4 Stages of Price Delivery (ICT Concepts)In this video I go through the 4 stages of price delivery as it pertains to ICT Concepts.
Generally, the market is going through either of the following:
Consolidation
Expansion
Retracement
Reversal
Price starts from a consolidation, where Smart Money accumulates their position, and then an expansion, where price is trending in a direction for the purpose of seeking liquidity and/or manipulating sentiment. From an expansionary phase, price will either retrace to re-accumulate orders and expand again, or have a complete reversal.
Now, it is important to note that price is fractal, meaning the signatures you see on a lower timeframe perspective could also be seen on a higher timeframe perspective. In a singular candlestick, there can be multiple phases of price delivery happening.
Once one can fit all these pieces together in regard to how market makers book price, one can have a clear insight into where price is likely going and where it likely won't go again, all with a high degree of accuracy.
Thanks for watching and reading!
- R2F
Expansion
XAUUSD Key Levels of Accumulation and MarkupThis is Gold on the last 10 years, its possible to see clearly the Accumulation ranges, which later expand to new ranges above, and starts a new Accumulation range.
In the long term, all the currencies tend to lose value in relation to Gold, this is why in the last 10 years we only see Accumulation + Markup + Accumulation + Markup, and never a Distribution phase.
It's interesting how gold has been expanding the same size of around 2.970 pips on the ranges of accumulations. It make these key levels even more clear and stronger.
Also observe the mean on the 50% of the ranges, it has great opportunities to use mean reversal strategies to sell on the top of the range, and buy on the bottom. And for intraday trading we can use this levels to understand areas where buyers and sellers has more strength.
The Contraction, Expansion, and Trend PhaseContraction, Expansion, and Trend Phase
*also known as the Forex Master Pattern *
The contraction, expansion, and trend phase, or the Forex master pattern, is a trading methodology that focuses on identifying and capitalizing on the recurring patterns and phases that occur in the markets. They are based on the concept of these three market cycles.
Institutional players play a significant role in shaping these market cycles observed in the markets.
1.Contraction Phase
This phase represents a period of low volatility and consolidation in the markets
During contraction phases, institutional players often accumulate positions and establish their trading biases.
Institutional accumulation during this phase can create the necessary liquidity and order flow for a breakout in the subsequent expansion phase.
2. Expansion Phase
The expansion phase occurs when market volatility increases and the market breaks out of consolidation, leading to bigger price movements.
Institutional players execute their strategies by inducing price movements to entice retail participation. Depending on their goals, institutions may manipulate prices upward or downward, creating liquidity for their trades while taking advantage of retail sentiment.
Institutional buying during this phase can increase the movement in price and volatility, leading to rapid changes in markets and trends.
3. Trend Phase
Once the market establishes a clear direction following the breakout, it enters the trend phase.
The trend phase marks the end of the contraction, expansion, and trend phases, which are marked by sustained directional movements powered by institutional profit-taking activities. Retail traders often find themselves on the wrong side of the trade during this phase, triggering panic, liquidations, and potential market reversals.
The panic caused in this phase can eventually lead to liquidations.
While this is not a strategy, it is a versatile methodology that works on any timeframe and assets as long as it has enough volume on the market. You can develop many different types of strategies using the Contraction, Expansion, and Trend Phase .
ETHBTC is about to make a historical moveAnything that follows is not to be taken as financial advice.
This is the Binance weekly chart for ETHBTC, with a single indicator loaded on: the Bollinger Bands Width Percentile.
The BBWP is a volatility indicator that measures whether or not we should be looking for the price action of the examined asset to contract or expand in relation to its own past volatility, calculated by the BBW.
Simply put, it tells us if we should be expecting the asset to be in a mostly sideways price action, or if it's appropriate to look for expansion.
Make no mistake, volatility is a direction-neutral indicator, meaning it's inherently neither bullish nor bearish.
We can see some flashing red and blue bars in the background, they're there to warn us about an extremely high (red) volatility environment, or an extremely low (blue) one.
Generally, when the asset is in an extremely high volatility environment, it's wise to expect it to cool off, therefore looking for price action to generally reduce its turbulent behavior.
This implies the exact opposite for when the volatility is extremely low.
