Bank Nifty Levels - 22nd September 2022long above - 41200, T1 - 41350, T2 - 41500, T3 - 41656, T4 - 41810..... SL 41150
Short below - 40889, T1 - 40736, T2 - 40587, T3 - 40450, T4 - 40280......... SL 41200.
All lines above 41200 will act as resistances.
All lines below 40889 will act as supports.
Please check the chart carefully.
Expirystrategy
Nifty levels for 22nd September 2022Long above 17750, T1 - 17784, T2 - 17815, T3 - 17838, T4 - 17915....... SL 17720
Short Below 17720, T1 - 17685, T2 - 17641, T3 - 17603, T4 - 17564...... SL 17750
All lines above 17750 will act as resistances.
All lines below 17720 will act as supports.
Please check the chart carefully.
BANKNIFTY FUTURE INTRADAY VIEW:-EXPIRY DAYI told day before yesterday that banknifty will fall first and then in next day, it will again rise. Banknifty reacts exactly the same as I predicted.
BNF buy above 34370
Target:-34800
As per open interest, 34000PE added huge OI and 34500CE, 35000CE seems equal OI
which indicates a rally !!
Once if breaks and manages above 34560 will try to move 34800 levels
support:-34250, 34150 and 34000 (Strong support zone)
Banknifty index may open gap up above 34500 to test break out point @34627. Here watch Bank nifty has to sustain above it to move up towards 34800. Be alert if Bank nifty unable to hold above break out point then may slip towards 34300 and 34113.
Nifty - Confirmation of Downtrend, Where to enter the short?1. Looking at open interest 18000 still has maximum call writing with additions to 17900 and 17800 levels, On the lower levels only significant put writing is at 17500 level
2. PCR is 0.9 suggesting Bearish market
3. Max pain at 17800 levels
4. Any kind of support was at 50 ema levels on the daily chart
5. FII - Futures -2000 cr, cash -4000 cr sell, DII 700 cr net buyers
6. US 10 year bond yield at 1.834 +0.007 +0.40%, which has come down from 1.897
7. News: The Fed is widely expected to tighten monetary policy at a much faster pace than expected a month ago to curb continually high inflation.
8. UK inflation figures were up 0.5% m.o.m could pressure bank of england to raise interest rates.
9. Nifty formed Three black crows today confirming the reverse of the bull trend. Three black crows can sometimes mean market is oversold and could consolidate, however RSI(14) is at 50.49.
10. Selling volumes are stronger than purchase volumes which does confirm strength of a sell.
There might be a slight upside tomorrow after three days of selling but the overall trend is still bearish. But the big question is what levels should one short at?
To me it seems a little unclear at the moment, completely depends on price action tomorrow. However long upside especially before the budget is highly highly unlikely. Market may go to 17900 levels which would be a good place to short but at this point just wait for price action to confirm the entry point.
I Will update when I enter the trade.
However, US Dollar seems strong, look at my analysis chart that I have linked with this post to find positions to enter in USD-INR. It seems a better trade looking at the bond yield numbers.
Nifty still in a downtrend butMy Analysis of Nifty
Looking at the Open interest data 18000 has a very strong resistance with very new call writers at 18000, 18050, 18100,18200, 18300 levels.
PCR is 0.5 suggesting that its oversold
Max Pain at 18000
Support shown at 17923(100 day moving average on hourly charts)
PCR and support suggest that the market might open in the green tomorrow, however, trend continues to be downtrend so data suggests it may remain remain flat tomorrow, upside seems very difficult.
Also, FII were net sellers with -2704.77 crores and DII were also net sellers: -195.07 which suggests weakness
Will be looking for opportunities to Sell calls on uptick. Short with caution
I do expect the closing to be around 17900-18050
Disclaimer: Please trade based on your own analysis and protect your capital
Weekly target hit on Monday, so how to trade expiry?Hey guys!
Our weekly target of 16696 was hit on Monday itself due to a gap down and fall in nifty.
Yesterday and today, the markets have recovered and started the move from swing low to swing high. Therefore, the expectation tomorrow is bullish with a target of 17024 and 17170 after which nifty has the decide the direction.
However, the trenline is important and if it is broken, it can lead to a huge fall again.
Expecting a Gap up opening tomorrow and if Nifty opens in the channel shown in chart, it may consolidate after touching 17170 for a while. Break out from that channel is important and decisions can be taken based on that.
Please comment your views and ideas 💡 🙏. Thankyou!!
*for educational purposes only*
Weakness in Nifty50 Continues on third dayNSE:NIFTY
Flat opening slow upward trend. Unable to cross the downward sloping trendline of last three days. Inside bar in 5 mins confirmation of downward trend. enter Short at trendline break with PDL as target and day high as SL.
Would have entered long if sustained above 17775.
Nifty Prediction for 2nd Sep.. Profit booking?Today on 1st Sep Nifty GAVE RED CANDLE after long time.
Normally When This Happens Profit Booking will happen for 300-350 Points
Already 150 Retracement Happened.
For Tomorrow Expiry
1.Flat opening - A.If it gets REJECTED then PE
B.If it slowly moves up to 17145 gets REJECTION then PE
CE will be above 17145 if it sustains there for almost 20-25 min for 17200 only
Trail stoploss if necessary
2. Gapup opening 17145 will be make or break level
3. Gapdown Opening- Selling can come immedietely or after some time ... If it crosses below 16980 then Further selling can come
Thank You
P.S. Stop loss can Save You
SMH 75% PoP & 18% profit in 2 weeks with monthly verticalQuick 2 week vertical play:
* Bullish triangle
* Buy volume
* 14 month bullish trend
Max profit: $156
Probability of Profit: 75%
Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 18%
Max loss with my risk management: ~$250
Req. Buy Power: $844 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!)
Tasty IVR: 5.4
Expiry: 15 days
Buy 2 SMH May21' 230 Put
Sell 2 SMH May21' 235 Put
Credit PUT spread for 0.78cr each.
Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing BELOW the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 250$. Probability of loss in this way: ~12% .
Take profit strategy: 65% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order at 0.27db. Probability of profit this way: ~88%.
Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case!
If you liked this article, check my other ideas.
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banknifty crucial level, most likely to expire near 20000 bank nifty saw a drastic fall today from of more than 700 points from top.
It bounced back from the level 19500 which is around 200sma .
it has bounced back from that level many times and according to our algorithm it is expected to expire around 20k