins further whenever possible, and exchanging Ethereum for stablecoins via Uniswap. Conclusion: Big Capital is preparing for a big altcoin fall and is emphasizing investing in RWA, NFT, Data Service, and AI. Large investment funds are preparing to tokenize their assets, and BlackRock, led by Larry Fink, is setting an example for other large investment funds. Following them, other funds are tokenizing their portfolios, but they are already on the paved rails. If you want to see more info on the funds, here's the link, platform.arkhamintelligence.com You can see my portfolio at the link below. Best regards EXCAVO
by EXCAVO
10
AMAZON Daily, Weekly & Monthly analysis, Bullish OutlookAMZN price is forming a Bullish Head & Shoulder pattern. and RSI also made a break of the descending trendline If we look at weekly chart, price is moving in an ascending channel moving upwards, and price is also above support If we look at Monthly time-frame, price broke above trendline and is moving upwards Trade Wisely *The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by Stargazer_fx
3
The Wyckoff Method working or no?Below is the exact distribution chart I've written a lot about the Wakoff method, now we see one of the most standardized distributions, link www.tradingview.com but if you open your eyes it's distribution for some and accumulation for others - now almost every week there are reports that Black Rock has more and more bitcoins - maybe all the bitcoins are just being transferred from other smaller agents. But the bottom line remains the same big players are here and they are going to make a lot of money. The cryptocurrency market is still a small 1.5 TRL $. In my previous posts with fractals, I stayed with the opinion that we have a blue scenario - LINK But this is not about fractals But after analyzing the chart and seeing the wyckoff on it I couldn't help but share it with you - publishing this post doesn't mean I believe it, but the correction looks logical - the other question is how exactly it will happen with the renewal of local highs or not. Below I will show two distributions superimposed on the chart and they are slightly different Whatever charts they show you on TV or other social networks, follow your trading plan, I buy back altcoins after 30% correction and wait for the final impulsive upward movement without extra passengers. I am not going to short All these charts are for you to think, and maybe it's just another horizontal correction and after it the upward movement will continue until September 2025. Best regards EXCAVO
by EXCAVO
29
Bitcoin and Gold ETFHi. Happy new year everyone! As you can see on the chart bitcoin can partially repeat the gold fractal, at least a few analysis on the fractal coincide, pay attention to the blue fractal. I think yesterday's pumping of altcoin and decrease of bitcoin dominance will give an understanding that it is possible to enter the market, and the fomo will start in the next 10-14 days, after the crowd enters the market we will see the very correction in several movements. I will sell most of the altcoin portfolio and wait for the correction of 25-35% to increase the number of coins . Now it is difficult to say the target of the correction ( look at fibo) . Let's first wait for January 20-24. Best Regards EXCAVO
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by EXCAVO
41
BITCOIN again rising upwards, if resistance breaks then $40KBTCUSD The price is firmly holding above the ascending trendline, and price is also above the support area around $36,500, and price again started rising upwards if the resistance around $38,000 breaks strongly then after correction/pullback price may attempt to hit $40,000 as the next target... Trade Wisely *The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Stargazer_fx
10
Real World Assets - RWANEW GEM IN CRYPTO - Real World Assets? Real World Assets are assets from the real world that have been transferred to digital tokens for use in DeFi ecosystems. Tokenization can cover different types of assets, including physical assets like real estate and bonds and intangible assets like copyrights 📈 The RWA sector, which began its development in 2022, is gaining immense popularity, and today ranks 8th in the ranking in terms of total blocked assets with an amount of $2.384 billion (last year 130 million) Examples: ➖ Tokenized government bonds: This means that you can buy and sell government bonds on the blockchain and receive interest from them Lending platforms: You can get a loan in cryptocurrency using real assets as collateral or lend digital assets using real securities as collateral ➖ RWAs in real estate allow tokenizing the ownership of residential and commercial properties and generating rental income So, the RWA sector is another feature that brings crypto closer to the mass adoption List of all RWA projects below www.fxempire.com Best regards EXCAVO
Long
by EXCAVO
4
Bitcoin update 25.09.23Hi , the market has been very boring for the last few months, I think it's hard to disagree with that. During this time of course there has been manipulative pumping of small liquid altcoins. But still boring or am I getting old :) I see a further rapid decline in bitcoin price, in the next 2-3 weeks, liquidation of all those jaded crypto traders, and after that I expect a bull rally, that's what I said in previous posts. Let's put it this way, I have long ago made an analysis and came to the opinion that we will go below 16k is 20% probability based on analysis and reserch of all reversal patterns, on the history of other assets. 20% is the black swan (pandemic, nuclear strikes, etc.). Globally, we have been in a bull market since November 2022, every previous cycle had a sub-cycle with crowd disappointment, and we are approaching that state. Once there is that final down movement I will only look up and be bullish until September 2025. Regarding interest levels for me - I have shown all the interest levels on the chart with blue and yellow boxing I would also like to point out that the current distribution is very similar to the 2021 - 2022 distribution I don't want to mislead you, but as you can see bitcoin holders don't believe in the bitcoin crash and collapse scenario (it's stupid because it's a cow that gives milk and it would be very stupid to kill this cow) and are set for the long term, I'm one of them - in the cypto world bitcoin is gold. About ETFs - a lot of talk is it good or bad? it is 100% good in the long run for bitcoin price. ETFs are an opportunity for huge capital to enter cryptocurrency. While regulators are rejecting ETFs those very same financial companies are buying up real bitcoin. Everyone understands the prospects of this asset and the interest in it. Best regards EXCAVO