With default settings, which I'm running, extremely high volatility is considered to be between 98% and 100%, while extremely low volatility is found between 0% and 2%.
Let's focus on the blue bars for this analysis.
Only once in the history of this chart, two weeks straight of extremely low volatility can be observed.
From there, the expansion led to an initial move up, and then ultimately a move down of -26.95% from the open of next week to the lowest point of the move.
Right now, ETHBTC is waiting for a massive expansion after twelve weeks straight of extremely low volatility.
If it was to expand to the downside from this point, a move of roughly the same impact would see this asset retest the june 2022 low.
However, spending more time contracting, usually means having a more explosive move when the time comes.
In the case of a downside move, I don't think it would be too crazy to look for a retest of Q1 2021 highs, anywhere around the 0.045 level.
That would make for about a -33% move from here, but I'd say there's fair concern for said move ending up being more destructive than that.
This could happen along with BTCUSD breaking into a new bull market while ETHUSD fails to catch up just like it did in the past, although that's just speculation on my part.
Remember, volatility is direction-neutral, while price action might look bearish right now, there is no way to tell where a future sustained volatility expansion might lead this asset to.
Personally speaking, I believe that if it were to expand to the upside, a retest of the ATH would definetely be within reach, seeing as ETHBTC has been consolidating for about 22 months.
It would certainly result in a massive move, more than a 2x from here, since the ATH is around 0.15 and the asset is now trading at around 0.067, but we've seen crazier things in crypto.
Whenever the expansion happens, and wherever it brings ETHBTC to, good luck and stay safe.
Draw the MASTER PATTERN CONCEPTS by handHOW TO MANUALLY DRAW THE MASTER PATTERN CONCEPTS
# STEP 1 - Identify the Contraction Phase
The contraction phase consists of a tightening of price where there is a simultaneous lower high and higher low, this is where the supply and demand equalize in the market. This is a leading indication that volatility is coming next.
You want to look for places where you find contraction/constriction of price, where it clearly looks like its moving into a defined consolidation zone.
STEP 2 - Identify the Expansion Phase
The expansion phase is the 2nd phase in the market, its known as the manipulation phase. It reveals incoming volatility entering into the market, this is where most retailers lose their money.
This phase can be defined as price breaking out of the contraction box, and whip sawing around the value line. This is the accumulation phase where the market makers accumulate their inventory from weaker hand holders.
Price usually whipsaws around the value line 4-7 times before the 3rd phase in the market starts, which is the trend phase.
STEP 3 - Identify Liquidity Lines
Liquidity lines are where the retailers place their stop losses, it is an excellent places to enter and exit the market.
These can be defined as HH or LL points on the chart where there are swing high and swing low points. By anticipating where these stop loss levels are located you can be aware where there are pools of resting liquidity. These are excellent places to enter or exit the market.
Understanding Contraction / Expansion and Liquidity are key price action concepts that help you understand trading from an institutional level and give you a deeper insight into the intentions of the market.
BTC futures Entry Stop and Target with money management -Price is in contraction and building shelf at the high
- buyers will freak out as stops start getting run and fall back into previous swing
- buyers from last low want to step up and buyers that missed the last run will pile in at the higher low.
- stop is under known buyers that held and entry is at buyers that lifted price to new high
- this is based on principles of supply and demand, buyers and sellers and contraction and expansion
- this may work or it may not.
The Master Pattern - 3 Phases of the Market | Smart Money THE 3 PHASES OF THE MARKET
The market goes through 3 phases, these phases can be seen on all assets and on all time frames. They happen on repeat.
These phases can be identified and market on your chart, to understand the true intentions of the market and also predict what will happen next.
1) CONTRACTION PHASE
When price forms a LH and HL this is the start of the contraction phase, you draw a box around it. This is when the buyers and sellers equalize and there is low institutional volume. This is a leading indication, letting you know the expansion phase is going to come next.
2) EXPANSION PHASE
As soon as price expands out side of the contraction box this confirms the expansion phase has started. Price likes to whipsaw around the value line multiple times liquidation both sides of the market, this is how the market makers fill their massive orders. This symbolized volume coming back into the market. This is the phase where most retailers lose their money.
3) TREND PHASE
The trend phase is the 3rd phase in the market and this is the profit taking phase. This is the phase where the market makers take profits off their previously accumulated positions. This is the best phase to trade and the safest phase to trade.