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EXCAVO
24
Bitcoin update 3.10.23In this chart I have shown the worst case scenario that could happen. As we have seen in the last few days, there are fewer traders on the market, bitcoin made +10% and only 77 million dollars liquidated - a very small figure. But as after this movement, trading volume started to increase, but newcomers and others started buying altcoins.... When reaching the resistance line of the channel, some longs will be closed, and some will even increase shorts, and stop losses will be placed above this channel, logically these stop losses should also be activated. The worst scenario is the one I have indicated with the red line. But I do not exclude that we can start to grow without the last capitulation. Best Regards EXCAVO
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EXCAVO
9
Bitcoin accumulation or distribution? update 19.07.23 Hello guys I think that many people over the last month technically see the Wyckoff distribution, I am not an exception and indeed it looks very similar, but we are now in an ascending channel The monthly range is 29500-31500, and this distribution could be a trivial liquidity achievement from below. And then a return to the rising channel. But if we want to see more extravagant liquidity withdrawal, we need to break the ascending channel, and the ideal point of frustration for market participants is to break this channel down and lock below it. In any case, after a one-month stretch, you will see volatility very soon On the other hand on larger timeframes we can interpret this whole 9 months has been an accumulation of wyckow and we are in the final stage of accumulation if this is true and I believe it is, then there are two scenarios that I want to share On the other hand on larger timeframes we can interpret this whole 9 months has been an accumulation of wyckow and we are in the final stage of accumulation if this is true and I believe it is, then there are two scenarios that I want to share 1. Looks just like in the book And if you add up the theory that the tuning distribution should be on the big crowd excitement, due to expectations about Bitcoin ETF, FTX, I wrote in this post Link It all looks logical,taking additional liquidity from below to break through the main liquidity above 32k after 9 months of accumulation. As for me, I accumulated in November-December 2022 and distributed already. I think you are seeing a lot of reports that a very large amount of bitcoins are going into Coinbase, Gemini, and others and as you correctly realize they will not give them to steaking haha they will sell them. The same situation with ETH I think you can see how thousands of ETH have started to move and some part of it is going to centralized exchanges. Best regards EXCAVO
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by EXCAVO
53
Motivation on the crypto marketI will tell you about a way of motivation in the crypto market, which I sometimes use myself. It is simple - I analyze large wallets. I have paid for several services to analyze wallets and the movement of crypto assets. I analyze the wallets. There are profitable trades when I made dozens. Of course, it's nice to calculate your profit, but you analyze other wallets on this project and see that someone invested 5 times more, respectively, and the income is much higher. This brings you back to the ground to work harder. It's nice to just track and see the transactions of the big whale wallets: what they own, what they buy/sell, where they farm/stalk. And when you look at their results, you get motivated to use the same volumes. I look at their wallet group when they have $500m-$3bn each. At that moment I realize that a correct and clear analysis of prospects can bring very high returns. Someone will call them lucky, but it can't be lucky all the time. It's already happening systematically. So there's a secret to analyzing it correctly? And they see prospects where no one else sees them yet? And when everyone discusses something promising and it becomes a hype - they are already selling at that moment. Large transactions and numbers motivate me a lot. Many top whales hide such deals, and only at the end they transfer the funds to their main wallets. But analyzing such deals after the fact motivates you and reminds you once again that big Xs are possible with the right analysis. And there is no need to worry that you missed out on some top project.In the crypto market, new opportunities are opening up all the time.To summarize, I wanted to remind you that I am not competing with anyone. Yes, I compete only with myself, but seeing someone else's success gives me a benchmark for achieving my own intermediate mini-goals, and I realize that the bar can be moved much higher. To make this post not only motivational, but practically useful I want to share tools: www.arkhamintelligence.com debank.com www.nansen.ai zerion.io Also I suggest sharing whale wallets or successful wallets in the comments. There's a good phrase: "If we look at the human race as a whole, those who are left alone in society or leave the tribe tend to die faster. Early on in human history, we learned that you need a group to survive. Usually those who stick together the most usually win over the others. Collective thinking helps us to do things more efficiently." Best regards EXCAVO
Long
by EXCAVO
7
Bitcoin 19.05.2023The last break we can interpret as reaching the liquidity zone (which means that there was a concentration of stop losses and other positions) is a book example, after such a liquidity selection we expect an upward movement. In this case we saw an impulse movement and a return to the range of 26800 -28900-31000. And now we are around 27k. Also we see liquidity zones from below, which we can reach both at the top ( red box) and at the bottom ( green box). What's the global picture right now, 5 months of growth, at the peak +90% of the bottom. In those 5 months we've seen a rush: on Chinese blockchains, LSD, Meme, BRC20, AND other with the last two attracting new participants who are just asking what to buy to get rich. On the logistical curve this is the last stage. Now most people are in the market with altcoins because they have more upside, but also more downside:) Some think we will go to take liquidity from above ( red boxes) but this crowd will start to fix their positions, in zero or near zero, so I do not see the point in the pump, so I am out of the market now, just watching and looking for an entry point to short. And I'm waiting to buy back the flash crash Best regards EXCAVO
by EXCAVO
12
Bitcoin update 28.03.2023Potentially we can reach liquidity zones from below to eliminate all stop losses of long trades that were opened in the yellow zone, after that a strong upward movement is possible. The vision is the same, in May - April we will see the local peak of this movement Technically, the market is doing very well. We trade the market 60% + of all money in stable coins Beware of overbought altcoins LSD (Liquid Staking Derivatives) the trend continues. Don't forget to control your greed, Protect your positions. Think are you over risked People write to me who are in an unstable psychological state from the fact that they missed most of the movements, there will still be opportunities. Contact a more experienced person. Plan your trades, trade your plans Best regrads EXCAVO
by EXCAVO
51
In September-November we will form the bottom of this correctionAll through 2022 I was saying that we would see the bottom in November 2022. Because of cycles I tried to explain not only from the side of cycles, but also from other sides why a fall is possible Warned that the bottom is near showed the month of November In November 2022 I said that it was the bottom and it doesn't matter what price you buy at 16-17k, you don't have to wait for 13k (only pigs who want to catch the bottom do this). I also said that the local peak will be in April-May 2023, after that the correction. In march 2023 I visually showed a local peak After that showed a more specific scenario I said publicly in 11 May that I was selling all crypto and looking for an entry point to short. I am now in a short and will hold it as long as possible. And the last thing, I think, is that we are already in correction and we will see the bottom of this correction in September-November. Visually, I showed my goals with red boxes And after the formation of the bottom I expect growth until October 2025 with the establishment of new highs, trading is not a sprint it is a marathon. Comment, give me some likes, I love you all Best regards EXCAVO
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by EXCAVO
46
Crypto Regulation is comingOne lawsuit recognizing that one of the crypto projects is an unregistered security is enough. And all those projects who did Token Sales - ICO, IDO, IEO and other, did fundraising and sold tokens to funds, did airdrops, token burning - this is all a big problem for crypto projects by the SEC(The United States Securities and Exchange Commission) Bitcoin and all bitcoin forks are commodities. TSX:XCH is a commodity And all the other projects DYOR doing their own research. Regulation is coming Best Regards EXCAVO
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by EXCAVO
30
U.S. National Debt U.S. default A topic that has been stirring people's minds in recent months is the U.S. debt ceiling. The general public is asking the question: "Will the national debt ceiling be raised or will the U.S. default?" The national debt is the result of the government's financial borrowing to cover the budget deficit. And, as you might have guessed, these borrowings must be paid for. For the last ~100 years, the U.S. has existed on borrowed capital by placing Treasury bonds. And there is a purely nominal borrowing limit, which in fact America has raised 45 times in the last 40 years so that it can borrow more and more and more. And if they don't, the Treasury will no longer be able to issue debt securities and will only have to cover their expenses with cash balances from their balance sheet. Spoiler: no money to pay off your own debt 💡Logical conclusion. The national debt ceiling will be raised anyway, and all the current discussions have only political overtones and have nothing to do with the real economic model of the states. Consequently, no teeth-grinding default and collapse of the global financial system should be expected How will the increase in state debt affect the cryptocurrency market? -If you're interested, put + www.usdebtclock.org Best regards EXCAVO
FRED:GFDEBTNLong
by EXCAVO
29
Meme coinsIntroducing Meme-Coin Perspectives: Discovering the Art of Folly. Are you familiar with the ubiquitous X's on Pepe, Doge, Shiba, and the like? These symbols have permeated the world of meme-coins, capturing the attention of many. Now, let's delve into a captivating speculative concept known as the "Big Fool's Theory." Picture this: you knowingly acquire something seemingly worthless, fully aware that a bigger fool will emerge to purchase it at a higher price. In simpler terms, you anticipate someone eagerly buying an unnecessary wrapper at an exorbitant cost. What lies in store for those who embark on this venture? The allure stems from witnessing numerous individuals amassing fortunes out of thin air. As a result, a fiery blend of FOMO and curiosity engulfs the hearts of onlookers, compelling them to impulsively dive into the realm of memecoins. They yearn to emulate someone else's triumph or, perhaps, acquire a memecoin that has been resold countless times, now soaring at its zenith. Amusingly, some proponents extol the virtues of these whimsical tokens. When questioned about the benefits of such projects or their potential for growth, the answer is often a resounding, "someone else will buy." This prompts us to ponder: how does this fundamentally differ from a casino? In conclusion, the question remains: Can one truly profit by embracing the Big Fool's Theory, banking on the existence of a fool willing to pay a higher price? The resounding answer is yes. Yet, pause for a moment and contemplate: Could you, in turn, become that very fool? Best regards EXCAVO
Short
by EXCAVO
52