When you understand these 3 phases, it can give you a deeper understanding to the Rhythm of the market and help you understand what will happen next.
By knowing what phase you are in, you are able to trade it according to its characteristic's.
The master pattern concepts is the the real smart money concepts.
Hope this helps.
CKB entering an important level!Chart speaks for it self:)
We are likely to see the imbalance being filled
Do not hurry and do something now, momentum is still steady
Use my indicator to know when you should short or long!
Adaptive indicator and normal indicator is linked below!
Targets will be provided as well
🔥TYPES OF FIBONACCI TOOLS🔥
There are several types of Fibonacci tools that are commonly used in technical analysis, including:
📊FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT
Fibonacci retracement levels—stemming from the Fibonacci sequence—are horizontal lines that indicate where support and resistance are likely to occur.Each level is associated with a percentage. The percentage is how much of a prior move the price has retraced. The Fibonacci retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 61.8%, and 78.6%. While not officially a Fibonacci ratio, 50% is also used.The indicator is useful because it can be drawn between any two significant price points, such as a high and a low. The indicator will then create the levels between those two points.
📊FIBONACCI EXTENCION
Fibonacci extensions don't have a formula. When the indicator is applied to a chart, the trader chooses three points. The first point chosen is the start of a move, the second point is the end of a move and the third point is the end of the retracement against that move. The extensions then help project where the price could go next. Once the three points are chosen, the lines are drawn at percentages of that move.Extensions are drawn on a chart, marking price levels of possible importance. These levels are based on Fibonacci ratios (as percentages) and the size of the price move the indicator is being applied to.
📊FIBONACCI PROJECTION
Fibonacci projections are mainly used to get the possible target levels of an ongoing uptrend or downtrend. It
is drawn by joining three points unlike Fibonacci Retracement which has just two points- by joining the lowest
and the highest points of a pre-defined.In order to draw the Fibonacci projections for an asset in an uptrend, we need 3 points:
👉Swing Low - that is the point from which the actual trend started.
👉Swing High - the point at which price started to retrace.
👉Low of the ongoing price correction.
Fibonacci projections provide potential good levels to book profits. The important Fibonacci projections levels
to watch out for are 61.8%, 100%, 161.8%, 200%, and 261.8%.
📊FIBONACCI EXPANSION(SIMILAR TO PROJECTION)
Essentially, Fibonacci expansions allow us to project how far a potential price move is likely to travel. This price move is typically considered an impulsive price move, in the context of Elliott wave. That is to say that it will typically follow a corrective phase and thus form a new trend leg in the direction of the larger trend.In that way it is very different compared to Fibonacci retracements. Unlike Fibonacci retracements which measure an internal retracement against a larger trend leg, a Fibonacci expansion measures an external price leg.
CONCLUSION
It's important to note that the use of Fibonacci tools in trading is just one aspect of technical analysis and should not be used in isolation.
I myself use Fibonacci regularly but I also combine them with technical key levels and with the price action patterns on top of that.
I Hope you guys learned something new today✅
Wish you all Best Of Luck👍
😇And may the odds be always in your favor😇
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BTC: POSSIBLE SCENARIO! POWER OF 3!!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support it with a like and follow.
Welcome to this BTC update.
What is PO3 and how it works?
The primary purpose of the PO3 is for smart money to build positions and engineer liquidity. Smart money unlike us needs a more complex method of entering classes in the market while retail(us) is able to enter positions as long as the order book allows it. Trading is a 0-sum game, inorder to accumulate a long position there needs to be a seller to provide it and vice versa.
PO3 works mainly in three parts:
1) Accumulation
2) Manipulation
3) Expansion
Currently, BTC is in an accumulation zone. The accumulation range is $15.8k-$17.5k level. Once it breaks above the accumulation zone, we enter into the manipulation zone.
We have a big resistance is at the $18k-$19k level. Expecting a rejection from that level and then we enter into the expansion zone.
Invalidaion:- Close above $19k level
If you like this idea then do support it with like and follow.
Also, share your views in the comment section.
Thank You!
GMT SCALPING DOWNTRENDThere seems to be a downtrend on GMT 15 Minute timeframe after the contraction and expansion phases. As long as the trend is respected you could probably make some decent profits.
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Contraction Plotter Indicator:
www.tradingview.com
ETHUSDT SHORT SCALPI found this possible short scalp trade, the value line is the TP and is way below and ETH expanded above and broke the trendline with low volume. A SSL Exit arrow also formed, I am taking a chance with this scalp.
TP1: 1212.03
TP2: 1181.8
SL: 1249.7
Note: A contraction may be forming and the stop loss is pretty tight, I am going to wait for the close of this candle to see if this is an actual contraction.
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Contraction Plotter Indicator which will be able to be bought monthly with Patreon soon:
ETHUSDT FAIR VALUELooking at the ETH Chart you can see that its currently in a Low volume ranging market. ETH is in the contraction phase, just bounced a little from a support zone, and is overall not moving alot.
After this it will have a large move, either to up or the down of the value line this isn't what's important
What will be important is trading the trend after the big move is decided, in which high liquidity stocks, cryptocurrencies, forex pairs, like to go back towards the value line.
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Contraction Plotter Indicator:
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AUDUSD Sell IdeaHere are my thoughts on an AUDUSD sell trade idea. As we can see, market structure is headed down and price is in expansion from the consolidation. I think that it will take out the liquidity and hit supply sometimes around New York session that continue down with higher timeframe structure. If you are familiar with the price cycle, the zone gave us consolidation and expansion and now we wait for the retracement to supply where we will wait for a change of character the another zone on the smaller timeframe to trade from.
USDJPY H1 Triangle Continuation TradeLooking for the USDJPY to trade higher, but waiting for a breakout of the recent APAC session.
Price action is forming a triangle that is encouraging based on other higher time frame continuation patterns.
Depending on which time frame analysis you generate a trading idea, I am a firm believer that you should manage the trade in the same time frame.
Though if there is a chance of a higher time frame target being reached, after de-risking on the lower time frame, you could leave a runner.
ROUTE- long accumulationCharts that take long to develop are the ones that run the hardest once they get going. PA might seem boring, unattractive and makes you jump ship. I've made the same mistake with VRA and MATIC just before they went on a face-melting mission and I told myself I'm going to look for a chart that looked like those prior to their pumps. CHZ is another example.
All of these 3 coins have accumulated for around 650 days before expanding, so don't be surprised if you end up holding the coin longer than expected. We are currently on day 443 ranging.
Another observation we can make that it bottomed before all others on May 12th. Currently facing a breakout of the triangle.
Good luck to you all. I'm sure it will be worth it.
$GMPR Huge Restaurant Acquis/Military Contracts/Retail ExpanCorporate Update Highlights:
1.Finalize the pre audits, audited financials with M&K CPAS, PLLC to finish the necessary financial statements for uplisting to NASDAQ.
2. Hire fulltime CFO
3. Acquisition of Black Rock Bar & Grill which was voted the #1 Steakhouse in Michigan 3 years in a row!
4. Pizza Fusion deal with US Military. Thier Gourmet Gluten-Free Frozen Pizzas in 150+ grocery stores, in 5 different states, through two food distributors Gia Russa & McAneny Brothers.
In March GMPR was 1 of 22 companies invited to the DeCA Arm Forces Food Service Military Show in Petersburg, VA. The US Military Food Service decision makers attended the show, sampled, loved and approved our Pizza Fusion’s Founders Pie for the US troops in Kuwait.
We have been told we have been approved to feed 36,000 US Troops based in Kuwait for two lunches and one dinner per week and all events and parties.
5. Cousin T’s expansion into retail and introduction of new products; Jose Madrid Salsa into food distributor McAneny Foods; PopsyCakes partnered with $16 million Chocolate company in Pittsburgh.
Gourmet Provisions International signed a distribution partnership with comedian Terrence K. Williams and launched his Gourmet line of Pancake mix under Williams’ custom brand Cousin T’s. in October 2021.
In early 2021 GMPR partnered with Williams to help create and launch a Gourmet line of food products starting with his own personal line of Gourmet Pancake Mix & Syrup all under his custom brand, ‘Cousin T’s’
www.CousinTs.com
www.globenewswire.com
There's no reason for it to be down here this low imo, huge moves should be coming here.